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Win rate by days since last run

How often British and Irish runners win after 1 to 14 days off, a normal gap or a long break, jumps and Flat. Current season columns update after every racing day, so this season's pattern sits beside the ten-season record.

81 runners declared today after 121 or more days off; 2026/27 columns update daily · Results to 16 October 2026 · Refreshed 17 October 2026
11.4%
Within 14 days, jumps 2025/26
8.9%
Off 241+ days, jumps 2025/26
81
Off 120+ days, today
11.4%

In the 2025/26 British and Irish jumps season, runners returning within 14 days won 11.4% and horses off 241 days or more won 8.9%.Sample: 45,206 jumps runs · Window: 2025/26 jumps season, with ten-season and October 2025 cuts · Source: RaceWatch results database (GB and IRE), Industry SP, Betfair SP

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Win rate by days since last run, jumps

1 to 14 days4,65611.4%60,17510.8%1,96412.8%5336,472251-
15 to 28 days13,70911.7%143,11211.4%4,42911.3%1,61016,295499-
29 to 60 days13,23412.2%126,73411.6%4,13212.2%1,61214,721505-
61 to 120 days3,8299.5%39,1839.9%1,3039.6%3643,876125-
121 to 240 days3,86011.0%42,20310.6%1,44810.7%4264,457155-
241 days or more2,6428.9%29,8998.1%6656.2%2362,42041-
Debut3,2768.7%33,7578.8%1,0587.9%2862,95884-

British and Irish jumps. Days since the horse's previous run in any code. Debut = first run in British or Irish racing. Ten seasons = 2016/17 to 2025/26. Source: RaceWatch results database.

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October 2025 days-off bands, jumps

1 to 14 days58010.0%58-
15 to 28 days1,05111.8%124-
29 to 60 days63511.0%70-
61 to 120 days25014.8%37-
121 to 240 days97414.6%142-
241 days or more2229.0%20-
Debut34411.0%38-

British and Irish jumps races run 1 to 31 October 2025. Bands under 50 runs flagged.

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Trainers with horses off 121 days or more, jumps, ten seasons

Willie Mullins1,44228.2%406-
Gordon Elliott1,70317.0%290-
Paul Nicholls1,10520.7%229-
Nicky Henderson99322.3%221-
Dan Skelton1,29117.1%221-
Henry de Bromhead1,01416.5%167-
Olly Murphy77020.0%154-
Fergal O'Brien88815.3%136-
Nigel Twiston-Davies66718.6%124-
Alan King62816.4%103-
Kim Bailey48119.8%95-
Venetia Williams63414.8%94-
Jonjo O'Neill66013.5%89-
Noel Meade44419.8%88-
Jamie Snowden44718.8%84-
Ben Pauling56014.1%79-
Nicky Richards44317.4%77-
Neil Mulholland73210.4%76-
Donald McCain69410.8%75-
Philip Hobbs60912.0%73-
Harry Fry41616.6%69-
Anthony Honeyball35219.3%68-
Joseph Patrick O'Brien40915.6%64-
David Pipe50312.7%64-
Lucinda Russell57910.0%58-
Colin Tizzard45412.3%56-
Charlie Longsdon46111.9%55-
Evan Williams5999.2%55-
Gavin Cromwell50810.6%54-
Emma Lavelle45811.8%54-
Tom George44612.1%54-
Dr Richard Newland36413.5%49-
Tom Lacey29815.8%47-
Gary Moore4998.2%41-
Harry Derham14628.1%41-
Tim Vaughan5337.1%38-
Chris Gordon32511.7%38-
Joe Tizzard25514.5%37-
N. W. Alexander3759.6%36-
Sam Thomas18019.4%35-
Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero21915.5%34-
Warren Greatrex3629.4%34-
Henry Daly29311.6%34-
Sandy Thomson28211.0%31-
Martin Keighley29210.3%30-
Jeremy Scott2909.7%28-
Lucy Wadham19714.2%28-
Michael Scudamore19613.8%27-
Paul Nolan24710.9%27-
Mrs John Harrington2939.2%27-

Top 50 trainers by winners with runners returning from 121 or more days off, 2016/17 to 2025/26, minimum 30 runs.

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Win rate by days since last run, Flat

1 to 14 days17,26511.7%184,54311.5%14,45912.2%21,1552,0191,764-
15 to 28 days25,73811.3%243,96611.0%21,80111.4%26,8352,9152,479-
29 to 60 days14,78910.4%135,31710.4%12,65910.3%14,0411,5371,306-
61 to 120 days4,1279.0%40,6298.6%3,6419.3%3,511373339-
121 to 240 days4,79110.0%48,0669.7%4,55810.6%4,647480482-
241 days or more1,6818.1%20,0498.3%1,5558.4%1,666136130-
Debut5,3298.3%54,7397.6%4,5747.3%4,140444334-

British and Irish Flat, turf and all-weather.

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Win rate by days since last run, ten seasons
NH ten seasonsFlat 2016 to 2025
6%8%10%12%14%1 to 14 d15 to 28 29 to 60 61 to 120121 to 24241 days DebutNH ten seasons 1 to 14 days: 10.8%NH ten seasons 15 to 28 days: 11.4%NH ten seasons 29 to 60 days: 11.6%NH ten seasons 61 to 120 days: 9.9%NH ten seasons 121 to 240 days: 10.6%NH ten seasons 241 days or more: 8.1%NH ten seasons Debut: 8.8%8.8%Flat 2016 to 2025 1 to 14 days: 11.5%Flat 2016 to 2025 15 to 28 days: 11%Flat 2016 to 2025 29 to 60 days: 10.4%Flat 2016 to 2025 61 to 120 days: 8.6%Flat 2016 to 2025 121 to 240 days: 9.7%Flat 2016 to 2025 241 days or more: 8.3%Flat 2016 to 2025 Debut: 7.6%7.6%

Win % by Days since last run

Days off on every runner today

Members see days since last run on every runner in today's racecards, with RWS scores, Tracker+ follows and full trainer profiles.

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Do horses win less often after a long break?

Jumps horses off 241 days or more won 8.9% in 2025/26, against 11.4% for runners returning within 14 days. The tables show every band in between.

Is a quick turnaround a good sign?

The 1 to 14 days band shows how horses running again quickly performed last season, over ten seasons and this season

What is the normal gap between runs?

The 15 to 28 and 29 to 60 days bands hold most runners, so they act as the baseline for judging a quick return or a long absence.

How did days off work in October 2025?

The October table shows the same seven bands for October 2025 jumps racing alone, when many horses make their first run of the season.

Which trainers do best with horses off 121 days or more?

The trainers table ranks 50 jumps yards by runs, win rate

Questions people ask

Do horses win less often after a long break?

In the 2025/26 British and Irish jumps season, horses off 241 days or more won 8.9% of their runs. Runners returning within 14 days won 11.4%.

Does a long layoff matter more on the Flat than over jumps?

The jumps and Flat tables use the same seven bands, so the effect of a long break can be compared code by code. Flat figures cover 2016 to 2025 and jumps figures cover ten seasons to 2025/26.

How many long absentees run today?

The latest refresh found 81 runners returning from 120 days or more among today's declarations. The count updates each morning.

Which trainers have horses ready after a long break?

Yards with small samples are flagged.

How are debutants treated?

Horses making their first career start have no last run, so they sit in their own debut band. The debut row is kept apart from the days-off bands on both tables.

More free data

Fresh v fitReturners against summer jumpersCourses for returnersTracks that suit a fresh horseTrainers whose horses need a runYards slower first time outSeasonal debut strike rateFirst run of the seasonRacing reportsMonthly reports and the annual review

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