Courses With the Most Shock Winners

27.8%

Over ten seasons to 2025, York had the highest share of 10/1 or bigger winners of any British or Irish course with 200 or more races, at 27.8% of 1,195 races.Sample: 1195 races · Window: Jumps 2016/17 to 2025/26; Flat 2016 to 2025 · Source: RaceWatch results database, Industry SP and Betfair SP

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National HuntFlat

Seasonal shock rate, jumps courses


Haydock	32	31.3%	503	11.7%	Under 50 races in one half
Clonmel (IRE)	282	22.3%	458	16.2%	-
Chepstow	231	17.7%	817	12.0%	-
Cork (IRE)	288	24.7%	459	19.4%	-
Limerick (IRE)	323	22.0%	647	17.5%	-
Navan (IRE)	72	23.6%	566	19.3%	-
Hexham	594	15.5%	365	11.8%	-
Down Royal (IRE)	232	20.7%	334	17.4%	-
Market Rasen	684	12.6%	693	10.0%	-
Punchestown (IRE)	450	21.8%	917	19.3%	-
Sedgefield	364	12.6%	776	10.4%	-
Southwell	647	14.4%	593	12.6%	-
Gowran Park (IRE)	177	20.3%	281	18.5%	-
Wetherby	143	14.0%	833	12.2%	-
Exeter	142	15.5%	857	14.1%	-
Thurles (IRE)	69	18.8%	610	18.0%	-
Wincanton	149	14.1%	861	13.7%	-
Carlisle	176	13.1%	599	12.9%	-
Huntingdon	323	13.0%	815	12.9%	-
Bangor-on-Dee	447	12.3%	425	12.2%	-
Fakenham	215	6.5%	457	6.6%	-
Plumpton	216	10.6%	787	10.7%	-
Fontwell	665	11.0%	716	11.2%	-
Ayr	105	15.2%	736	15.5%	-
Fairyhouse (IRE)	82	20.7%	1,032	21.1%	-
Towcester	67	10.4%	100	11.0%	-
Warwick	396	13.6%	753	14.3%	-
Tipperary (IRE)	368	20.1%	33	21.2%	Under 50 races in one half
Stratford	888	11.0%	212	12.7%	-
Cheltenham	182	20.9%	863	22.7%	-
Ludlow	230	8.3%	747	10.2%	-
Kelso	355	9.3%	570	12.1%	-
Kilbeggan (IRE)	555	20.2%	86	23.3%	-
Uttoxeter	1,038	13.9%	621	17.1%	-
Downpatrick (IRE)	571	15.9%	68	19.1%	-
Wexford (IRE)	577	17.0%	147	20.4%	-
Ffos Las	363	10.7%	542	14.2%	-
Tramore (IRE)	441	15.9%	253	19.8%	-
Ballinrobe (IRE)	475	18.7%	48	22.9%	Under 50 races in one half
Newton Abbot	994	10.1%	82	14.6%	-
Hereford	118	6.8%	708	12.6%	-
Perth	771	10.2%	202	16.3%	-
Kempton	151	7.3%	621	13.5%	-
Aintree	179	15.6%	346	23.4%	-

British and Irish jumps courses, 2016/17 to 2025/26, busiest 50 courses, sorted by summer minus winter share.

Share of races won at 10/1 or bigger, top 15


York	27.8%	332	1,195	8.96	12.00	Flat	-
Ascot	24.4%	286	1,170	9.03	11.80	Flat	-
Curragh (IRE)	23.4%	382	1,630	8.43	12.70	Flat	-
Navan (IRE)	23.4%	168	719	8.36	12.70	Flat	-
Punchestown (IRE)	23.1%	25	108	7.99	12.70	Flat	-
Naas (IRE)	22.8%	208	913	7.93	12.10	Flat	-
Leopardstown (IRE)	22.7%	256	1,130	8.03	11.20	Flat	-
Galway (IRE)	22.6%	100	443	8.32	13.10	Flat	-
Cheltenham	22.4%	234	1,045	8.70	11.50	Jumps	-
Cork (IRE)	22.0%	144	656	8.27	11.90	Flat	-
Gowran Park (IRE)	21.9%	191	871	8.31	12.30	Flat	-
Galway (IRE)	21.8%	114	522	7.90	12.70	Jumps	-
Newbury	21.7%	276	1,269	8.55	10.00	Flat	-
Leopardstown (IRE)	21.6%	120	556	7.62	12.00	Jumps	-
Roscommon (IRE)	21.4%	63	294	7.84	12.20	Jumps	-
Cork (IRE)	21.4%	160	747	7.67	12.70	Jumps	-
Listowel (IRE)	21.1%	61	289	8.36	10.80	Flat	-
Fairyhouse (IRE)	21.1%	235	1,114	7.31	11.70	Jumps	-
Fairyhouse (IRE)	20.9%	90	430	8.14	11.60	Flat	-
Aintree	20.8%	109	525	8.18	10.70	Jumps	-
Tipperary (IRE)	20.6%	92	446	8.30	10.90	Flat	-
Kilbeggan (IRE)	20.6%	132	641	8.29	11.70	Jumps	-
Limerick (IRE)	20.4%	73	357	8.31	11.30	Flat	-
Tipperary (IRE)	20.2%	81	401	8.23	12.50	Jumps	-
Punchestown (IRE)	20.1%	275	1,367	7.37	12.30	Jumps	-
Listowel (IRE)	20.0%	82	409	7.69	12.00	Jumps	-
Dundalk (AW) (IRE)	19.9%	631	3,178	7.89	11.90	Flat	-
Navan (IRE)	19.7%	126	638	7.30	12.40	Jumps	-
Thirsk	19.6%	220	1,123	7.77	10.40	Flat	-
Doncaster	19.5%	326	1,676	7.32	9.80	Flat	-
Newmarket	19.4%	271	1,399	7.52	9.70	Flat	-
Gowran Park (IRE)	19.2%	88	458	6.85	11.90	Jumps	-
Ballinrobe (IRE)	19.1%	100	523	7.50	11.70	Jumps	-
Sligo (IRE)	19.0%	68	358	7.29	9.90	Jumps	-
Limerick (IRE)	19.0%	184	970	7.36	11.50	Jumps	-
Down Royal (IRE)	18.7%	106	566	7.40	10.90	Jumps	-
Clonmel (IRE)	18.5%	137	740	7.12	11.70	Jumps	-
Thurles (IRE)	18.1%	123	679	7.14	11.40	Jumps	-
Newcastle (AW)	18.0%	753	4,182	7.50	9.60	Flat	-
Roscommon (IRE)	18.0%	68	378	7.75	11.00	Flat	-
Bellewstown (IRE)	18.0%	32	178	7.21	12.10	Jumps	-
Salisbury	18.0%	182	1,013	7.18	8.40	Flat	-
Bellewstown (IRE)	17.9%	62	346	7.21	11.10	Flat	-
Wexford (IRE)	17.7%	128	724	7.20	10.90	Jumps	-
Down Royal (IRE)	17.6%	54	307	7.26	10.40	Flat	-
Ayr	17.4%	218	1,254	7.13	9.30	Flat	-
Tramore (IRE)	17.3%	120	694	7.20	11.10	Jumps	-
Nottingham	17.2%	248	1,440	7.15	8.90	Flat	-
Goodwood	17.1%	216	1,261	7.29	9.20	Flat	-
Redcar	17.1%	212	1,238	7.52	10.20	Flat	-

Industry SP, ten seasons. Top 50 course and code rows by share of races won at 10/1 or bigger, courses with at least 100 races.

Average winning Betfair SP by course


Naas (IRE)	17.85	6.25	108	Jumps	-
Gowran Park (IRE)	16.32	6.37	266	Flat	-
Listowel (IRE)	15.21	5.87	140	Jumps	-
Galway (IRE)	14.92	6.87	142	Jumps	-
Galway (IRE)	14.06	8.59	133	Flat	-
Leopardstown (IRE)	13.69	6.20	113	Jumps	-
Naas (IRE)	13.13	6.11	261	Flat	-
Ballinrobe (IRE)	13.01	6.32	155	Jumps	-
Cork (IRE)	12.32	5.62	189	Jumps	-
Roscommon (IRE)	12.15	6.30	134	Flat	-
Navan (IRE)	11.73	6.60	199	Flat	-
Ayr	11.64	5.80	359	Flat	-
Cheltenham	11.63	6.00	243	Jumps	-
Dundalk (AW) (IRE)	11.63	6.40	649	Flat	-
Ascot	11.60	6.30	360	Flat	-
Kilbeggan (IRE)	11.50	6.49	202	Jumps	-
Cork (IRE)	11.40	6.11	213	Flat	-
Curragh (IRE)	11.34	6.54	538	Flat	-
Fairyhouse (IRE)	11.33	6.80	235	Jumps	-
Kelso	11.30	4.60	223	Jumps	-
Newbury	11.07	6.40	383	Flat	-
Huntingdon	11.02	4.39	270	Jumps	-
Thurles (IRE)	10.96	5.91	108	Jumps	-
York	10.93	7.63	367	Flat	-
Aintree	10.90	5.21	133	Jumps	-
Punchestown (IRE)	10.79	5.43	340	Jumps	-
Navan (IRE)	10.65	5.01	134	Jumps	-
Downpatrick (IRE)	10.63	5.90	208	Jumps	-
Tramore (IRE)	10.46	5.68	197	Jumps	-
Newmarket	10.37	5.80	382	Flat	-
Fairyhouse (IRE)	10.35	6.60	115	Flat	-
Down Royal (IRE)	10.26	5.81	132	Flat	-
Limerick (IRE)	10.23	5.39	246	Jumps	-
Perth	10.19	5.00	259	Jumps	-
Down Royal (IRE)	10.17	5.45	136	Jumps	-
Worcester	10.11	5.87	358	Jumps	-
Leopardstown (IRE)	10.06	5.74	318	Flat	-
Killarney (IRE)	9.98	5.55	151	Jumps	-
Newcastle (AW)	9.85	5.59	1,195	Flat	-
Bellewstown (IRE)	9.80	6.72	125	Flat	-
Thirsk	9.58	6.18	333	Flat	-
Ffos Las	9.56	5.03	200	Jumps	-
Sligo (IRE)	9.52	6.00	126	Jumps	-
Ayr	9.52	5.00	164	Jumps	-
Exeter	9.46	4.76	200	Jumps	-
Clonmel (IRE)	9.41	5.90	179	Jumps	-
Lingfield (AW)	9.36	5.23	805	Flat	-
Haydock	9.32	5.65	370	Flat	-
Wexford (IRE)	9.25	6.72	256	Jumps	-
Windsor	9.20	5.27	501	Flat	-

Betfair SP exists from March 2024 only, so this covers 1 March 2024 to the last results date, races with a BSP for the winner. Top 50 by average.

Latest 10/1+ winners


Mymomentintime (USA)	25/1	-	Curragh (IRE)	15 Oct 26	Miss Susan A Finn	Flat
Even Par (IRE)	25/1	-	Curragh (IRE)	15 Oct 26	Gavin Cromwell	Flat
Spectacular Diver (IRE)	18/1	-	Southwell (AW)	15 Oct 26	Tim Easterby	Flat
Dreambird Dolly (GB)	16/1	-	Brighton	15 Oct 26	John Gallagher	Flat
Anvika (IRE)	14/1	-	Curragh (IRE)	15 Oct 26	Ms Sheila Lavery	Flat
She's Notjoeking (GB)	12/1	-	Perth	15 Oct 26	Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore	Jumps
Givehertilxmas (IRE)	11/1	-	Curragh (IRE)	15 Oct 26	Gerard Keane	Flat
Manu Reva (FR)	28/1	41.33	Punchestown (IRE)	14 Oct 26	Liz Doyle	Jumps
Dream Pirate (GB)	40/1	48.60	Leicester	13 Oct 26	T. J. Kent	Flat
Foreseen (GB)	28/1	35.43	Leicester	13 Oct 26	Tony Carroll	Flat
Anxious Moments (IRE)	18/1	28.00	Southwell	13 Oct 26	Charlie Longsdon	Jumps
Lady Delila (IRE)	16/1	23.00	Wolverhampton (AW)	13 Oct 26	Patrick Morris	Flat
Tuckmill (IRE)	12/1	15.50	Punchestown (IRE)	13 Oct 26	Peter Fahey	Jumps
Twilight Fox (GB)	100/1	185.27	Kempton (AW)	12 Oct 26	Henry Candy	Flat
Sullom Voe (IRE)	33/1	65.00	Yarmouth	12 Oct 26	David Menuisier	Flat
Carmel Valley (IRE)	22/1	27.14	Newcastle (AW)	12 Oct 26	Katie Scott	Flat
Ibn Altheeb (IRE)	18/1	22.42	Musselburgh	12 Oct 26	Iain Jardine	Flat
Zarenakarena (IRE)	16/1	22.45	Roscommon (IRE)	12 Oct 26	Eddie & Patrick Harty	Flat
Calchas (GB)	12/1	18.00	Yarmouth	12 Oct 26	Ralph Beckett	Flat
Ice Sovereigns (IRE)	12/1	15.53	Musselburgh	12 Oct 26	Richard & Peter Fahey	Flat
Izzy Fast (GB)	11/1	14.50	Yarmouth	12 Oct 26	Philip McBride	Flat
Boubyan (IRE)	10/1	13.03	Newcastle (AW)	12 Oct 26	Michael Appleby	Flat
Snapretend (IRE)	25/1	34.64	Naas (IRE)	11 Oct 26	Joseph Patrick O'Brien	Flat
Division Day (GB)	22/1	29.00	Goodwood	11 Oct 26	Lydia Richards	Flat
Abbotsford (GB)	14/1	24.00	Naas (IRE)	11 Oct 26	D K Weld	Flat
Whistling Dave (IRE)	33/1	60.00	Chepstow	10 Oct 26	Dan Skelton	Jumps
Grey Cuban (GB)	28/1	36.91	York	10 Oct 26	Hugo Palmer	Flat
Tzarmix (FR)	22/1	34.00	Chepstow	10 Oct 26	Alastair Ralph	Jumps
Admired Beauty (IRE)	20/1	28.91	Naas (IRE)	10 Oct 26	J S Bolger	Flat
Alphonse Le Grande (IRE)	18/1	34.00	Newmarket	10 Oct 26	A. J. Martin	Flat
Neswick (GB)	16/1	17.03	Southwell (AW)	10 Oct 26	Marcus Tregoning	Flat
Hitintheheadlines (IRE)	14/1	26.84	Chepstow	10 Oct 26	Dan Skelton	Jumps
Opal Storm (GB)	12/1	12.91	Southwell (AW)	10 Oct 26	Brian Rothwell	Flat
Callianassa (IRE)	11/1	16.00	York	10 Oct 26	Brian Ellison	Flat
Streamhill (IRE)	11/1	15.28	Fairyhouse (IRE)	10 Oct 26	Padraig Butler	Jumps
El Fox (GB)	10/1	13.50	Southwell (AW)	10 Oct 26	Marco Botti	Flat
Bintwillsea (GB)	66/1	113.03	Kempton (AW)	9 Oct 26	Jonathan Portman	Flat
Donner Dancer (IRE)	50/1	95.00	Dundalk (AW) (IRE)	9 Oct 26	Robson De Aguiar	Flat
Lola De Valence (IRE)	40/1	85.00	Newmarket	9 Oct 26	Rod Millman	Flat
Girls Allowed (IRE)	33/1	54.40	Kempton (AW)	9 Oct 26	Julia & Shelley Birkett	Flat
In A Hurry (GB)	28/1	53.65	Dundalk (AW) (IRE)	9 Oct 26	Keith Henry Clarke	Flat
Ruby's Angel (IRE)	16/1	23.07	Newmarket	9 Oct 26	Hugo Palmer	Flat
West Hill Verde (FR)	16/1	22.00	Chepstow	9 Oct 26	Seamus Mullins	Jumps
Influencer Man (IRE)	12/1	13.50	York	9 Oct 26	Adrian Keatley	Flat
Study Of Words (IRE)	10/1	13.00	Newmarket	9 Oct 26	Charlie Appleby	Flat
Knight Templar (GB)	10/1	13.50	Chepstow	9 Oct 26	Robert Stephens	Jumps
Baymount (IRE)	12/1	16.04	Tramore (IRE)	8 Oct 26	Anthony Mullins	Jumps
Arlecchino's Moon (GB)	12/1	19.72	Southwell (AW)	8 Oct 26	Mark Usher	Flat
Cool King (GB)	11/1	41.36	Southwell (AW)	8 Oct 26	Marco Botti	Flat
Alpha Magic (GB)	11/1	12.80	Ayr	8 Oct 26	Michael & David Easterby	Flat

Most recent 50 winners at 10/1 or bigger, to the last results date.

This season


Jumps	2026/27 to date	1,614	248	15.4%
Flat	2026 to date	6,835	1,072	15.7%

Season to the last results date.

Market moves on today's outsiders

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Which racecourses produce the most big-priced winners?

York leads the course table, with 27.8% of its 1,195 races won at 10/1 or bigger over ten seasons to 2025. Each course shows average field size beside its shock rate.

What is the average winning Betfair SP at each course?

The Betfair SP table ranks courses by average and median winning Betfair SP since March 2024, led by Naas (IRE) at 17.9.

Do big fields produce more shock winners?

Average field size sits beside every course's shock rate, so the link between big fields and big-priced winners can be checked course by course.

Does a course's shock rate change between summer and winter?

The seasonal table compares summer and winter shares of 10/1 or bigger winners at each jumps course.

How is the shock rate worked out?

The shock rate is the share of races won by a horse at an Industry SP of 10/1 or bigger. The median winning Betfair SP is shown too, since one huge price can lift an average.

Questions people ask

Which racecourse has the most shock winners?

Over ten seasons to 2025, York had the highest share of winners at 10/1 or bigger of any British or Irish course with 200 or more races, at 27.8%. The full course table ranks every track the same way.

What share of races are won at 10/1 or bigger?

Across 127,000 British and Irish races over ten seasons, 16.1% were won by a horse at 10/1 or bigger. Individual courses range well above and below that figure.

Which course has the highest average winning Betfair SP?

Naas (IRE) has the highest average winning Betfair SP, at 17.9 from 108 races since March 2024. The median is shown beside it because a few huge prices can pull the average up.

How often is the latest shock winners list updated?

The latest 10/1 or bigger winners list updates after every racing day. The last seven days produced 46 such winners at the latest refresh.

Why do some courses produce more shocks?

Big fields, competitive handicaps and tricky track layouts all spread the chances across more runners. The course table shows average field size beside each shock rate so that link can be checked.

More free data

Course favourite recordsWhere favourites win most Draw bias by courseStall advantage on the Flat Bookmaker marginsOverround by bookmaker Win rate by oddsStrike rate at every price band Racing reportsMonthly reports and the annual review

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Updated 2026-09-23

Courses with the most shock winners

Go deeper before the next race.

Seasonal shock rate, jumps courses

Shock winners by course

Average winning Betfair SP by course

Latest 10/1+ winners

This season

Market moves on today's outsiders

Which racecourses produce the most big-priced winners?

What is the average winning Betfair SP at each course?

Do big fields produce more shock winners?

Does a course's shock rate change between summer and winter?

How is the shock rate worked out?

Questions people ask

More free data

Go deeper before the next race.