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October trainer stats: the jumps yards that start fast

Each jumps yard's October strike rate set against its own November to April figure over five Octobers, with a live table for this season. The live table updates after every racing day and switches to October from 1 October.

36 trainers in the live table · Results to 16 October 2026 · Refreshed 17 October 2026
+14.7 pts
Widest October edge
27%
Leader's October win %
12.3%
Leader's Nov to Apr win %
50
Yards on the table
+14.7 pts

Over five Octobers from 2021 to 2025, Alan King won 14.7 points more often in October (27.0%) than in its own November to April runs (12.3%), the widest October edge among yards with 60 or more October runs.Sample: 50 qualifying yards · Window: Octobers 2021 to 2025 · Source: RaceWatch results database, British and Irish jumps

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Widest October edge
Alan King14.7Emmet Mullins11.4Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies10.6Noel Meade9.2Joseph Patrick O'Brien9.1Henry de Bromhead8.6Nigel Twiston-Davies8Kim Bailey8Alex Hales7.9Cian Collins7.5James Owen7.1Anthony Honeyball6.4Philip Hobbs5.8Sheila Lewis5.4Philip Hobbs & Johnson White5.2

Points

October edge table

Alan King+14.727.0%12.3%1111,191
Emmet Mullins+11.424.6%13.2%61372
Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies+10.623.8%13.2%63281
Noel Meade+9.220.0%10.8%80492
Joseph Patrick O'Brien+9.125.8%16.7%62528
Henry de Bromhead+8.621.1%12.5%2461,821
Nigel Twiston-Davies+8.022.8%14.8%2061,232
Kim Bailey+8.022.1%14.1%95601
Alex Hales+7.915.6%7.7%64506
Cian Collins+7.513.0%5.5%77381
James Owen+7.124.7%17.6%85460
Anthony Honeyball+6.422.5%16.1%71977
Philip Hobbs+5.817.8%12.0%73558
Sheila Lewis+5.410.0%4.6%60281
Philip Hobbs & Johnson White+5.220.5%15.3%73691
Harry Fry+5.122.5%17.4%71610
Gavin Cromwell+4.914.9%10.0%3032,012
Eoin Christopher McCarthy+4.99.9%5.0%91342
Peter Fahey+4.710.3%5.6%87340
Olly Murphy+4.725.0%20.3%2041,962
Nicky Richards+4.623.2%18.6%82775
Emma Lavelle+4.518.5%14.0%146904
Gary Hanmer+4.413.4%9.0%67354
Willie Mullins+4.428.0%23.6%1893,370
Milton Harris+4.420.2%15.8%119379
Martin Keighley+3.915.3%11.4%98560
Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore+3.913.8%9.9%65405
Declan Queally+3.815.9%12.1%107406
Paul Nicholls+3.824.7%20.9%2512,260
Paul Nolan+3.712.1%8.4%91677
Liz Doyle+3.69.5%5.9%63306
John C McConnell+3.310.1%6.8%158706
N. W. Alexander+2.814.9%12.1%74912
Seamus Mullins+2.79.4%6.7%96550
Micky Hammond+2.610.7%8.1%841,151
Gary Moore+2.520.0%17.5%1001,035
Dermot A McLoughlin+2.58.0%5.5%88438
Jamie Snowden+2.423.6%21.2%144858
E McNamara+2.310.8%8.5%102306
Noel C. Kelly+2.28.7%6.5%69231
Sam England+2.213.9%11.7%79489
Stuart Coltherd+2.012.0%10.0%75512
Chris Gordon+2.018.7%16.7%134849
Jonjo O'Neill+1.815.5%13.7%1681,027
Neil Mulholland+1.714.2%12.5%2261,314
John Joseph Hanlon+1.64.6%3.0%109503
Ross O'Sullivan+1.58.0%6.5%75445
Gordon Elliott+0.915.5%14.6%5434,016
Charlie Longsdon+0.813.8%13.0%152795
Donald McCain+0.815.6%14.8%2501,827

British and Irish jumps, Octobers 2021 to 2025 against November to April of the 2021/22 to 2025/26 seasons. Min 60 October runs and 200 November to April runs. Top 50 by October edge.

Additional research statistics and historical returns are in the RaceWatch app.

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October 2026, live

Dan Skelton22.6%1984-
Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies34.5%1029+10.6
Gordon Elliott17.3%952+0.9
Henry de Bromhead22.9%835+8.6
Olly Murphy21.9%732+4.7
James Owen33.3%618+7.1
Jamie Snowden26.3%519+2.4
Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore19.2%526+3.9
Gavin Cromwell16.7%530+4.9
Stuart Edmunds26.7%415-
David Harry Kelly25.0%312-
Joe Tizzard15.8%319-
Donald McCain15.0%320+0.8
Willie Mullins14.3%321+4.4
Fergal O'Brien14.3%321-
Jonjo & A.J. O'Neill13.6%322-
Neil Mulholland12.5%324+1.7
Mickey Bowen12.0%325-
Eoin Christopher McCarthy16.7%212+4.9
Charlie Longsdon16.7%212+0.8
Jennie Candlish15.4%213-
Henrietta C Knight15.4%213-
Martin Keighley11.8%217+3.9
Ross O'Sullivan8.3%112+1.5
Dermot A McLoughlin8.3%112+2.5
James Andrew Fahey8.3%112-
Cian Collins7.1%114+7.5
Sam England7.1%114+2.2
Christian Williams7.1%114-
John Patrick Ryan6.3%116-
John Joseph Hanlon5.6%118+1.6
Mrs C. Williams4.8%121-
John C McConnell4.8%121+3.3
P J Rothwell2.8%136-
Nick Scholfield0.0%014-
Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero0.0%015-

Jumps trainers with 12 or more runs in the window, to the last results date.

Additional research statistics and historical returns are in the RaceWatch app.

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Yard form on today's card

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What does the October edge measure?

The October edge is a yard's October strike rate minus its own November to April strike rate, so it shows whether the yard is sharper in October than in the core season.

Which jumps trainers start the season fastest in October?

The October edge table ranks yards with 60 or more October runs across five Octobers by the size of the edge

Is a big October edge a sign of a weak winter?

Not always, because the edge compares two strike rates from the same yard, so a yard can be strong in both halves and still show a positive edge.

Which trainers are going well this season?

Public racing records and results from Britain and Ireland.

Questions people ask

Which jumps trainers have the best record in October compared with the rest of the season?

Alan King has the widest October edge over 2021 to 2025, at +14.7 points. The full table ranks every qualifying yard by the gap between October and November to April.

What is the October edge and how is it worked out?

The October edge takes a yard's October strike rate and subtracts its November to April strike rate over the same five seasons. A positive figure means the yard wins more often in October than in its core season.

Why do you need 60 October runs before a trainer appears?

Small yards can post a big October figure from a handful of winners, which says little about a pattern. The 60-run floor keeps the table to yards with enough October runners to read.

When does the live October table start?

The live panel shows the whole season to date until 1 October, then switches to October runs only. Figures update after each day's racing through the month.

More free data

Slow-starting trainersYards that need time in OctoberOctober jumps statsRaces, favourites and yardsSummer v winter trainersHalf-season strike rate swingsTrainer readinessWhich yards fire freshRacing reportsMonthly reports and the annual review

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