Home / Stats & Records / Newmarket draw bias
LiveFree dataUpdated every night

Newmarket draw bias: the Rowley Mile straight

At Newmarket over 7f, the most-run Flat trip, low draws have won 31.8% of races of 8 or more runners since 2016 (305 races), middle draws 30.8% and high draws 37.4%, against 30%, 33.8% and 36.2% by chance. Bias rating: weak or none. Every trip, going and field size follows, with results to 15 October 2026.

No Flat meeting at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) declared yet. Latest Flat race in the data: 10 October 2026 · Results to 15 October 2026 · Refreshed 16 October 2026
Weak or none
Rating on the most-run trip
1m
Trip where the draw stands out most
1,049
Races of 8+ runners since 2016
15 October 2026
Results up to
Low 31.8% v 30.0%

At Newmarket (Rowley Mile) over 7f, the course's most-run Flat trip, low draws have won 31.8% of races of 8 or more runners since 2016 (305 races), middle draws 30.8% and high draws 37.4%, against 30.0%, 33.8% and 36.2% by chance. Bias rating: weak or none.Sample: 305 races · Window: 12 April 2016 to 15 October 2026 · Source: RaceWatch results database (Flat results with stall draw), plus today's declarations for the next meeting

Go deeper before the next race.

Open every racecard in full and get your research done before they go to post.

  • 14racecard tabs per race
  • 20+bookmaker prices side by side
  • Trackeralerts when your horses are declared

30-day free trial

£0today

Start my 30-day free trial

By continuing you agree to our Terms and Intellectual Property and Acceptable Use policy.

£0 today. Card on step 2. £24.99 from day 31.Cancel any time.

Newmarket (Rowley Mile) draw bias by distance, going and field size

All distancesAll goingAll field sizes1,04911,92230.4%29.9%32.0%33.9%37.6%36.3%26.0%25.4%27.7%26.4%High +1.3 pts0.442Weak or none
5fAll goingAll field sizes6669336.4%29.6%27.3%34.4%36.4%36.0%28.5%28.7%28.5%28.6%Low +6.8 pts0.369Weak or none
5fFast (good to firm or firmer)All field sizes2122333.3%29.7%23.8%34.7%42.9%35.5%26.9%29.9%27.8%28.3%High +7.4 pts0.570Not enough data
5fGoodAll field sizes2929234.5%29.3%34.5%34.4%31.0%36.3%31.4%30.0%28.3%29.8%Low +5.2 pts0.782Not enough data
5fAll going8 to 11 runners4642830.4%28.7%32.6%34.9%37.0%36.4%34.1%32.9%30.1%32.2%Low +1.7 pts0.940Weak or none
5fGood8 to 11 runners2321626.1%28.6%34.8%34.8%39.1%36.6%33.9%32.0%30.4%31.9%High +2.5 pts0.954Not enough data
6fAll goingAll field sizes1722,04828.5%29.9%35.5%33.7%36.0%36.4%24.2%25.0%26.1%25.2%Middle +1.8 pts0.874Weak or none
6fFast (good to firm or firmer)All field sizes5963930.5%29.7%35.6%34.1%33.9%36.2%26.7%27.2%29.0%27.7%Middle +1.5 pts0.934Weak or none
6fGoodAll field sizes7994024.1%29.7%39.2%33.7%36.7%36.6%23.0%26.3%25.9%25.2%Middle +5.5 pts0.460Weak or none
6fSoft (good to soft to heavy)All field sizes3446935.3%30.6%26.5%33.2%38.2%36.2%23.3%19.4%22.6%21.7%Low +4.7 pts0.691Not enough data
6fAll going8 to 11 runners1061,02326.4%28.8%34.9%34.2%38.7%37.0%29.2%32.4%31.4%31.1%High +1.7 pts0.858Weak or none
6fAll going12 to 15 runners4761634.0%31.4%31.9%33.2%34.0%35.4%24.4%20.5%23.9%22.9%Low +2.6 pts0.927Weak or none
6fFast (good to firm or firmer)8 to 11 runners4846131.3%29.3%35.4%34.3%33.3%36.4%31.1%33.5%29.2%31.2%Low +2.0 pts0.904Weak or none
6fGood8 to 11 runners4139217.1%28.2%39.0%34.3%43.9%37.5%26.1%32.1%34.7%31.4%High +6.4 pts0.284Weak or none
6fGood12 to 15 runners3140332.3%31.1%35.5%33.2%32.3%35.7%24.0%23.9%21.5%23.1%Middle +2.3 pts0.922Not enough data
7fAll goingAll field sizes3053,37231.8%30.0%30.8%33.8%37.4%36.2%27.0%25.9%28.5%27.1%Low +1.8 pts0.527Weak or none
7fFast (good to firm or firmer)All field sizes8794226.4%29.5%37.9%34.1%35.6%36.3%23.1%30.0%29.3%27.7%Middle +3.8 pts0.715Weak or none
7fGoodAll field sizes1101,22836.4%29.8%24.5%34.1%39.1%36.0%30.5%21.8%28.6%26.9%Low +6.6 pts0.090Weak or none
7fSoft (good to soft to heavy)All field sizes1081,20231.5%30.5%31.5%33.3%37.0%36.2%26.4%26.8%27.6%27.0%Low +1.0 pts0.919Weak or none
7fAll going8 to 11 runners1941,82730.9%29.1%34.5%34.2%34.5%36.7%30.6%31.9%32.7%31.9%Low +1.8 pts0.782Weak or none
7fAll going12 to 15 runners931,22635.5%31.8%24.7%33.2%39.8%35.1%23.9%19.9%24.4%22.8%High +4.7 pts0.225Weak or none
7fFast (good to firm or firmer)8 to 11 runners5652723.2%28.4%41.1%34.5%35.7%37.2%22.7%36.5%34.7%31.9%Middle +6.6 pts0.533Weak or none
7fFast (good to firm or firmer)12 to 15 runners2836232.1%31.9%35.7%33.4%32.1%34.8%25.2%22.3%22.2%23.2%Middle +2.3 pts0.951Not enough data
7fGood8 to 11 runners6964433.3%28.8%29.0%34.6%37.7%36.6%36.6%29.3%31.4%32.1%Low +4.5 pts0.566Weak or none
7fGood12 to 15 runners3343945.5%31.7%15.2%33.4%39.4%34.8%24.5%15.6%27.5%22.6%Low +13.8 pts0.065Not enough data
7fSoft (good to soft to heavy)8 to 11 runners6965634.8%29.9%34.8%33.6%30.4%36.5%31.1%30.9%32.5%31.6%Low +4.9 pts0.529Weak or none
7fSoft (good to soft to heavy)12 to 15 runners3242528.1%31.8%25.0%32.7%46.9%35.6%22.2%22.3%23.2%22.6%High +11.3 pts0.394Not enough data
1mAll goingAll field sizes2462,71030.1%29.9%29.3%33.8%40.7%36.4%27.3%25.0%29.5%27.2%High +4.3 pts0.259Weak or none
1mFast (good to firm or firmer)All field sizes7378732.9%29.5%27.4%34.3%39.7%36.2%29.4%26.5%28.5%27.8%High +3.5 pts0.464Weak or none
1mGoodAll field sizes1111,22428.8%30.0%30.6%33.5%40.5%36.5%28.0%25.2%28.3%27.2%High +4.0 pts0.661Weak or none
1mSoft (good to soft to heavy)All field sizes6269929.0%30.0%29.0%33.6%41.9%36.4%23.6%22.7%32.7%26.6%High +5.5 pts0.629Weak or none
1mAll going8 to 11 runners1511,39427.2%28.7%30.5%34.3%42.4%37.0%30.6%33.1%33.8%32.5%High +5.4 pts0.382Weak or none
1mAll going12 to 15 runners791,03838.0%31.7%27.8%33.1%34.2%35.1%26.7%17.7%24.1%22.8%Low +6.3 pts0.439Weak or none
1mFast (good to firm or firmer)8 to 11 runners4440136.4%28.0%22.7%34.9%40.9%37.1%31.0%32.4%36.2%32.9%Low +8.4 pts0.210Weak or none
1mFast (good to firm or firmer)12 to 15 runners2735029.6%31.8%37.0%33.4%33.3%34.8%28.8%22.2%18.9%23.1%Middle +3.6 pts0.921Not enough data
1mGood8 to 11 runners7368223.3%29.1%34.2%33.9%42.5%37.0%32.7%33.0%30.8%32.1%High +5.5 pts0.489Weak or none
1mGood12 to 15 runners3040343.3%31.8%23.3%33.0%33.3%35.3%25.0%16.5%25.4%22.3%Low +11.5 pts0.343Not enough data
1mSoft (good to soft to heavy)8 to 11 runners3431123.5%28.8%32.4%34.3%44.1%36.9%25.6%34.0%37.4%32.8%High +7.2 pts0.657Not enough data
1mSoft (good to soft to heavy)12 to 15 runners2228540.9%31.7%22.7%33.0%36.4%35.4%26.7%13.8%28.7%23.2%Low +9.2 pts0.522Not enough data
1m1fAll goingAll field sizes6692724.2%30.4%33.3%33.7%42.4%35.9%17.4%21.3%24.8%21.4%High +6.5 pts0.448Weak or none
1m1fFast (good to firm or firmer)All field sizes2336226.1%30.0%43.5%33.3%30.4%36.7%14.3%23.3%19.2%19.1%Middle +10.2 pts0.584Not enough data
1m1fGoodAll field sizes2533512.0%30.7%32.0%33.5%56.0%35.8%15.4%17.0%33.6%22.4%High +20.2 pts0.057Not enough data
1m1fAll going8 to 11 runners3632222.2%29.6%36.1%34.1%41.7%36.3%25.0%33.0%41.0%33.5%High +5.4 pts0.606Not enough data
1m2fAll goingAll field sizes9896229.6%29.5%36.7%34.1%33.7%36.4%31.5%29.1%31.1%30.6%Middle +2.6 pts0.820Weak or none
1m2fFast (good to firm or firmer)All field sizes2625323.1%29.8%46.2%33.4%30.8%36.7%30.3%31.0%31.2%30.8%Middle +12.8 pts0.385Not enough data
1m2fGoodAll field sizes4239428.6%29.5%31.0%34.5%40.5%36.0%35.0%29.6%31.7%32.0%High +4.5 pts0.820Weak or none
1m2fSoft (good to soft to heavy)All field sizes3031536.7%29.1%36.7%34.2%26.7%36.7%28.0%27.1%30.4%28.6%Low +7.6 pts0.481Not enough data
1m2fAll going8 to 11 runners7971027.8%29.0%35.4%34.4%36.7%36.6%32.9%32.5%34.6%33.4%Middle +1.0 pts0.971Weak or none
1m2fFast (good to firm or firmer)8 to 11 runners2220322.7%29.4%45.5%33.7%31.8%36.9%31.7%32.4%33.3%32.5%Middle +11.8 pts0.498Not enough data
1m2fGood8 to 11 runners3631727.8%29.2%30.6%34.9%41.7%36.0%36.6%32.7%33.3%34.1%High +5.7 pts0.764Not enough data
1m2fSoft (good to soft to heavy)8 to 11 runners2119033.3%28.2%33.3%34.5%33.3%37.3%27.8%32.3%38.0%33.2%Low +5.1 pts0.865Not enough data
1m4fAll goingAll field sizes5961435.6%29.5%27.1%34.3%37.3%36.2%32.2%24.9%29.7%28.8%Low +6.1 pts0.434Weak or none
1m4fGoodAll field sizes2221636.4%29.3%36.4%33.7%27.3%37.0%39.1%27.8%26.3%30.6%Low +7.1 pts0.612Not enough data
1m4fAll going8 to 11 runners4642437.0%28.7%30.4%34.8%32.6%36.5%39.3%27.2%32.3%32.5%Low +8.3 pts0.461Weak or none
2m2fAll goingAll field sizes2143419.0%31.2%61.9%33.1%19.0%35.7%13.0%18.8%11.8%14.5%Middle +28.8 pts0.019Not enough data

Flat races at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) with 8 or more runners and a full draw, since 12 April 2016. Runners are split into low, middle and high thirds by stall order among the horses that ran. Win % is the share of races each third won; expected % is its share by chance given the field sizes. Top-3 % is the share of runners in that third who finished in the first three, against the chance rate. Going groups: fast is good to firm or firmer, soft is good to soft, yielding, soft and heavy. Bias rating uses a chi-square test of winners by third against chance (2 degrees of freedom): Strong means p below 0.01 from 100 or more races, Moderate p below 0.05, Weak or none p of 0.05 or more, and Not enough data fewer than 40 races. Rows with fewer than 20 races are hidden. Source: RaceWatch results database.

Newmarket (Rowley Mile) draw bias: since 2016 v the last three seasons

All distances1,04930.4%32.0%37.6%29.9%33.9%36.3%Weak or none25032.0%30.4%37.6%Weak or noneNo clear lean in either period
5f6636.4%27.3%36.4%29.6%34.4%36.0%Weak or none1735.3%35.3%29.4%Not enough dataToo few recent races
6f17228.5%35.5%36.0%29.9%33.7%36.4%Weak or none4926.5%28.6%44.9%Weak or noneNo clear lean in either period
7f30531.8%30.8%37.4%30.0%33.8%36.2%Weak or none7338.4%24.7%37.0%Weak or noneNo clear lean in either period
1m24630.1%29.3%40.7%29.9%33.8%36.4%Weak or none5529.1%32.7%38.2%Weak or noneWeaker lately
1m1f6624.2%33.3%42.4%30.4%33.7%35.9%Weak or none1827.8%33.3%38.9%Not enough dataToo few recent races
1m2f9829.6%36.7%33.7%29.5%34.1%36.4%Weak or none1631.3%37.5%31.3%Not enough dataToo few recent races
1m4f5935.6%27.1%37.3%29.5%34.3%36.2%Weak or none1338.5%30.8%30.8%Not enough dataToo few recent races
2m2f2119.0%61.9%19.0%31.2%33.1%35.7%Not enough data520.0%60.0%20.0%Not enough dataToo few recent races

Last three seasons means races since 1 January 2024. Is it current? compares the third that led over the whole window with its record lately: Holding means within 2 points of its long-run edge, Stronger or Weaker lately means more than 2 points either way, Gone lately means it no longer beats chance. 8 or more runners. Rows with fewer than 20 races are hidden.

Newmarket (Rowley Mile) stall by stall at each distance

5f1611118.0%10.0%37.7%29.9%+7.8
5f26457.8%9.9%34.4%29.8%+4.5
5f363914.3%10.0%27.0%29.9%-2.9
5f459610.2%9.8%25.4%29.3%-3.8
5f56134.9%10.0%29.5%30.0%-0.5
5f666812.1%9.9%36.4%29.8%+6.6
5f76258.1%9.9%25.8%29.7%-3.9
5f86035.0%9.8%20.0%29.3%-9.3
5f95559.1%9.5%25.5%28.6%-3.2
6f1156106.4%9.1%24.4%27.3%-2.9
6f2164159.1%9.1%26.8%27.3%-0.4
6f3161169.9%9.1%26.1%27.4%-1.4
6f41631911.7%9.1%27.0%27.3%-0.3
6f5152106.6%9.1%28.9%27.3%+1.6
6f61581710.8%9.1%27.2%27.3%-0.1
6f71631710.4%9.2%33.1%27.5%+5.7
6f8155159.7%9.2%29.7%27.5%+2.2
6f91581710.8%8.8%29.1%26.5%+2.6
6f10131118.4%8.5%18.3%25.6%-7.2
6f1110976.4%8.1%18.3%24.2%-5.9
6f128267.3%7.4%29.3%22.2%+7.1
6f136311.6%7.0%14.3%20.9%-6.6
7f12843110.9%9.4%27.1%28.3%-1.2
7f22823211.3%9.5%30.9%28.5%+2.3
7f3282248.5%9.5%25.5%28.4%-2.8
7f4283279.5%9.5%30.7%28.5%+2.2
7f5278269.4%9.5%28.4%28.4%0.0
7f6285165.6%9.5%26.3%28.6%-2.3
7f72803010.7%9.5%31.1%28.4%+2.7
7f8291258.6%9.5%25.1%28.4%-3.3
7f9270259.3%9.3%27.8%27.8%0.0
7f10223167.2%8.8%25.1%26.3%-1.2
7f11175148.0%8.3%25.1%24.8%+0.3
7f121391611.5%8.0%29.5%23.9%+5.6
7f13104109.6%7.5%23.1%22.5%+0.6
7f147045.7%7.0%17.1%21.1%-4.0
1m12362611.0%9.6%30.9%28.8%+2.2
1m2235177.2%9.5%28.1%28.6%-0.5
1m3230229.6%9.5%27.4%28.6%-1.2
1m4231229.5%9.6%30.3%28.7%+1.6
1m5230187.8%9.6%23.9%28.8%-4.8
1m6231219.1%9.5%27.7%28.6%-0.9
1m72343012.8%9.6%29.1%28.7%+0.4
1m82322410.3%9.5%26.7%28.5%-1.8
1m9214188.4%9.2%30.8%27.7%+3.2
1m10167137.8%8.6%32.3%25.8%+6.5
1m11127129.4%8.0%21.3%24.0%-2.8
1m1210454.8%7.7%19.2%23.1%-3.8
1m138011.3%7.3%16.3%21.9%-5.6
1m1460610.0%7.0%16.7%21.0%-4.4
1m1f15723.5%8.5%17.5%25.4%-7.9
1m1f26258.1%8.6%22.6%25.8%-3.2
1m1f36269.7%8.6%24.2%25.9%-1.7
1m1f46369.5%8.7%22.2%26.0%-3.8
1m1f56269.7%8.7%29.0%26.0%+3.0
1m1f66557.7%8.7%29.2%26.2%+3.0
1m1f75935.1%8.8%22.0%26.4%-4.4
1m1f864710.9%8.8%28.1%26.3%+1.8
1m1f954814.8%8.5%33.3%25.5%+7.8
1m2f1911314.3%10.6%33.0%31.7%+1.3
1m2f29155.5%10.6%26.4%31.9%-5.5
1m2f3941111.7%10.5%33.0%31.6%+1.4
1m2f4951515.8%10.5%40.0%31.6%+8.4
1m2f59177.7%10.5%34.1%31.4%+2.7
1m2f69077.8%10.5%26.7%31.5%-4.8
1m2f7941010.6%10.5%28.7%31.6%-2.9
1m2f8901314.4%10.5%34.4%31.5%+3.0
1m2f97679.2%10.1%25.0%30.2%-5.2
1m2f1053611.3%9.4%32.1%28.1%+4.0

Stall is the stall number drawn. Every distance with 60 or more races of 8 or more runners since 2016; stalls with fewer than 50 runs are hidden. Top-3 % is steadier than win % for a single stall, so read it first.

Newmarket (Rowley Mile) draw by distance, 8 or more runners

All distances73929.8%29.9%32.7%33.9%37.5%36.2%26.6%25.7%27.4%
5f4731.9%29.3%31.9%34.4%36.2%36.3%29.5%27.2%29.1%
6f12927.1%29.8%36.4%33.8%36.4%36.4%24.5%26.7%25.3%
7f21932.0%29.9%28.8%33.9%39.3%36.2%27.5%26.4%28.6%
1m16630.1%30.0%28.9%33.6%41.0%36.5%28.7%23.9%29.0%
1m1f4827.1%30.6%29.2%33.6%43.8%35.9%18.6%21.8%24.8%
1m2f6328.6%29.6%42.9%34.3%28.6%36.1%30.6%28.8%31.7%
1m4f4032.5%29.2%35.0%34.7%32.5%36.2%32.0%26.8%28.9%

Flat races at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) with 8 or more runners since 1 January 2019. Win % is the share of races won by each third of the draw expected % is the share that third would win by chance given the field sizes run. Thirds are set by stall order among the horses that ran, so non-runners do not shift them. Place % is per runner. Distances with fewer than 20 races are hidden. Source: RaceWatch results database.

Additional research statistics and historical returns are in the RaceWatch app.

Go deeper before the next race.

Open every racecard in full and get your research done before they go to post.

  • 14racecard tabs per race
  • 20+bookmaker prices side by side
  • Trackeralerts when your horses are declared

30-day free trial

£0today

Start my 30-day free trial

By continuing you agree to our Terms and Intellectual Property and Acceptable Use policy.

£0 today. Card on step 2. £24.99 from day 31.Cancel any time.

Newmarket (Rowley Mile) draw thirds overall, 8 or more runners

Low73929.8%29.9%8.7%2,51822026.6%
Middle73932.7%33.9%8.6%2,80624225.7%
High73937.5%36.2%9.2%3,00727727.4%

All distances pooled. Strike rate is wins per runner in that third. BSP figures are not shown because the window starts before March 2024.

Additional research statistics and historical returns are in the RaceWatch app.

Go deeper before the next race.

Open every racecard in full and get your research done before they go to post.

  • 14racecard tabs per race
  • 20+bookmaker prices side by side
  • Trackeralerts when your horses are declared

30-day free trial

£0today

Start my 30-day free trial

By continuing you agree to our Terms and Intellectual Property and Acceptable Use policy.

£0 today. Card on step 2. £24.99 from day 31.Cancel any time.

Newmarket (Rowley Mile) draw by distance, all field sizes

All distances1,10329.6%29.2%32.7%33.3%37.7%37.4%
5f6633.3%29.1%31.8%33.6%34.8%37.3%
6f16627.7%29.5%35.5%33.4%36.7%37.1%
7f28731.0%29.3%29.6%33.6%39.4%37.1%
1m23730.4%29.6%30.4%32.8%39.2%37.6%
1m1f6930.4%29.9%29.0%33.4%40.6%36.7%
1m2f14027.1%28.6%40.7%33.4%32.1%38.0%
1m4f9627.1%28.1%28.1%33.3%44.8%38.5%

Every Flat race at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) with 3 or more runners since 1 January 2019. Small fields dilute any draw effect, so compare with the 8 or more runners table. Distances with fewer than 20 races are hidden.

Additional research statistics and historical returns are in the RaceWatch app.

Go deeper before the next race.

Open every racecard in full and get your research done before they go to post.

  • 14racecard tabs per race
  • 20+bookmaker prices side by side
  • Trackeralerts when your horses are declared

30-day free trial

£0today

Start my 30-day free trial

By continuing you agree to our Terms and Intellectual Property and Acceptable Use policy.

£0 today. Card on step 2. £24.99 from day 31.Cancel any time.

Newmarket (Rowley Mile) draw by field size

3 to 7 runnersAll distances36429.1%28.0%32.7%32.3%38.2%39.8%
8 to 11 runnersAll distances48726.7%28.9%35.1%34.3%38.2%36.8%
12 to 15 runnersAll distances19438.1%31.7%25.8%33.1%36.1%35.2%
16 or more runnersAll distances5827.6%31.5%36.2%33.0%36.2%35.6%
8 to 11 runners5f3221.9%28.2%37.5%35.0%40.6%36.8%
3 to 7 runners6f3729.7%28.3%32.4%32.1%37.8%39.5%
8 to 11 runners6f8224.4%28.8%34.1%34.3%41.5%36.9%
12 to 15 runners6f3333.3%31.3%33.3%33.1%33.3%35.6%
3 to 7 runners7f6827.9%27.5%32.4%32.5%39.7%40.0%
8 to 11 runners7f14829.1%29.0%33.1%34.3%37.8%36.7%
12 to 15 runners7f5940.7%32.0%18.6%33.1%40.7%34.9%
3 to 7 runners1m7131.0%28.6%33.8%31.1%35.2%40.3%
8 to 11 runners1m10126.7%28.9%32.7%34.0%40.6%37.2%
12 to 15 runners1m5538.2%31.9%23.6%33.0%38.2%35.1%
3 to 7 runners1m1f2138.1%28.4%28.6%33.2%33.3%38.4%
8 to 11 runners1m1f2626.9%30.0%26.9%33.7%46.2%36.4%
3 to 7 runners1m2f7726.0%27.7%39.0%32.7%35.1%39.6%
8 to 11 runners1m2f4928.6%29.1%40.8%34.6%30.6%36.2%
3 to 7 runners1m4f5623.2%27.4%23.2%32.4%53.6%40.2%
8 to 11 runners1m4f3231.3%28.4%40.6%35.0%28.1%36.6%

Field size is the number of runners that took part. Cells with fewer than 20 races are hidden.

Newmarket (Rowley Mile) draw by going, 8 or more runners

Good to firm or firmerAll distances18528.1%29.5%37.8%36.3%34.1%
GoodAll distances34329.4%29.8%37.9%36.4%32.7%
Good to soft or yieldingAll distances7829.5%31.0%37.2%35.7%33.3%
SoftAll distances9832.7%29.9%35.7%36.1%31.6%
HeavyAll distances3534.3%30.3%37.1%36.2%28.6%
Good5f2532.0%28.6%32.0%36.8%36.0%
Good to firm or firmer6f3933.3%29.8%35.9%36.0%30.8%
Good6f6722.4%29.5%35.8%36.8%41.8%
Good to firm or firmer7f4822.9%29.0%37.5%36.8%39.6%
Good7f8939.3%29.8%40.4%36.0%20.2%
Good to soft or yielding7f2722.2%31.6%44.4%35.3%33.3%
Soft7f4035.0%30.0%32.5%36.0%32.5%
Good to firm or firmer1m4136.6%29.7%41.5%36.3%22.0%
Good1m8529.4%30.0%38.8%36.6%31.8%
Good1m1f2010.0%31.0%60.0%35.7%30.0%
Good1m2f2828.6%29.9%35.7%35.8%35.7%

Official going grouped into bands (yielding counts with good to soft). All-weather races show as AW. Cells with fewer than 20 races are hidden.

Additional research statistics and historical returns are in the RaceWatch app.

Go deeper before the next race.

Open every racecard in full and get your research done before they go to post.

  • 14racecard tabs per race
  • 20+bookmaker prices side by side
  • Trackeralerts when your horses are declared

30-day free trial

£0today

Start my 30-day free trial

By continuing you agree to our Terms and Intellectual Property and Acceptable Use policy.

£0 today. Card on step 2. £24.99 from day 31.Cancel any time.

Newmarket (Rowley Mile) individual stalls, most-run distances

7f12022110.4%9.5%26.7%
7f22062512.1%9.6%34.0%
7f3204167.8%9.6%24.0%
7f4204178.3%9.7%29.4%
7f51972010.2%9.6%30.5%
7f6203125.9%9.7%25.6%
7f71992211.1%9.6%33.7%
7f8209188.6%9.6%23.0%
7f91912010.5%9.4%29.8%
7f10158148.9%8.9%25.9%
7f1112286.6%8.4%23.8%
1m11621811.1%9.5%30.2%
1m2159116.9%9.5%34.0%
1m3156159.6%9.5%25.6%
1m41551811.6%9.5%30.3%
1m5159106.3%9.5%22.6%
1m61561610.3%9.5%27.6%
1m71591911.9%9.5%29.6%
1m81601610.0%9.5%25.0%
1m9143107.0%9.2%28.7%
1m1011365.3%8.5%28.3%

The two most-run distances at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) in races of 8 or more runners since 2019. Stall is the stall number drawn. Expected win % is the chance of a single runner given the field sizes it ran in. Stalls with fewer than 100 runs are hidden.

Additional research statistics and historical returns are in the RaceWatch app.

Go deeper before the next race.

Open every racecard in full and get your research done before they go to post.

  • 14racecard tabs per race
  • 20+bookmaker prices side by side
  • Trackeralerts when your horses are declared

30-day free trial

£0today

Start my 30-day free trial

By continuing you agree to our Terms and Intellectual Property and Acceptable Use policy.

£0 today. Card on step 2. £24.99 from day 31.Cancel any time.

Newmarket (Rowley Mile) 7f: win % by draw third, since 2016 v last three seasons, 8 or more runners
Since 2016Since 2024Expected by chance
0%10%20%30%40%LowMiddleHighSince 2016 Low: 31.8%Since 2016 Middle: 30.8%Since 2016 High: 37.4%Since 2024 Low: 38.4%Since 2024 Middle: 24.7%Since 2024 High: 37%Expected by chance Low: 30%Expected by chance Middle: 33.8%Expected by chance High: 36.2%

Win % of races by Draw third

Newmarket (Rowley Mile) 7f win % by stall, 8 or more runners
Win %Expected by chance
0%5%10%15%20%Stall 1Stall 2Stall 3Stall 4Stall 5Stall 6Stall 7Stall 8Stall 9Stall 10Stall 11Win % Stall 1: 10.4%10.4%Win % Stall 2: 12.1%12.1%Win % Stall 3: 7.8%7.8%Win % Stall 4: 8.3%8.3%Win % Stall 5: 10.2%10.2%Win % Stall 6: 5.9%5.9%Win % Stall 7: 11.1%11.1%Win % Stall 8: 8.6%8.6%Win % Stall 9: 10.5%10.5%Win % Stall 10: 8.9%8.9%Win % Stall 11: 6.6%6.6%Expected by chance Stall 1: 9.5%9.5%Expected by chance Stall 2: 9.6%9.6%Expected by chance Stall 3: 9.6%9.6%Expected by chance Stall 4: 9.7%9.7%Expected by chance Stall 5: 9.6%9.6%Expected by chance Stall 6: 9.7%9.7%Expected by chance Stall 7: 9.6%9.6%Expected by chance Stall 8: 9.6%9.6%Expected by chance Stall 9: 9.4%9.4%Expected by chance Stall 10: 8.9%8.9%Expected by chance Stall 11: 8.4%8.4%

Win % by Stall

Latest Flat winners at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) and their draw

10 Oct 26Rock Montreal (IRE) silksRock Montreal (IRE)2Low71m2.38
10 Oct 26Midgham Man (GB) silksMidgham Man (GB)1Low67f3.75
10 Oct 26Cullenagh Rainbow (IRE) silksCullenagh Rainbow (IRE)2Low67f2.88
10 Oct 26Drumbeat (IRE) silksDrumbeat (IRE)6High61m2f1.91
10 Oct 26Humidity (GB) silksHumidity (GB)1Low51m1f2.88
10 Oct 26Alphonse Le Grande (IRE) silksAlphonse Le Grande (IRE)14Middle292m2f19.00
10 Oct 26Darkness Falls (IRE) silksDarkness Falls (IRE)5High57f2.50
9 Oct 26Never So Brave (IRE) silksNever So Brave (IRE)4Middle67f5.00
9 Oct 26Bintola (GB) silksBintola (GB)8Middle117f5.50
9 Oct 26Song Of The Clouds (IRE) silksSong Of The Clouds (IRE)4Low141m2f3.75
9 Oct 26Ruby's Angel (IRE) silksRuby's Angel (IRE)1Low136f17.00
9 Oct 26Lola De Valence (IRE) silksLola De Valence (IRE)16High147f41.00
9 Oct 26Mussab (GB) silksMussab (GB)1Low135f9.00
9 Oct 26Study Of Words (IRE) silksStudy Of Words (IRE)1Low101m4f11.00
9 Oct 26Musical Times (IRE) silksMusical Times (IRE)8High81m1.44
3 Oct 26Havana Pusey (GB) silksHavana Pusey (GB)7High107f15.00
3 Oct 26Royal Quest (IRE) silksRoyal Quest (IRE)1Low31m1.67
3 Oct 26Kicking Bear (FR) silksKicking Bear (FR)4High47f2.62
3 Oct 26Arqoob (IRE) silksArqoob (IRE)2Low81m4f21.00
3 Oct 26Hoseki (IRE) silksHoseki (IRE)2Low61m2f2.38

The 20 most recent Flat races at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) in the data with a full draw.

Newmarket (Rowley Mile) win % of races by draw third and distance, 8 or more runners
Low thirdMiddle thirdHigh third
0%20%40%60%80%5f6f7f1m1m1f1m2f1m4fLow third 5f: 31.9%Low third 6f: 27.1%Low third 7f: 32%Low third 1m: 30.1%Low third 1m1f: 27.1%Low third 1m2f: 28.6%Low third 1m4f: 32.5%Middle third 5f: 31.9%Middle third 6f: 36.4%Middle third 7f: 28.8%Middle third 1m: 28.9%Middle third 1m1f: 29.2%Middle third 1m2f: 42.9%Middle third 1m4f: 35%High third 5f: 36.2%High third 6f: 36.4%High third 7f: 39.3%High third 1m: 41%High third 1m1f: 43.8%High third 1m2f: 28.6%High third 1m4f: 32.5%

Win % of races by Distance

Newmarket (Rowley Mile) win % of races by draw third and year, 8 or more runners
Low thirdMiddle thirdHigh third
10%20%30%40%50%20192020202120222023202420252026Low third 2019: 30.9%Low third 2020: 29.2%Low third 2021: 22.8%Low third 2022: 22.5%Low third 2023: 36.1%Low third 2024: 27.8%Low third 2025: 31.1%Low third 2026: 38.6%38.6%Middle third 2019: 38.3%Middle third 2020: 29.2%Middle third 2021: 41.3%Middle third 2022: 38.2%Middle third 2023: 25%Middle third 2024: 33.3%Middle third 2025: 33.3%Middle third 2026: 22.9%22.9%High third 2019: 30.9%High third 2020: 41.5%High third 2021: 35.9%High third 2022: 39.3%High third 2023: 38.9%High third 2024: 38.9%High third 2025: 35.6%High third 2026: 38.6%38.6%

Win % of races by Year

Put the draw beside the Newmarket card

Members get every Newmarket racecard with RWS scores, market moves across 20+ bookmakers, Angles and FormLines+ on each runner, to read alongside these draw thirds.

Start free trial

By continuing you agree to our Terms and Intellectual Property and Acceptable Use policy.

Is there a draw bias at Newmarket?

Over 7f, the most-run trip at Newmarket, the draw rates weak or none from 305 races. It stands out most over 1m, where the high third has won 40.7% against 36.4% by chance (rated weak or none).

Why do big Newmarket fields split into groups?

The Rowley Mile is wide, so big fields often race in two or more groups. The field size table shows how each third has fared as fields grow, which is the best guide to a split field.

How do going and field size change the draw at Newmarket?

The bias matrix gives every Newmarket trip rows for fast, good and soft ground and for 8 to 11, 12 to 15 and 16 or more runners, each with its own rating. Read the race count before the percentages.

Is the Newmarket draw bias still current?

The recency table sets each trip's record since 2016 beside the last three seasons, from 2024. Over 7f the check reads no clear lean in either period, from 73 recent races.

How is the bias rating worked out?

Winners from each draw third are tested against the share chance would give them, using a chi-square test. Strong means p below 0.01 from 100 or more races, moderate p below 0.05, and fewer than 40 races is not enough data.

Questions people ask

Is there a draw bias at Newmarket?

Over 7f, the most-run trip at Newmarket, the draw rates weak or none, with low draws winning 31.8% of 305 races against 30% by chance. It stands out most over 1m, where the high third has won 40.7% against 36.4% (rated weak or none).

Which stall is best at Newmarket over 5f?

Stall 1 has the best top-three record over 5f at Newmarket since 2016, placing in 37.7% of 61 runs against 28.6% by chance. Single stalls swing on small samples, so the stall grid lists every stall with 50 or more runs at each trip.

Is a low or high draw better at Newmarket?

Across all distances since 2016, low draws have won 30.4% of Newmarket races against 29.9% by chance, and high draws 37.6% against 36.3%. The answer changes by trip, so check the bias matrix row for the race distance.

Does the draw matter in the 2000 Guineas?

The 2000 Guineas is run over the Rowley Mile's straight mile, so the 1m row in the distance table is the closest guide. The page covers every Rowley Mile race at the trip rather than tracking a single race.

How often are the Newmarket draw figures updated?

The figures are rebuilt every night from the RaceWatch results database, and the latest results included are from 15 October 2026. The bias matrix, ratings and stall grid use races since 2016, and the detailed thirds tables further down use races since 2019.

More free data

Draw bias at every courseCompare the thirds course by courseNewmarket (Rowley Mile) course guideResults, trainers and jockeys at the courseNewmarket (Rowley Mile) racecardsThe next meeting's full cardGuineas FestivalFestival results and recordsNewmarket July draw biasThe same thirds at another course

Go deeper before the next race.

Open every racecard in full and get your research done before they go to post.

  • 14racecard tabs per race
  • 20+bookmaker prices side by side
  • Trackeralerts when your horses are declared

30-day free trial

£0today

Start my 30-day free trial

By continuing you agree to our Terms and Intellectual Property and Acceptable Use policy.

£0 today. Card on step 2. £24.99 from day 31.Cancel any time.

Updated