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Gowran Park draw bias: Flat racing in Kilkenny

At Gowran Park over 1m1½f, the most-run Flat trip, low draws have won 34.9% of races of 8 or more runners since 2016 (252 races), middle draws 34.1% and high draws 31%, against 30.2%, 33.8% and 36% by chance. Bias rating: weak or none. Every trip, going and field size follows, with results to 15 October 2026.

Next Flat meeting at Gowran Park: Monday 19 October 2026, 7 races and 193 declared runners placed in their draw third · Results to 15 October 2026 · Refreshed 16 October 2026
Weak or none
Rating on the most-run trip
7f
Trip where the draw stands out most
811
Races of 8+ runners since 2016
15 October 2026
Results up to
Low 34.9% v 30.2%

At Gowran Park over 1m1½f, the course's most-run Flat trip, low draws have won 34.9% of races of 8 or more runners since 2016 (252 races), middle draws 34.1% and high draws 31.0%, against 30.2%, 33.8% and 36.0% by chance. Bias rating: weak or none. The clearest effect is over 7f, where the low third has won 41.9% of 229 races against 30.4% by chance (strong).Sample: 252 races · Window: 9 April 2016 to 15 October 2026 · Source: RaceWatch results database (Flat results with stall draw), plus today's declarations for the next meeting

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Gowran Park draw bias by distance, going and field size

All distancesAll goingAll field sizes81110,67237.4%30.4%32.7%33.4%30.1%36.1%27.1%21.8%20.1%22.8%Low +7.0 pts<0.001Strong
7fAll goingAll field sizes2292,94141.9%30.4%31.9%33.3%26.6%36.3%30.9%22.4%17.9%23.4%Low +11.5 pts<0.001Strong
7fFast (good to firm or firmer)All field sizes2327839.1%30.2%52.2%33.7%8.7%36.1%36.5%28.0%13.0%24.8%Middle +18.5 pts0.021Not enough data
7fGoodAll field sizes921,19944.6%30.2%33.7%33.3%21.7%36.5%29.7%24.4%16.2%23.0%Low +14.4 pts0.003Moderate
7fSoft (good to soft to heavy)All field sizes1141,46440.4%30.6%26.3%33.2%34.2%36.2%30.9%19.7%20.2%23.4%Low +9.8 pts0.072Weak or none
7fAll going8 to 11 runners8179143.2%28.4%34.6%34.3%22.2%37.3%41.3%31.4%22.0%30.7%Low +14.8 pts0.004Moderate
7fAll going12 to 15 runners991,36646.5%31.6%30.3%33.4%24.2%35.0%28.5%20.1%17.4%21.7%Low +14.9 pts0.005Moderate
7fAll going16 or more runners4978430.6%31.3%30.6%31.3%38.8%37.5%25.7%16.7%14.6%18.8%High +1.3 pts0.983Weak or none
7fGood8 to 11 runners3030253.3%28.5%33.3%34.1%13.3%37.4%38.4%35.0%18.6%29.8%Low +24.8 pts0.004Not enough data
7fGood12 to 15 runners4257745.2%30.9%35.7%33.7%19.0%35.4%28.1%23.1%15.2%21.8%Low +14.3 pts0.049Moderate
7fGood16 or more runners2032030.0%31.3%30.0%31.3%40.0%37.5%25.0%16.0%15.8%18.8%High +2.5 pts0.974Not enough data
7fSoft (good to soft to heavy)8 to 11 runners4038237.5%28.5%32.5%34.4%30.0%37.1%43.1%26.7%26.8%31.4%Low +9.0 pts0.419Weak or none
7fSoft (good to soft to heavy)12 to 15 runners4866650.0%32.1%18.8%33.1%33.3%34.7%28.0%16.7%20.3%21.6%Low +17.9 pts0.020Moderate
7fSoft (good to soft to heavy)16 or more runners2641626.9%31.3%30.8%31.3%42.3%37.5%25.4%17.7%14.1%18.8%High +4.8 pts0.853Not enough data
1mAll goingAll field sizes2463,27841.1%30.8%30.1%33.1%28.9%36.1%27.7%20.9%19.5%22.5%Low +10.3 pts0.002Strong
1mGoodAll field sizes7394442.5%30.2%27.4%33.5%30.1%36.3%29.5%22.0%19.0%23.2%Low +12.3 pts0.075Weak or none
1mSoft (good to soft to heavy)All field sizes1602,15538.1%31.0%32.5%32.9%29.4%36.1%25.9%21.1%20.2%22.3%Low +7.1 pts0.099Weak or none
1mAll going8 to 11 runners6056828.3%28.8%45.0%34.4%26.7%36.8%34.8%32.3%28.7%31.7%Middle +10.6 pts0.164Weak or none
1mAll going12 to 15 runners1191,63842.0%31.6%24.4%33.5%33.6%35.0%27.1%19.9%18.9%21.8%Low +10.4 pts0.028Moderate
1mAll going16 or more runners671,07250.7%31.3%26.9%31.3%22.4%37.5%25.1%16.1%15.7%18.8%Low +19.4 pts0.002Moderate
1mGood8 to 11 runners2422737.5%28.6%37.5%34.5%25.0%37.0%41.5%29.5%26.2%31.7%Low +8.9 pts0.435Not enough data
1mGood12 to 15 runners3346148.5%31.0%15.2%33.8%36.4%35.2%29.4%18.6%17.3%21.5%Low +17.5 pts0.036Not enough data
1mSoft (good to soft to heavy)8 to 11 runners3533022.9%29.0%48.6%34.3%28.6%36.6%30.2%34.5%30.6%31.8%Middle +14.3 pts0.207Not enough data
1mSoft (good to soft to heavy)12 to 15 runners741,00933.8%31.7%31.1%33.5%35.1%34.8%24.1%21.6%20.5%22.0%Low +2.1 pts0.893Weak or none
1mSoft (good to soft to heavy)16 or more runners5181654.9%31.3%23.5%31.3%21.6%37.5%26.7%14.5%15.7%18.8%Low +23.6 pts0.001Moderate
1m1½fAll goingAll field sizes2523,42734.9%30.2%34.1%33.8%31.0%36.0%24.2%21.4%20.9%22.1%Low +4.7 pts0.157Weak or none
1m1½fFast (good to firm or firmer)All field sizes2837732.1%30.8%46.4%33.0%21.4%36.3%21.6%28.2%17.5%22.3%Middle +13.4 pts0.196Not enough data
1m1½fGoodAll field sizes981,26031.6%30.3%33.7%33.7%34.7%36.0%26.1%24.3%20.1%23.3%Low +1.3 pts0.947Weak or none
1m1½fSoft (good to soft to heavy)All field sizes1261,79038.1%29.9%31.7%34.1%30.2%36.0%23.4%17.9%22.2%21.1%Low +8.2 pts0.124Weak or none
1m1½fAll going8 to 11 runners6360031.7%28.6%34.9%34.9%33.3%36.5%29.7%31.1%33.3%31.5%Low +3.1 pts0.825Weak or none
1m1½fAll going12 to 15 runners1081,49040.7%30.9%34.3%33.6%25.0%35.5%28.0%20.0%18.0%21.7%Low +9.8 pts0.035Moderate
1m1½fAll going16 or more runners811,33729.6%30.3%33.3%33.3%37.0%36.4%17.5%18.4%18.5%18.2%High +0.6 pts0.989Weak or none
1m1½fGood8 to 11 runners3230734.4%29.0%37.5%34.6%28.1%36.4%36.0%33.0%25.9%31.3%Low +5.4 pts0.604Not enough data
1m1½fGood12 to 15 runners4967236.7%31.1%30.6%33.3%32.7%35.6%25.8%21.4%18.8%21.9%Low +5.6 pts0.695Weak or none
1m1½fSoft (good to soft to heavy)8 to 11 runners2422729.2%27.7%25.0%35.8%45.8%36.6%22.2%25.9%44.6%31.7%High +9.2 pts0.507Not enough data
1m1½fSoft (good to soft to heavy)12 to 15 runners4866943.8%30.8%37.5%33.9%18.8%35.3%29.6%17.6%18.2%21.5%Low +13.0 pts0.038Moderate
1m1½fSoft (good to soft to heavy)16 or more runners5489437.0%30.2%29.6%33.5%33.3%36.3%18.9%16.0%19.4%18.1%Low +6.8 pts0.549Weak or none
1m4fAll goingAll field sizes2328126.1%29.8%43.5%33.5%30.4%36.7%24.7%29.0%20.4%24.6%Middle +10.0 pts0.597Not enough data
1m6fAll goingAll field sizes2631015.4%30.1%38.5%33.7%46.2%36.3%21.3%26.0%27.7%25.2%High +9.9 pts0.254Not enough data

Flat races at Gowran Park with 8 or more runners and a full draw, since 9 April 2016. Runners are split into low, middle and high thirds by stall order among the horses that ran. Win % is the share of races each third won; expected % is its share by chance given the field sizes. Top-3 % is the share of runners in that third who finished in the first three, against the chance rate. Going groups: fast is good to firm or firmer, soft is good to soft, yielding, soft and heavy. Bias rating uses a chi-square test of winners by third against chance (2 degrees of freedom): Strong means p below 0.01 from 100 or more races, Moderate p below 0.05, Weak or none p of 0.05 or more, and Not enough data fewer than 40 races. Rows with fewer than 20 races are hidden. Source: RaceWatch results database.

Gowran Park draw bias: since 2016 v the last three seasons

All distances81137.4%32.7%30.1%30.4%33.4%36.1%Strong22641.6%29.2%29.6%StrongStronger lately
7f22941.9%31.9%26.6%30.4%33.3%36.3%Strong6043.3%26.7%31.7%Weak or noneHolding
1m24641.1%30.1%28.9%30.8%33.1%36.1%Strong7352.1%24.7%23.3%ModerateStronger lately
1m1½f25234.9%34.1%31.0%30.2%33.8%36.0%Weak or none6036.7%26.7%36.7%Weak or noneStronger lately
1m4f2326.1%43.5%30.4%29.8%33.5%36.7%Not enough data560.0%40.0%0.0%Not enough dataToo few recent races
1m6f2615.4%38.5%46.2%30.1%33.7%36.3%Not enough data1216.7%41.7%41.7%Not enough dataToo few recent races

Last three seasons means races since 1 January 2024. Is it current? compares the third that led over the whole window with its record lately: Holding means within 2 points of its long-run edge, Stronger or Weaker lately means more than 2 points either way, Gone lately means it no longer beats chance. 8 or more runners. Rows with fewer than 20 races are hidden.

Gowran Park stall by stall at each distance

7f12152813.0%8.2%33.0%24.6%+8.4
7f22133014.1%8.2%39.4%24.6%+14.8
7f32092813.4%8.2%33.5%24.5%+9.0
7f4208125.8%8.2%26.0%24.6%+1.4
7f5202146.9%8.2%24.3%24.6%-0.3
7f6206125.8%8.2%25.7%24.5%+1.2
7f7210209.5%8.2%21.4%24.6%-3.2
7f8200178.5%8.1%20.5%24.3%-3.8
7f9202115.4%8.0%20.8%24.0%-3.3
7f10191147.3%7.8%19.9%23.5%-3.6
7f1117395.2%7.5%19.7%22.5%-2.9
7f1214964.0%7.3%14.8%21.9%-7.1
7f1313721.5%7.1%12.4%21.2%-8.8
7f14113108.8%6.8%18.6%20.4%-1.8
7f1510187.9%6.6%17.8%19.9%-2.1
7f168733.4%6.7%10.3%20.0%-9.6
7f175100.0%6.5%11.8%19.6%-7.9
1m1222219.5%7.8%30.2%23.4%+6.7
1m22233314.8%7.9%35.0%23.8%+11.2
1m3217167.4%7.9%24.4%23.6%+0.9
1m4219167.3%7.9%26.9%23.7%+3.2
1m52172612.0%7.8%25.8%23.5%+2.3
1m6230187.8%7.8%25.7%23.4%+2.3
1m7228187.9%7.8%18.0%23.5%-5.5
1m8219146.4%7.8%23.3%23.5%-0.2
1m9225198.4%7.8%22.2%23.3%-1.0
1m1019884.0%7.5%16.2%22.6%-6.4
1m11188168.5%7.2%19.1%21.7%-2.6
1m1218063.3%7.1%13.9%21.4%-7.5
1m1316284.9%6.9%16.0%20.8%-4.8
1m1414353.5%6.8%18.2%20.4%-2.2
1m1513196.9%6.7%20.6%20.2%+0.4
1m1611443.5%6.6%14.9%19.8%-4.9
1m177034.3%6.6%21.4%19.9%+1.5
1m185048.0%6.5%20.0%19.5%+0.5
1m1½f12272711.9%7.7%31.7%23.2%+8.5
1m1½f2232146.0%7.7%23.7%23.2%+0.5
1m1½f3230219.1%7.7%23.0%23.0%0.0
1m1½f4231229.5%7.7%23.4%23.2%+0.2
1m1½f5225198.4%7.8%24.4%23.3%+1.2
1m1½f6231135.6%7.7%24.2%23.2%+1.0
1m1½f7230219.1%7.8%23.9%23.3%+0.6
1m1½f8220219.5%7.8%26.8%23.5%+3.3
1m1½f9225135.8%7.5%20.0%22.6%-2.6
1m1½f10212115.2%7.4%16.0%22.2%-6.2
1m1½f11197136.6%7.1%16.8%21.4%-4.6
1m1½f12183105.5%7.0%21.3%21.0%+0.3
1m1½f1316884.8%6.8%14.9%20.3%-5.4
1m1½f1415174.6%6.6%22.5%19.8%+2.7
1m1½f151271915.0%6.5%25.2%19.6%+5.6
1m1½f1611232.7%6.4%11.6%19.1%-7.5
1m1½f1710022.0%6.4%18.0%19.1%-1.1
1m1½f185523.6%6.4%16.4%19.2%-2.8

Stall is the stall number drawn. Every distance with 60 or more races of 8 or more runners since 2016; stalls with fewer than 50 runs are hidden. Top-3 % is steadier than win % for a single stall, so read it first.

Gowran Park draw by distance, 8 or more runners

All distances62038.2%30.4%31.8%33.4%30.2%36.2%27.4%21.9%20.0%
7f16841.1%30.3%31.5%33.3%28.0%36.5%31.2%22.6%17.3%
1m19543.6%30.7%28.7%33.2%27.7%36.1%28.3%21.3%19.1%
1m1½f18635.5%30.2%32.8%33.8%31.7%36.1%24.4%21.0%21.4%
1m6f2416.7%29.9%41.7%33.8%41.7%36.3%21.8%25.8%26.9%

Flat races at Gowran Park with 8 or more runners since 1 January 2019. Win % is the share of races won by each third of the draw expected % is the share that third would win by chance given the field sizes run. Thirds are set by stall order among the horses that ran, so non-runners do not shift them. Place % is per runner. Distances with fewer than 20 races are hidden. Source: RaceWatch results database.

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Gowran Park draw thirds overall, 8 or more runners

Low62038.2%30.4%9.5%2,48823727.4%
Middle62031.8%33.4%7.3%2,70519721.9%
High62030.2%36.2%6.4%2,93618720.0%

All distances pooled. Strike rate is wins per runner in that third. BSP figures are not shown because the window starts before March 2024.

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Gowran Park draw by distance, all field sizes

All distances70237.0%30.0%31.8%33.3%31.3%36.7%
7f19739.6%29.9%32.0%33.0%28.9%37.1%
1m20642.7%30.6%28.6%33.2%28.6%36.2%
1m½f2020.0%30.4%45.0%33.8%35.0%35.8%
1m1½f21834.4%29.5%33.0%33.5%32.6%36.9%
1m6f2817.9%29.7%39.3%33.8%42.9%36.4%

Every Flat race at Gowran Park with 3 or more runners since 1 January 2019. Small fields dilute any draw effect, so compare with the 8 or more runners table. Distances with fewer than 20 races are hidden.

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Gowran Park draw by field size

3 to 7 runnersAll distances8228.0%27.3%31.7%32.0%40.2%40.7%
8 to 11 runnersAll distances18933.9%28.5%38.1%34.6%28.0%36.9%
12 to 15 runnersAll distances27741.2%31.4%29.2%33.5%30.0%35.2%
16 or more runnersAll distances15438.3%31.0%28.6%32.0%33.1%37.1%
3 to 7 runners7f2931.0%28.0%34.5%31.5%34.5%40.5%
8 to 11 runners7f5738.6%28.3%38.6%34.2%22.8%37.5%
12 to 15 runners7f7550.7%31.3%26.7%33.5%24.0%35.2%
16 or more runners7f3625.0%31.3%30.6%31.3%44.4%37.5%
8 to 11 runners1m5034.0%28.6%44.0%34.5%22.0%36.9%
12 to 15 runners1m9441.5%31.6%22.3%33.5%36.2%34.9%
16 or more runners1m5156.9%31.3%25.5%31.3%17.6%37.5%
3 to 7 runners1m1½f3228.1%25.9%34.4%32.1%37.5%42.0%
8 to 11 runners1m1½f4632.6%28.3%32.6%35.2%34.8%36.5%
12 to 15 runners1m1½f8439.3%31.0%34.5%33.5%26.2%35.6%
16 or more runners1m1½f5632.1%30.4%30.4%33.1%37.5%36.5%

Field size is the number of runners that took part. Cells with fewer than 20 races are hidden.

Gowran Park draw by going, 8 or more runners

Good to firm or firmerAll distances2450.0%30.7%8.3%35.9%41.7%
GoodAll distances24238.4%30.1%28.9%36.3%32.6%
Good to soft or yieldingAll distances17038.8%30.4%29.4%36.2%32.4%
SoftAll distances13435.8%30.6%38.1%36.0%26.1%
HeavyAll distances5036.0%30.7%28.0%36.1%36.0%
Good7f7642.1%30.0%23.7%36.7%34.2%
Good to soft or yielding7f4040.0%30.3%32.5%36.5%30.0%
Soft7f3240.6%30.8%40.6%35.9%18.8%
Good1m6744.8%30.2%28.4%36.3%26.9%
Good to soft or yielding1m6544.6%31.0%26.2%36.2%29.2%
Soft1m4440.9%30.6%31.8%35.9%27.3%
Good1m1½f8331.3%30.3%33.7%36.1%34.9%
Good to soft or yielding1m1½f5133.3%30.0%31.4%35.9%35.3%
Soft1m1½f3240.6%29.9%34.4%36.2%25.0%

Official going grouped into bands (yielding counts with good to soft). All-weather races show as AW. Cells with fewer than 20 races are hidden.

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Gowran Park individual stalls, most-run distances

1m1172179.9%7.9%30.2%
1m21732816.2%8.0%37.0%
1m316995.3%8.0%23.1%
1m4169148.3%8.0%27.8%
1m51702514.7%7.9%28.2%
1m6182158.2%7.9%27.5%
1m7178158.4%7.9%18.5%
1m817284.7%7.9%22.7%
1m9179126.7%7.8%20.7%
1m1015164.0%7.6%15.9%
1m11145128.3%7.3%18.6%
1m1213753.6%7.2%16.1%
1m1312775.5%7.0%16.5%
1m1410943.7%6.8%13.8%
1m1½f11662112.7%7.8%31.3%
1m1½f216884.8%7.8%24.4%
1m1½f31641710.4%7.7%23.8%
1m1½f4166159.0%7.8%24.1%
1m1½f5166137.8%7.9%23.5%
1m1½f6171105.8%7.8%24.6%
1m1½f7165137.9%7.8%21.8%
1m1½f8156149.0%7.9%25.6%
1m1½f9161127.5%7.5%20.5%
1m1½f1015185.3%7.4%15.2%
1m1½f11145128.3%7.2%18.6%
1m1½f1213275.3%7.1%22.7%
1m1½f1312054.2%6.8%15.8%
1m1½f1410743.7%6.7%25.2%

The two most-run distances at Gowran Park in races of 8 or more runners since 2019. Stall is the stall number drawn. Expected win % is the chance of a single runner given the field sizes it ran in. Stalls with fewer than 100 runs are hidden.

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Gowran Park 1m1½f: win % by draw third, since 2016 v last three seasons, 8 or more runners
Since 2016Since 2024Expected by chance
0%10%20%30%40%LowMiddleHighSince 2016 Low: 34.9%Since 2016 Middle: 34.1%Since 2016 High: 31%Since 2024 Low: 36.7%Since 2024 Middle: 26.7%Since 2024 High: 36.7%Expected by chance Low: 30.2%Expected by chance Middle: 33.8%Expected by chance High: 36%

Win % of races by Draw third

Gowran Park next Flat meeting, 19 October 2026, with the draw record

19 Oct 2614:10Golf At Gowran Park Nursery Handicap (0-60)-7f1416841.1%31.5%28.0%30.3%33.3%36.5%
19 Oct 2614:40Dine At Gowran Park Handicap-7f2016841.1%31.5%28.0%30.3%33.3%36.5%
19 Oct 2615:10Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden-1m½f350------
19 Oct 2615:40Irish EBF Median Sires Series Fillies Maiden-1m½f220------
19 Oct 2616:10Racing Club Membership Handicap (0-60)-1m½f620------
19 Oct 2616:40Gowran Park Racing Club Fillies Maiden-1m1½f1418635.5%32.8%31.7%30.2%33.8%36.1%
19 Oct 2617:10Racing Again November 7th Handicap-1m4f260------

Declared runners exclude non-runners. Races of 8 or more declared runners use the 8 or more runners record at the same distance, smaller fields use the all field sizes record. Blank history means fewer than 20 races at that distance since 2019.

Gowran Park 1m win % by stall, 8 or more runners
Win %Expected by chance
0%5%10%15%20%Stall 1Stall 2Stall 3Stall 4Stall 5Stall 6Stall 7Stall 8Stall 9Stall 10Stall 11Stall 12Stall 13Stall 14Win % Stall 1: 9.9%9.9%Win % Stall 2: 16.2%16.2%Win % Stall 3: 5.3%5.3%Win % Stall 4: 8.3%8.3%Win % Stall 5: 14.7%14.7%Win % Stall 6: 8.2%8.2%Win % Stall 7: 8.4%8.4%Win % Stall 8: 4.7%4.7%Win % Stall 9: 6.7%6.7%Win % Stall 10: 4%4%Win % Stall 11: 8.3%8.3%Win % Stall 12: 3.6%3.6%Win % Stall 13: 5.5%5.5%Win % Stall 14: 3.7%3.7%Expected by chance Stall 1: 7.9%7.9%Expected by chance Stall 2: 8%8%Expected by chance Stall 3: 8%8%Expected by chance Stall 4: 8%8%Expected by chance Stall 5: 7.9%7.9%Expected by chance Stall 6: 7.9%7.9%Expected by chance Stall 7: 7.9%7.9%Expected by chance Stall 8: 7.9%7.9%Expected by chance Stall 9: 7.8%7.8%Expected by chance Stall 10: 7.6%7.6%Expected by chance Stall 11: 7.3%7.3%Expected by chance Stall 12: 7.2%7.2%Expected by chance Stall 13: 7%7%Expected by chance Stall 14: 6.8%6.8%

Win % by Stall

Declared runners by draw third, next Flat meeting

14:10Silk Twist silksSilk Twist0High28.0%36.5%7f14168
14:10Cudawudashuda silksCudawudashuda0High28.0%36.5%7f14168
14:10Dear Theodosia silksDear Theodosia0High28.0%36.5%7f14168
14:10Winnie's Wish silksWinnie's Wish0Middle31.5%33.3%7f14168
14:10Supreme Act silksSupreme Act0High28.0%36.5%7f14168
14:10Sadie Rose silksSadie Rose0Low41.1%30.3%7f14168
14:10Rathbran Lady silksRathbran Lady0Low41.1%30.3%7f14168
14:10How Now silksHow Now0Low41.1%30.3%7f14168
14:10Outside Sun silksOutside Sun0Low41.1%30.3%7f14168
14:10Tina Tereshkova silksTina Tereshkova0Middle31.5%33.3%7f14168
14:10Magna Fortuna silksMagna Fortuna0Middle31.5%33.3%7f14168
14:10Stormy Dawn silksStormy Dawn0High28.0%36.5%7f14168
14:10Dropping Dimes silksDropping Dimes0Middle31.5%33.3%7f14168
14:10Littlepacer silksLittlepacer0Middle31.5%33.3%7f14168
14:40Little Wing silksLittle Wing0High28.0%36.5%7f20168
14:40Princess Chloe silksPrincess Chloe0High28.0%36.5%7f20168
14:40Pocket Jacks silksPocket Jacks0High28.0%36.5%7f20168
14:40Caislean Ni Cuan silksCaislean Ni Cuan0Middle31.5%33.3%7f20168
14:40Girl Bear silksGirl Bear0Middle31.5%33.3%7f20168
14:40Goofy Gander silksGoofy Gander0Middle31.5%33.3%7f20168
14:40Bear Right silksBear Right0Middle31.5%33.3%7f20168
14:40Nazario silksNazario0Middle31.5%33.3%7f20168
14:40Nephin Mountain silksNephin Mountain0Middle31.5%33.3%7f20168
14:40Cisterna silksCisterna0Low41.1%30.3%7f20168
14:40Sunrise Angel silksSunrise Angel0Low41.1%30.3%7f20168
14:40Tariff silksTariff0Middle31.5%33.3%7f20168
14:40Glamazon silksGlamazon0Low41.1%30.3%7f20168
14:40Eschweiler silksEschweiler0Low41.1%30.3%7f20168
14:40Dandymaria silksDandymaria0High28.0%36.5%7f20168
14:40Sydney Dollars silksSydney Dollars0High28.0%36.5%7f20168
14:40Orphanina silksOrphanina0High28.0%36.5%7f20168
14:40Lar Na Coille silksLar Na Coille0Low41.1%30.3%7f20168
14:40Venetian Star silksVenetian Star0Low41.1%30.3%7f20168
14:40Socratea silksSocratea0High28.0%36.5%7f20168
15:10Captaincormac0Middle--1m½f35-
15:10Ballybloom0Middle--1m½f35-
15:10An Tuath Nua0Middle--1m½f35-
15:10System Reset0Middle--1m½f35-
15:10Paythebelievers silksPaythebelievers0Low--1m½f35-
15:10Silent Kingdom silksSilent Kingdom0Low--1m½f35-
15:10Saxonian silksSaxonian0Low--1m½f35-
15:10Greatest Knight silksGreatest Knight0Low--1m½f35-
15:10Paraguay silksParaguay0Low--1m½f35-
15:10Flambe Fleur silksFlambe Fleur0Low--1m½f35-
15:10Mount Meru silksMount Meru0Low--1m½f35-
15:10Drive On There silksDrive On There0Middle--1m½f35-
15:10Imposing silksImposing0Low--1m½f35-
15:10Aladdin's Cave silksAladdin's Cave0Low--1m½f35-
15:10Tommy Quick silksTommy Quick0Low--1m½f35-
15:10Pirate Of Penzance silksPirate Of Penzance0Low--1m½f35-

Each declared runner placed in its third by stall order among the declared runners (first 50 runners of the meeting). Figures are the course and distance record for that third since 2019.

Additional research statistics and historical returns are in the RaceWatch app.

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Latest Flat winners at Gowran Park and their draw

19 Sep 26Chipsrdown (IRE) silksChipsrdown (IRE)5Low161m3.25
19 Sep 26Navajo Point (IRE) silksNavajo Point (IRE)7Middle141m1½f15.00
19 Sep 26Ryefield Dasher (IRE) silksRyefield Dasher (IRE)11High101m1½f4.00
19 Sep 26Syzygy (GB) silksSyzygy (GB)8Middle121m1½f81.00
19 Sep 26Albany County (IRE) silksAlbany County (IRE)6Middle121m1.53
19 Sep 26Isle Of Capri (IRE) silksIsle Of Capri (IRE)1Low71m2.62
19 Sep 26Greydreambeliever (IRE) silksGreydreambeliever (IRE)3Middle87f3.00
1 Sep 26Banbridge (IRE) silksBanbridge (IRE)1Low131m6f5.00
1 Sep 26Java Wood (IRE) silksJava Wood (IRE)19High151m17.00
1 Sep 26Navajo Point (IRE) silksNavajo Point (IRE)2Low161m5.00
1 Sep 26Quinta Girl (IRE) silksQuinta Girl (IRE)5Middle81m7.50
1 Sep 26Solana Beach (IRE) silksSolana Beach (IRE)10High117f8.00
1 Sep 26Starborn Legend (IRE) silksStarborn Legend (IRE)4Low147f2.50
1 Sep 26Drumbeat (IRE) silksDrumbeat (IRE)14High157f2.25
1 Sep 26Equus Victor (IRE) silksEquus Victor (IRE)1Low157f15.00
1 Sep 26Curracloe (USA) silksCurracloe (USA)14High167f23.00
12 Aug 26She's Ideal (IRE) silksShe's Ideal (IRE)4Low161m1½f3.75
12 Aug 26Reponse Finale (IRE) silksReponse Finale (IRE)2Low151m1½f5.50
12 Aug 26Rock Of Claremont (IRE) silksRock Of Claremont (IRE)3Low121m1½f7.00
12 Aug 26Fixation (IRE) silksFixation (IRE)3Middle81m4½f3.25

The 20 most recent Flat races at Gowran Park in the data with a full draw.

Gowran Park win % of races by draw third and distance, 8 or more runners
Low thirdMiddle thirdHigh third
0%20%40%60%80%7f1m1m1½f1m6fLow third 7f: 41.1%Low third 1m: 43.6%Low third 1m1½f: 35.5%Low third 1m6f: 16.7%Middle third 7f: 31.5%Middle third 1m: 28.7%Middle third 1m1½f: 32.8%Middle third 1m6f: 41.7%High third 7f: 28%High third 1m: 27.7%High third 1m1½f: 31.7%High third 1m6f: 41.7%

Win % of races by Distance

Gowran Park win % of races by draw third and year, 8 or more runners
Low thirdMiddle thirdHigh third
0%20%40%60%80%20192020202120222023202420252026Low third 2019: 33.3%Low third 2020: 31%Low third 2021: 47.7%Low third 2022: 35.3%Low third 2023: 32.5%Low third 2024: 37%Low third 2025: 40.7%Low third 2026: 47.2%47.2%Middle third 2019: 38.7%Middle third 2020: 31%Middle third 2021: 22.1%Middle third 2022: 42.4%Middle third 2023: 32.5%Middle third 2024: 37%Middle third 2025: 25.9%Middle third 2026: 25%25%High third 2019: 28%High third 2020: 38%High third 2021: 30.2%High third 2022: 22.4%High third 2023: 35.1%High third 2024: 26%High third 2025: 33.3%High third 2026: 29.2%29.2%

Win % of races by Year

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Is there a draw bias at Gowran Park?

Over 1m1½f, the most-run trip at Gowran Park, the draw rates weak or none from 252 races. It stands out most over 7f, where the low third has won 41.9% against 30.4% by chance (rated strong).

Is a low draw useful on Gowran Park's bends over a mile?

The mile row in the distance table is one of Gowran Park's biggest Flat samples, and the low third has run above chance there in the current figures. The 7f row shows a similar lean.

How do going and field size change the draw at Gowran Park?

The bias matrix gives every Gowran Park trip rows for fast, good and soft ground and for 8 to 11, 12 to 15 and 16 or more runners, each with its own rating. Read the race count before the percentages.

Is the Gowran Park draw bias still current?

The recency table sets each trip's record since 2016 beside the last three seasons, from 2024. Over 1m1½f the check reads stronger lately, from 60 recent races.

How is the bias rating worked out?

Winners from each draw third are tested against the share chance would give them, using a chi-square test. Strong means p below 0.01 from 100 or more races, moderate p below 0.05, and fewer than 40 races is not enough data.

Questions people ask

Is there a draw bias at Gowran Park?

Over 1m1½f, the most-run trip at Gowran Park, the draw rates weak or none, with low draws winning 34.9% of 252 races against 30.2% by chance. It stands out most over 7f, where the low third has won 41.9% against 30.4% (rated strong).

Which stall is best at Gowran Park over 7f?

Stall 2 has the best top-three record over 7f at Gowran Park since 2016, placing in 39.4% of 213 runs against 23.4% by chance. Single stalls swing on small samples, so the stall grid lists every stall with 50 or more runs at each trip.

Is a low or high draw better at Gowran Park?

Across all distances since 2016, low draws have won 37.4% of Gowran Park races against 30.4% by chance, and high draws 30.1% against 36.1%. The answer changes by trip, so check the bias matrix row for the race distance.

Does the draw matter more in bigger Gowran Park fields?

The field size table splits Gowran Park races by runners, with the race count on each band. The low third has run above chance in each band of 8 or more runners.

How often are the Gowran Park draw figures updated?

The figures are rebuilt every night from the RaceWatch results database, and the latest results included are from 15 October 2026. The bias matrix, ratings and stall grid use races since 2016, and the detailed thirds tables further down use races since 2019.

More free data

Draw bias at every courseCompare the thirds course by courseGowran Park course guideResults, trainers and jockeys at the courseGowran Park racecardsThe next meeting's full cardNaas draw biasThe same thirds at another courseWhat is draw bias?How stall position shapes a race

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