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Win rate by race class

The current-season columns update after every racing day.

2026/27 jumps and 2026 Flat season-to-date columns update daily · Results to 15 October 2026 · Refreshed 16 October 2026
10.6%
Class 1 jumps win %
12.2%
Class 5 jumps win %
27,944
British jumps runs, 2025/26
10.6%

In the 2025/26 British jumps season, Class 1 races produced a strike rate of 10.6% against 12.2% in Class 5.Sample: 27,944 British jumps runs · Window: 2025/26 jumps season, with 2016/17 to 2025/26 comparison · Source: RaceWatch results database (GB and IRE), Industry SP

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Win rate by class, British jumps

Class 110.6%34.3%1,79719110.4%33.4%18,8578.2%0.0%61-
Class 211.2%31.2%2,19624611.4%30.3%20,93611.1%19.4%316-
Class 314.8%35.8%3,44450814.1%36.1%44,35417.9%39.8%502-
Class 413.1%41.6%11,0241,44412.4%39.0%127,32614.8%38.3%2,509-
Class 512.2%33.0%9,4601,15310.8%32.5%88,41012.6%30.2%2,492-
Class 613.0%0.0%23312.2%39.9%4,38214.3%33.3%21Under 50 runs

British races only; Irish races are not graded by class number. Ten seasons = 2016/17 to 2025/26. Favourite = lowest Industry SP, joint favourites all count. Source: RaceWatch results database.

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Win rate by class, British Flat

Class 111.4%36.6%2,47328311.3%35.1%25,18511.3%36.9%1,875-
Class 29.3%32.6%5,0864729.6%28.6%45,8668.8%31.6%3,496-
Class 310.9%32.0%3,58039112.0%30.6%40,90712.0%38.1%3,634-
Class 411.6%33.1%11,6921,35711.6%33.2%111,28711.9%36.6%10,315-
Class 511.9%36.3%18,2372,17611.4%35.7%184,24212.0%31.0%9,009-
Class 611.0%30.2%17,0431,87110.1%29.0%165,36411.0%31.9%12,385-
Class 7--008.5%27.5%2,098--0Under 50 runs

British Flat, turf and all-weather.

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Favourite win rate by class, British racing, ten seasons
FlatNH
0%10%20%30%40%Class 1Class 2Class 3Class 4Class 5Class 6Class 7Flat Class 1: 35.1%35.1%Flat Class 2: 28.6%28.6%Flat Class 3: 30.6%30.6%Flat Class 4: 33.2%33.2%Flat Class 5: 35.7%35.7%Flat Class 6: 29%29%Flat Class 7: 27.5%27.5%NH Class 1: 33.4%33.4%NH Class 2: 30.3%30.3%NH Class 3: 36.1%36.1%NH Class 4: 39%39%NH Class 5: 32.5%32.5%NH Class 6: 39.9%39.9%

Favourite win % by Class

Class droppers and risers, ten seasons

NHDown two or more classes19.3%10,8772,097
NHDown one class12.1%46,7785,648
NHSame class12.1%153,60118,651
NHUp one class11.6%48,8605,670
NHUp two or more classes8.9%16,1601,433
FlatDown two or more classes13.9%23,5613,265
FlatDown one class11.4%98,37511,216
FlatSame class11.1%302,69333,528
FlatUp one class10.8%80,4798,710
FlatUp two or more classes10.2%22,3742,290

British runs where both today's race and the previous run carried a class number. Down = a higher class number than last time.

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How Irish races fit in, ten seasons

NHPattern and Listed races10.7%39.2%1,73616,2081,736
NHHandicaps7.7%22.6%5,20867,9535,216
NHOther races8.9%41.7%7,71986,6377,724
FlatPattern and Listed races11.6%37.9%1,27310,9571,274
FlatHandicaps7.7%22.3%6,74287,6886,754
FlatOther races9.2%38.3%4,91853,7154,924

Irish races grouped by type instead of class. Pattern includes Grade, Group and Listed races.

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Class moves on today's card

Members see each runner's class history on the racecard, with RWS scores, Angles and FormLines+ for its recent races.

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How do jumps race classes compare?

Public racing records and results from Britain and Ireland.

How do Flat race classes compare?

Public racing records and results from Britain and Ireland.

Do favourites win more often in higher or lower classes?

Favourite strike rate is shown for each class, since market confidence and field size change with class.

Do class droppers win more often than class risers?

Public racing records and results from Britain and Ireland.

How do Irish races fit into the class system?

Public racing records and results from Britain and Ireland.

Questions people ask

Which class of race in Britain has the most predictable results?

Favourite strike rate is the simplest guide, and the class tables show it for every class, jumps and Flat. In 2025/26, Class 1 jumps races produced a strike rate of 10.6%.

Do favourites win more often in Class 1 races or lower grades?

The favourite strike rate column answers this for each class and each window. Field size matters too, since lower-class races often have bigger fields.

How are Irish races compared when they are not classified the same way?

Irish races are grouped into pattern and listed races, handicaps and other races.

Is a horse dropping two classes more likely to win?

Compare it with the same class row to see the effect of the drop.

More free data

Win rate by rating bandHandicap win rate by ratingWin rate by ageStrike rate by ageFavourite win rateHow often favourites winFavourites by field sizeFavourite win rate by runnersRacing reportsMonthly reports and the annual review

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