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Probability (IRE) silks

Horse profile

Probability

Moohaajim (IRE) × Fine Prospect (IRE) (Namid (GB))
Sex
mare
Foaled
2016
Colour
bay
Highest OR
89
Record (GB & IRE)
5 wins from 14 runs (36%)
Prize money (GB & IRE)
£34,548 GB
Last official rating
88 (Flat)
Last run (GB & IRE)
20 Sep 2019, Ayr (16/16)
Last win (GB & IRE)
25 May 2019, Chester
Recent form
1021311151492716

Form

Race record

DateCoursePosSPBtnJockeyTrainerRaceClassTypeDistGoingWgtORWinner / 2ndWinner prizeDaysFuture form
20 Sep 19Ayr16/1633/114Richard KingscoteArchie WatsonAl Maktoum Cup Arran Scottish Fillies' Sprint StakesListedFlat Turf5½fGood8-1288Lady In France (GB)£28,355201/12
31 Aug 19Wolverhampton (AW)7/77/24Miss Kate LeahyArchie WatsonPremier Suppliers Of Business Furniture deskstor.co.uk HandicapClass 3Flat AW5fStandard8-888Rocket Action (GB)£14,232151/6
16 Aug 19Chelmsford (AW)2/79/2¾Hollie DoyleArchie WatsonBet totequadpot At totesport.com HandicapClass 3Flat AW5fStandard9-688Furious (GB)£9,704232/5
24 Jul 19Naas (IRE)9/1720/15Gary CarrollArchie WatsonYeomanstown Stud Irish EBF Stakes (Fillies & Mares)ListedFlat Turf6fGood9-089Servalan (IRE)€35,400341/13
20 Jun 19Chelmsford (AW)4/1012/12¼Hollie DoyleArchie WatsonLifehouse Spa Day Fillies' HandicapClass 3Flat AW6fStandard9-689Shimmering Dawn (IRE)£10,350260/8
25 May 19Chester1/98/1won nkHollie DoyleArchie WatsonChester Heritage Festival Fillies' HandicapClass 4Flat Turf6fGood9-785Be Like Me (IRE)£8,022321/8
23 Apr 19Lingfield (AW)5/73/13¾Ben CurtisArchie WatsonDownload The Star Sports App Now! HandicapClass 4Flat AW6fStandard9-785Alnasherat (GB)£5,531110/6
12 Apr 19Kempton (AW)1/107/1won ½Edward GreatrexArchie Watson32Red.com HandicapClass 4Flat AW6fStandard to Slow9-482Tinto (GB)£6,469130/9
30 Mar 19Kempton (AW)1/128/1won ¾Ben CurtisArchie WatsonMatchbook Best Value Exchange HandicapClass 4Flat AW6fStandard to Slow9-078Magical Wish (IRE)£6,469441/11
14 Feb 19Chelmsford (AW)1/55/1won 1½Edward GreatrexArchie WatsonExtra Places At totesport.com HandicapClass 5Flat AW6fStandard9-773Antonia Clara (GB)£4,852120/4
2 Feb 19Kempton (AW)3/85/22½Edward GreatrexArchie Watson32Red Casino HandicapClass 5Flat AW6fStandard to Slow9-773Distant Mirage (GB)£3,752140/7
19 Jan 19Lingfield (AW)1/84/5Fwon 2Edward GreatrexArchie WatsonBetway Median Auction Maiden StakesClass 6Flat AW6fStandard8-7-Sea Of Reality (IRE)£3,105171/7
2 Jan 19Wolverhampton (AW)2/1310/1½Edward GreatrexArchie WatsonBetway Novice StakesClass 5Flat AW6fStandard8-7-Benny And The Jets (IRE)£3,7522161/12
31 May 18Chelmsford (AW)10/123/18¼Edward GreatrexArchie Watson£20 Free Bets At totesport.com Novice Auction StakesClass 4Flat AW6fStandard8-11-Buckingham (IRE)£7,116-0/11
  • 16/1620 Sep 19 · Ayr33/1

    Al Maktoum Cup Arran Scottish Fillies' Sprint Stakes

    Listed5½fGood

    All fields
    Date
    20 Sep 19
    Course
    Ayr
    Pos
    16/16
    SP
    33/1
    Btn
    14
    Race
    Al Maktoum Cup Arran Scottish Fillies' Sprint Stakes
    Class
    Listed
    Type
    Flat Turf
    Dist
    5½f
    Going
    Good
    Wgt
    8-12
    OR
    88
    Winner prize
    £28,355
    Days
    20
    Future form
    1/12
  • 7/731 Aug 19 · Wolverhampton (AW)7/2

    Premier Suppliers Of Business Furniture deskstor.co.uk Handicap

    Class 35fStandard

    All fields
    Date
    31 Aug 19
    Course
    Wolverhampton (AW)
    Pos
    7/7
    SP
    7/2
    Btn
    4
    Race
    Premier Suppliers Of Business Furniture deskstor.co.uk Handicap
    Class
    Class 3
    Type
    Flat AW
    Dist
    5f
    Going
    Standard
    Wgt
    8-8
    OR
    88
    Winner / 2nd
    Rocket Action (GB)
    Winner prize
    £14,232
    Days
    15
    Future form
    1/6
  • 2/716 Aug 19 · Chelmsford (AW)9/2

    Bet totequadpot At totesport.com Handicap

    Class 35fStandard

    All fields
    Date
    16 Aug 19
    Course
    Chelmsford (AW)
    Pos
    2/7
    SP
    9/2
    Btn
    ¾
    Race
    Bet totequadpot At totesport.com Handicap
    Class
    Class 3
    Type
    Flat AW
    Dist
    5f
    Going
    Standard
    Wgt
    9-6
    OR
    88
    Winner / 2nd
    Furious (GB)
    Winner prize
    £9,704
    Days
    23
    Future form
    2/5
  • 9/1724 Jul 19 · Naas (IRE)20/1

    Yeomanstown Stud Irish EBF Stakes (Fillies & Mares)

    Listed6fGood

    All fields
    Date
    24 Jul 19
    Pos
    9/17
    SP
    20/1
    Btn
    5
    Race
    Yeomanstown Stud Irish EBF Stakes (Fillies & Mares)
    Class
    Listed
    Type
    Flat Turf
    Dist
    6f
    Going
    Good
    Wgt
    9-0
    OR
    89
    Winner / 2nd
    Servalan (IRE)
    Winner prize
    €35,400
    Days
    34
    Future form
    1/13
  • 4/1020 Jun 19 · Chelmsford (AW)12/1

    Lifehouse Spa Day Fillies' Handicap

    Class 36fStandard

    All fields
    Date
    20 Jun 19
    Course
    Chelmsford (AW)
    Pos
    4/10
    SP
    12/1
    Btn
    2¼
    Race
    Lifehouse Spa Day Fillies' Handicap
    Class
    Class 3
    Type
    Flat AW
    Dist
    6f
    Going
    Standard
    Wgt
    9-6
    OR
    89
    Winner prize
    £10,350
    Days
    26
    Future form
    0/8
  • 1/925 May 19 · Chester8/1

    Chester Heritage Festival Fillies' Handicap

    Class 46fGood

    All fields
    Date
    25 May 19
    Course
    Chester
    Pos
    1/9
    SP
    8/1
    Btn
    won nk
    Race
    Chester Heritage Festival Fillies' Handicap
    Class
    Class 4
    Type
    Flat Turf
    Dist
    6f
    Going
    Good
    Wgt
    9-7
    OR
    85
    Winner / 2nd
    Be Like Me (IRE)
    Winner prize
    £8,022
    Days
    32
    Future form
    1/8
  • 5/723 Apr 19 · Lingfield (AW)3/1

    Download The Star Sports App Now! Handicap

    Class 46fStandard

    All fields
    Date
    23 Apr 19
    Course
    Lingfield (AW)
    Pos
    5/7
    SP
    3/1
    Btn
    3¾
    Race
    Download The Star Sports App Now! Handicap
    Class
    Class 4
    Type
    Flat AW
    Dist
    6f
    Going
    Standard
    Wgt
    9-7
    OR
    85
    Winner / 2nd
    Alnasherat (GB)
    Winner prize
    £5,531
    Days
    11
    Future form
    0/6
  • 1/1012 Apr 19 · Kempton (AW)7/1

    32Red.com Handicap

    Class 46fStandard to Slow

    All fields
    Date
    12 Apr 19
    Course
    Kempton (AW)
    Pos
    1/10
    SP
    7/1
    Btn
    won ½
    Race
    32Red.com Handicap
    Class
    Class 4
    Type
    Flat AW
    Dist
    6f
    Going
    Standard to Slow
    Wgt
    9-4
    OR
    82
    Winner / 2nd
    Tinto (GB)
    Winner prize
    £6,469
    Days
    13
    Future form
    0/9
  • 1/1230 Mar 19 · Kempton (AW)8/1

    Matchbook Best Value Exchange Handicap

    Class 46fStandard to Slow

    All fields
    Date
    30 Mar 19
    Course
    Kempton (AW)
    Pos
    1/12
    SP
    8/1
    Btn
    won ¾
    Race
    Matchbook Best Value Exchange Handicap
    Class
    Class 4
    Type
    Flat AW
    Dist
    6f
    Going
    Standard to Slow
    Wgt
    9-0
    OR
    78
    Winner / 2nd
    Magical Wish (IRE)
    Winner prize
    £6,469
    Days
    44
    Future form
    1/11
  • 1/514 Feb 19 · Chelmsford (AW)5/1

    Extra Places At totesport.com Handicap

    Class 56fStandard

    All fields
    Date
    14 Feb 19
    Course
    Chelmsford (AW)
    Pos
    1/5
    SP
    5/1
    Btn
    won 1½
    Race
    Extra Places At totesport.com Handicap
    Class
    Class 5
    Type
    Flat AW
    Dist
    6f
    Going
    Standard
    Wgt
    9-7
    OR
    73
    Winner / 2nd
    Antonia Clara (GB)
    Winner prize
    £4,852
    Days
    12
    Future form
    0/4
  • 3/82 Feb 19 · Kempton (AW)5/2

    32Red Casino Handicap

    Class 56fStandard to Slow

    All fields
    Date
    2 Feb 19
    Course
    Kempton (AW)
    Pos
    3/8
    SP
    5/2
    Btn
    2½
    Race
    32Red Casino Handicap
    Class
    Class 5
    Type
    Flat AW
    Dist
    6f
    Going
    Standard to Slow
    Wgt
    9-7
    OR
    73
    Winner prize
    £3,752
    Days
    14
    Future form
    0/7
  • 1/819 Jan 19 · Lingfield (AW)4/5F

    Betway Median Auction Maiden Stakes

    Class 66fStandard

    All fields
    Date
    19 Jan 19
    Course
    Lingfield (AW)
    Pos
    1/8
    SP
    4/5F
    Btn
    won 2
    Race
    Betway Median Auction Maiden Stakes
    Class
    Class 6
    Type
    Flat AW
    Dist
    6f
    Going
    Standard
    Wgt
    8-7
    OR
    -
    Winner prize
    £3,105
    Days
    17
    Future form
    1/7
  • 2/132 Jan 19 · Wolverhampton (AW)10/1

    Betway Novice Stakes

    Class 56fStandard

    All fields
    Date
    2 Jan 19
    Course
    Wolverhampton (AW)
    Pos
    2/13
    SP
    10/1
    Btn
    ½
    Race
    Betway Novice Stakes
    Class
    Class 5
    Type
    Flat AW
    Dist
    6f
    Going
    Standard
    Wgt
    8-7
    OR
    -
    Winner prize
    £3,752
    Days
    216
    Future form
    1/12
  • 10/1231 May 18 · Chelmsford (AW)3/1

    £20 Free Bets At totesport.com Novice Auction Stakes

    Class 46fStandard

    All fields
    Date
    31 May 18
    Course
    Chelmsford (AW)
    Pos
    10/12
    SP
    3/1
    Btn
    8¼
    Race
    £20 Free Bets At totesport.com Novice Auction Stakes
    Class
    Class 4
    Type
    Flat AW
    Dist
    6f
    Going
    Standard
    Wgt
    8-11
    OR
    -
    Winner / 2nd
    Buckingham (IRE)
    Winner prize
    £7,116
    Days
    -
    Future form
    0/11

Every British and Irish run since 1990, latest first. Btn is the overall distance beaten (lengths). Where the horse won, the runner-up and winning margin are shown.

Future form: next-time-out winners from this horse's races

DateCourseRaceThis horseWinner next timeTheir posWon onAtRace won
20 Sep 19AyrAl Maktoum Cup Arran Scottish Fillies' Sprint Stakes16/16Que Amoro (IRE)222 Jun 20AyrEBF Land O'Burns Fillies' Stakes
31 Aug 19Wolverhampton (AW)Premier Suppliers Of Business Furniture deskstor.co.uk Handicap7/7Wise Words (GB)410 Sep 19LeicesterEBF Stallions Prestwold Conditions Stakes
16 Aug 19Chelmsford (AW)Bet totequadpot At totesport.com Handicap2/7Furious (GB)14 Sep 19Chelmsford (AW)totepool Cashback Club At totesport.com Handicap
16 Aug 19Chelmsford (AW)Bet totequadpot At totesport.com Handicap2/7Amplify (IRE)521 Aug 19BathWeatherbys Racing Bank Handicap
24 Jul 19Naas (IRE)Yeomanstown Stud Irish EBF Stakes (Fillies & Mares)9/17Nitro Boost (IRE)1129 Aug 19Tipperary (IRE)Abergwaun Stakes
25 May 19ChesterChester Heritage Festival Fillies' Handicap1/9Key To Power (GB)87 Jun 19Brightonstarsports.bet Handicap
30 Mar 19Kempton (AW)Matchbook Best Value Exchange Handicap1/12Magical Wish (IRE)210 Apr 19Lingfield (AW)Ladbrokes Home Of The Odds Boost Handicap
19 Jan 19Lingfield (AW)Betway Median Auction Maiden Stakes1/8Major Blue (GB)66 Feb 19Wolverhampton (AW)Betway Novice Median Auction Stakes
2 Jan 19Wolverhampton (AW)Betway Novice Stakes2/13Dawn Delight (GB)617 Jan 19Newcastle (AW)Betway Novice Stakes
  • 16/1620 Sep 19 · Ayr

    Al Maktoum Cup Arran Scottish Fillies' Sprint Stakes

    All fields
    Date
    20 Sep 19
    Course
    Ayr
    Race
    Al Maktoum Cup Arran Scottish Fillies' Sprint Stakes
    This horse
    16/16
    Winner next time
    Que Amoro (IRE)
    Their pos
    2
    Won on
    22 Jun 20
    At
    Ayr
    Race won
    EBF Land O'Burns Fillies' Stakes
  • 7/731 Aug 19 · Wolverhampton (AW)

    Premier Suppliers Of Business Furniture deskstor.co.uk Handicap

    All fields
    Date
    31 Aug 19
    Course
    Wolverhampton (AW)
    Race
    Premier Suppliers Of Business Furniture deskstor.co.uk Handicap
    This horse
    7/7
    Winner next time
    Wise Words (GB)
    Their pos
    4
    Won on
    10 Sep 19
    Race won
    EBF Stallions Prestwold Conditions Stakes
  • 2/716 Aug 19 · Chelmsford (AW)

    Bet totequadpot At totesport.com Handicap

    All fields
    Date
    16 Aug 19
    Course
    Chelmsford (AW)
    Race
    Bet totequadpot At totesport.com Handicap
    This horse
    2/7
    Winner next time
    Furious (GB)
    Their pos
    1
    Won on
    4 Sep 19
    At
    Chelmsford (AW)
    Race won
    totepool Cashback Club At totesport.com Handicap
  • 2/716 Aug 19 · Chelmsford (AW)

    Bet totequadpot At totesport.com Handicap

    All fields
    Date
    16 Aug 19
    Course
    Chelmsford (AW)
    Race
    Bet totequadpot At totesport.com Handicap
    This horse
    2/7
    Winner next time
    Amplify (IRE)
    Their pos
    5
    Won on
    21 Aug 19
    Race won
    Weatherbys Racing Bank Handicap
  • 9/1724 Jul 19 · Naas (IRE)

    Yeomanstown Stud Irish EBF Stakes (Fillies & Mares)

    All fields
    Date
    24 Jul 19
    Race
    Yeomanstown Stud Irish EBF Stakes (Fillies & Mares)
    This horse
    9/17
    Winner next time
    Nitro Boost (IRE)
    Their pos
    11
    Won on
    29 Aug 19
    Race won
    Abergwaun Stakes
  • 1/925 May 19 · Chester

    Chester Heritage Festival Fillies' Handicap

    All fields
    Date
    25 May 19
    Course
    Chester
    Race
    Chester Heritage Festival Fillies' Handicap
    This horse
    1/9
    Winner next time
    Key To Power (GB)
    Their pos
    8
    Won on
    7 Jun 19
    Race won
    starsports.bet Handicap
  • 1/1230 Mar 19 · Kempton (AW)

    Matchbook Best Value Exchange Handicap

    All fields
    Date
    30 Mar 19
    Course
    Kempton (AW)
    Race
    Matchbook Best Value Exchange Handicap
    This horse
    1/12
    Winner next time
    Magical Wish (IRE)
    Their pos
    2
    Won on
    10 Apr 19
    At
    Lingfield (AW)
    Race won
    Ladbrokes Home Of The Odds Boost Handicap
  • 1/819 Jan 19 · Lingfield (AW)

    Betway Median Auction Maiden Stakes

    All fields
    Date
    19 Jan 19
    Course
    Lingfield (AW)
    Race
    Betway Median Auction Maiden Stakes
    This horse
    1/8
    Winner next time
    Major Blue (GB)
    Their pos
    6
    Won on
    6 Feb 19
    At
    Wolverhampton (AW)
    Race won
    Betway Novice Median Auction Stakes
  • 2/132 Jan 19 · Wolverhampton (AW)

    Betway Novice Stakes

    All fields
    Date
    2 Jan 19
    Course
    Wolverhampton (AW)
    Race
    Betway Novice Stakes
    This horse
    2/13
    Winner next time
    Dawn Delight (GB)
    Their pos
    6
    Won on
    17 Jan 19
    At
    Newcastle (AW)
    Race won
    Betway Novice Stakes

Other runners from this horse's races (latest 20 races with a next-time-out winner, up to 40 rows) that won on their next start in Britain or Ireland. FF on the race record = next-time-out winners / runners that have run again (this horse excluded).

Trainer changes

TrainerFirst runLast runFirst run for yardOR first runOR last runBest ORRunsWins2nd3rdWin %Place %Prize GB (£)Prize IRE (€)
Archie Watson31 May 1820 Sep 1910/127388891452135.7%57.1%£34,548€0
Archie Watson
First run
31 May 18
Last run
20 Sep 19
First run for yard
10/12
OR first run
73
OR last run
88
Best OR
89
Runs
14
Wins
5
2nd
2
3rd
1
Win %
35.7%
Place %
57.1%
Prize GB (£)
£34,548
Prize IRE (€)
€0

Trained by one trainer throughout its British and Irish career.

Stats

Career summary by code (GB & IRE)

CodeRunsWins2nd3rdWin %Place %Prize GB (£)Prize IRE (€)Best ORFirst runLast run
Flat1452135.7%57.1%£34,548€08931 May 1820 Sep 19
Flat
Code
Flat
Runs
14
Wins
5
2nd
2
3rd
1
Win %
35.7%
Place %
57.1%
Prize GB (£)
£34,548
Prize IRE (€)
€0
Best OR
89
First run
31 May 18
Last run
20 Sep 19

Placed = 1st in 2-4 runners, 1st-2nd in 5-7, 1st-3rd in 8+.

By race type

Race typeRunsWins2nd3rdWin %Place %Prize GB (£)Prize IRE (€)
Flat Turf310033.3%33.3%£8,022€0
Flat AW1142136.4%63.6%£26,526€0
Flat Turf
Race type
Flat Turf
Runs
3
Wins
1
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
33.3%
Place %
33.3%
Prize GB (£)
£8,022
Prize IRE (€)
€0
Flat AW
Race type
Flat AW
Runs
11
Wins
4
2nd
2
3rd
1
Win %
36.4%
Place %
63.6%
Prize GB (£)
£26,526
Prize IRE (€)
€0

By going

GoingRunsWins2nd3rdWin %Place %Prize GB (£)Prize IRE (€)
Good310033.3%33.3%£8,022€0
Standard822025.0%50.0%£13,030€0
Standard to Slow320166.7%100.0%£13,496€0
Good
Going
Good
Runs
3
Wins
1
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
33.3%
Place %
33.3%
Prize GB (£)
£8,022
Prize IRE (€)
€0
Standard
Going
Standard
Runs
8
Wins
2
2nd
2
3rd
0
Win %
25.0%
Place %
50.0%
Prize GB (£)
£13,030
Prize IRE (€)
€0
Standard to Slow
Going
Standard to Slow
Runs
3
Wins
2
2nd
0
3rd
1
Win %
66.7%
Place %
100.0%
Prize GB (£)
£13,496
Prize IRE (€)
€0

By distance

DistanceRunsWins2nd3rdWin %Place %Prize GB (£)Prize IRE (€)
5f to 6f1452135.7%57.1%£34,548€0
5f to 6f
Distance
5f to 6f
Runs
14
Wins
5
2nd
2
3rd
1
Win %
35.7%
Place %
57.1%
Prize GB (£)
£34,548
Prize IRE (€)
€0

Flat bands: 5f-6f, 7f-1m, 9f-11f, 12f-13f, 14f+. NH bands: 2m-2m1f, 2m2f-2m5f, 2m6f-3m1f, 3m2f+.

By course

CourseRunsWins2nd3rdWin %Place %Prize GB (£)Prize IRE (€)
Chelmsford (AW)411025.0%50.0%£8,509€0
Kempton (AW)320166.7%100.0%£13,496€0
Lingfield (AW)210050.0%50.0%£3,405€0
Wolverhampton (AW)20100.0%50.0%£1,117€0
Chester1100100.0%100.0%£8,022€0
Ayr10000.0%0.0%£0€0
Naas (IRE)10000.0%0.0%£0€0
Chelmsford (AW)
Course
Chelmsford (AW)
Runs
4
Wins
1
2nd
1
3rd
0
Win %
25.0%
Place %
50.0%
Prize GB (£)
£8,509
Prize IRE (€)
€0
Kempton (AW)
Course
Kempton (AW)
Runs
3
Wins
2
2nd
0
3rd
1
Win %
66.7%
Place %
100.0%
Prize GB (£)
£13,496
Prize IRE (€)
€0
Lingfield (AW)
Course
Lingfield (AW)
Runs
2
Wins
1
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
50.0%
Place %
50.0%
Prize GB (£)
£3,405
Prize IRE (€)
€0
Wolverhampton (AW)
Course
Wolverhampton (AW)
Runs
2
Wins
0
2nd
1
3rd
0
Win %
0.0%
Place %
50.0%
Prize GB (£)
£1,117
Prize IRE (€)
€0
Chester
Course
Chester
Runs
1
Wins
1
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
100.0%
Place %
100.0%
Prize GB (£)
£8,022
Prize IRE (€)
€0
Ayr
Course
Ayr
Runs
1
Wins
0
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
0.0%
Place %
0.0%
Prize GB (£)
£0
Prize IRE (€)
€0
Naas (IRE)
Runs
1
Wins
0
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
0.0%
Place %
0.0%
Prize GB (£)
£0
Prize IRE (€)
€0

By class

ClassRunsWins2nd3rdWin %Place %Prize GB (£)Prize IRE (€)
Listed20000.0%0.0%£0€0
Class 330100.0%33.3%£3,657€0
Class 4530060.0%60.0%£21,260€0
Class 5311133.3%100.0%£6,526€0
Class 61100100.0%100.0%£3,105€0
Listed
Class
Listed
Runs
2
Wins
0
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
0.0%
Place %
0.0%
Prize GB (£)
£0
Prize IRE (€)
€0
Class 3
Class
Class 3
Runs
3
Wins
0
2nd
1
3rd
0
Win %
0.0%
Place %
33.3%
Prize GB (£)
£3,657
Prize IRE (€)
€0
Class 4
Class
Class 4
Runs
5
Wins
3
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
60.0%
Place %
60.0%
Prize GB (£)
£21,260
Prize IRE (€)
€0
Class 5
Class
Class 5
Runs
3
Wins
1
2nd
1
3rd
1
Win %
33.3%
Place %
100.0%
Prize GB (£)
£6,526
Prize IRE (€)
€0
Class 6
Class
Class 6
Runs
1
Wins
1
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
100.0%
Place %
100.0%
Prize GB (£)
£3,105
Prize IRE (€)
€0

Pattern (Group/Grade/Listed) shown ahead of class. Irish races carry no class, so they are grouped as handicap or non-handicap.

By field size

RunnersRunsWins2nd3rdWin %Place %Prize GB (£)Prize IRE (€)
6 to 8 runners511120.0%60.0%£6,851€0
2 to 5 runners1100100.0%100.0%£4,852€0
9 to 12 runners530060.0%60.0%£21,729€0
13 to 16 runners20100.0%50.0%£1,117€0
17+ runners10000.0%0.0%£0€0
6 to 8 runners
Runners
6 to 8 runners
Runs
5
Wins
1
2nd
1
3rd
1
Win %
20.0%
Place %
60.0%
Prize GB (£)
£6,851
Prize IRE (€)
€0
2 to 5 runners
Runners
2 to 5 runners
Runs
1
Wins
1
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
100.0%
Place %
100.0%
Prize GB (£)
£4,852
Prize IRE (€)
€0
9 to 12 runners
Runners
9 to 12 runners
Runs
5
Wins
3
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
60.0%
Place %
60.0%
Prize GB (£)
£21,729
Prize IRE (€)
€0
13 to 16 runners
Runners
13 to 16 runners
Runs
2
Wins
0
2nd
1
3rd
0
Win %
0.0%
Place %
50.0%
Prize GB (£)
£1,117
Prize IRE (€)
€0
17+ runners
Runners
17+ runners
Runs
1
Wins
0
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
0.0%
Place %
0.0%
Prize GB (£)
£0
Prize IRE (€)
€0

By month

MonthRunsWins2nd3rdWin %Place %Prize GB (£)Prize IRE (€)
January211050.0%100.0%£4,222€0
February210150.0%100.0%£5,410€0
March1100100.0%100.0%£6,469€0
April210050.0%50.0%£6,769€0
May210050.0%50.0%£8,022€0
June10000.0%0.0%£770€0
July10000.0%0.0%£0€0
August20100.0%50.0%£2,888€0
September10000.0%0.0%£0€0
January
Month
January
Runs
2
Wins
1
2nd
1
3rd
0
Win %
50.0%
Place %
100.0%
Prize GB (£)
£4,222
Prize IRE (€)
€0
February
Month
February
Runs
2
Wins
1
2nd
0
3rd
1
Win %
50.0%
Place %
100.0%
Prize GB (£)
£5,410
Prize IRE (€)
€0
March
Month
March
Runs
1
Wins
1
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
100.0%
Place %
100.0%
Prize GB (£)
£6,469
Prize IRE (€)
€0
April
Month
April
Runs
2
Wins
1
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
50.0%
Place %
50.0%
Prize GB (£)
£6,769
Prize IRE (€)
€0
May
Month
May
Runs
2
Wins
1
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
50.0%
Place %
50.0%
Prize GB (£)
£8,022
Prize IRE (€)
€0
June
Month
June
Runs
1
Wins
0
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
0.0%
Place %
0.0%
Prize GB (£)
£770
Prize IRE (€)
€0
July
Month
July
Runs
1
Wins
0
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
0.0%
Place %
0.0%
Prize GB (£)
£0
Prize IRE (€)
€0
August
Month
August
Runs
2
Wins
0
2nd
1
3rd
0
Win %
0.0%
Place %
50.0%
Prize GB (£)
£2,888
Prize IRE (€)
€0
September
Month
September
Runs
1
Wins
0
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
0.0%
Place %
0.0%
Prize GB (£)
£0
Prize IRE (€)
€0

By jockey

JockeyRunsWins2nd3rdWin %Place %Prize GB (£)Prize IRE (€)
Edward Greatrex631150.0%83.3%£16,100€0
Hollie Doyle311033.3%66.7%£11,679€0
Ben Curtis210050.0%50.0%£6,769€0
Gary Carroll10000.0%0.0%£0€0
Miss Kate Leahy10000.0%0.0%£0€0
Richard Kingscote10000.0%0.0%£0€0
Edward Greatrex
Runs
6
Wins
3
2nd
1
3rd
1
Win %
50.0%
Place %
83.3%
Prize GB (£)
£16,100
Prize IRE (€)
€0
Hollie Doyle
Runs
3
Wins
1
2nd
1
3rd
0
Win %
33.3%
Place %
66.7%
Prize GB (£)
£11,679
Prize IRE (€)
€0
Ben Curtis
Runs
2
Wins
1
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
50.0%
Place %
50.0%
Prize GB (£)
£6,769
Prize IRE (€)
€0
Gary Carroll
Runs
1
Wins
0
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
0.0%
Place %
0.0%
Prize GB (£)
£0
Prize IRE (€)
€0
Miss Kate Leahy
Runs
1
Wins
0
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
0.0%
Place %
0.0%
Prize GB (£)
£0
Prize IRE (€)
€0
Richard Kingscote
Runs
1
Wins
0
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
0.0%
Place %
0.0%
Prize GB (£)
£0
Prize IRE (€)
€0

By trainer

TrainerRunsWins2nd3rdWin %Place %Prize GB (£)Prize IRE (€)
Archie Watson1452135.7%57.1%£34,548€0
Archie Watson
Runs
14
Wins
5
2nd
2
3rd
1
Win %
35.7%
Place %
57.1%
Prize GB (£)
£34,548
Prize IRE (€)
€0

By headgear

HeadgearRunsWins2nd3rdWin %Place %Prize GB (£)Prize IRE (€)
No headgear1452135.7%57.1%£34,548€0
No headgear
Headgear
No headgear
Runs
14
Wins
5
2nd
2
3rd
1
Win %
35.7%
Place %
57.1%
Prize GB (£)
£34,548
Prize IRE (€)
€0

Headgear codes as declared: b blinkers, v visor, p cheekpieces, t tongue strap, h hood, e/s eyeshield.

By days since last run

Days since last runRunsWins2nd3rdWin %Place %Prize GB (£)Prize IRE (€)
Debut / no previous run10000.0%0.0%£0€0
8 to 14 days420150.0%75.0%£12,179€0
15 to 30 days511020.0%40.0%£6,762€0
31 to 60 days320066.7%66.7%£14,491€0
121 to 365 days10100.0%100.0%£1,117€0
Debut / no previous run
Days since last run
Debut / no previous run
Runs
1
Wins
0
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
0.0%
Place %
0.0%
Prize GB (£)
£0
Prize IRE (€)
€0
8 to 14 days
Days since last run
8 to 14 days
Runs
4
Wins
2
2nd
0
3rd
1
Win %
50.0%
Place %
75.0%
Prize GB (£)
£12,179
Prize IRE (€)
€0
15 to 30 days
Days since last run
15 to 30 days
Runs
5
Wins
1
2nd
1
3rd
0
Win %
20.0%
Place %
40.0%
Prize GB (£)
£6,762
Prize IRE (€)
€0
31 to 60 days
Days since last run
31 to 60 days
Runs
3
Wins
2
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
66.7%
Place %
66.7%
Prize GB (£)
£14,491
Prize IRE (€)
€0
121 to 365 days
Days since last run
121 to 365 days
Runs
1
Wins
0
2nd
1
3rd
0
Win %
0.0%
Place %
100.0%
Prize GB (£)
£1,117
Prize IRE (€)
€0

Counted from the previous run in Britain or Ireland; runs abroad are not seen.

Pedigree

Pedigree

Sire branchMoohaajim (IRE)

Parent · 1

  1. SireMoohaajim (IRE)

Grandparents · 2

  1. Sire's sireCape Cross (IRE)
  2. Sire's damThiella (USA)

Great-grandparents · 4

  1. Sire's sire's sireNot traced
  2. Sire's sire's damNot traced
  3. Sire's dam's sireNot traced
  4. Sire's dam's damNot traced
Dam branchFine Prospect (IRE)

Parent · 1

  1. DamFine Prospect (IRE)

Grandparents · 2

  1. Dam's sireNamid (GB)
  2. Dam's damNot traced

Great-grandparents · 4

  1. Dam's sire's sireNot traced
  2. Dam's sire's damNot traced
  3. Dam's dam's sireNot traced
  4. Dam's dam's damNot traced
Moohaajim (IRE)
Fine Prospect (IRE)
Cape Cross (IRE)
Thiella (USA)
Namid (GB)
Not traced
Not traced
Not traced
Not traced
Not traced
Not traced
Not traced
Not traced
Not traced

Breeding card

HorseProbability (IRE)
Sexmare
Foaled2016
SireMoohaajim (IRE)
DamFine Prospect (IRE)
DamsireNamid (GB)
Sire's sireCape Cross (IRE)
Sire's damThiella (USA)
Dam's produce2 winners from 2 runners
Notable siblingRambuso Creek (IRE)

Female line

  1. Fine Prospect (IRE) · 2 winners from 2 runners

Sire, dam and damsire

SireDamDamsireBreederFoaledColourSexSire's avg winning distanceDamsire's avg winning distance
Moohaajim (IRE)Fine Prospect (IRE)Namid (GB)Marie & Mossy Fahy6 Mar 16baymareFlat 6.7f · NH 2m2½fFlat 7.0f · NH 2m
Moohaajim (IRE)
Damsire
Namid (GB)
Breeder
Marie & Mossy Fahy
Foaled
6 Mar 16
Colour
bay
Sex
mare
Sire's avg winning distance
Flat 6.7f · NH 2m2½f
Damsire's avg winning distance
Flat 7.0f · NH 2m

Progeny of Moohaajim (IRE) in this horse's best conditions

ConditionRunsWinsPlacedWin %Place %This horse runsThis horse wins
All Flat runs229266211.4%27.1%145
At 5f to 6f125143111.2%24.8%145
On AW going88143115.9%35.2%114
At 5f to 6f on AW going3761416.2%37.8%114
All Flat runs
Condition
All Flat runs
Runs
229
Wins
26
Placed
62
Win %
11.4%
Place %
27.1%
This horse runs
14
This horse wins
5
At 5f to 6f
Condition
At 5f to 6f
Runs
125
Wins
14
Placed
31
Win %
11.2%
Place %
24.8%
This horse runs
14
This horse wins
5
On AW going
Condition
On AW going
Runs
88
Wins
14
Placed
31
Win %
15.9%
Place %
35.2%
This horse runs
11
This horse wins
4
At 5f to 6f on AW going
Condition
At 5f to 6f on AW going
Runs
37
Wins
6
Placed
14
Win %
16.2%
Place %
37.8%
This horse runs
11
This horse wins
4

Best distance band and going band are where this horse has most wins (then places, then runs) in its main code. Sire figures: all British and Irish runs by the sire's progeny since 1990.

Moohaajim (IRE) × Namid (GB) mares (the cross)

CodeRunnersWinnersWinners %Black-type winnersRunsWins2nd/3rdWin %Prize GB (£)Prize IRE (€)
Flat11100.0%0145335.7%£34,548€0
Flat
Code
Flat
Runners
1
Winners
1
Winners %
100.0%
Black-type winners
0
Runs
14
Wins
5
2nd/3rd
3
Win %
35.7%
Prize GB (£)
£34,548
Prize IRE (€)
€0

Small sample (under 5 runners): read with care. Includes this horse.

Best of the cross

HorseRunsWinsBlack-type winsPrize GB (£)Prize IRE (€)
Probability (IRE)1450£34,548€0
Probability (IRE)
Runs
14
Wins
5
Black-type wins
0
Prize GB (£)
£34,548
Prize IRE (€)
€0

Top 12 by best win level, then wins.

Ratings

Official ratings

CodeCurrent ORHighest ORLowest ORLast winning ORLast winRated runs
Flat8889738525 May 1911
Flat
Code
Flat
Current OR
88
Highest OR
89
Lowest OR
73
Last winning OR
85
Last win
25 May 19
Rated runs
11

Current OR here is the mark carried on the latest run in each code; the page header uses a newer declared mark where one exists.

Official rating by run

DateCourseCodeORChangePos
20 Sep 19AyrFlat88016/16
31 Aug 19Wolverhampton (AW)Flat8807/7
16 Aug 19Chelmsford (AW)Flat88-12/7
24 Jul 19Naas (IRE)Flat8909/17
20 Jun 19Chelmsford (AW)Flat8944/10
25 May 19ChesterFlat8501/9
23 Apr 19Lingfield (AW)Flat8535/7
12 Apr 19Kempton (AW)Flat8241/10
30 Mar 19Kempton (AW)Flat7851/12
14 Feb 19Chelmsford (AW)Flat7301/5
2 Feb 19Kempton (AW)Flat73-3/8
  • 16/1620 Sep 19 · Ayr
    All fields
    Date
    20 Sep 19
    Course
    Ayr
    Code
    Flat
    OR
    88
    Change
    0
    Pos
    16/16
  • 7/731 Aug 19 · Wolverhampton (AW)
    All fields
    Date
    31 Aug 19
    Course
    Wolverhampton (AW)
    Code
    Flat
    OR
    88
    Change
    0
    Pos
    7/7
  • 2/716 Aug 19 · Chelmsford (AW)
    All fields
    Date
    16 Aug 19
    Course
    Chelmsford (AW)
    Code
    Flat
    OR
    88
    Change
    -1
    Pos
    2/7
  • 9/1724 Jul 19 · Naas (IRE)
    All fields
    Date
    24 Jul 19
    Code
    Flat
    OR
    89
    Change
    0
    Pos
    9/17
  • 4/1020 Jun 19 · Chelmsford (AW)
    All fields
    Date
    20 Jun 19
    Course
    Chelmsford (AW)
    Code
    Flat
    OR
    89
    Change
    4
    Pos
    4/10
  • 1/925 May 19 · Chester
    All fields
    Date
    25 May 19
    Course
    Chester
    Code
    Flat
    OR
    85
    Change
    0
    Pos
    1/9
  • 5/723 Apr 19 · Lingfield (AW)
    All fields
    Date
    23 Apr 19
    Course
    Lingfield (AW)
    Code
    Flat
    OR
    85
    Change
    3
    Pos
    5/7
  • 1/1012 Apr 19 · Kempton (AW)
    All fields
    Date
    12 Apr 19
    Course
    Kempton (AW)
    Code
    Flat
    OR
    82
    Change
    4
    Pos
    1/10
  • 1/1230 Mar 19 · Kempton (AW)
    All fields
    Date
    30 Mar 19
    Course
    Kempton (AW)
    Code
    Flat
    OR
    78
    Change
    5
    Pos
    1/12
  • 1/514 Feb 19 · Chelmsford (AW)
    All fields
    Date
    14 Feb 19
    Course
    Chelmsford (AW)
    Code
    Flat
    OR
    73
    Change
    0
    Pos
    1/5
  • 3/82 Feb 19 · Kempton (AW)
    All fields
    Date
    2 Feb 19
    Course
    Kempton (AW)
    Code
    Flat
    OR
    73
    Change
    -
    Pos
    3/8

Current mark v winning marks

CodeCurrent OROR last runChangeLast winning ORLast winv last winningHighest winning ORv highest winningHighest ORv highest
Flat888808525 May 19385389-1
Flat
Code
Flat
Current OR
88
OR last run
88
Change
0
Last winning OR
85
Last win
25 May 19
v last winning
3
Highest winning OR
85
v highest winning
3
Highest OR
89
v highest
-1

Differences are current OR minus the mark shown (positive = higher now). Current OR in the main code uses a newer declared or published mark where one exists.

Family

Dam summary

Fine Prospect (IRE)

G1 winners
0
Produce
2 winners from 2 runners

Full siblings

No other foal by Moohaajim (IRE) out of Fine Prospect (IRE) has raced in Britain or Ireland.

Half siblings

By Tagula (IRE)

Female line

  1. 1Fine Prospect (IRE)

Notable relatives

No black-type winners in this female family in GB or IRE since 1990.

In brief

When was Probability foaled?

Probability (IRE), a bay racehorse, was foaled on 6 March 2016.

Who are the sire and dam of Probability?

Probability (IRE) is by Moohaajim (IRE) out of Fine Prospect (IRE), a daughter of Namid (GB), and was bred by Marie & Mossy Fahy.

Who trained Probability?

Probability (IRE) was trained by Archie Watson and owned by Mrs C Cashman at the time of the last run in Britain or Ireland.

What is Probability's race record?

In Britain and Ireland, Probability (IRE) won 5 of 14 races (36%). Runs abroad (for example in France, Dubai or the USA) are not included.

What is Probability's biggest win?

Probability (IRE)'s biggest wins in Britain and Ireland were 3 Class 4 victories, most recently the Chester Heritage Festival Fillies' Handicap at Chester on 25 May 2019.

Has Probability ever been beaten?

Probability (IRE) was beaten 9 times in 14 runs in Britain and Ireland, the first time on 31 May 2018 at Chelmsford (AW) (10th of 12).

What was Probability's official rating?

Probability (IRE) was last officially rated 88 on the Flat (career high 89).

Is Probability still racing?

Probability (IRE) last ran in Britain or Ireland on 20 September 2019 at Ayr in the Al Maktoum Cup Arran Scottish Fillies' Sprint Stakes, finishing 16th of 16, and has not run there since.

What is Probability's record at Chelmsford (AW)?

Probability (IRE) ran most often at Chelmsford (AW), with 1 win from 4 runs there.

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