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Chances Are (IRE) silks

Horse profile

Chances Are

Dandy Man (IRE) × Incendio (GB) (Siberian Express (USA))
Sex
filly
Foaled
2012
Highest OR
75
Record (GB & IRE)
2 wins from 14 runs (14%)
Prize money (GB & IRE)
£9,832 GB
Last official rating
68 (Flat)
Last run (GB & IRE)
30 Oct 2015, Wolverhampton (AW) (5/11)
Last win (GB & IRE)
19 Aug 2015, Carlisle
Recent form
21866556379315

Form

Race record

DateCoursePosSPBtnJockeyTrainerRaceClassTypeDistGoingWgtORWinner / 2ndWinner prizeDaysFuture form
30 Oct 15Wolverhampton (AW)5/1111/14¼PJ McDonaldKeith DalgleishLadbrokes Handicap (Tapeta)Class 5Flat AW1m½fStandard9-468Supersta (GB)£2,911723/9
19 Aug 15Carlisle1/915/2won 1¾Fergal LynchKeith DalgleishApolloBet Home of Cashback Specials HandicapClass 5Flat Turf1mGood to Firm8-862Hidden Rebel (GB)£2,91192/8
10 Aug 15Wolverhampton (AW)3/812/11¾Louis StewardKeith DalgleishRenault Clio Apprentice Handicap (Tapeta)Class 6Flat AW7fStandard9-962Kodiac Lady (IRE)£2,264100/7
31 Jul 15Musselburgh9/1116/18¼Andrew MullenKeith DalgleishWilkinson And Associates Scotland HandicapClass 5Flat Turf7fGood8-1165Dark Crystal (GB)£3,235112/10
20 Jul 15Beverley7/1410/14¼Joe FanningKeith DalgleishSkybet Supporting The Yorkshire Racing Summer Festival HandicapClass 6Flat Turf7½fGood to Firm9-765Sekuras Girl (IRE)£2,588260/13
24 Jun 15Carlisle3/516/11¾Joe FanningKeith DalgleishEBF Stallions Fillies' HandicapClass 4Flat Turf7fGood8-465Invoke (IRE)£6,46991/4
15 Jun 15Carlisle6/1020/17¼Tony HamiltonKeith DalgleishEBF Stallions Fillies' HandicapClass 4Flat Turf7fGood to Firm8-865Maureb (IRE)£7,763201/9
26 May 15Redcar5/813/25¾Graham LeeKeith DalgleishRacing UK Profits Returned To Racing HandicapClass 5Flat Turf6fGood to Firm9-668Aprovado (IRE)£2,91171/7
19 May 15Newcastle5/99/2F3¼Phillip MakinKeith DalgleishNewcastle Flooring Fillies' HandicapClass 5Flat Turf5fGood to Soft9-268Savannah Beau (GB)£3,235211/8
28 Apr 15Newcastle6/812/15Phillip MakinKeith DalgleishNortheast Oyster Festival On Tour Newcastle 2015 HandicapClass 5Flat Turf5fGood to Soft9-270Showstoppa (GB)£2,9112192/7
21 Sep 14Hamilton6/69/28Phillip MakinKeith DalgleishBet totejackpot Nursery HandicapClass 5Flat Turf6fGood9-573Best Dressed (GB)£3,881282/4
24 Aug 14Beverley8/85/2F14Tom EavesKeith DalgleishR & R Country Nursery HandicapClass 4Flat Turf5fGood9-075Clouds Rest (GB)£6,469220/7
2 Aug 14Thirsk1/115/4Fwon 2Tom EavesKeith DalgleishEBF Stallions Maiden StakesClass 4Flat Turf5fGood to Soft9-0-Thorkhill Star (IRE)£4,852110/9
22 Jul 14Carlisle2/87/11½Tom EavesKeith DalgleishJessie J Here This Sunday Maiden StakesClass 5Flat Turf5fGood to Firm9-0-Teruntum Star (FR)£2,588-0/7
  • 5/1130 Oct 15 · Wolverhampton (AW)11/1

    Ladbrokes Handicap (Tapeta)

    Class 51m½fStandard

    All fields
    Date
    30 Oct 15
    Course
    Wolverhampton (AW)
    Pos
    5/11
    SP
    11/1
    Btn
    4¼
    Race
    Ladbrokes Handicap (Tapeta)
    Class
    Class 5
    Type
    Flat AW
    Dist
    1m½f
    Going
    Standard
    Wgt
    9-4
    OR
    68
    Winner / 2nd
    Supersta (GB)
    Winner prize
    £2,911
    Days
    72
    Future form
    3/9
  • 1/919 Aug 15 · Carlisle15/2

    ApolloBet Home of Cashback Specials Handicap

    Class 51mGood to Firm

    All fields
    Date
    19 Aug 15
    Course
    Carlisle
    Pos
    1/9
    SP
    15/2
    Btn
    won 1¾
    Race
    ApolloBet Home of Cashback Specials Handicap
    Class
    Class 5
    Type
    Flat Turf
    Dist
    1m
    Going
    Good to Firm
    Wgt
    8-8
    OR
    62
    Winner / 2nd
    Hidden Rebel (GB)
    Winner prize
    £2,911
    Days
    9
    Future form
    2/8
  • 3/810 Aug 15 · Wolverhampton (AW)12/1

    Renault Clio Apprentice Handicap (Tapeta)

    Class 67fStandard

    All fields
    Date
    10 Aug 15
    Course
    Wolverhampton (AW)
    Pos
    3/8
    SP
    12/1
    Btn
    1¾
    Race
    Renault Clio Apprentice Handicap (Tapeta)
    Class
    Class 6
    Type
    Flat AW
    Dist
    7f
    Going
    Standard
    Wgt
    9-9
    OR
    62
    Winner / 2nd
    Kodiac Lady (IRE)
    Winner prize
    £2,264
    Days
    10
    Future form
    0/7
  • 9/1131 Jul 15 · Musselburgh16/1

    Wilkinson And Associates Scotland Handicap

    Class 57fGood

    All fields
    Date
    31 Jul 15
    Pos
    9/11
    SP
    16/1
    Btn
    8¼
    Race
    Wilkinson And Associates Scotland Handicap
    Class
    Class 5
    Type
    Flat Turf
    Dist
    7f
    Going
    Good
    Wgt
    8-11
    OR
    65
    Winner / 2nd
    Dark Crystal (GB)
    Winner prize
    £3,235
    Days
    11
    Future form
    2/10
  • 7/1420 Jul 15 · Beverley10/1

    Skybet Supporting The Yorkshire Racing Summer Festival Handicap

    Class 67½fGood to Firm

    All fields
    Date
    20 Jul 15
    Course
    Beverley
    Pos
    7/14
    SP
    10/1
    Btn
    4¼
    Race
    Skybet Supporting The Yorkshire Racing Summer Festival Handicap
    Class
    Class 6
    Type
    Flat Turf
    Dist
    7½f
    Going
    Good to Firm
    Wgt
    9-7
    OR
    65
    Winner / 2nd
    Sekuras Girl (IRE)
    Winner prize
    £2,588
    Days
    26
    Future form
    0/13
  • 3/524 Jun 15 · Carlisle16/1

    EBF Stallions Fillies' Handicap

    Class 47fGood

    All fields
    Date
    24 Jun 15
    Course
    Carlisle
    Pos
    3/5
    SP
    16/1
    Btn
    1¾
    Race
    EBF Stallions Fillies' Handicap
    Class
    Class 4
    Type
    Flat Turf
    Dist
    7f
    Going
    Good
    Wgt
    8-4
    OR
    65
    Winner / 2nd
    Invoke (IRE)
    Winner prize
    £6,469
    Days
    9
    Future form
    1/4
  • 6/1015 Jun 15 · Carlisle20/1

    EBF Stallions Fillies' Handicap

    Class 47fGood to Firm

    All fields
    Date
    15 Jun 15
    Course
    Carlisle
    Pos
    6/10
    SP
    20/1
    Btn
    7¼
    Race
    EBF Stallions Fillies' Handicap
    Class
    Class 4
    Type
    Flat Turf
    Dist
    7f
    Going
    Good to Firm
    Wgt
    8-8
    OR
    65
    Winner / 2nd
    Maureb (IRE)
    Winner prize
    £7,763
    Days
    20
    Future form
    1/9
  • 5/826 May 15 · Redcar13/2

    Racing UK Profits Returned To Racing Handicap

    Class 56fGood to Firm

    All fields
    Date
    26 May 15
    Course
    Redcar
    Pos
    5/8
    SP
    13/2
    Btn
    5¾
    Race
    Racing UK Profits Returned To Racing Handicap
    Class
    Class 5
    Type
    Flat Turf
    Dist
    6f
    Going
    Good to Firm
    Wgt
    9-6
    OR
    68
    Winner / 2nd
    Aprovado (IRE)
    Winner prize
    £2,911
    Days
    7
    Future form
    1/7
  • 5/919 May 15 · Newcastle9/2F

    Newcastle Flooring Fillies' Handicap

    Class 55fGood to Soft

    All fields
    Date
    19 May 15
    Course
    Newcastle
    Pos
    5/9
    SP
    9/2F
    Btn
    3¼
    Race
    Newcastle Flooring Fillies' Handicap
    Class
    Class 5
    Type
    Flat Turf
    Dist
    5f
    Going
    Good to Soft
    Wgt
    9-2
    OR
    68
    Winner / 2nd
    Savannah Beau (GB)
    Winner prize
    £3,235
    Days
    21
    Future form
    1/8
  • 6/828 Apr 15 · Newcastle12/1

    Northeast Oyster Festival On Tour Newcastle 2015 Handicap

    Class 55fGood to Soft

    All fields
    Date
    28 Apr 15
    Course
    Newcastle
    Pos
    6/8
    SP
    12/1
    Btn
    5
    Race
    Northeast Oyster Festival On Tour Newcastle 2015 Handicap
    Class
    Class 5
    Type
    Flat Turf
    Dist
    5f
    Going
    Good to Soft
    Wgt
    9-2
    OR
    70
    Winner / 2nd
    Showstoppa (GB)
    Winner prize
    £2,911
    Days
    219
    Future form
    2/7
  • 6/621 Sep 14 · Hamilton9/2

    Bet totejackpot Nursery Handicap

    Class 56fGood

    All fields
    Date
    21 Sep 14
    Course
    Hamilton
    Pos
    6/6
    SP
    9/2
    Btn
    8
    Race
    Bet totejackpot Nursery Handicap
    Class
    Class 5
    Type
    Flat Turf
    Dist
    6f
    Going
    Good
    Wgt
    9-5
    OR
    73
    Winner / 2nd
    Best Dressed (GB)
    Winner prize
    £3,881
    Days
    28
    Future form
    2/4
  • 8/824 Aug 14 · Beverley5/2F

    R & R Country Nursery Handicap

    Class 45fGood

    All fields
    Date
    24 Aug 14
    Course
    Beverley
    Pos
    8/8
    SP
    5/2F
    Btn
    14
    Jockey
    Tom Eaves
    Race
    R & R Country Nursery Handicap
    Class
    Class 4
    Type
    Flat Turf
    Dist
    5f
    Going
    Good
    Wgt
    9-0
    OR
    75
    Winner / 2nd
    Clouds Rest (GB)
    Winner prize
    £6,469
    Days
    22
    Future form
    0/7
  • 1/112 Aug 14 · Thirsk5/4F

    EBF Stallions Maiden Stakes

    Class 45fGood to Soft

    All fields
    Date
    2 Aug 14
    Course
    Thirsk
    Pos
    1/11
    SP
    5/4F
    Btn
    won 2
    Jockey
    Tom Eaves
    Race
    EBF Stallions Maiden Stakes
    Class
    Class 4
    Type
    Flat Turf
    Dist
    5f
    Going
    Good to Soft
    Wgt
    9-0
    OR
    -
    Winner prize
    £4,852
    Days
    11
    Future form
    0/9
  • 2/822 Jul 14 · Carlisle7/1

    Jessie J Here This Sunday Maiden Stakes

    Class 55fGood to Firm

    All fields
    Date
    22 Jul 14
    Course
    Carlisle
    Pos
    2/8
    SP
    7/1
    Btn
    1½
    Jockey
    Tom Eaves
    Race
    Jessie J Here This Sunday Maiden Stakes
    Class
    Class 5
    Type
    Flat Turf
    Dist
    5f
    Going
    Good to Firm
    Wgt
    9-0
    OR
    -
    Winner / 2nd
    Teruntum Star (FR)
    Winner prize
    £2,588
    Days
    -
    Future form
    0/7

Every British and Irish run since 1990, latest first. Btn is the overall distance beaten (lengths). Where the horse won, the runner-up and winning margin are shown.

Future form: next-time-out winners from this horse's races

DateCourseRaceThis horseWinner next timeTheir posWon onAtRace won
30 Oct 15Wolverhampton (AW)Ladbrokes Handicap (Tapeta)5/11Supersta (GB)126 Nov 15Chelmsford (AW)Follow Us On Twitter @ChelmsfordCRC Handicap
30 Oct 15Wolverhampton (AW)Ladbrokes Handicap (Tapeta)5/11Exit Europe (GB)39 Nov 15Kempton (AW)betdaq.com 50% Commission Refund Handicap
30 Oct 15Wolverhampton (AW)Ladbrokes Handicap (Tapeta)5/11Idol Deputy (FR)43 Nov 15Wolverhampton (AW)Download The Ladbrokes App Handicap (Tapeta)
19 Aug 15CarlisleApolloBet Home of Cashback Specials Handicap1/9Hidden Rebel (GB)212 Sep 15MusselburghEBF Scottish Premier Series Fillies' Handicap
19 Aug 15CarlisleApolloBet Home of Cashback Specials Handicap1/9Framley Garth (IRE)528 Aug 15ThirskThirsk Ladies' Day Saturday 5th September Apprentice Handicap
31 Jul 15MusselburghWilkinson And Associates Scotland Handicap9/11Jubilee Brig (GB)23 Aug 15Carlislebookies.com Handicap (Pro-Am Lady Riders' Race)
31 Jul 15MusselburghWilkinson And Associates Scotland Handicap9/11Silver Rime (FR)63 Aug 15CarlisleLook Good Feel Better Handicap (Pro-Am Lady Riders' Race)
24 Jun 15CarlisleEBF Stallions Fillies' Handicap3/5Privileged (IRE)421 Jul 15Chelmsford (AW)totepool EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes
15 Jun 15CarlisleEBF Stallions Fillies' Handicap6/10Three Gracez (GB)32 Mar 16Kempton (AW)32Red/EBF Stallions Breeding Fillies' Handicap
26 May 15RedcarRacing UK Profits Returned To Racing Handicap5/8Aprovado (IRE)121 Jun 15Pontefracttotepool Racing's Biggest Supporter Handicap
19 May 15NewcastleNewcastle Flooring Fillies' Handicap5/9Taffetta (GB)323 May 15BeverleyMelanie Hughes Big Birthday Bash Median Auction Maiden Stakes
28 Apr 15NewcastleNortheast Oyster Festival On Tour Newcastle 2015 Handicap6/8Stanghow (GB)24 May 15BeverleyBarbara Dickson Beverley Folk Festival Handicap
28 Apr 15NewcastleNortheast Oyster Festival On Tour Newcastle 2015 Handicap6/8Signoret (IRE)427 May 15Thirsk100% RacingUK Profits Returned To Racing Maiden Auction Stakes
21 Sep 14HamiltonBet totejackpot Nursery Handicap6/6Straightothepoint (GB)229 Sep 14HamiltonMarie Curie Glasgow Hospice Auction Nursery Handicap
21 Sep 14HamiltonBet totejackpot Nursery Handicap6/6Dominic Cork (GB)430 Sep 14AyrRacing UK Nursery Handicap
  • 5/1130 Oct 15 · Wolverhampton (AW)

    Ladbrokes Handicap (Tapeta)

    All fields
    Date
    30 Oct 15
    Course
    Wolverhampton (AW)
    Race
    Ladbrokes Handicap (Tapeta)
    This horse
    5/11
    Winner next time
    Supersta (GB)
    Their pos
    1
    Won on
    26 Nov 15
    At
    Chelmsford (AW)
    Race won
    Follow Us On Twitter @ChelmsfordCRC Handicap
  • 5/1130 Oct 15 · Wolverhampton (AW)

    Ladbrokes Handicap (Tapeta)

    All fields
    Date
    30 Oct 15
    Course
    Wolverhampton (AW)
    Race
    Ladbrokes Handicap (Tapeta)
    This horse
    5/11
    Winner next time
    Exit Europe (GB)
    Their pos
    3
    Won on
    9 Nov 15
    At
    Kempton (AW)
    Race won
    betdaq.com 50% Commission Refund Handicap
  • 5/1130 Oct 15 · Wolverhampton (AW)

    Ladbrokes Handicap (Tapeta)

    All fields
    Date
    30 Oct 15
    Course
    Wolverhampton (AW)
    Race
    Ladbrokes Handicap (Tapeta)
    This horse
    5/11
    Winner next time
    Idol Deputy (FR)
    Their pos
    4
    Won on
    3 Nov 15
    At
    Wolverhampton (AW)
    Race won
    Download The Ladbrokes App Handicap (Tapeta)
  • 1/919 Aug 15 · Carlisle

    ApolloBet Home of Cashback Specials Handicap

    All fields
    Date
    19 Aug 15
    Course
    Carlisle
    Race
    ApolloBet Home of Cashback Specials Handicap
    This horse
    1/9
    Winner next time
    Hidden Rebel (GB)
    Their pos
    2
    Won on
    12 Sep 15
    Race won
    EBF Scottish Premier Series Fillies' Handicap
  • 1/919 Aug 15 · Carlisle

    ApolloBet Home of Cashback Specials Handicap

    All fields
    Date
    19 Aug 15
    Course
    Carlisle
    Race
    ApolloBet Home of Cashback Specials Handicap
    This horse
    1/9
    Winner next time
    Framley Garth (IRE)
    Their pos
    5
    Won on
    28 Aug 15
    Race won
    Thirsk Ladies' Day Saturday 5th September Apprentice Handicap
  • 9/1131 Jul 15 · Musselburgh

    Wilkinson And Associates Scotland Handicap

    All fields
    Date
    31 Jul 15
    Race
    Wilkinson And Associates Scotland Handicap
    This horse
    9/11
    Winner next time
    Jubilee Brig (GB)
    Their pos
    2
    Won on
    3 Aug 15
    Race won
    bookies.com Handicap (Pro-Am Lady Riders' Race)
  • 9/1131 Jul 15 · Musselburgh

    Wilkinson And Associates Scotland Handicap

    All fields
    Date
    31 Jul 15
    Race
    Wilkinson And Associates Scotland Handicap
    This horse
    9/11
    Winner next time
    Silver Rime (FR)
    Their pos
    6
    Won on
    3 Aug 15
    Race won
    Look Good Feel Better Handicap (Pro-Am Lady Riders' Race)
  • 3/524 Jun 15 · Carlisle

    EBF Stallions Fillies' Handicap

    All fields
    Date
    24 Jun 15
    Course
    Carlisle
    Race
    EBF Stallions Fillies' Handicap
    This horse
    3/5
    Winner next time
    Privileged (IRE)
    Their pos
    4
    Won on
    21 Jul 15
    At
    Chelmsford (AW)
    Race won
    totepool EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes
  • 6/1015 Jun 15 · Carlisle

    EBF Stallions Fillies' Handicap

    All fields
    Date
    15 Jun 15
    Course
    Carlisle
    Race
    EBF Stallions Fillies' Handicap
    This horse
    6/10
    Winner next time
    Three Gracez (GB)
    Their pos
    3
    Won on
    2 Mar 16
    At
    Kempton (AW)
    Race won
    32Red/EBF Stallions Breeding Fillies' Handicap
  • 5/826 May 15 · Redcar

    Racing UK Profits Returned To Racing Handicap

    All fields
    Date
    26 May 15
    Course
    Redcar
    Race
    Racing UK Profits Returned To Racing Handicap
    This horse
    5/8
    Winner next time
    Aprovado (IRE)
    Their pos
    1
    Won on
    21 Jun 15
    Race won
    totepool Racing's Biggest Supporter Handicap
  • 5/919 May 15 · Newcastle

    Newcastle Flooring Fillies' Handicap

    All fields
    Date
    19 May 15
    Course
    Newcastle
    Race
    Newcastle Flooring Fillies' Handicap
    This horse
    5/9
    Winner next time
    Taffetta (GB)
    Their pos
    3
    Won on
    23 May 15
    Race won
    Melanie Hughes Big Birthday Bash Median Auction Maiden Stakes
  • 6/828 Apr 15 · Newcastle

    Northeast Oyster Festival On Tour Newcastle 2015 Handicap

    All fields
    Date
    28 Apr 15
    Course
    Newcastle
    Race
    Northeast Oyster Festival On Tour Newcastle 2015 Handicap
    This horse
    6/8
    Winner next time
    Stanghow (GB)
    Their pos
    2
    Won on
    4 May 15
    Race won
    Barbara Dickson Beverley Folk Festival Handicap
  • 6/828 Apr 15 · Newcastle

    Northeast Oyster Festival On Tour Newcastle 2015 Handicap

    All fields
    Date
    28 Apr 15
    Course
    Newcastle
    Race
    Northeast Oyster Festival On Tour Newcastle 2015 Handicap
    This horse
    6/8
    Winner next time
    Signoret (IRE)
    Their pos
    4
    Won on
    27 May 15
    Race won
    100% RacingUK Profits Returned To Racing Maiden Auction Stakes
  • 6/621 Sep 14 · Hamilton

    Bet totejackpot Nursery Handicap

    All fields
    Date
    21 Sep 14
    Course
    Hamilton
    Race
    Bet totejackpot Nursery Handicap
    This horse
    6/6
    Winner next time
    Straightothepoint (GB)
    Their pos
    2
    Won on
    29 Sep 14
    Race won
    Marie Curie Glasgow Hospice Auction Nursery Handicap
  • 6/621 Sep 14 · Hamilton

    Bet totejackpot Nursery Handicap

    All fields
    Date
    21 Sep 14
    Course
    Hamilton
    Race
    Bet totejackpot Nursery Handicap
    This horse
    6/6
    Winner next time
    Dominic Cork (GB)
    Their pos
    4
    Won on
    30 Sep 14
    At
    Ayr
    Race won
    Racing UK Nursery Handicap

Other runners from this horse's races (latest 20 races with a next-time-out winner, up to 40 rows) that won on their next start in Britain or Ireland. FF on the race record = next-time-out winners / runners that have run again (this horse excluded).

Trainer changes

TrainerFirst runLast runFirst run for yardOR first runOR last runBest ORRunsWins2nd3rdWin %Place %Prize GB (£)Prize IRE (€)
Keith Dalgleish22 Jul 1430 Oct 152/87568751421214.3%28.6%£9,832€0
Keith Dalgleish
First run
22 Jul 14
Last run
30 Oct 15
First run for yard
2/8
OR first run
75
OR last run
68
Best OR
75
Runs
14
Wins
2
2nd
1
3rd
2
Win %
14.3%
Place %
28.6%
Prize GB (£)
£9,832
Prize IRE (€)
€0

Trained by one trainer throughout its British and Irish career.

Stats

Career summary by code (GB & IRE)

CodeRunsWins2nd3rdWin %Place %Prize GB (£)Prize IRE (€)Best ORFirst runLast run
Flat1421214.3%28.6%£9,832€07522 Jul 1430 Oct 15
Flat
Code
Flat
Runs
14
Wins
2
2nd
1
3rd
2
Win %
14.3%
Place %
28.6%
Prize GB (£)
£9,832
Prize IRE (€)
€0
Best OR
75
First run
22 Jul 14
Last run
30 Oct 15

Placed = 1st in 2-4 runners, 1st-2nd in 5-7, 1st-3rd in 8+.

By race type

Race typeRunsWins2nd3rdWin %Place %Prize GB (£)Prize IRE (€)
Flat Turf1221116.7%25.0%£9,495€0
Flat AW20010.0%50.0%£337€0
Flat Turf
Race type
Flat Turf
Runs
12
Wins
2
2nd
1
3rd
1
Win %
16.7%
Place %
25.0%
Prize GB (£)
£9,495
Prize IRE (€)
€0
Flat AW
Race type
Flat AW
Runs
2
Wins
0
2nd
0
3rd
1
Win %
0.0%
Place %
50.0%
Prize GB (£)
£337
Prize IRE (€)
€0

By going

GoingRunsWins2nd3rdWin %Place %Prize GB (£)Prize IRE (€)
Good to Firm511020.0%40.0%£3,681€0
Good40010.0%0.0%£962€0
Good to Soft310033.3%33.3%£4,852€0
Standard20010.0%50.0%£337€0
Good to Firm
Going
Good to Firm
Runs
5
Wins
1
2nd
1
3rd
0
Win %
20.0%
Place %
40.0%
Prize GB (£)
£3,681
Prize IRE (€)
€0
Good
Going
Good
Runs
4
Wins
0
2nd
0
3rd
1
Win %
0.0%
Place %
0.0%
Prize GB (£)
£962
Prize IRE (€)
€0
Good to Soft
Going
Good to Soft
Runs
3
Wins
1
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
33.3%
Place %
33.3%
Prize GB (£)
£4,852
Prize IRE (€)
€0
Standard
Going
Standard
Runs
2
Wins
0
2nd
0
3rd
1
Win %
0.0%
Place %
50.0%
Prize GB (£)
£337
Prize IRE (€)
€0

By distance

DistanceRunsWins2nd3rdWin %Place %Prize GB (£)Prize IRE (€)
5f to 6f711014.3%28.6%£5,622€0
7f to 1m610216.7%33.3%£4,210€0
9f to 11f10000.0%0.0%£0€0
5f to 6f
Distance
5f to 6f
Runs
7
Wins
1
2nd
1
3rd
0
Win %
14.3%
Place %
28.6%
Prize GB (£)
£5,622
Prize IRE (€)
€0
7f to 1m
Distance
7f to 1m
Runs
6
Wins
1
2nd
0
3rd
2
Win %
16.7%
Place %
33.3%
Prize GB (£)
£4,210
Prize IRE (€)
€0
9f to 11f
Distance
9f to 11f
Runs
1
Wins
0
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
0.0%
Place %
0.0%
Prize GB (£)
£0
Prize IRE (€)
€0

Flat bands: 5f-6f, 7f-1m, 9f-11f, 12f-13f, 14f+. NH bands: 2m-2m1f, 2m2f-2m5f, 2m6f-3m1f, 3m2f+.

By course

CourseRunsWins2nd3rdWin %Place %Prize GB (£)Prize IRE (€)
Carlisle411125.0%50.0%£4,643€0
Beverley20000.0%0.0%£0€0
Newcastle20000.0%0.0%£0€0
Wolverhampton (AW)20010.0%50.0%£337€0
Thirsk1100100.0%100.0%£4,852€0
Hamilton10000.0%0.0%£0€0
Musselburgh10000.0%0.0%£0€0
Redcar10000.0%0.0%£0€0
Carlisle
Course
Carlisle
Runs
4
Wins
1
2nd
1
3rd
1
Win %
25.0%
Place %
50.0%
Prize GB (£)
£4,643
Prize IRE (€)
€0
Beverley
Course
Beverley
Runs
2
Wins
0
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
0.0%
Place %
0.0%
Prize GB (£)
£0
Prize IRE (€)
€0
Newcastle
Course
Newcastle
Runs
2
Wins
0
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
0.0%
Place %
0.0%
Prize GB (£)
£0
Prize IRE (€)
€0
Wolverhampton (AW)
Course
Wolverhampton (AW)
Runs
2
Wins
0
2nd
0
3rd
1
Win %
0.0%
Place %
50.0%
Prize GB (£)
£337
Prize IRE (€)
€0
Thirsk
Course
Thirsk
Runs
1
Wins
1
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
100.0%
Place %
100.0%
Prize GB (£)
£4,852
Prize IRE (€)
€0
Hamilton
Course
Hamilton
Runs
1
Wins
0
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
0.0%
Place %
0.0%
Prize GB (£)
£0
Prize IRE (€)
€0
Musselburgh
Runs
1
Wins
0
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
0.0%
Place %
0.0%
Prize GB (£)
£0
Prize IRE (€)
€0
Redcar
Course
Redcar
Runs
1
Wins
0
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
0.0%
Place %
0.0%
Prize GB (£)
£0
Prize IRE (€)
€0

By class

ClassRunsWins2nd3rdWin %Place %Prize GB (£)Prize IRE (€)
Class 4410125.0%25.0%£5,814€0
Class 5811012.5%25.0%£3,681€0
Class 620010.0%50.0%£337€0
Class 4
Class
Class 4
Runs
4
Wins
1
2nd
0
3rd
1
Win %
25.0%
Place %
25.0%
Prize GB (£)
£5,814
Prize IRE (€)
€0
Class 5
Class
Class 5
Runs
8
Wins
1
2nd
1
3rd
0
Win %
12.5%
Place %
25.0%
Prize GB (£)
£3,681
Prize IRE (€)
€0
Class 6
Class
Class 6
Runs
2
Wins
0
2nd
0
3rd
1
Win %
0.0%
Place %
50.0%
Prize GB (£)
£337
Prize IRE (€)
€0

Pattern (Group/Grade/Listed) shown ahead of class. Irish races carry no class, so they are grouped as handicap or non-handicap.

By field size

RunnersRunsWins2nd3rdWin %Place %Prize GB (£)Prize IRE (€)
6 to 8 runners60110.0%33.3%£1,107€0
2 to 5 runners10010.0%0.0%£962€0
9 to 12 runners620033.3%33.3%£7,763€0
13 to 16 runners10000.0%0.0%£0€0
6 to 8 runners
Runners
6 to 8 runners
Runs
6
Wins
0
2nd
1
3rd
1
Win %
0.0%
Place %
33.3%
Prize GB (£)
£1,107
Prize IRE (€)
€0
2 to 5 runners
Runners
2 to 5 runners
Runs
1
Wins
0
2nd
0
3rd
1
Win %
0.0%
Place %
0.0%
Prize GB (£)
£962
Prize IRE (€)
€0
9 to 12 runners
Runners
9 to 12 runners
Runs
6
Wins
2
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
33.3%
Place %
33.3%
Prize GB (£)
£7,763
Prize IRE (€)
€0
13 to 16 runners
Runners
13 to 16 runners
Runs
1
Wins
0
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
0.0%
Place %
0.0%
Prize GB (£)
£0
Prize IRE (€)
€0

By month

MonthRunsWins2nd3rdWin %Place %Prize GB (£)Prize IRE (€)
April10000.0%0.0%£0€0
May20000.0%0.0%£0€0
June20010.0%0.0%£962€0
July30100.0%33.3%£770€0
August420150.0%75.0%£8,100€0
September10000.0%0.0%£0€0
October10000.0%0.0%£0€0
April
Month
April
Runs
1
Wins
0
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
0.0%
Place %
0.0%
Prize GB (£)
£0
Prize IRE (€)
€0
May
Month
May
Runs
2
Wins
0
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
0.0%
Place %
0.0%
Prize GB (£)
£0
Prize IRE (€)
€0
June
Month
June
Runs
2
Wins
0
2nd
0
3rd
1
Win %
0.0%
Place %
0.0%
Prize GB (£)
£962
Prize IRE (€)
€0
July
Month
July
Runs
3
Wins
0
2nd
1
3rd
0
Win %
0.0%
Place %
33.3%
Prize GB (£)
£770
Prize IRE (€)
€0
August
Month
August
Runs
4
Wins
2
2nd
0
3rd
1
Win %
50.0%
Place %
75.0%
Prize GB (£)
£8,100
Prize IRE (€)
€0
September
Month
September
Runs
1
Wins
0
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
0.0%
Place %
0.0%
Prize GB (£)
£0
Prize IRE (€)
€0
October
Month
October
Runs
1
Wins
0
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
0.0%
Place %
0.0%
Prize GB (£)
£0
Prize IRE (€)
€0

By jockey

JockeyRunsWins2nd3rdWin %Place %Prize GB (£)Prize IRE (€)
Tom Eaves311033.3%66.7%£5,622€0
Phillip Makin30000.0%0.0%£0€0
Joe Fanning20010.0%0.0%£962€0
Fergal Lynch1100100.0%100.0%£2,911€0
Andrew Mullen10000.0%0.0%£0€0
Graham Lee10000.0%0.0%£0€0
Louis Steward10010.0%100.0%£337€0
PJ McDonald10000.0%0.0%£0€0
Tony Hamilton10000.0%0.0%£0€0
Tom Eaves
Jockey
Tom Eaves
Runs
3
Wins
1
2nd
1
3rd
0
Win %
33.3%
Place %
66.7%
Prize GB (£)
£5,622
Prize IRE (€)
€0
Phillip Makin
Runs
3
Wins
0
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
0.0%
Place %
0.0%
Prize GB (£)
£0
Prize IRE (€)
€0
Joe Fanning
Runs
2
Wins
0
2nd
0
3rd
1
Win %
0.0%
Place %
0.0%
Prize GB (£)
£962
Prize IRE (€)
€0
Fergal Lynch
Runs
1
Wins
1
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
100.0%
Place %
100.0%
Prize GB (£)
£2,911
Prize IRE (€)
€0
Andrew Mullen
Runs
1
Wins
0
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
0.0%
Place %
0.0%
Prize GB (£)
£0
Prize IRE (€)
€0
Graham Lee
Runs
1
Wins
0
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
0.0%
Place %
0.0%
Prize GB (£)
£0
Prize IRE (€)
€0
Louis Steward
Runs
1
Wins
0
2nd
0
3rd
1
Win %
0.0%
Place %
100.0%
Prize GB (£)
£337
Prize IRE (€)
€0
PJ McDonald
Runs
1
Wins
0
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
0.0%
Place %
0.0%
Prize GB (£)
£0
Prize IRE (€)
€0
Tony Hamilton
Runs
1
Wins
0
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
0.0%
Place %
0.0%
Prize GB (£)
£0
Prize IRE (€)
€0

By trainer

TrainerRunsWins2nd3rdWin %Place %Prize GB (£)Prize IRE (€)
Keith Dalgleish1421214.3%28.6%£9,832€0
Keith Dalgleish
Runs
14
Wins
2
2nd
1
3rd
2
Win %
14.3%
Place %
28.6%
Prize GB (£)
£9,832
Prize IRE (€)
€0

By headgear

HeadgearRunsWins2nd3rdWin %Place %Prize GB (£)Prize IRE (€)
No headgear1421214.3%28.6%£9,832€0
No headgear
Headgear
No headgear
Runs
14
Wins
2
2nd
1
3rd
2
Win %
14.3%
Place %
28.6%
Prize GB (£)
£9,832
Prize IRE (€)
€0

Headgear codes as declared: b blinkers, v visor, p cheekpieces, t tongue strap, h hood, e/s eyeshield.

By days since last run

Days since last runRunsWins2nd3rdWin %Place %Prize GB (£)Prize IRE (€)
Debut / no previous run10100.0%100.0%£770€0
1 to 7 days10000.0%0.0%£0€0
8 to 14 days520240.0%60.0%£9,062€0
15 to 30 days50000.0%0.0%£0€0
61 to 120 days10000.0%0.0%£0€0
121 to 365 days10000.0%0.0%£0€0
Debut / no previous run
Days since last run
Debut / no previous run
Runs
1
Wins
0
2nd
1
3rd
0
Win %
0.0%
Place %
100.0%
Prize GB (£)
£770
Prize IRE (€)
€0
1 to 7 days
Days since last run
1 to 7 days
Runs
1
Wins
0
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
0.0%
Place %
0.0%
Prize GB (£)
£0
Prize IRE (€)
€0
8 to 14 days
Days since last run
8 to 14 days
Runs
5
Wins
2
2nd
0
3rd
2
Win %
40.0%
Place %
60.0%
Prize GB (£)
£9,062
Prize IRE (€)
€0
15 to 30 days
Days since last run
15 to 30 days
Runs
5
Wins
0
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
0.0%
Place %
0.0%
Prize GB (£)
£0
Prize IRE (€)
€0
61 to 120 days
Days since last run
61 to 120 days
Runs
1
Wins
0
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
0.0%
Place %
0.0%
Prize GB (£)
£0
Prize IRE (€)
€0
121 to 365 days
Days since last run
121 to 365 days
Runs
1
Wins
0
2nd
0
3rd
0
Win %
0.0%
Place %
0.0%
Prize GB (£)
£0
Prize IRE (€)
€0

Counted from the previous run in Britain or Ireland; runs abroad are not seen.

Pedigree

Pedigree

Sire branchDandy Man (IRE)

Parent · 1

  1. SireDandy Man (IRE)

Grandparents · 2

  1. Sire's sireMozart (IRE)
  2. Sire's damLady Alexander (IRE)

Great-grandparents · 4

  1. Sire's sire's sireNot traced
  2. Sire's sire's damNot traced
  3. Sire's dam's sireNot traced
  4. Sire's dam's damNot traced
Dam branchIncendio (GB)

Parent · 1

  1. DamIncendio (GB)

Grandparents · 2

  1. Dam's sireSiberian Express (USA)
  2. Dam's damNot traced

Great-grandparents · 4

  1. Dam's sire's sireNot traced
  2. Dam's sire's damNot traced
  3. Dam's dam's sireNot traced
  4. Dam's dam's damNot traced
Dandy Man (IRE)
Incendio (GB)
Mozart (IRE)
Lady Alexander (IRE)
Siberian Express (USA)
Not traced
Not traced
Not traced
Not traced
Not traced
Not traced
Not traced
Not traced
Not traced

Breeding card

HorseChances Are (IRE)
Sexfilly
Foaled2012
SireDandy Man (IRE)
DamIncendio (GB)
DamsireSiberian Express (USA)
Sire's sireMozart (IRE)
Sire's damLady Alexander (IRE)
Dam's produce7 winners from 10 runners
Notable siblingBaron's Pit (GB)

Female line

  1. Incendio (GB) · 7 winners from 10 runners

Sire, dam and damsire

SireDamDamsireSexSire's avg winning distanceDamsire's avg winning distance
Dandy Man (IRE)Incendio (GB)Siberian Express (USA)fillyFlat 6.2f · NH 2m½fFlat 8.2f · NH 2m3½f
Dandy Man (IRE)
Sex
filly
Sire's avg winning distance
Flat 6.2f · NH 2m½f
Damsire's avg winning distance
Flat 8.2f · NH 2m3½f

Progeny of Dandy Man (IRE) in this horse's best conditions

ConditionRunsWinsPlacedWin %Place %This horse runsThis horse wins
All Flat runs14,2041,3263,7539.3%26.4%142
At 5f to 6f8,5908842,35810.3%27.5%71
On Good to firm or firmer going2,55627071010.6%27.8%51
At 5f to 6f on Good to firm or firmer going1,74821249612.1%28.4%20
All Flat runs
Condition
All Flat runs
Runs
14,204
Wins
1,326
Placed
3,753
Win %
9.3%
Place %
26.4%
This horse runs
14
This horse wins
2
At 5f to 6f
Condition
At 5f to 6f
Runs
8,590
Wins
884
Placed
2,358
Win %
10.3%
Place %
27.5%
This horse runs
7
This horse wins
1
On Good to firm or firmer going
Condition
On Good to firm or firmer going
Runs
2,556
Wins
270
Placed
710
Win %
10.6%
Place %
27.8%
This horse runs
5
This horse wins
1
At 5f to 6f on Good to firm or firmer going
Condition
At 5f to 6f on Good to firm or firmer going
Runs
1,748
Wins
212
Placed
496
Win %
12.1%
Place %
28.4%
This horse runs
2
This horse wins
0

Best distance band and going band are where this horse has most wins (then places, then runs) in its main code. Sire figures: all British and Irish runs by the sire's progeny since 1990.

Dandy Man (IRE) × Siberian Express mares (the cross)

CodeRunnersWinnersWinners %Black-type winnersRunsWins2nd/3rdWin %Prize GB (£)Prize IRE (€)
Flat11100.0%0142314.3%£9,832€0
Flat
Code
Flat
Runners
1
Winners
1
Winners %
100.0%
Black-type winners
0
Runs
14
Wins
2
2nd/3rd
3
Win %
14.3%
Prize GB (£)
£9,832
Prize IRE (€)
€0

Small sample (under 5 runners): read with care. Includes this horse.

Best of the cross

HorseRunsWinsBlack-type winsPrize GB (£)Prize IRE (€)
Chances Are (IRE)1420£9,832€0
Chances Are (IRE)
Runs
14
Wins
2
Black-type wins
0
Prize GB (£)
£9,832
Prize IRE (€)
€0

Top 12 by best win level, then wins.

Ratings

Official ratings

CodeCurrent ORHighest ORLowest ORLast winning ORLast winRated runs
Flat6875626219 Aug 1512
Flat
Code
Flat
Current OR
68
Highest OR
75
Lowest OR
62
Last winning OR
62
Last win
19 Aug 15
Rated runs
12

Current OR here is the mark carried on the latest run in each code; the page header uses a newer declared mark where one exists.

Official rating by run

DateCourseCodeORChangePos
30 Oct 15Wolverhampton (AW)Flat6865/11
19 Aug 15CarlisleFlat6201/9
10 Aug 15Wolverhampton (AW)Flat62-33/8
31 Jul 15MusselburghFlat6509/11
20 Jul 15BeverleyFlat6507/14
24 Jun 15CarlisleFlat6503/5
15 Jun 15CarlisleFlat65-36/10
26 May 15RedcarFlat6805/8
19 May 15NewcastleFlat68-25/9
28 Apr 15NewcastleFlat70-36/8
21 Sep 14HamiltonFlat73-26/6
24 Aug 14BeverleyFlat75-8/8
  • 5/1130 Oct 15 · Wolverhampton (AW)
    All fields
    Date
    30 Oct 15
    Course
    Wolverhampton (AW)
    Code
    Flat
    OR
    68
    Change
    6
    Pos
    5/11
  • 1/919 Aug 15 · Carlisle
    All fields
    Date
    19 Aug 15
    Course
    Carlisle
    Code
    Flat
    OR
    62
    Change
    0
    Pos
    1/9
  • 3/810 Aug 15 · Wolverhampton (AW)
    All fields
    Date
    10 Aug 15
    Course
    Wolverhampton (AW)
    Code
    Flat
    OR
    62
    Change
    -3
    Pos
    3/8
  • 9/1131 Jul 15 · Musselburgh
    All fields
    Date
    31 Jul 15
    Code
    Flat
    OR
    65
    Change
    0
    Pos
    9/11
  • 7/1420 Jul 15 · Beverley
    All fields
    Date
    20 Jul 15
    Course
    Beverley
    Code
    Flat
    OR
    65
    Change
    0
    Pos
    7/14
  • 3/524 Jun 15 · Carlisle
    All fields
    Date
    24 Jun 15
    Course
    Carlisle
    Code
    Flat
    OR
    65
    Change
    0
    Pos
    3/5
  • 6/1015 Jun 15 · Carlisle
    All fields
    Date
    15 Jun 15
    Course
    Carlisle
    Code
    Flat
    OR
    65
    Change
    -3
    Pos
    6/10
  • 5/826 May 15 · Redcar
    All fields
    Date
    26 May 15
    Course
    Redcar
    Code
    Flat
    OR
    68
    Change
    0
    Pos
    5/8
  • 5/919 May 15 · Newcastle
    All fields
    Date
    19 May 15
    Course
    Newcastle
    Code
    Flat
    OR
    68
    Change
    -2
    Pos
    5/9
  • 6/828 Apr 15 · Newcastle
    All fields
    Date
    28 Apr 15
    Course
    Newcastle
    Code
    Flat
    OR
    70
    Change
    -3
    Pos
    6/8
  • 6/621 Sep 14 · Hamilton
    All fields
    Date
    21 Sep 14
    Course
    Hamilton
    Code
    Flat
    OR
    73
    Change
    -2
    Pos
    6/6
  • 8/824 Aug 14 · Beverley
    All fields
    Date
    24 Aug 14
    Course
    Beverley
    Code
    Flat
    OR
    75
    Change
    -
    Pos
    8/8

Current mark v winning marks

CodeCurrent OROR last runChangeLast winning ORLast winv last winningHighest winning ORv highest winningHighest ORv highest
Flat686806219 Aug 15662675-7
Flat
Code
Flat
Current OR
68
OR last run
68
Change
0
Last winning OR
62
Last win
19 Aug 15
v last winning
6
Highest winning OR
62
v highest winning
6
Highest OR
75
v highest
-7

Differences are current OR minus the mark shown (positive = higher now). Current OR in the main code uses a newer declared or published mark where one exists.

Family

Dam summary

Incendio (GB)

G1 winners
0
Produce
7 winners from 10 runners

Full siblings

No other foal by Dandy Man (IRE) out of Incendio (GB) has raced in Britain or Ireland.

Half siblings

By Common Grounds (GB)

By Night Shift (USA)

By Mark Of Esteem (IRE)

By Diktat (GB)

By Bertolini (USA)

By Captain Rio (GB)

By Diamond Green (FR)

By Frozen Power (IRE)

Female line

  1. 1Incendio (GB)

Notable relatives

Half-brother

Nephew (out of a sibling)

Niece (out of a sibling)

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In brief

When was Chances Are foaled?

Chances Are (IRE) was foaled in 2012.

Who are the sire and dam of Chances Are?

Chances Are (IRE) is by Dandy Man (IRE) out of Incendio (GB), a daughter of Siberian Express (USA).

Who trained Chances Are?

Chances Are (IRE) was trained by Keith Dalgleish and owned by Steve MacDonald at the time of the last run in Britain or Ireland.

What is Chances Are's race record?

In Britain and Ireland, Chances Are (IRE) won 2 of 14 races (14%).

What is Chances Are's biggest win?

Chances Are (IRE)'s biggest win in Britain or Ireland came in the EBF Stallions Maiden Stakes at Thirsk on 2 August 2014.

Has Chances Are ever been beaten?

Chances Are (IRE) was beaten 12 times in 14 runs in Britain and Ireland, the first time on 22 July 2014 at Carlisle (2nd of 8).

What was Chances Are's official rating?

Chances Are (IRE) was last officially rated 68 on the Flat (career high 75).

Is Chances Are still racing?

Chances Are (IRE) last ran in Britain or Ireland on 30 October 2015 at Wolverhampton (AW) in the Ladbrokes Handicap (Tapeta), finishing 5th of 11, and has not run there since.

Is Chances Are related to any top horses?

Chances Are (IRE)'s black-type relatives in Britain and Ireland include Baron's Pit (GB) (half-brother, Group 2 winner), Bravo Zolo (IRE) (nephew, Listed winner) and Jasmine Bliss (GB) (niece, Listed winner), from the Incendio (GB) family.

What is Chances Are's record at Carlisle?

Chances Are (IRE) ran most often at Carlisle, with 1 win from 4 runs there.

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