Favourites have won 36.4% of the time in October 2026 so far, against 32.6% in the same month over the previous five years.Sample: 629 races this month · Window: October 2026 to date v October 2021 to 2025 · Source: RaceWatch results database (GB and IRE)
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Win % by Days of the month
October 2026 so far against the same month in the last five years
| NH | 1 to 15 October 2026 | 233 | 5.00 | 5.35 | 8.20 | 1,907 | |
| NH | October 2021 to 2025, yearly average | 477 | 17.40 | 6.13 | 8.70 | 4,164 | |
| Flat | 1 to 15 October 2026 | 396 | 26.00 | 7.33 | 10.40 | 4,099 | |
| Flat | October 2021 to 2025, yearly average | 725 | 41.40 | 7.68 | 10.50 | 7,639 |
This month is to date; comparison months are complete. GB and IRE. Source: RaceWatch results database.
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% of winners by SP band
Favourites by week of the month
| NH | 1 to 7 | 115 | 555 | ||
| NH | 8 to 14 | 123 | 516 | ||
| NH | 15 to 21 | 15 | 542 | ||
| NH | 22 to 28 | - | 0 | 620 | |
| NH | 29 to 31 | - | 0 | 315 | |
| Flat | 1 to 7 | 206 | 975 | ||
| Flat | 8 to 14 | 209 | 981 | ||
| Flat | 15 to 21 | 28 | 921 | ||
| Flat | 22 to 28 | - | 0 | 798 | |
| Flat | 29 to 31 | - | 0 | 281 |
Favourite = shortest SP (joint favourites all count). Weeks not yet raced show blanks. Source: RaceWatch results database.
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Price bands: who is winning
| NH | Odds-on | 61 | 34 | ||||
| NH | Evens to 15/8 | 117 | 39 | ||||
| NH | 2/1 to 7/2 | 301 | 80 | ||||
| NH | 4/1 to 15/2 | 382 | 45 | ||||
| NH | 8/1 to 16/1 | 359 | 26 | ||||
| NH | 16/1 to 33/1 | 291 | 8 | ||||
| NH | 33/1 and bigger | 396 | 1 | ||||
| Flat | Odds-on | 60 | 47 | ||||
| Flat | Evens to 15/8 | 149 | 60 | ||||
| Flat | 2/1 to 7/2 | 449 | 95 | ||||
| Flat | 4/1 to 15/2 | 865 | 98 | ||||
| Flat | 8/1 to 16/1 | 925 | 60 | ||||
| Flat | 16/1 to 33/1 | 742 | 29 | ||||
| Flat | 33/1 and bigger | 909 | 8 |
SP bands in decimal odds. Share of winners = band wins as % of all winners in that code and window. This month rates shown from 30 runs. Source: RaceWatch results database.
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Fresh v fit: days since last run
| NH | Debut | 142 | 15 | ||||
| NH | 1 to 14 days | 299 | 36 | ||||
| NH | 15 to 30 days | 465 | 57 | ||||
| NH | 31 to 60 days | 298 | 39 | ||||
| NH | 61 to 120 days | 151 | 20 | ||||
| NH | 121 to 365 days | 519 | 66 | ||||
| NH | Over a year | 33 | 0 | ||||
| Flat | Debut | 274 | 17 | ||||
| Flat | 1 to 14 days | 940 | 91 | ||||
| Flat | 15 to 30 days | 1,760 | 194 | ||||
| Flat | 31 to 60 days | 717 | 60 | ||||
| Flat | 61 to 120 days | 248 | 20 | ||||
| Flat | 121 to 365 days | 133 | 10 | ||||
| Flat | Over a year | 27 | 5 |
Days since the horse's previous run in any code. Debut = first run in the database. This month rates shown from 30 runs. Source: RaceWatch results database.
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Winners at 20/1 or bigger in October 2026
| 12 Oct 26 | 100/1 | 185.27 | Kempton (AW) | Racing TV EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (Div II) | Henry Candy | Nicola Currie | 11 | Flat | |
| 9 Oct 26 | 66/1 | 113.03 | Kempton (AW) | Darley EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes | Jonathan Portman | Rob Hornby | 7 | Flat | |
| 9 Oct 26 | 50/1 | 95.00 | Dundalk (AW) (IRE) | Irish EBF Median Sires Series Fillies Maiden | Robson De Aguiar | Patrick McGettigan | 14 | Flat | |
| 13 Oct 26 | 40/1 | 48.60 | Leicester | Christmas Parties At Leicester Racecourse Book Now Handicap Stakes | T. J. Kent | Tom Marquand | 9 | Flat | |
| 9 Oct 26 | 40/1 | 85.00 | Newmarket | Godolphin Lifetime Care Oh So Sharp Stakes (Group 3) | Rod Millman | Saffie Osborne | 14 | Flat | |
| 12 Oct 26 | 33/1 | 65.00 | Yarmouth | Pro Shop At Caister Golf Club Handicap Stakes | David Menuisier | Jack Dace | 11 | Flat | |
| 10 Oct 26 | 33/1 | 60.00 | Chepstow | Dragonbet Best Odds Guaranteed Juvenile Hurdle Race | Dan Skelton | Charlie Todd | 11 | NH | |
| 9 Oct 26 | 33/1 | 54.40 | Kempton (AW) | Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap Stakes | Julia & Shelley Birkett | Dylan Hogan | 13 | Flat | |
| 1 Oct 26 | 33/1 | 41.67 | Salisbury | Barbara Snow 60th Birthday Celebration Handicap Stakes (Div II) | Eve Johnson Houghton | Oliver Carmichael | 11 | Flat | |
| 14 Oct 26 | Manu Reva (FR) | 28/1 | 41.33 | Punchestown (IRE) | Matchbook €50,000 Graduation Series Flat Race | Liz Doyle | Mr B T Stone | 11 | NH |
| 13 Oct 26 | 28/1 | 35.43 | Leicester | Happy 80th Reg Ling Handicap Stakes | Tony Carroll | Jack Doughty | 17 | Flat | |
| 10 Oct 26 | 28/1 | 36.91 | York | Sky Bet For The Fans Handicap Stakes | Hugo Palmer | David Probert | 18 | Flat | |
| 9 Oct 26 | 28/1 | 53.65 | Dundalk (AW) (IRE) | Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap (Div I) | Keith Henry Clarke | Rory Cleary | 14 | Flat | |
| 6 Oct 26 | 28/1 | 48.44 | Huntingdon | Advertise At Huntingdon Racecourse In 2026/2027 "Junior" National Hunt Flat Race | Ivan Furtado | William Shanahan | 8 | NH | |
| 15 Oct 26 | 25/1 | - | Curragh (IRE) | October Racing With 1xBet.ie Apprentice Handicap | Miss Susan A Finn | Jimmy Dalton | 17 | Flat | |
| 15 Oct 26 | Even Par (IRE) | 25/1 | - | Curragh (IRE) | Irish EBF Median Sires Series Maiden | Gavin Cromwell | Jack Kearney | 15 | Flat |
| 11 Oct 26 | 25/1 | 34.64 | Naas (IRE) | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Bluebell Stakes (Listed) | Joseph Patrick O'Brien | Jamie Powell | 14 | Flat | |
| 12 Oct 26 | 22/1 | 27.14 | Newcastle (AW) | Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Fillies' Handicap Stakes | Katie Scott | Jason Hart | 11 | Flat | |
| 11 Oct 26 | 22/1 | 29.00 | Goodwood | Alderbrook Handicap Stakes (For Professional Jump Jockeys) | Lydia Richards | Charlie Deutsch | 12 | Flat | |
| 10 Oct 26 | 22/1 | 34.00 | Chepstow | Dragonbet John Ayres Memorial Handicap Hurdle Race | Alastair Ralph | Ciaran Gethings | 17 | NH | |
| 7 Oct 26 | 22/1 | 30.00 | Sedgefield | Mowden Park Rfc Maiden Hurdle Race | Mickey Bowen | Shane Fenelon | 9 | NH | |
| 6 Oct 26 | 22/1 | 24.39 | Leicester | Mick & Linda New Inn Enderby Cheers Nursery Handicap Stakes | Andrew Balding | Jason Watson | 13 | Flat | |
| 5 Oct 26 | 22/1 | 35.31 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Race & Rest - Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap Stakes | David O'Meara | Sean Levey | 11 | Flat | |
| 2 Oct 26 | 22/1 | 42.00 | Dundalk (AW) (IRE) | BAR 1 Betting 'Best Odds Guaranteed Overnight' Maiden | Joseph Patrick O'Brien | J M Sheridan | 13 | Flat | |
| 2 Oct 26 | 22/1 | 23.16 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Franklin Hodge Handicap Stakes (Div II) | Denis Coakley | Rob Hornby | 10 | Flat | |
| 1 Oct 26 | 22/1 | 23.69 | Nottingham | Hospitality At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap Stakes | Joey Ramsden | Taryn Langley | 14 | Flat | |
| 10 Oct 26 | 20/1 | 28.91 | Naas (IRE) | Irish EBF Maiden | J S Bolger | Andrew Slattery | 18 | Flat | |
| 5 Oct 26 | 20/1 | 24.23 | Killarney (IRE) | Gleneagle Killarney Median Auction Maiden | Noel Meade | Siobhan Rutledge | 9 | Flat | |
| 3 Oct 26 | 20/1 | 30.00 | Redcar | Watch Race Replays On Racingtv.com Handicap Stakes | Paul Midgley | James Sullivan | 13 | Flat | |
| 3 Oct 26 | 20/1 | 24.87 | Newmarket | Hkjc World Pool Handicap Stakes | Lucy Wadham | Jack Mitchell | 8 | Flat | |
| 1 Oct 26 | 20/1 | 29.20 | Salisbury | Barbara Snow 60th Birthday Celebration Handicap Stakes (Div I) | Jim Boyle | Pat Cosgrave | 12 | Flat |
Biggest SP first, top 50. Source: RaceWatch results database.
Courses in October: this year v the last five
| Kempton (AW) | Flat | 44 | 9.80 | 10.60 | 47 | 278 | ||
| Southwell (AW) | Flat | 43 | 10.00 | 9.60 | 45 | 173 | ||
| Wolverhampton (AW) | Flat | 27 | 8.80 | 9.70 | 28 | 326 | ||
| Newcastle (AW) | Flat | 26 | 9.70 | 9.70 | 29 | 304 | ||
| Nottingham | Flat | 23 | 9.60 | 9.20 | 25 | 135 | ||
| Chepstow | NH | 22 | 11.00 | 9.50 | 23 | 118 | ||
| Newmarket | Flat | 22 | 9.40 | 10.50 | 22 | 183 | ||
| Curragh (IRE) | Flat | 16 | 14.60 | 15.70 | 18 | 124 | ||
| Dundalk (AW) (IRE) | Flat | 16 | 10.80 | 12.30 | 16 | 193 | ||
| Gowran Park (IRE) | NH | 16 | 10.30 | 11.30 | 17 | 54 | ||
| Punchestown (IRE) | NH | 16 | 10.50 | 11.10 | 19 | 71 | ||
| Brighton | Flat | 15 | 9.90 | 9.10 | 20 | 74 | ||
| Leicester | Flat | 15 | 10.50 | 9.20 | 19 | 104 | ||
| Naas (IRE) | Flat | 15 | 12.10 | 13.00 | 20 | 69 | ||
| Worcester | NH | 15 | 8.10 | 9.20 | 15 | 65 | ||
| Fairyhouse (IRE) | NH | 14 | 10.50 | 10.70 | 17 | 49 | ||
| Fontwell | NH | 14 | 6.70 | 7.00 | 15 | 83 | ||
| Hexham | NH | 14 | 6.10 | 7.50 | 15 | 63 | ||
| Yarmouth | Flat | 14 | 9.00 | 9.80 | 14 | 82 | ||
| York | Flat | 14 | 13.70 | 13.10 | 16 | 70 | ||
| Southwell | NH | 13 | 5.40 | 7.40 | 14 | 28 | ||
| Ascot | Flat | 12 | 10.80 | 11.40 | 12 | 85 | ||
| Bath | Flat | 9 | 10.00 | 9.90 | 9 | 84 | ||
| Bellewstown (IRE) | Flat | 8 | 7.30 | 9.70 | 9 | 31 | ||
| Cork (IRE) | NH | 8 | 7.90 | 10.20 | 8 | 45 | ||
| Killarney (IRE) | Flat | 8 | 10.00 | 10.50 | 9 | 36 | ||
| Navan (IRE) | Flat | 8 | 14.50 | 14.90 | 12 | 79 | ||
| Perth | NH | 8 | 6.90 | 8.10 | 8 | 8 | ||
| Pontefract | Flat | 8 | 9.90 | 9.80 | 10 | 69 | ||
| Redcar | Flat | 8 | 10.30 | 10.30 | 8 | 109 | ||
| Roscommon (IRE) | Flat | 8 | 12.50 | 11.00 | 9 | 15 | ||
| Salisbury | Flat | 8 | 11.00 | 9.00 | 8 | 22 | ||
| Thurles (IRE) | Flat | 8 | 11.50 | 11.00 | 13 | 35 | ||
| Uttoxeter | NH | 8 | 6.80 | 8.60 | 8 | 90 | ||
| Ayr | Flat | 7 | 9.70 | 9.30 | 8 | 52 | ||
| Clonmel (IRE) | NH | 7 | 12.00 | 10.60 | 8 | 49 | ||
| Downpatrick (IRE) | NH | 7 | 9.10 | 8.90 | 8 | 35 | ||
| Ffos Las | NH | 7 | 6.90 | 8.50 | 7 | 58 | ||
| Galway (IRE) | NH | 7 | 10.30 | 10.20 | 8 | 111 | ||
| Goodwood | Flat | 7 | 10.00 | 9.60 | 8 | 35 | ||
| Killarney (IRE) | NH | 7 | 10.40 | 9.40 | 8 | 37 | ||
| Musselburgh | Flat | 7 | 8.70 | 8.80 | 9 | 52 | ||
| Tramore (IRE) | NH | 7 | 8.10 | 9.60 | 7 | 35 | ||
| Wetherby | NH | 7 | 5.30 | 7.00 | 7 | 70 | ||
| Hereford | NH | 6 | 6.00 | 7.40 | 6 | 50 | ||
| Huntingdon | NH | 6 | 5.70 | 7.20 | 8 | 65 | ||
| Market Rasen | NH | 6 | 5.30 | 7.20 | 6 | 28 | ||
| Sedgefield | NH | 6 | 6.70 | 7.50 | 6 | 81 | ||
| Stratford | NH | 6 | 6.20 | 8.30 | 7 | 92 |
Courses with 30+ runners this month, most races first. Source: RaceWatch results database.
This month's patterns on today's cards
Members see today's runners on the racecard with RWS scores, days since last run and market moves across 20+ bookmakers, so this month's patterns can be checked race by race.
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How often are favourites winning this month?
The week-by-week table shows favourite runs, Win %
Are big-priced winners more common than usual?
Public racing records and results from Britain and Ireland.
Are fresh horses or fit horses winning this month?
Public racing records and results from Britain and Ireland.
Which courses are racing this month?
The course table lists every track racing this month with races, average field size and favourite Win %, next to its figures for the same month over five years.
Questions people ask
When does This month in numbers roll over?
The page switches to the new month on the 1st, starting again from zero races. Until then each racing day's results are added every morning.
Why compare with the last five years?
Five years gives a large enough sample for each month while keeping the comparison recent. The past columns show the same calendar month only, so seasonal patterns are matched.
Does the page cover NH and Flat racing?
Both codes are covered, with a code column on each table. The summary table shows NH and Flat separately for this month and the five-year window.
What counts as a big-priced winner?
Any winner returned at an SP of 20/1 or bigger is listed in the big winners table. Betfair SP is shown next to SP where it is available.
Why can early-month figures swing so much?
In the first week only a few hundred races have been run, so one good or bad day moves the Win % sharply. The runs columns show the sample behind every figure.
More free data
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