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Favourites record by course

The favourite's win rate at every British and Irish racecourse, jumps and Flat, over ten seasons and this season. The this-season table updates after every racing day, so a course's current form sits beside its long-run record.

8449 races so far this season · Results to 15 October 2026 · Refreshed 16 October 2026
42%
Best course favourite win rate
24.7%
Lowest course favourite win rate
8,449
Races this season
42.0%

Over ten seasons to 2025, favourites won 42.0% of their runs at Catterick (Jumps), the highest of any British or Irish course with 50 or more races.Sample: 591 races · Window: Jumps 2016/17 to 2025/26; Flat 2016 to 2025 · Source: RaceWatch results database, Industry SP

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Favourite record by course, British jumps

Catterick42.0%59181.2%635267-
Taunton40.1%85377.5%911365-
Ludlow39.5%97780.0%1,042412-
Leicester38.9%50882.1%540210-
Fakenham38.5%67283.5%716276-
Sedgefield38.4%1,14077.9%1,202461-
Ayr38.4%84173.2%906348-
Fontwell38.0%1,38178.7%1,457553-
Plumpton38.0%1,00378.8%1,065405-
Newton Abbot37.7%1,07678.3%1,141430-
Stratford37.7%1,10075.9%1,175443-
Kempton37.3%77276.4%841314-
Huntingdon37.3%1,13876.2%1,205450-
Lingfield37.2%41872.0%441164-
Southwell37.2%1,24076.3%1,334496-
Sandown37.1%55375.2%599222-
Exeter36.9%99975.1%1,075397-
Warwick36.7%1,14976.6%1,243456-
Kelso36.6%92575.7%989362-
Chepstow36.6%1,04875.5%1,119409-
Towcester36.6%16779.6%18367-
Wetherby36.3%97678.4%1,051382-
Hereford35.9%82678.6%896322-
Newcastle35.9%78775.7%836300-
Perth35.7%97378.4%1,065380-
Market Rasen35.7%1,37776.8%1,487531-
Newbury35.5%72775.2%785279-
Wincanton35.4%1,01074.7%1,103390-
Musselburgh34.6%66273.1%710246-
Uttoxeter34.3%1,65973.5%1,783612-
Hexham34.1%95974.1%1,031352-
Ffos Las34.0%90575.2%972330-
Worcester33.6%1,24473.2%1,344451-
Bangor-on-Dee33.6%87277.3%937315-
Carlisle32.8%77574.9%825271-
Doncaster32.7%78475.0%831272-
Cartmel32.6%57173.0%623203-
Ascot32.0%49871.7%538172-
Aintree31.1%52570.3%582181-
Haydock30.5%53573.3%594181-
Cheltenham29.2%1,04566.9%1,142333-

Ten seasons. Favourite = lowest Industry SP, joint favourites all count. Courses under 50 races flagged.

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Favourite record by course, Irish jumps

Tipperary (IRE)38.7%40170.8%426165-
Naas (IRE)38.6%52877.7%559216-
Gowran Park (IRE)38.1%45873.4%499190-
Punchestown (IRE)37.5%1,36773.0%1,473552-
Killarney (IRE)37.4%46274.0%516193-
Leopardstown (IRE)35.5%55670.5%597212-
Thurles (IRE)35.1%67973.0%713250-
Down Royal (IRE)35.0%56671.7%606212-
Clonmel (IRE)35.0%74071.1%805282-
Fairyhouse (IRE)34.7%1,11470.8%1,188412-
Navan (IRE)34.7%63872.4%691240-
Limerick (IRE)34.6%97071.6%1,041360-
Roscommon (IRE)33.5%29466.3%322108-
Bellewstown (IRE)33.2%17870.2%19966-
Tramore (IRE)32.7%69469.7%746244-
Cork (IRE)32.7%74770.0%794260-
Listowel (IRE)31.9%40971.6%457146-
Sligo (IRE)31.3%35869.0%384120-
Wexford (IRE)31.1%72469.3%789245-
Kilbeggan (IRE)31.0%64168.3%709220-
Galway (IRE)30.9%52268.4%554171-
Ballinrobe (IRE)30.6%52369.2%568174-
Downpatrick (IRE)30.0%63969.6%699210-

Ten seasons.

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Favourite record by course, British Flat

Ripon35.2%1,09174.0%1,194420-
Lingfield35.2%87175.2%926326-
Beverley34.9%1,30675.7%1,416494-
Hamilton34.4%1,19577.0%1,318454-
Sandown34.3%97772.3%1,051361-
Windsor34.3%1,72772.9%1,859637-
Yarmouth34.1%1,56973.6%1,662566-
Goodwood33.9%1,26169.8%1,383469-
Kempton (AW)33.8%4,44170.7%4,7511,606-
Ffos Las33.8%49576.6%530179-
Lingfield (AW)33.7%4,08873.5%4,3641,471-
Pontefract33.7%1,07472.3%1,165393-
Chepstow33.2%98272.8%1,064353-
Newmarket (July)33.1%1,29773.0%1,415469-
Bath33.0%1,37572.7%1,462482-
Wetherby33.0%20169.7%21872-
Wolverhampton (AW)32.9%6,21472.0%6,6632,190-
Chelmsford (AW)32.9%3,81974.3%4,1441,362-
Nottingham32.4%1,44070.1%1,570508-
Haydock32.4%1,55172.0%1,686547-
Catterick32.2%1,16272.5%1,271409-
Salisbury32.1%1,01371.4%1,095352-
Southwell (AW)32.0%3,25670.7%3,4861,114-
Doncaster31.8%1,67667.8%1,817577-
Leicester31.7%1,24772.3%1,347427-
Redcar31.7%1,23869.9%1,336424-
Newcastle (AW)31.3%4,18269.9%4,5251,416-
Brighton31.3%1,33674.0%1,468460-
Thirsk31.2%1,12368.7%1,227383-
Ascot30.8%1,17065.4%1,256387-
Chester30.8%96071.8%1,044322-
Musselburgh30.7%1,08371.7%1,178362-
Ayr30.4%1,25468.9%1,356412-
Newmarket30.4%1,39969.3%1,525463-
Carlisle30.1%80469.3%884266-
Epsom30.0%64073.1%699210-
Newbury27.6%1,26964.5%1,385382-
York27.3%1,19560.9%1,332363-

Ten seasons, turf and all-weather.

Additional research statistics and historical returns are in the RaceWatch app.

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Favourite record by course, Irish Flat

Tramore (IRE)36.9%11270.5%13048-
Down Royal (IRE)35.4%30771.0%333118-
Ballinrobe (IRE)34.1%16374.8%18563-
Killarney (IRE)32.2%44472.7%485156-
Galway (IRE)31.6%44366.4%490155-
Naas (IRE)31.0%91366.9%1,009313-
Roscommon (IRE)30.7%37869.0%410126-
Leopardstown (IRE)30.7%1,13067.3%1,236380-
Sligo (IRE)30.5%19966.8%21365-
Bellewstown (IRE)30.2%34668.8%381115-
Listowel (IRE)30.1%28965.1%31695-
Curragh (IRE)29.9%1,63066.1%1,759526-
Gowran Park (IRE)29.9%87165.6%945283-
Dundalk (AW) (IRE)29.8%3,17868.0%3,4981,041-
Limerick (IRE)28.7%35768.3%390112-
Cork (IRE)28.0%65666.3%722202-
Punchestown (IRE)27.7%10869.4%11933-
Tipperary (IRE)27.7%44667.3%487135-
Navan (IRE)27.2%71965.5%798217-
Fairyhouse (IRE)24.7%43068.4%469116-

Ten seasons, turf and all-weather.

Additional research statistics and historical returns are in the RaceWatch app.

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Big-race days v ordinary days

Curragh (IRE)Flat56329.2%1,06730.3%-1.1-
Punchestown (IRE)Jumps46834.0%89939.3%-5.3-
AscotFlat46728.5%70332.4%-3.9-
NewmarketFlat45229.5%94730.8%-1.3-
Leopardstown (IRE)Jumps42235.8%13434.5%+1.3-
CheltenhamJumps30529.0%74029.2%-0.2-
SandownJumps25236.1%30137.8%-1.7-
GoodwoodFlat21332.2%1,04834.3%-2.1-
AintreeJumps21028.5%31532.8%-4.3-
YorkFlat20526.0%99027.5%-1.5-
AscotJumps17528.1%32334.1%-6.0-
Newmarket (July)Flat14324.5%1,15434.2%-9.7-
DoncasterFlat14229.4%1,53432.0%-2.6-
Fairyhouse (IRE)Jumps13934.4%97534.7%-0.3-
EpsomFlat13624.3%50431.6%-7.3-
Leopardstown (IRE)Flat9129.9%1,03930.8%-0.9-
HaydockFlat7224.1%1,47932.9%-8.8-
SandownFlat7229.3%90534.8%-5.5-
HaydockJumps7032.5%46530.2%+2.3-
NewburyJumps7040.8%65735.0%+5.8-
Naas (IRE)Jumps6940.8%45938.3%+2.5-
Down Royal (IRE)Jumps6952.1%49732.6%+19.5-
NewburyFlat6432.3%1,20527.3%+5.0-
NewcastleJumps6331.3%72436.3%-5.0-
KemptonJumps6131.4%71137.9%-6.5-
Limerick (IRE)Jumps5429.8%91634.9%-5.1-
ChepstowJumps4336.4%1,00536.6%-0.2Under 50 big-day races
Punchestown (IRE)Flat3118.8%7731.0%-12.2Under 50 big-day races

A big-race day is any day at the course that staged a Group 1 or Grade 1 race, a data proxy for festival meetings. Ten seasons.

Favourite record by course, this season

Wolverhampton (AW)Flat35.9%51974.2%552198-
Southwell (AW)Flat34.8%43972.4%466162-
Lingfield (AW)Flat34.6%34473.7%379131-
Kempton (AW)Flat36.0%33772.3%361130-
Newcastle (AW)Flat30.4%33566.0%358109-
Dundalk (AW) (IRE)Flat31.8%17167.3%19863-
Curragh (IRE)Flat35.3%16967.6%18465-
YarmouthFlat37.2%16373.3%17264-
WindsorFlat26.8%16173.5%17948-
DoncasterFlat39.1%15578.3%16966-
NottinghamFlat33.8%14381.1%15151-
BathFlat36.0%14073.6%15054-
GoodwoodFlat39.5%13173.5%15260-
BeverleyFlat27.0%12668.8%14138-
HamiltonFlat37.0%12676.2%13550-
YorkFlat32.4%12568.8%13644-
LeicesterFlat33.6%11975.6%13144-
NewburyFlat36.5%11770.2%12646-
WorcesterJumps37.9%11675.9%12447-
AyrFlat29.4%11668.4%12637-
AscotFlat30.9%11563.8%12338-
Newmarket (July)Flat33.9%11376.7%12442-
RedcarFlat33.6%11372.6%12843-
NewmarketFlat30.5%11066.4%11836-
PontefractFlat40.8%10982.7%12049-
ChesterFlat40.0%10972.5%12048-
MusselburghFlat26.5%10971.6%11731-
RiponFlat33.0%10972.5%11538-
ThirskFlat26.7%10862.7%12032-
SalisburyFlat31.5%10073.5%10834-
CatterickFlat35.5%9979.0%10738-
BrightonFlat29.7%9881.8%11133-
ChepstowFlat30.3%9763.3%10933-
SandownFlat28.4%9569.5%10229-
Ffos LasFlat41.4%9179.1%9941-
Newton AbbotJumps45.4%9185.7%9744-
Naas (IRE)Flat36.5%9069.2%10438-
Gowran Park (IRE)Flat32.6%8966.7%9230-
Leopardstown (IRE)Flat36.2%8974.2%9434-
CarlisleFlat21.4%8967.8%9821-
LingfieldFlat49.5%8883.0%9346-
UttoxeterJumps35.2%8769.0%9132-
Chelmsford (AW)Flat27.2%8576.5%9225-
HaydockFlat36.0%7872.2%8631-
Cork (IRE)Flat34.6%7272.2%8128-
Wexford (IRE)Jumps28.8%7261.1%8023-
StratfordJumps41.1%7180.3%7330-
EpsomFlat18.1%6863.8%7213-
PerthJumps21.9%6768.7%7316-
Navan (IRE)Flat31.9%6465.6%7223-

Jumps from the start of the 2026/27 season (26 April 2026 in Britain, 3 May 2026 in Ireland) and Flat from 1 January 2026 to the last results date, busiest 50 course and code rows, min 10 favourite runs.

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Today's favourites in context

Members see live market moves across 20+ bookmakers on every runner in today's racecards, with RWS scores beside each favourite.

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At which racecourse do favourites win most often?

Over ten seasons to 2025, Catterick (Jumps) had the highest favourite strike rate of any British or Irish course with 50 or more races, at 42%.

Where do favourites struggle most?

Fairyhouse (IRE) (Flat) had the lowest favourite strike rate over the same ten seasons, at 24.7%. Big fields and competitive handicaps tend to sit behind the low figures.

How do jumps courses compare?

Public racing records and results from Britain and Ireland.

How do Flat and all-weather courses compare?

British and Irish Flat courses, including every all-weather track, are listed separately so turf and synthetic surfaces can be compared.

Do favourites win less often on big-race days?

The big days table sets favourite strike rate on big-race days against ordinary days at the same course, with the difference shown in its own column.

Questions people ask

At which course do favourites win most often?

Over ten seasons to 2025, Catterick (Jumps) had the best favourite record of any British or Irish course with 50 or more races, at 42%. The figure comes from 591 races.

Where do favourites win least often?

Fairyhouse (IRE) (Flat) had the lowest favourite strike rate over ten seasons, at 24.7%. Every course is listed so the full range between the best and worst can be read.

Does the course favourite record include joint favourites?

Yes, every joint favourite counts, and a favourite is the runner with the lowest Industry SP. Each joint favourite is a separate favourite run in the tables.

How many races does a course need for a reliable figure?

Courses with small samples are marked in the sample column, and the headline records use courses with 50 or more races. Treat a marked course as a guide only.

How often are the course favourite figures updated?

The ten-season tables are fixed at jumps 2016/17 to 2025/26 and Flat 2016 to 2025. The this-season table updates after every racing day, with 8,449 races so far.

More free data

Favourite win rateThe overall favourite recordShock winners by courseWhere outsiders win mostFavourites by field sizeSmall fields against big fieldsIrish v British favouritesTwo countries comparedRacing reportsMonthly reports and the annual review

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