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Likelihood (USA) silks

Horse profile

Likelihood

Sex
filly
Foaled
2011
Highest OR
82
Record (GB & IRE)
1 win from 7 runs (14%)
Prize money (GB & IRE)
£4,739 GB
Last official rating
82 (Flat)
Last run (GB & IRE)
22 Jun 2014, Pontefract (6/6)
Last win (GB & IRE)
26 Aug 2013, Chepstow
Recent form
10217536

Form

Race record

DateCoursePosSPBtnJockeyTrainerRaceClassTypeDistGoingWgtORHeadgearWinner / 2ndWinner prizeDaysFuture form
22 Jun 14Pontefract6/62/1F9½James DoyleJohn Gosdentoteexacta Pick The 1 2 Fillies' HandicapClass 4Flat Turf1m2fGood9-082-Bureau (IRE)£6,469121/5
10 Jun 14Salisbury3/98/11¼James DoyleJohn GosdenEBF Stallions Breeding Winners Margadale Fillies' HandicapClass 4Flat Turf1m2fGood to Firm8-1280-Rosehill Artist (IRE)£6,469132/8
28 May 14Kempton (AW)5/1025/15Robert HavlinJohn GosdenBetdaq Supporting The Injured Jockeys Fund HandicapClass 4Flat AW1m3fStandard9-780hArab Dawn (GB)£4,690122/9
16 May 14Newbury7/816/110Robert HavlinJohn GosdenSwettenham Stud Fillies' Trial StakesListedFlat Turf1m2fGood9-080hVolume (GB)£20,9832631/7
26 Aug 13Chepstow1/104/5Fwon 2¾Robert HavlinJohn GosdenBest Bookies Offers From thebookiesoffers.co.uk EBF Median Auction Maiden Fil…Class 5Flat Turf1mGood9-0--Gratzie (GB)£2,911120/9
14 Aug 13Kempton (AW)2/147/4F½William BuickJohn GosdenBritish Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Fillies' StakesClass 5Flat AW7fStandard9-0--Tender Emotion (GB)£2,911194/13
26 Jul 13Ascot10/186/13½Robert HavlinJohn GosdenJohn Guest EBF Maiden Fillies' StakesClass 4Flat Turf7fGood9-0--Lilyfire (USA)£6,469-4/17
  • 6/622 Jun 14 · Pontefract2/1F

    toteexacta Pick The 1 2 Fillies' Handicap

    Class 41m2fGood

    All fields
    Date
    22 Jun 14
    Pos
    6/6
    SP
    2/1F
    Btn
    9½
    Race
    toteexacta Pick The 1 2 Fillies' Handicap
    Class
    Class 4
    Type
    Flat Turf
    Dist
    1m2f
    Going
    Good
    Wgt
    9-0
    OR
    82
    Headgear
    -
    Winner / 2nd
    Bureau (IRE)
    Winner prize
    £6,469
    Days
    12
    Future form
    1/5
  • 3/910 Jun 14 · Salisbury8/1

    EBF Stallions Breeding Winners Margadale Fillies' Handicap

    Class 41m2fGood to Firm

    All fields
    Date
    10 Jun 14
    Course
    Salisbury
    Pos
    3/9
    SP
    8/1
    Btn
    1¼
    Race
    EBF Stallions Breeding Winners Margadale Fillies' Handicap
    Class
    Class 4
    Type
    Flat Turf
    Dist
    1m2f
    Going
    Good to Firm
    Wgt
    8-12
    OR
    80
    Headgear
    -
    Winner prize
    £6,469
    Days
    13
    Future form
    2/8
  • 5/1028 May 14 · Kempton (AW)25/1

    Betdaq Supporting The Injured Jockeys Fund Handicap

    Class 41m3fStandard

    All fields
    Date
    28 May 14
    Course
    Kempton (AW)
    Pos
    5/10
    SP
    25/1
    Btn
    5
    Race
    Betdaq Supporting The Injured Jockeys Fund Handicap
    Class
    Class 4
    Type
    Flat AW
    Dist
    1m3f
    Going
    Standard
    Wgt
    9-7
    OR
    80
    Headgear
    h
    Winner / 2nd
    Arab Dawn (GB)
    Winner prize
    £4,690
    Days
    12
    Future form
    2/9
  • 7/816 May 14 · Newbury16/1

    Swettenham Stud Fillies' Trial Stakes

    Listed1m2fGood

    All fields
    Date
    16 May 14
    Course
    Newbury
    Pos
    7/8
    SP
    16/1
    Btn
    10
    Race
    Swettenham Stud Fillies' Trial Stakes
    Class
    Listed
    Type
    Flat Turf
    Dist
    1m2f
    Going
    Good
    Wgt
    9-0
    OR
    80
    Headgear
    h
    Winner / 2nd
    Volume (GB)
    Winner prize
    £20,983
    Days
    263
    Future form
    1/7
  • 1/1026 Aug 13 · Chepstow4/5F

    Best Bookies Offers From thebookiesoffers.co.uk EBF Median Auction Maiden Fil…

    Class 51mGood

    All fields
    Date
    26 Aug 13
    Course
    Chepstow
    Pos
    1/10
    SP
    4/5F
    Btn
    won 2¾
    Race
    Best Bookies Offers From thebookiesoffers.co.uk EBF Median Auction Maiden Fil…
    Class
    Class 5
    Type
    Flat Turf
    Dist
    1m
    Going
    Good
    Wgt
    9-0
    OR
    -
    Headgear
    -
    Winner / 2nd
    Gratzie (GB)
    Winner prize
    £2,911
    Days
    12
    Future form
    0/9
  • 2/1414 Aug 13 · Kempton (AW)7/4F

    British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes

    Class 57fStandard

    All fields
    Date
    14 Aug 13
    Course
    Kempton (AW)
    Pos
    2/14
    SP
    7/4F
    Btn
    ½
    Race
    British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes
    Class
    Class 5
    Type
    Flat AW
    Dist
    7f
    Going
    Standard
    Wgt
    9-0
    OR
    -
    Headgear
    -
    Winner prize
    £2,911
    Days
    19
    Future form
    4/13
  • 10/1826 Jul 13 · Ascot6/1

    John Guest EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes

    Class 47fGood

    All fields
    Date
    26 Jul 13
    Course
    Ascot
    Pos
    10/18
    SP
    6/1
    Btn
    3½
    Race
    John Guest EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes
    Class
    Class 4
    Type
    Flat Turf
    Dist
    7f
    Going
    Good
    Wgt
    9-0
    OR
    -
    Headgear
    -
    Winner / 2nd
    Lilyfire (USA)
    Winner prize
    £6,469
    Days
    -
    Future form
    4/17

Every British and Irish run since 1990, latest first. Btn is the overall distance beaten (lengths). Where the horse won, the runner-up and winning margin are shown.

Future form: next-time-out winners from this horse's races

DateCourseRaceThis horseWinner next timeTheir posWon onAtRace won
22 Jun 14Pontefracttoteexacta Pick The 1 2 Fillies' Handicap6/6Ingleby Symphony (IRE)29 Aug 14AyrQTS Ladies' Night Handicap
10 Jun 14SalisburyEBF Stallions Breeding Winners Margadale Fillies' Handicap3/9Cascading (GB)53 Jul 14EpsomEBF Stallions Arthur Budgett Memorial Maiden Fillies' Stakes
10 Jun 14SalisburyEBF Stallions Breeding Winners Margadale Fillies' Handicap3/9Hidden Gold (IRE)84 Jul 14DoncasterHarriet Pyke Worldpay Fillies' Handicap
28 May 14Kempton (AW)Betdaq Supporting The Injured Jockeys Fund Handicap5/10Anglophile (GB)32 Jun 14LeicesterBelvoir Castle Handicap
28 May 14Kempton (AW)Betdaq Supporting The Injured Jockeys Fund Handicap5/10Filament Of Gold (USA)108 Jul 14Lingfield (AW)32Red Casino Handicap
16 May 14NewburySwettenham Stud Fillies' Trial Stakes7/8Hadaatha (IRE)317 Sep 14YarmouthEBF At The Races John Musker Fillies' Stakes (for The John Musker Trophy)
14 Aug 13Kempton (AW)British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes2/14Tender Emotion (GB)126 Sep 13PontefractBest Horse Racing - Sky Channel 432 Fillies' Nursery Handicap
14 Aug 13Kempton (AW)British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes2/14Uchenna (IRE)73 Sep 13GoodwoodEBF Racing UK Maiden Fillies' Stakes
14 Aug 13Kempton (AW)British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes2/14Peacemaker (IRE)93 Sep 13LeicesterNelson Restaurant Maiden Auction Stakes
14 Aug 13Kempton (AW)British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes2/14Dance Bid (GB)1231 Aug 13BeverleyEBF racehorsetrader.com Maiden Fillies' Stakes (Div II)
26 Jul 13AscotJohn Guest EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes10/18Crowley's Law (GB)518 Sep 13BeverleyPlay Roulette And Blackjack At totepool.com EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes
26 Jul 13AscotJohn Guest EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes10/18Bright Cecily (IRE)915 Aug 13Salisburytotesuperscoop6 Available At The Ebor Festival Maiden Auction Stakes (Div II)
26 Jul 13AscotJohn Guest EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes10/18Mutatis Mutandis (IRE)1117 Aug 13DoncasterS Smith T/A Pro-Pave Ltd EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes
26 Jul 13AscotJohn Guest EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes10/18Stealth Missile (IRE)157 Sep 13AscotMcGee Group E B F Maiden Stakes
  • 6/622 Jun 14 · Pontefract

    toteexacta Pick The 1 2 Fillies' Handicap

    All fields
    Date
    22 Jun 14
    Race
    toteexacta Pick The 1 2 Fillies' Handicap
    This horse
    6/6
    Winner next time
    Ingleby Symphony (IRE)
    Their pos
    2
    Won on
    9 Aug 14
    At
    Ayr
    Race won
    QTS Ladies' Night Handicap
  • 3/910 Jun 14 · Salisbury

    EBF Stallions Breeding Winners Margadale Fillies' Handicap

    All fields
    Date
    10 Jun 14
    Course
    Salisbury
    Race
    EBF Stallions Breeding Winners Margadale Fillies' Handicap
    This horse
    3/9
    Winner next time
    Cascading (GB)
    Their pos
    5
    Won on
    3 Jul 14
    Race won
    EBF Stallions Arthur Budgett Memorial Maiden Fillies' Stakes
  • 3/910 Jun 14 · Salisbury

    EBF Stallions Breeding Winners Margadale Fillies' Handicap

    All fields
    Date
    10 Jun 14
    Course
    Salisbury
    Race
    EBF Stallions Breeding Winners Margadale Fillies' Handicap
    This horse
    3/9
    Winner next time
    Hidden Gold (IRE)
    Their pos
    8
    Won on
    4 Jul 14
    Race won
    Harriet Pyke Worldpay Fillies' Handicap
  • 5/1028 May 14 · Kempton (AW)

    Betdaq Supporting The Injured Jockeys Fund Handicap

    All fields
    Date
    28 May 14
    Course
    Kempton (AW)
    Race
    Betdaq Supporting The Injured Jockeys Fund Handicap
    This horse
    5/10
    Winner next time
    Anglophile (GB)
    Their pos
    3
    Won on
    2 Jun 14
    Race won
    Belvoir Castle Handicap
  • 5/1028 May 14 · Kempton (AW)

    Betdaq Supporting The Injured Jockeys Fund Handicap

    All fields
    Date
    28 May 14
    Course
    Kempton (AW)
    Race
    Betdaq Supporting The Injured Jockeys Fund Handicap
    This horse
    5/10
    Winner next time
    Filament Of Gold (USA)
    Their pos
    10
    Won on
    8 Jul 14
    At
    Lingfield (AW)
    Race won
    32Red Casino Handicap
  • 7/816 May 14 · Newbury

    Swettenham Stud Fillies' Trial Stakes

    All fields
    Date
    16 May 14
    Course
    Newbury
    Race
    Swettenham Stud Fillies' Trial Stakes
    This horse
    7/8
    Winner next time
    Hadaatha (IRE)
    Their pos
    3
    Won on
    17 Sep 14
    Race won
    EBF At The Races John Musker Fillies' Stakes (for The John Musker Trophy)
  • 2/1414 Aug 13 · Kempton (AW)

    British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes

    All fields
    Date
    14 Aug 13
    Course
    Kempton (AW)
    Race
    British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes
    This horse
    2/14
    Winner next time
    Tender Emotion (GB)
    Their pos
    1
    Won on
    26 Sep 13
    Race won
    Best Horse Racing - Sky Channel 432 Fillies' Nursery Handicap
  • 2/1414 Aug 13 · Kempton (AW)

    British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes

    All fields
    Date
    14 Aug 13
    Course
    Kempton (AW)
    Race
    British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes
    This horse
    2/14
    Winner next time
    Uchenna (IRE)
    Their pos
    7
    Won on
    3 Sep 13
    Race won
    EBF Racing UK Maiden Fillies' Stakes
  • 2/1414 Aug 13 · Kempton (AW)

    British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes

    All fields
    Date
    14 Aug 13
    Course
    Kempton (AW)
    Race
    British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes
    This horse
    2/14
    Winner next time
    Peacemaker (IRE)
    Their pos
    9
    Won on
    3 Sep 13
    Race won
    Nelson Restaurant Maiden Auction Stakes
  • 2/1414 Aug 13 · Kempton (AW)

    British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes

    All fields
    Date
    14 Aug 13
    Course
    Kempton (AW)
    Race
    British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes
    This horse
    2/14
    Winner next time
    Dance Bid (GB)
    Their pos
    12
    Won on
    31 Aug 13
    Race won
    EBF racehorsetrader.com Maiden Fillies' Stakes (Div II)
  • 10/1826 Jul 13 · Ascot

    John Guest EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes

    All fields
    Date
    26 Jul 13
    Course
    Ascot
    Race
    John Guest EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes
    This horse
    10/18
    Winner next time
    Crowley's Law (GB)
    Their pos
    5
    Won on
    18 Sep 13
    Race won
    Play Roulette And Blackjack At totepool.com EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes
  • 10/1826 Jul 13 · Ascot

    John Guest EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes

    All fields
    Date
    26 Jul 13
    Course
    Ascot
    Race
    John Guest EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes
    This horse
    10/18
    Winner next time
    Bright Cecily (IRE)
    Their pos
    9
    Won on
    15 Aug 13
    Race won
    totesuperscoop6 Available At The Ebor Festival Maiden Auction Stakes (Div II)
  • 10/1826 Jul 13 · Ascot

    John Guest EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes

    All fields
    Date
    26 Jul 13
    Course
    Ascot
    Race
    John Guest EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes
    This horse
    10/18
    Winner next time
    Mutatis Mutandis (IRE)
    Their pos
    11
    Won on
    17 Aug 13
    Race won
    S Smith T/A Pro-Pave Ltd EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes
  • 10/1826 Jul 13 · Ascot

    John Guest EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes

    All fields
    Date
    26 Jul 13
    Course
    Ascot
    Race
    John Guest EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes
    This horse
    10/18
    Winner next time
    Stealth Missile (IRE)
    Their pos
    15
    Won on
    7 Sep 13
    Race won
    McGee Group E B F Maiden Stakes

Other runners from this horse's races (latest 20 races with a next-time-out winner, up to 40 rows) that won on their next start in Britain or Ireland. FF on the race record = next-time-out winners / runners that have run again (this horse excluded).

Trainer changes

TrainerFirst runLast runFirst run for yardOR first runOR last runBest ORRunsWins2nd3rdWin %Place %Prize GB (£)Prize IRE (€)
John Gosden26 Jul 1322 Jun 1410/18808282711114.3%42.9%£4,739€0
John Gosden
First run
26 Jul 13
Last run
22 Jun 14
First run for yard
10/18
OR first run
80
OR last run
82
Best OR
82
Runs
7
Wins
1
2nd
1
3rd
1
Win %
14.3%
Place %
42.9%
Prize GB (£)
£4,739
Prize IRE (€)
€0

Trained by one trainer throughout its British and Irish career.

Stats

Career summary by code (GB & IRE)

CodeRunsWins2nd3rdWin %Place %Prize GB (£)Prize IRE (€)Best ORFirst runLast run
Flat711114.3%42.9%£4,739€08226 Jul 1322 Jun 14
Flat
Code
Flat
Runs
7
Wins
1
2nd
1
3rd
1
Win %
14.3%
Place %
42.9%
Prize GB (£)
£4,739
Prize IRE (€)
€0
Best OR
82
First run
26 Jul 13
Last run
22 Jun 14

Placed = 1st in 2-4 runners, 1st-2nd in 5-7, 1st-3rd in 8+.

By race type

Race typeRunsWins2nd3rdWin %Place %Prize GB (£)Prize IRE (€)
Flat Turf510120.0%40.0%£3,873€0
Flat AW20100.0%50.0%£866€0
Flat Turf
Race type
Flat Turf
Runs
5
Wins
1
2nd
0
3rd
1
Win %
20.0%
Place %
40.0%
Prize GB (£)
£3,873
Prize IRE (€)
€0
Flat AW
Race type
Flat AW
Runs
2
Wins
0
2nd
1
3rd
0
Win %
0.0%
Place %
50.0%
Prize GB (£)
£866
Prize IRE (€)
€0

By going

GoingRunsWins2nd3rdWin %Place %Prize GB (£)Prize IRE (€)
Good to Firm10010.0%100.0%£962€0
Good410025.0%25.0%£2,911€0
Standard20100.0%50.0%£866€0
Good to Firm
Going
Good to Firm
Runs
1
Wins
0
2nd
0
3rd
1
Win %
0.0%
Place %
100.0%
Prize GB (£)
£962
Prize IRE (€)
€0
Good
Going
Good
Runs
4
Wins
1
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
25.0%
Place %
25.0%
Prize GB (£)
£2,911
Prize IRE (€)
€0
Standard
Going
Standard
Runs
2
Wins
0
2nd
1
3rd
0
Win %
0.0%
Place %
50.0%
Prize GB (£)
£866
Prize IRE (€)
€0

By distance

DistanceRunsWins2nd3rdWin %Place %Prize GB (£)Prize IRE (€)
7f to 1m311033.3%66.7%£3,777€0
9f to 11f40010.0%25.0%£962€0
7f to 1m
Distance
7f to 1m
Runs
3
Wins
1
2nd
1
3rd
0
Win %
33.3%
Place %
66.7%
Prize GB (£)
£3,777
Prize IRE (€)
€0
9f to 11f
Distance
9f to 11f
Runs
4
Wins
0
2nd
0
3rd
1
Win %
0.0%
Place %
25.0%
Prize GB (£)
£962
Prize IRE (€)
€0

Flat bands: 5f-6f, 7f-1m, 9f-11f, 12f-13f, 14f+. NH bands: 2m-2m1f, 2m2f-2m5f, 2m6f-3m1f, 3m2f+.

By course

CourseRunsWins2nd3rdWin %Place %Prize GB (£)Prize IRE (€)
Kempton (AW)20100.0%50.0%£866€0
Chepstow1100100.0%100.0%£2,911€0
Ascot10000.0%0.0%£0€0
Newbury10000.0%0.0%£0€0
Pontefract10000.0%0.0%£0€0
Salisbury10010.0%100.0%£962€0
Kempton (AW)
Course
Kempton (AW)
Runs
2
Wins
0
2nd
1
3rd
0
Win %
0.0%
Place %
50.0%
Prize GB (£)
£866
Prize IRE (€)
€0
Chepstow
Course
Chepstow
Runs
1
Wins
1
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
100.0%
Place %
100.0%
Prize GB (£)
£2,911
Prize IRE (€)
€0
Ascot
Course
Ascot
Runs
1
Wins
0
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
0.0%
Place %
0.0%
Prize GB (£)
£0
Prize IRE (€)
€0
Newbury
Course
Newbury
Runs
1
Wins
0
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
0.0%
Place %
0.0%
Prize GB (£)
£0
Prize IRE (€)
€0
Pontefract
Runs
1
Wins
0
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
0.0%
Place %
0.0%
Prize GB (£)
£0
Prize IRE (€)
€0
Salisbury
Course
Salisbury
Runs
1
Wins
0
2nd
0
3rd
1
Win %
0.0%
Place %
100.0%
Prize GB (£)
£962
Prize IRE (€)
€0

By class

ClassRunsWins2nd3rdWin %Place %Prize GB (£)Prize IRE (€)
Listed10000.0%0.0%£0€0
Class 440010.0%25.0%£962€0
Class 5211050.0%100.0%£3,777€0
Listed
Class
Listed
Runs
1
Wins
0
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
0.0%
Place %
0.0%
Prize GB (£)
£0
Prize IRE (€)
€0
Class 4
Class
Class 4
Runs
4
Wins
0
2nd
0
3rd
1
Win %
0.0%
Place %
25.0%
Prize GB (£)
£962
Prize IRE (€)
€0
Class 5
Class
Class 5
Runs
2
Wins
1
2nd
1
3rd
0
Win %
50.0%
Place %
100.0%
Prize GB (£)
£3,777
Prize IRE (€)
€0

Pattern (Group/Grade/Listed) shown ahead of class. Irish races carry no class, so they are grouped as handicap or non-handicap.

By field size

RunnersRunsWins2nd3rdWin %Place %Prize GB (£)Prize IRE (€)
6 to 8 runners20000.0%0.0%£0€0
9 to 12 runners310133.3%66.7%£3,873€0
13 to 16 runners10100.0%100.0%£866€0
17+ runners10000.0%0.0%£0€0
6 to 8 runners
Runners
6 to 8 runners
Runs
2
Wins
0
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
0.0%
Place %
0.0%
Prize GB (£)
£0
Prize IRE (€)
€0
9 to 12 runners
Runners
9 to 12 runners
Runs
3
Wins
1
2nd
0
3rd
1
Win %
33.3%
Place %
66.7%
Prize GB (£)
£3,873
Prize IRE (€)
€0
13 to 16 runners
Runners
13 to 16 runners
Runs
1
Wins
0
2nd
1
3rd
0
Win %
0.0%
Place %
100.0%
Prize GB (£)
£866
Prize IRE (€)
€0
17+ runners
Runners
17+ runners
Runs
1
Wins
0
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
0.0%
Place %
0.0%
Prize GB (£)
£0
Prize IRE (€)
€0

By month

MonthRunsWins2nd3rdWin %Place %Prize GB (£)Prize IRE (€)
May20000.0%0.0%£0€0
June20010.0%50.0%£962€0
July10000.0%0.0%£0€0
August211050.0%100.0%£3,777€0
May
Month
May
Runs
2
Wins
0
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
0.0%
Place %
0.0%
Prize GB (£)
£0
Prize IRE (€)
€0
June
Month
June
Runs
2
Wins
0
2nd
0
3rd
1
Win %
0.0%
Place %
50.0%
Prize GB (£)
£962
Prize IRE (€)
€0
July
Month
July
Runs
1
Wins
0
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
0.0%
Place %
0.0%
Prize GB (£)
£0
Prize IRE (€)
€0
August
Month
August
Runs
2
Wins
1
2nd
1
3rd
0
Win %
50.0%
Place %
100.0%
Prize GB (£)
£3,777
Prize IRE (€)
€0

By jockey

JockeyRunsWins2nd3rdWin %Place %Prize GB (£)Prize IRE (€)
Robert Havlin410025.0%25.0%£2,911€0
James Doyle20010.0%50.0%£962€0
William Buick10100.0%100.0%£866€0
Robert Havlin
Runs
4
Wins
1
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
25.0%
Place %
25.0%
Prize GB (£)
£2,911
Prize IRE (€)
€0
James Doyle
Runs
2
Wins
0
2nd
0
3rd
1
Win %
0.0%
Place %
50.0%
Prize GB (£)
£962
Prize IRE (€)
€0
William Buick
Runs
1
Wins
0
2nd
1
3rd
0
Win %
0.0%
Place %
100.0%
Prize GB (£)
£866
Prize IRE (€)
€0

By trainer

TrainerRunsWins2nd3rdWin %Place %Prize GB (£)Prize IRE (€)
John Gosden711114.3%42.9%£4,739€0
John Gosden
Runs
7
Wins
1
2nd
1
3rd
1
Win %
14.3%
Place %
42.9%
Prize GB (£)
£4,739
Prize IRE (€)
€0

By headgear

HeadgearRunsWins2nd3rdWin %Place %Prize GB (£)Prize IRE (€)
No headgear511120.0%60.0%£4,739€0
h20000.0%0.0%£0€0
No headgear
Headgear
No headgear
Runs
5
Wins
1
2nd
1
3rd
1
Win %
20.0%
Place %
60.0%
Prize GB (£)
£4,739
Prize IRE (€)
€0
h
Headgear
h
Runs
2
Wins
0
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
0.0%
Place %
0.0%
Prize GB (£)
£0
Prize IRE (€)
€0

Headgear codes as declared: b blinkers, v visor, p cheekpieces, t tongue strap, h hood, e/s eyeshield.

By days since last run

Days since last runRunsWins2nd3rdWin %Place %Prize GB (£)Prize IRE (€)
Debut / no previous run10000.0%0.0%£0€0
8 to 14 days410125.0%50.0%£3,873€0
15 to 30 days10100.0%100.0%£866€0
121 to 365 days10000.0%0.0%£0€0
Debut / no previous run
Days since last run
Debut / no previous run
Runs
1
Wins
0
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
0.0%
Place %
0.0%
Prize GB (£)
£0
Prize IRE (€)
€0
8 to 14 days
Days since last run
8 to 14 days
Runs
4
Wins
1
2nd
0
3rd
1
Win %
25.0%
Place %
50.0%
Prize GB (£)
£3,873
Prize IRE (€)
€0
15 to 30 days
Days since last run
15 to 30 days
Runs
1
Wins
0
2nd
1
3rd
0
Win %
0.0%
Place %
100.0%
Prize GB (£)
£866
Prize IRE (€)
€0
121 to 365 days
Days since last run
121 to 365 days
Runs
1
Wins
0
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
0.0%
Place %
0.0%
Prize GB (£)
£0
Prize IRE (€)
€0

Counted from the previous run in Britain or Ireland; runs abroad are not seen.

By first-time headgear

HeadgearRunsWins2nd3rdWin %Place %Prize GB (£)Prize IRE (€)
First time in any headgear10000.0%0.0%£0€0
First time hood10000.0%0.0%£0€0
Headgear, all items worn before10000.0%0.0%£0€0
No headgear511120.0%60.0%£4,739€0
First time in any headgear
Headgear
First time in any headgear
Runs
1
Wins
0
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
0.0%
Place %
0.0%
Prize GB (£)
£0
Prize IRE (€)
€0
First time hood
Headgear
First time hood
Runs
1
Wins
0
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
0.0%
Place %
0.0%
Prize GB (£)
£0
Prize IRE (€)
€0
Headgear, all items worn before
Headgear
Headgear, all items worn before
Runs
1
Wins
0
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
0.0%
Place %
0.0%
Prize GB (£)
£0
Prize IRE (€)
€0
No headgear
Headgear
No headgear
Runs
5
Wins
1
2nd
1
3rd
1
Win %
20.0%
Place %
60.0%
Prize GB (£)
£4,739
Prize IRE (€)
€0

A run can count in more than one "first time" row (e.g. first-time blinkers and first headgear of any kind). First time is judged against earlier British and Irish runs only.

Pedigree

Pedigree

Sire branchMizzen Mast (USA)

Parent · 1

  1. SireMizzen Mast (USA)

Grandparents · 2

  1. Sire's sireNot traced
  2. Sire's damNot traced

Great-grandparents · 4

  1. Sire's sire's sireNot traced
  2. Sire's sire's damNot traced
  3. Sire's dam's sireNot traced
  4. Sire's dam's damNot traced
Dam branchLight Jig (GB)

Parent · 1

  1. DamLight Jig (GB)

Grandparents · 2

  1. Dam's sireDanehill (USA)
  2. Dam's damNot traced

Great-grandparents · 4

  1. Dam's sire's sireNot traced
  2. Dam's sire's damNot traced
  3. Dam's dam's sireNot traced
  4. Dam's dam's damNot traced
Not traced
Not traced
Not traced
Not traced
Not traced
Not traced
Not traced
Not traced
Not traced
Not traced
Not traced

Breeding card

HorseLikelihood (USA)
Sexfilly
Foaled2011
SireMizzen Mast (USA)
DamLight Jig (GB)
DamsireDanehill (USA)
Dam's produce5 winners from 6 runners
Notable siblingScottish Jig (USA)

Female line

  1. Light Jig (GB) · 5 winners from 6 runners

Sire, dam and damsire

SireDamDamsireSexSire's avg winning distanceDamsire's avg winning distance
Mizzen Mast (USA)Light Jig (GB)Danehill (USA)fillyFlat 8.5f · NH 2m½fFlat 8.6f · NH 2m1½f
Mizzen Mast (USA)
Sex
filly
Sire's avg winning distance
Flat 8.5f · NH 2m½f
Damsire's avg winning distance
Flat 8.6f · NH 2m1½f

Progeny of Mizzen Mast (USA) in this horse's best conditions

ConditionRunsWinsPlacedWin %Place %This horse runsThis horse wins
All Flat runs1,23813336810.7%29.7%71
At 7f to 1m5405816210.7%30.0%31
On Good going22020579.1%25.9%41
At 7f to 1m on Good going10210309.8%29.4%21
All Flat runs
Condition
All Flat runs
Runs
1,238
Wins
133
Placed
368
Win %
10.7%
Place %
29.7%
This horse runs
7
This horse wins
1
At 7f to 1m
Condition
At 7f to 1m
Runs
540
Wins
58
Placed
162
Win %
10.7%
Place %
30.0%
This horse runs
3
This horse wins
1
On Good going
Condition
On Good going
Runs
220
Wins
20
Placed
57
Win %
9.1%
Place %
25.9%
This horse runs
4
This horse wins
1
At 7f to 1m on Good going
Condition
At 7f to 1m on Good going
Runs
102
Wins
10
Placed
30
Win %
9.8%
Place %
29.4%
This horse runs
2
This horse wins
1

Best distance band and going band are where this horse has most wins (then places, then runs) in its main code. Sire figures: all British and Irish runs by the sire's progeny since 1990.

Mizzen Mast (USA) × Danehill mares (the cross)

CodeRunnersWinnersWinners %Black-type winnersRunsWins2nd/3rdWin %Prize GB (£)Prize IRE (€)
Flat44100.0%0784185.1%£17,067€11,020
National Hunt3133.3%033133.0%£4,705€0
All runs44100.0%01115214.5%£21,772€11,020
Flat
Code
Flat
Runners
4
Winners
4
Winners %
100.0%
Black-type winners
0
Runs
78
Wins
4
2nd/3rd
18
Win %
5.1%
Prize GB (£)
£17,067
Prize IRE (€)
€11,020
National Hunt
Code
National Hunt
Runners
3
Winners
1
Winners %
33.3%
Black-type winners
0
Runs
33
Wins
1
2nd/3rd
3
Win %
3.0%
Prize GB (£)
£4,705
Prize IRE (€)
€0
All runs
Code
All runs
Runners
4
Winners
4
Winners %
100.0%
Black-type winners
0
Runs
111
Wins
5
2nd/3rd
21
Win %
4.5%
Prize GB (£)
£21,772
Prize IRE (€)
€11,020

All British and Irish runners by this sire out of mares by this damsire, since 1990 (includes this horse). Black type = Group/Grade 1-3 or Listed winner.

Best of the cross

HorseRunsWinsBlack-type winsPrize GB (£)Prize IRE (€)
Inside Knowledge (USA)6220£9,760€0
Artois (GB)710£7,273€0
Likelihood (USA)710£4,739€0
Merry Mast (USA)3510£0€11,020
Inside Knowledge (USA)
Runs
62
Wins
2
Black-type wins
0
Prize GB (£)
£9,760
Prize IRE (€)
€0
Artois (GB)
Runs
7
Wins
1
Black-type wins
0
Prize GB (£)
£7,273
Prize IRE (€)
€0
Likelihood (USA)
Runs
7
Wins
1
Black-type wins
0
Prize GB (£)
£4,739
Prize IRE (€)
€0
Merry Mast (USA)
Runs
35
Wins
1
Black-type wins
0
Prize GB (£)
£0
Prize IRE (€)
€11,020

Top 12 by best win level, then wins.

Ratings

Official ratings

CodeCurrent ORHighest ORLowest ORRated runs
Flat8282804
Flat
Code
Flat
Current OR
82
Highest OR
82
Lowest OR
80
Rated runs
4

Current OR here is the mark carried on the latest run in each code; the page header uses a newer declared mark where one exists.

Official rating by run

DateCourseCodeORChangePos
22 Jun 14PontefractFlat8226/6
10 Jun 14SalisburyFlat8003/9
28 May 14Kempton (AW)Flat8005/10
16 May 14NewburyFlat80-7/8
  • 6/622 Jun 14 · Pontefract
    All fields
    Date
    22 Jun 14
    Code
    Flat
    OR
    82
    Change
    2
    Pos
    6/6
  • 3/910 Jun 14 · Salisbury
    All fields
    Date
    10 Jun 14
    Course
    Salisbury
    Code
    Flat
    OR
    80
    Change
    0
    Pos
    3/9
  • 5/1028 May 14 · Kempton (AW)
    All fields
    Date
    28 May 14
    Course
    Kempton (AW)
    Code
    Flat
    OR
    80
    Change
    0
    Pos
    5/10
  • 7/816 May 14 · Newbury
    All fields
    Date
    16 May 14
    Course
    Newbury
    Code
    Flat
    OR
    80
    Change
    -
    Pos
    7/8

Current mark v winning marks

CodeCurrent OROR last runChangeHighest ORv highest
Flat82820820
Flat
Code
Flat
Current OR
82
OR last run
82
Change
0
Highest OR
82
v highest
0

Differences are current OR minus the mark shown (positive = higher now). Current OR in the main code uses a newer declared or published mark where one exists.

Family

Dam summary

Light Jig (GB)

G1 winners
0
Produce
5 winners from 6 runners

Full siblings

No other foal by Mizzen Mast (USA) out of Light Jig (GB) has raced in Britain or Ireland.

Half siblings

By Dynaformer (USA)

By Gone West (USA)

By Street Sense (USA)

By Speightstown (USA)

Female line

  1. 1Light Jig (GB)

Notable relatives

Half-sister

View full Light Jig family

In brief

When was Likelihood foaled?

Likelihood (USA) was foaled in 2011.

Who are the sire and dam of Likelihood?

Likelihood (USA) is by Mizzen Mast (USA) out of Light Jig (GB), a daughter of Danehill (USA).

Who trained Likelihood?

Likelihood (USA) was trained by John Gosden and owned by K Abdullah at the time of the last run in Britain or Ireland.

What is Likelihood's race record?

In Britain and Ireland, Likelihood (USA) won 1 of 7 races (14%). Runs abroad (for example in France, Dubai or the USA) are not included.

What is Likelihood's biggest win?

Likelihood (USA)'s only win in Britain or Ireland came in the Best Bookies Offers From thebookiesoffers.co.uk EBF Median Auction Maiden Fillies' Stakes at Chepstow on 26 August 2013.

Has Likelihood ever been beaten?

Likelihood (USA) was beaten 6 times in 7 runs in Britain and Ireland, the first time on 26 July 2013 at Ascot (10th of 18).

What was Likelihood's official rating?

Likelihood (USA) was last officially rated 82 on the Flat (also the career high).

Is Likelihood still racing?

Likelihood (USA) last ran in Britain or Ireland on 22 June 2014 at Pontefract in the toteexacta Pick The 1 2 Fillies' Handicap, finishing 6th of 6, and has not run there since.

Is Likelihood related to any top horses?

Likelihood (USA)'s black-type relatives in Britain and Ireland include Scottish Jig (USA) (half-sister, Listed winner), from the Light Jig (GB) family.

What is Likelihood's record at Kempton (AW)?

Likelihood (USA) ran most often at Kempton (AW), with no wins from 2 runs there.

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