Home / Stats & Records / Favourite win rate
LiveFree dataUpdated after every racing day

Favourite win percentage in horse racing

How often favourites win in Britain and Ireland, broken down by price, race type, going, field size, class and country over ten seasons. This season's figures update after every racing day.

8449 races so far in the 2026/27 jumps and 2026 Flat seasons · Results to 15 October 2026 · Refreshed 16 October 2026
33.4%
Favourite win rate, ten seasons
59.4%
Odds-on favourites
127,000
Races analysed
33.4%

Over ten seasons to 2025, favourites won 33.4% of 137,191 favourite runs in British and Irish races, and odds-on favourites won 59.4%.Sample: 127,000 races · Window: Jumps 2016/17 to 2025/26; Flat 2016 to 2025 · Source: RaceWatch results database, Industry SP

Go deeper before the next race.

Open every racecard in full and get your research done before they go to post.

  • 14racecard tabs per race
  • 20+bookmaker prices side by side
  • Trackeralerts when your horses are declared

30-day free trial

£0today

Start my 30-day free trial

By continuing you agree to our Terms and Intellectual Property and Acceptable Use policy.

£0 today. Card on step 2. £24.99 from day 31.Cancel any time.

Favourite win % by race type, ten seasons
0%10%20%30%40%ChaseHurdleNH FlatFlat AWFlat TurfFavourite win % Chase: 33.6%33.6%Favourite win % Hurdle: 36.4%36.4%Favourite win % NH Flat: 37.6%37.6%Favourite win % Flat AW: 32.4%32.4%Favourite win % Flat Turf: 31.7%31.7%

Fav win % by Race type

Favourite win rate by cut

Chase33.6%19,53317,9866,567Race typeJumps-
Hurdle36.4%30,68828,61511,156Race typeJumps-
NH Flat37.6%4,2314,0231,591Race typeJumps-
Heavy36.8%5,4455,1082,005GoingJumps-
All-weather Standard or Slow33.7%19017864GoingJumps-
Firm or Good to Firm38.8%1,2141,133471GoingJumps-
Good or Good to Yielding35.1%22,45520,8557,888GoingJumps-
Good to Soft or Yielding35.3%12,15611,2924,287GoingJumps-
Soft or Soft to Heavy35.4%12,99212,0584,599GoingJumps-
11 to 14 runners30.1%12,34911,3173,721Field sizeJumps-
15 or more runners27.6%5,9195,3881,631Field sizeJumps-
2 to 6 runners45.1%14,51513,8526,544Field sizeJumps-
7 to 10 runners34.2%21,66920,0677,418Field sizeJumps-
Class 133.4%2,1151,965706Class (GB)Jumps-
Class 230.3%2,6162,382793Class (GB)Jumps-
Class 336.1%6,7786,2662,444Class (GB)Jumps-
Class 439.1%16,84715,8296,580Class (GB)Jumps-
Class 532.5%10,2189,4633,322Class (GB)Jumps-
Class 640.7%543511221Class (GB)Jumps-
Great Britain36.0%39,11736,41614,066CountryJumps-
Ireland34.2%15,33514,2085,248CountryJumps-
Flat AW32.4%31,48929,23110,218Race typeFlat-
Flat Turf31.7%51,24947,14416,263Race typeFlat-
Heavy29.4%2,2922,101673GoingFlat-
All-weather Standard or Slow32.4%31,48929,23110,218GoingFlat-
Firm or Good to Firm33.6%15,44814,3055,194GoingFlat-
Good or Good to Yielding31.2%17,51216,1235,463GoingFlat-
Good to Soft or Yielding30.8%8,3407,6412,572GoingFlat-
Soft or Soft to Heavy30.8%7,6576,9742,361GoingFlat-
11 to 14 runners27.0%24,98022,7226,744Field sizeFlat-
15 or more runners21.2%5,4894,8971,162Field sizeFlat-
2 to 6 runners42.2%14,62113,9196,166Field sizeFlat-
7 to 10 runners33.0%37,64934,83812,409Field sizeFlat-
Class 135.1%3,0262,8461,063Class (GB)Flat-
Class 228.6%4,8374,3771,385Class (GB)Flat-
Class 330.6%5,2974,8871,622Class (GB)Flat-
Class 433.2%13,94012,9414,633Class (GB)Flat-
Class 535.7%22,61521,0878,068Class (GB)Flat-
Class 629.0%18,15816,6705,263Class (GB)Flat-
Class 727.5%20417856Class (GB)Flat-
Great Britain32.4%68,07762,98622,090CountryFlat-
Ireland29.9%14,66213,3904,391CountryFlat-

British and Irish races, jumps 2016/17 to 2025/26 and Flat 2016 to 2025. Favourite = lowest Industry SP, joint favourites all count. Class applies to British races only. Groups under 100 favourite runs left out.

Additional research statistics and historical returns are in the RaceWatch app.

Go deeper before the next race.

Open every racecard in full and get your research done before they go to post.

  • 14racecard tabs per race
  • 20+bookmaker prices side by side
  • Trackeralerts when your horses are declared

30-day free trial

£0today

Start my 30-day free trial

By continuing you agree to our Terms and Intellectual Property and Acceptable Use policy.

£0 today. Card on step 2. £24.99 from day 31.Cancel any time.

Odds-on v odds-against favourites

Odds-onJumps60.5%10,2786,218
Evens or biggerJumps29.6%44,17413,096
Odds-onFlat58.3%10,2135,956
Evens or biggerFlat28.3%72,52620,525

Odds-on = Industry SP shorter than evens. Same ten-season window.

Additional research statistics and historical returns are in the RaceWatch app.

Go deeper before the next race.

Open every racecard in full and get your research done before they go to post.

  • 14racecard tabs per race
  • 20+bookmaker prices side by side
  • Trackeralerts when your horses are declared

30-day free trial

£0today

Start my 30-day free trial

By continuing you agree to our Terms and Intellectual Property and Acceptable Use policy.

£0 today. Card on step 2. £24.99 from day 31.Cancel any time.

This season so far

Jumps33.2%1,6141,7645852026/27 jumps season
Flat33.3%6,8357,4482,4832026 Flat season

Season to the last results date.

Additional research statistics and historical returns are in the RaceWatch app.

Go deeper before the next race.

Open every racecard in full and get your research done before they go to post.

  • 14racecard tabs per race
  • 20+bookmaker prices side by side
  • Trackeralerts when your horses are declared

30-day free trial

£0today

Start my 30-day free trial

By continuing you agree to our Terms and Intellectual Property and Acceptable Use policy.

£0 today. Card on step 2. £24.99 from day 31.Cancel any time.

Today's favourites, live

Members see market moves across 20+ bookmakers on every favourite in today's racecards, with RWS scores and Telegram alert channels.

Start free trial

By continuing you agree to our Terms and Intellectual Property and Acceptable Use policy.

What is the overall favourite win rate?

British and Irish favourites won 33.4% of their runs over ten seasons to 2025 Jumps favourites won 35.5% and Flat favourites 32%.

How often do odds-on favourites win?

Odds-on favourites won 59.4% of 20,491 runs over ten seasons. The odds-on table sets them against odds-against favourites for jumps and Flat.

Which race type has the most reliable favourites?

Public racing records and results from Britain and Ireland.

Do going, field size and class change the favourite's chance?

The same table cuts favourites by going, field size band, class and country, so each factor can be compared on the same basis.

How are favourites doing this season?

The this-season table shows jumps and Flat favourites in the current seasons, updated after every racing day, with profit or loss to Industry SP and Betfair SP.

Questions people ask

What percentage of horse racing favourites win?

Over ten seasons to 2025, British and Irish favourites won 33.4% of their runs. Jumps favourites won 35.5% and Flat favourites 32%.

How often does an odds-on favourite win?

Odds-on favourites won 59.4% of 20,491 runs in Britain and Ireland over ten seasons. That still means roughly two in five were beaten.

Do joint favourites count?

Yes, every joint favourite is counted as a favourite run. For that reason the share of races won by a favourite, 36.1%, is a little higher than the favourite strike rate.

How often is the favourite win rate page updated?

The ten-season figures are fixed at jumps 2016/17 to 2025/26 and Flat 2016 to 2025. The this-season table updates after every racing day.

More free data

Favourites by monthThe favourite record through the yearFavourites by field sizeSmall fields against big fieldsHandicap favouritesHandicaps against non-handicapsFavourites toolToday's favourites in contextRacing reportsMonthly reports and the annual review

Go deeper before the next race.

Open every racecard in full and get your research done before they go to post.

  • 14racecard tabs per race
  • 20+bookmaker prices side by side
  • Trackeralerts when your horses are declared

30-day free trial

£0today

Start my 30-day free trial

By continuing you agree to our Terms and Intellectual Property and Acceptable Use policy.

£0 today. Card on step 2. £24.99 from day 31.Cancel any time.

Updated