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Summer v winter jumps trainers

Each leading jumps yard's strike rate from May to October against November to April, with the swing in points, plus the 2026/27 split so far. The live table updates after every racing day.

14605 jumps runs so far in 2026/27 · Results to 16 October 2026 · Refreshed 17 October 2026
18.5 pts
Widest half-season swing
11.2%
All yards, May to Oct
11.2%
All yards, Nov to Apr
14,605
Jumps runs in 2026/27
18.5 pts

The widest half-season swing among leading yards in 2025/26 belonged to Mickey Bowen, whose strike rate moved 18.5 points between May to October (23.9%) and November to April (5.4%), British and Irish jumps.Sample: 44,967 runs · Window: 2025/26 jumps season · Source: RaceWatch results database, British and Irish jumps

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Win % by half, top 15 yards 2025/26
May to OctNov to Apr
Willie Mullins25.6%Gordon Elliott14.5%Dan Skelton17.9%Olly Murphy25.4%Paul Nicholls32.9%Ben Pauling17.3%Nicky Henderson22.4%Jamie Snowden27.5%Henry de Bromhead21.6%James Owen29.4%Fergal O'Brien18.4%Gavin Cromwell12.3%Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies21.6%Neil Mulholland9.4%Gary & Josh Moore21.4%

Win %

Summer v winter trainers, 2025/26

Willie Mullins+6.125.6%19.5%281708210-
Gordon Elliott-0.914.5%15.4%502838202-
Dan Skelton-1.317.9%19.2%262764194-
Olly Murphy+6.925.4%18.5%205497144-
Paul Nicholls+16.032.9%16.9%8539194-
Ben Pauling-2.917.3%20.2%11036693-
Nicky Henderson-1.522.4%23.9%5831087-
Jamie Snowden+4.227.5%23.3%12022786-
Henry de Bromhead+11.521.6%10.1%23235686-
James Owen+14.629.4%14.8%19417683-
Fergal O'Brien+4.918.4%13.5%17937083-
Gavin Cromwell+5.612.3%6.7%31648972-
Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies+8.421.6%13.2%11628162-
Neil Mulholland-4.49.4%13.8%16032560-
Gary & Josh Moore+6.821.4%14.6%7028857-
Joe Tizzard+0.515.5%15.0%5831356-
Donald McCain-2.510.9%13.4%13730656-
Harry Derham+8.026.7%18.7%4522554Under 50 runs in one half
Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore+2.612.5%9.9%10440553-
Anthony Honeyball+7.923.7%15.8%7621552-
Mickey Bowen+18.523.9%5.4%18014951-
Jonjo & A.J. O'Neill-3.58.5%12.0%14230949-
Chris Gordon+7.627.1%19.5%4816445Under 50 runs in one half
Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero+4.314.2%9.9%12027444-
Alan King+6.823.0%16.2%6116741-
Warren Greatrex+17.132.6%15.5%4316840Under 50 runs in one half
Evan Williams+5.112.9%7.8%14727040-
Nicky Richards-23.10.0%23.1%4316939Under 50 runs in one half
Joel Parkinson & Sue Smith-5.513.3%18.8%3018639Under 50 runs in one half
Emma Lavelle+3.017.4%14.4%6918038-
Philip Hobbs & Johnson White+0.514.3%13.8%4922438Under 50 runs in one half
Tom Lacey+14.930.0%15.1%6011936-
P J Rothwell+0.86.1%5.3%29433736-
Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls-7.812.5%20.3%5613835-
Jennie Candlish+1.317.0%15.7%9411534-
Sam England+2.517.3%14.8%8112232-
Tom Ellis+1.719.2%17.5%5212031-
Charlie Longsdon+11.421.1%9.7%7614430-
David Pipe-9.14.9%14.0%6119330-
John C McConnell+6.711.4%4.7%20112829-
Joseph Patrick O'Brien+7.721.4%13.7%709528-
Declan Queally+7.318.7%11.4%917926-
Emmet Mullins-0.313.3%13.6%7511826-
C Byrnes-3.110.3%13.4%7812725-
Ian Patrick Donoghue+3.214.1%10.9%7812925-
Paul Nolan+0.510.7%10.2%10313725-
Christian Williams-3.87.6%11.4%10514925-
Harry Fry+6.025.0%19.0%328424Under 50 runs in one half
Stuart Edmunds+3.017.5%14.5%4011724Under 50 runs in one half
Alastair Ralph+6.716.4%9.7%7312424-

British and Irish jumps, 27 April 2025 to 25 April 2026 in Britain and 4 May 2025 to 2 May 2026 in Ireland. Top 50 yards by winners. Swing = May to Oct win % minus Nov to Apr win %. Halves under 50 runs flagged.

Additional research statistics and historical returns are in the RaceWatch app.

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2026/27 half-season split

Dan SkeltonMay to Oct30.2%10635117.9%
Gordon ElliottMay to Oct12.5%5644814.5%
Willie MullinsMay to Oct20.1%5527325.6%
Henry de BromheadMay to Oct17.2%4626721.6%
Olly MurphyMay to Oct22.1%3817225.4%
Mickey BowenMay to Oct18.7%3619323.9%
Jonjo & A.J. O'NeillMay to Oct17.3%261508.5%
Gavin CromwellMay to Oct10.2%2524412.3%
Jamie SnowdenMay to Oct24.0%2410027.5%
James OwenMay to Oct23.3%2410329.4%
Jennie CandlishMay to Oct21.1%2411417.0%
Nigel & Willy Twiston-DaviesMay to Oct17.9%2011221.6%
Micky HammondMay to Oct23.4%1877-
Sam EnglandMay to Oct23.6%177217.3%
John Patrick RyanMay to Oct8.3%17205-
P J RothwellMay to Oct6.4%172676.1%
Fergal O'BrienMay to Oct10.4%1514418.4%
Patrick NevilleMay to Oct27.5%1451-
Ben PaulingMay to Oct16.7%148417.3%
David PipeMay to Oct15.7%14894.9%
Nick ScholfieldMay to Oct13.1%14107-
Ross O'SullivanMay to Oct12.2%14115-
Donald McCainMay to Oct11.4%1412310.9%
Nicky RichardsMay to Oct27.1%13480.0%
Paul NichollsMay to Oct26.5%134932.9%
Declan QueallyMay to Oct22.0%135918.7%
Oliver Greenall & Josh GuerrieroMay to Oct12.4%1310514.2%
Anthony HoneyballMay to Oct22.2%125423.7%
Andrew SlatteryMay to Oct16.4%1273-
David Harry KellyMay to Oct15.8%1276-
Lucinda Russell & Michael ScudamoreMay to Oct10.1%1211912.5%
Adrian KeatleyMay to Oct39.3%1128-
Faye BramleyMay to Oct17.7%1162-
David Killahena & Graeme McPhersonMay to Oct17.7%1162-
Ciaran MurphyMay to Oct14.1%1178-
Neil MulhollandMay to Oct9.9%111119.4%
Stuart EdmundsMay to Oct25.0%104017.5%
C ByrnesMay to Oct14.3%107010.3%
S CurlingMay to Oct14.1%1071-
James MoffattMay to Oct11.8%1085-
Eoin Christopher McCarthyMay to Oct8.9%10112-
Cian CollinsMay to Oct7.6%10131-
John C McConnellMay to Oct5.7%1017611.4%
Tristan DavidsonMay to Oct28.1%932-
Harry DerhamMay to Oct26.5%93426.7%
Tom EllisMay to Oct18.4%94919.2%
Alex HalesMay to Oct18.4%949-
Paul NolanMay to Oct9.5%99510.7%
John Joseph HanlonMay to Oct4.2%9216-
E BolgerMay to Oct15.1%853-

From the start of the 2026/27 season (26 April 2026 in Britain, 3 May 2026 in Ireland) to the last results date, top 50 by winners, min 10 runs.

Additional research statistics and historical returns are in the RaceWatch app.

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Trainer form on today's card

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How does the half-season split work?

Each yard's runs are split into May to October and November to April, strike rate is worked out for both halves, and the swing is the difference in points.

Which jumps trainers do best in the summer?

Summer yards have a clearly higher strike rate from May to October than from November to April, and sort to the top of the swing column.

Which jumps trainers do best in the winter?

Winter yards post a stronger strike rate from November to April, usually because their best horses are aimed at the core season.

Which yards keep the same strike rate all season?

Yards with a swing close to zero win at a similar rate in both halves, which suggests an even spread of horses through the year.

How is the 2026/27 split running so far?

Public racing records and results from Britain and Ireland.

Questions people ask

Which jumps trainers do best in the summer and then fade in the winter?

In 2025/26, Mickey Bowen had the widest swing, from 23.9% in the summer half to 5.4% in the winter half. Sort the table by swing to see the other summer yards.

Why would a yard's strike rate drop after November?

From November the big winter stables bring out their best horses, fields get bigger and ground gets softer. A yard with mainly summer types finds winners harder to come by.

What does a swing of minus 15 points mean on this table?

A swing of minus 15 means the yard's winter strike rate was 15 points higher than its summer figure. The yard is much stronger from November to April.

Should I follow summer jumps yards from May to September and leave them in winter?

The table shows where each yard's winners came from last season, not what will happen next. Use it with the live 2026/27 split to check whether the pattern is repeating.

More free data

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