The RaceWatch Favourites Index for British Flat racing stood at 102.5 in Sep 2026 and for British jumps racing at 88.3 (100 = the 2016 to 2025 average for the same month).Sample: Every British and Irish race · Window: Last 36 months against 2016 to 2025 · Source: RaceWatch results database (every British and Irish race, Industry SP favourites)
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Index by Month
RaceWatch Favourites Index: National Hunt, month by month
| Oct 2026 (to date) | 109.8 | 38.60 | 35.10 | 91.9 | 36.00 | 39.20 | 144 | 89 |
| Sep 2026 | 88.3 | 32.00 | 36.30 | 109.7 | 33.30 | 30.40 | 145 | 97 |
| Aug 2026 | 91.3 | 32.60 | 35.70 | 98.2 | 32.50 | 33.10 | 81 | 148 |
| Jul 2026 | 92.5 | 33.60 | 36.30 | 95.2 | 30.70 | 32.20 | 131 | 123 |
| Jun 2026 | 102.4 | 35.40 | 34.60 | 81.2 | 25.60 | 31.50 | 167 | 75 |
| May 2026 | 98.9 | 34.90 | 35.30 | 97.3 | 30.80 | 31.70 | 295 | 172 |
| Apr 2026 | 98.8 | 34.80 | 35.20 | 97.9 | 29.00 | 29.60 | 334 | 129 |
| Mar 2026 | 104.9 | 37.50 | 35.80 | 86.2 | 28.00 | 32.50 | 426 | 109 |
| Feb 2026 | 103.3 | 37.80 | 36.60 | 105.0 | 42.00 | 40.00 | 374 | 114 |
| Jan 2026 | 92.9 | 34.40 | 37.10 | 83.3 | 32.20 | 38.70 | 313 | 113 |
| Dec 2025 | 98.9 | 34.00 | 34.30 | 71.2 | 24.80 | 34.90 | 450 | 135 |
| Nov 2025 | 105.6 | 39.40 | 37.30 | 100.9 | 40.00 | 39.60 | 494 | 148 |
| Oct 2025 | 102.5 | 36.00 | 35.10 | 103.5 | 40.50 | 39.20 | 312 | 177 |
| Sep 2025 | 114.6 | 41.50 | 36.30 | 117.3 | 35.60 | 30.40 | 136 | 81 |
| Aug 2025 | 95.8 | 34.20 | 35.70 | 108.2 | 35.80 | 33.10 | 76 | 156 |
| Jul 2025 | 112.1 | 40.70 | 36.30 | 105.6 | 34.00 | 32.20 | 144 | 133 |
| Jun 2025 | 101.6 | 35.10 | 34.60 | 129.4 | 40.80 | 31.50 | 187 | 66 |
| May 2025 | 106.9 | 37.80 | 35.30 | 114.5 | 36.30 | 31.70 | 297 | 169 |
| Apr 2025 | 96.9 | 34.10 | 35.20 | 81.3 | 24.10 | 29.60 | 355 | 147 |
| Mar 2025 | 108.2 | 38.70 | 35.80 | 95.0 | 30.80 | 32.50 | 444 | 110 |
| Feb 2025 | 87.1 | 31.90 | 36.60 | 98.0 | 39.20 | 40.00 | 397 | 98 |
| Jan 2025 | 116.0 | 43.00 | 37.10 | 97.7 | 37.80 | 38.70 | 298 | 119 |
| Dec 2024 | 101.4 | 34.80 | 34.30 | 102.5 | 35.80 | 34.90 | 450 | 145 |
| Nov 2024 | 114.9 | 42.90 | 37.30 | 90.6 | 35.90 | 39.60 | 488 | 149 |
| Oct 2024 | 95.2 | 33.40 | 35.10 | 97.5 | 38.20 | 39.20 | 313 | 156 |
| Sep 2024 | 91.2 | 33.10 | 36.30 | 72.0 | 21.90 | 30.40 | 127 | 86 |
| Aug 2024 | 101.7 | 36.30 | 35.70 | 76.8 | 25.40 | 33.10 | 81 | 161 |
| Jul 2024 | 80.0 | 29.00 | 36.30 | 71.3 | 23.00 | 32.20 | 142 | 123 |
| Jun 2024 | 90.8 | 31.40 | 34.60 | 89.3 | 28.20 | 31.50 | 193 | 90 |
| May 2024 | 93.5 | 33.00 | 35.30 | 96.2 | 30.50 | 31.70 | 319 | 173 |
| Apr 2024 | 110.8 | 39.10 | 35.20 | 107.3 | 31.70 | 29.60 | 331 | 114 |
| Mar 2024 | 101.1 | 36.20 | 35.80 | 92.7 | 30.10 | 32.50 | 409 | 109 |
| Feb 2024 | 112.7 | 41.20 | 36.60 | 104.8 | 41.90 | 40.00 | 355 | 99 |
| Jan 2024 | 103.9 | 38.50 | 37.10 | 120.8 | 46.70 | 38.70 | 320 | 120 |
| Dec 2023 | 97.1 | 33.30 | 34.30 | 101.1 | 35.30 | 34.90 | 405 | 144 |
| Nov 2023 | 98.5 | 36.80 | 37.30 | 106.7 | 42.30 | 39.60 | 464 | 148 |
Index = the month's favourite win rate (winning favourites divided by favourites, joint favourites each counted) divided by the average for the same calendar month over 2016 to 2025, times 100. 100 = normal for the time of year. Months with fewer than 30 races show no index. The current month is to date.
Index by Month
RaceWatch Favourites Index: Flat, month by month
| Oct 2026 (to date) | 119.4 | 36.40 | 30.50 | 117.0 | 31.10 | 26.60 | 304 | 87 |
| Sep 2026 | 102.5 | 32.50 | 31.80 | 108.4 | 31.30 | 28.90 | 737 | 172 |
| Aug 2026 | 101.2 | 32.80 | 32.40 | 106.1 | 31.50 | 29.70 | 761 | 149 |
| Jul 2026 | 104.5 | 35.10 | 33.60 | 101.2 | 32.80 | 32.40 | 804 | 183 |
| Jun 2026 | 98.4 | 32.20 | 32.70 | 119.7 | 36.40 | 30.40 | 774 | 152 |
| May 2026 | 102.0 | 33.60 | 32.90 | 107.4 | 31.60 | 29.40 | 712 | 161 |
| Apr 2026 | 107.0 | 33.30 | 31.10 | 105.8 | 30.20 | 28.50 | 526 | 118 |
| Mar 2026 | 104.0 | 34.60 | 33.30 | 61.7 | 20.50 | 33.30 | 335 | 60 |
| Feb 2026 | 95.2 | 34.00 | 35.70 | 138.7 | 42.90 | 30.90 | 294 | 39 |
| Jan 2026 | 102.1 | 33.00 | 32.30 | 115.1 | 36.00 | 31.30 | 372 | 46 |
| Dec 2025 | 116.7 | 36.20 | 31.00 | 106.4 | 30.00 | 28.20 | 317 | 46 |
| Nov 2025 | 95.3 | 31.30 | 32.90 | 87.4 | 24.70 | 28.20 | 298 | 68 |
| Oct 2025 | 105.7 | 32.30 | 30.50 | 82.4 | 21.90 | 26.60 | 630 | 167 |
| Sep 2025 | 97.1 | 30.80 | 31.80 | 98.6 | 28.50 | 28.90 | 750 | 170 |
| Aug 2025 | 101.1 | 32.80 | 32.40 | 103.6 | 30.70 | 29.70 | 796 | 154 |
| Jul 2025 | 95.6 | 32.10 | 33.60 | 92.6 | 30.10 | 32.40 | 762 | 183 |
| Jun 2025 | 111.5 | 36.50 | 32.70 | 71.4 | 21.70 | 30.40 | 757 | 152 |
| May 2025 | 101.9 | 33.50 | 32.90 | 96.9 | 28.50 | 29.40 | 735 | 159 |
| Apr 2025 | 102.9 | 32.00 | 31.10 | 105.5 | 30.10 | 28.50 | 519 | 110 |
| Mar 2025 | 112.4 | 37.50 | 33.30 | 104.7 | 34.80 | 33.30 | 326 | 62 |
| Feb 2025 | 95.3 | 34.00 | 35.70 | 131.0 | 40.50 | 30.90 | 284 | 39 |
| Jan 2025 | 107.4 | 34.70 | 32.30 | 124.0 | 38.80 | 31.30 | 359 | 43 |
| Dec 2024 | 91.5 | 28.30 | 31.00 | 111.3 | 31.40 | 28.20 | 296 | 47 |
| Nov 2024 | 98.8 | 32.50 | 32.90 | 115.4 | 32.60 | 28.20 | 312 | 78 |
| Oct 2024 | 102.7 | 31.30 | 30.50 | 108.2 | 28.80 | 26.60 | 634 | 170 |
| Sep 2024 | 103.5 | 32.90 | 31.80 | 106.0 | 30.60 | 28.90 | 705 | 175 |
| Aug 2024 | 98.3 | 31.90 | 32.40 | 103.1 | 30.60 | 29.70 | 802 | 154 |
| Jul 2024 | 94.7 | 31.80 | 33.60 | 104.4 | 33.90 | 32.40 | 768 | 176 |
| Jun 2024 | 102.4 | 33.50 | 32.70 | 122.7 | 37.30 | 30.40 | 758 | 156 |
| May 2024 | 102.0 | 33.60 | 32.90 | 85.1 | 25.00 | 29.40 | 693 | 181 |
| Apr 2024 | 95.6 | 29.70 | 31.10 | 72.3 | 20.60 | 28.50 | 497 | 92 |
| Mar 2024 | 97.8 | 32.60 | 33.30 | 101.6 | 33.80 | 33.30 | 334 | 63 |
| Feb 2024 | 101.2 | 36.10 | 35.70 | 95.6 | 29.50 | 30.90 | 306 | 41 |
| Jan 2024 | 96.3 | 31.10 | 32.30 | 106.6 | 33.30 | 31.30 | 355 | 40 |
| Dec 2023 | 101.1 | 31.30 | 31.00 | 97.2 | 27.40 | 28.20 | 271 | 56 |
| Nov 2023 | 84.5 | 27.80 | 32.90 | 76.5 | 21.60 | 28.20 | 341 | 80 |
Index = the month's favourite win rate (winning favourites divided by favourites, joint favourites each counted) divided by the average for the same calendar month over 2016 to 2025, times 100. 100 = normal for the time of year. Months with fewer than 30 races show no index. The current month is to date.
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What is the RaceWatch Favourites Index?
The index divides the month's favourite win rate by the average for the same calendar month over 2016 to 2025, then multiplies by 100. A reading of 100 is a normal month.
Are favourites winning more than usual?
British Flat favourites scored 102.5 in Sep 2026 and British jumps favourites 88.3. Above 100 means more winning favourites than normal for the month.
Which was the weakest recent month for favourites?
In the last 12 months the lowest British jumps reading was 88.3, in Sep 2026. The monthly tables list three years of readings.
How are joint favourites counted?
Each joint favourite counts as a favourite, so the win rate is winning favourites divided by all favourites. Months with fewer than 30 races show no index.
Questions people ask
How is the Favourites Index calculated?
The month's favourite win rate is divided by the average for the same calendar month over 2016 to 2025, then multiplied by 100. Favourites are set by the official starting price.
Why compare with the same month?
Favourites win more often in some months than others, as field sizes and race types change through the year. Comparing like with like shows whether a month is unusual.
Can I quote the RaceWatch Favourites Index?
Yes. Please cite it as the RaceWatch Favourites Index with the month and region, for example GB Flat, Sep 2026: 102.5.
What is a normal favourite win rate?
For British Flat racing the ten-year average for Sep 2026 is 31.8%, and for British jumps racing 36.3%. Each month has its own baseline.
How often is the index updated?
The current month refreshes after every racing day, as results come in. Earlier months are fixed once they end and do not change.
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- Trackeralerts when your horses are declared
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