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Win rate by age: jumps and Flat

The current-season columns update after every racing day.

2026/27 jumps and 2026 Flat season-to-date columns update daily · Results to 16 October 2026 · Refreshed 17 October 2026
13.6%
Best jumps age win %
9,078
Runs by that age
45,206
Jumps runs in 2025/26
13.6%

In the 2025/26 British and Irish jumps season, runners aged 6 had the highest strike rate of any age at 13.6%, from 9,078 runs.Sample: 45,206 jumps runs · Window: 2025/26 jumps season, with 2016/17 to 2025/26 comparison · Source: RaceWatch results database (GB and IRE), Industry SP

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Win rate by age, jumps, 2025/26

311.6%937109-
49.2%5,309489-
511.4%9,4601,082-
613.6%9,0781,233-
712.4%6,969862-
89.9%5,432538-
99.1%3,211291-
109.7%1,790173-
119.1%85678-
12+6.2%43527-

All British and Irish jumps races, 27 April 2025 to 25 April 2026 in Britain and 4 May 2025 to 2 May 2026 in Ireland. Ages under 50 runs flagged. Source: RaceWatch results database.

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Win rate by age and race type, jumps

Chase417.5%81116.0%5026.5%34-8142
Chase514.0%7,13316.5%60711.9%244-100998
Chase616.3%23,30817.1%2,26117.2%723-3863,796
Chase714.6%32,55214.2%3,05915.4%912-4344,754
Chase812.5%28,85911.5%2,76814.8%701-3193,598
Chase910.6%21,06810.7%1,7899.8%561-1912,242
Chase109.6%13,98611.7%1,12511.3%291-1321,347
Chase118.4%7,7209.7%5994.2%144-58646
Chase12+7.2%5,7155.9%2718.2%110-16410
Hurdle311.2%7,45211.8%79013.0%230-93838
Hurdle48.3%36,2588.5%3,6759.5%1,316-3132,994
Hurdle510.5%75,15811.1%7,41210.7%2,822-8207,922
Hurdle611.5%70,13012.5%6,50610.4%2,288-8138,093
Hurdle79.9%42,86911.0%3,84611.0%1,349-4234,265
Hurdle88.6%25,6778.2%2,6519.9%900-2182,202
Hurdle97.9%15,4997.1%1,4157.2%622-1001,218
Hurdle107.4%8,2306.2%6638.9%302-41611
Hurdle116.6%3,9107.8%2565.7%88-20258
Hurdle12+5.3%2,5366.7%1644.0%50-11134
NH Flat28.1%211-0-0Under 50 runs017
NH Flat310.2%1,63210.8%13913.3%15-15167
NH Flat410.0%17,53810.6%1,58411.0%610-1681,748
NH Flat511.2%17,98411.2%1,44111.1%486-1622,022
NH Flat68.4%5,65010.9%3118.1%135-34475
NH Flat77.6%1,0037.8%643.2%31-576
NH Flat810.8%2407.7%139.1%11Under 50 runs126

Ten seasons = 2016/17 to 2025/26, each on the official British and Irish dates. NH Flat = bumpers. Ages with under 100 runs over ten seasons omitted.

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Win rate by age, Flat

210.8%126,35913,65411.6%11,98611.6%9,124
311.4%231,15526,37711.2%23,27111.7%19,386
410.6%142,87215,11110.9%14,13410.4%13,054
510.5%87,0629,10110.6%9,28611.4%7,725
69.4%55,9045,2349.6%5,6919.0%5,074
78.3%37,6613,1409.3%4,7009.2%3,276
8+7.3%46,2913,3788.2%4,6528.5%4,355

British and Irish Flat, turf and all-weather.

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Win rate by age, chasers against hurdlers, ten seasons
ChaseHurdle
0%10%20%30%40%456789101112+Chase 4: 17.5%Chase 5: 14%Chase 6: 16.3%Chase 7: 14.6%Chase 8: 12.5%Chase 9: 10.6%Chase 10: 9.6%Chase 11: 8.4%Chase 12+: 7.2%7.2%Hurdle 4: 8.3%Hurdle 5: 10.5%Hurdle 6: 11.5%Hurdle 7: 9.9%Hurdle 8: 8.6%Hurdle 9: 7.9%Hurdle 10: 7.4%Hurdle 11: 6.6%Hurdle 12+: 5.3%5.3%

Win % by Age

Ages in the biggest races, 2016 to 2025

NH (Grade 1)49.6%52150-
NH (Grade 1)512.9%922119-
NH (Grade 1)613.6%1,468199-
NH (Grade 1)715.2%1,208184-
NH (Grade 1)811.4%77288-
NH (Grade 1)99.7%49548-
NH (Grade 1)10+8.1%38531-
Flat (Group 1)211.9%67080-
Flat (Group 1)310.1%2,190222-
Flat (Group 1)49.5%1,03198-
Flat (Group 1)510.1%55656-
Flat (Group 1)6+6.9%46232-

Grade 1 jumps races 2016/17 to 2025/26 and Group 1 Flat races 2016 to 2025. Minimum 30 runs.

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Every runner's age and profile

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How does win rate change with age across all jumps runners?

Strike rate by age is shown for every British and Irish jumps runner in 2025/26, with runs

At what age do chasers and hurdlers win most often?

Public racing records and results from Britain and Ireland.

How does win rate by age look on the Flat?

Flat strike rate by age covers 2016 to 2025, from two-year-olds to older horses, with 2025 and the current season beside it.

Which ages does the market overrate?

Public racing records and results from Britain and Ireland.

Which ages win the biggest races?

Grade 1 and Group 1 runners are split by age to show the typical age of top-level winners over ten seasons.

Questions people ask

Which age wins most often over jumps?

In the 2025/26 jumps season, runners aged 6 had the highest strike rate at 13.6%. The race type table splits that into chases, hurdles and bumpers.

How does win rate by age compare on the Flat and over jumps?

Flat horses tend to peak earlier, and the Flat table runs from two-year-olds upwards. Jumps runners reach their best strike rates later, especially over fences.

Should I be wary of a ten-year-old in a big-field handicap chase?

Read the ten-year-old row with the runs figure, since older groups have smaller samples.

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