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Curragh draw bias: the straight mile and the horseshoe

At the Curragh over 6f, the most-run Flat trip, low draws have won 30.9% of races of 8 or more runners since 2016 (349 races), middle draws 29.8% and high draws 39.3%, against 30.7%, 33.6% and 35.7% by chance. Bias rating: weak or none. Every trip, going and field size follows, with results to 15 October 2026.

No Flat meeting at The Curragh declared yet. Latest Flat race in the data: 15 October 2026 · Results to 15 October 2026 · Refreshed 16 October 2026
Weak or none
Rating on the most-run trip
1m4f
Trip where the draw stands out most
1,458
Races of 8+ runners since 2016
15 October 2026
Results up to
High 39.3% v 35.7%

At The Curragh over 6f, the course's most-run Flat trip, low draws have won 30.9% of races of 8 or more runners since 2016 (349 races), middle draws 29.8% and high draws 39.3%, against 30.7%, 33.6% and 35.7% by chance. Bias rating: weak or none. The clearest effect is over 1m4f, where the low third has won 39.2% of 125 races against 30.3% by chance (strong).Sample: 349 races · Window: 20 March 2016 to 15 October 2026 · Source: RaceWatch results database (Flat results with stall draw), plus today's declarations for the next meeting

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The Curragh draw bias by distance, going and field size

All distancesAll goingAll field sizes1,45820,55730.5%30.5%32.4%33.7%37.1%35.9%20.9%20.0%22.8%21.3%High +1.2 pts0.503Weak or none
5fAll goingAll field sizes1461,88028.1%30.2%28.1%33.8%43.8%36.0%21.5%21.3%26.7%23.3%High +7.8 pts0.125Weak or none
5fFast (good to firm or firmer)All field sizes2023435.0%30.0%15.0%33.3%50.0%36.7%26.8%19.2%30.6%25.6%High +13.3 pts0.207Not enough data
5fGoodAll field sizes5569225.5%30.4%27.3%33.8%47.3%35.9%19.8%23.2%27.9%23.8%High +11.4 pts0.209Weak or none
5fSoft (good to soft to heavy)All field sizes7195428.2%30.1%32.4%34.0%39.4%35.8%21.4%20.4%24.9%22.3%High +3.6 pts0.818Weak or none
5fAll going8 to 11 runners6562329.2%28.9%36.9%34.4%33.8%36.7%29.4%34.1%30.1%31.3%Middle +2.5 pts0.874Weak or none
5fAll going12 to 15 runners4256321.4%31.3%21.4%33.3%57.1%35.4%19.9%16.0%30.7%22.4%High +21.7 pts0.013Moderate
5fAll going16 or more runners3969433.3%31.2%20.5%33.4%46.2%35.4%16.1%13.8%20.4%16.9%High +10.8 pts0.194Not enough data
5fGood8 to 11 runners2725829.6%29.5%37.0%34.1%33.3%36.4%26.3%37.5%29.8%31.4%Middle +2.9 pts0.935Not enough data
5fSoft (good to soft to heavy)8 to 11 runners2625023.1%28.4%50.0%35.2%26.9%36.4%33.8%33.0%27.5%31.2%Middle +14.8 pts0.286Not enough data
5fSoft (good to soft to heavy)12 to 15 runners2127623.8%31.2%28.6%33.3%47.6%35.5%19.8%18.5%29.6%22.8%High +12.1 pts0.501Not enough data
5fSoft (good to soft to heavy)16 or more runners2442837.5%31.0%16.7%33.4%45.8%35.6%15.8%14.0%20.4%16.8%High +10.2 pts0.219Not enough data
6fAll goingAll field sizes3495,04930.9%30.7%29.8%33.6%39.3%35.7%20.0%18.3%23.7%20.7%High +3.6 pts0.253Weak or none
6fFast (good to firm or firmer)All field sizes3850334.2%30.1%36.8%34.0%28.9%36.0%22.9%22.9%22.2%22.7%Low +4.1 pts0.660Not enough data
6fGoodAll field sizes1692,37228.4%30.5%27.8%33.6%43.8%35.9%19.5%18.9%25.3%21.4%High +7.9 pts0.089Weak or none
6fSoft (good to soft to heavy)All field sizes1422,17433.1%31.1%30.3%33.5%36.6%35.3%19.8%16.6%22.3%19.6%Low +2.0 pts0.710Weak or none
6fAll going8 to 11 runners1221,14231.1%29.2%36.9%34.4%32.0%36.4%29.9%32.4%33.4%32.0%Middle +2.5 pts0.598Weak or none
6fAll going12 to 15 runners1011,35734.7%31.4%24.8%33.0%40.6%35.6%22.1%20.3%24.4%22.3%High +5.0 pts0.212Weak or none
6fAll going16 or more runners1262,55027.8%31.6%27.0%33.3%45.2%35.1%14.7%10.8%18.7%14.8%High +10.1 pts0.055Weak or none
6fGood8 to 11 runners6459725.0%28.9%34.4%34.5%40.6%36.6%24.9%33.2%37.0%32.2%High +4.0 pts0.736Weak or none
6fGood12 to 15 runners5067324.0%31.5%22.0%32.9%54.0%35.6%20.8%18.9%26.8%22.3%High +18.4 pts0.024Moderate
6fGood16 or more runners551,10236.4%31.4%25.5%33.2%38.2%35.4%16.1%10.9%17.7%15.0%Low +5.0 pts0.461Weak or none
6fSoft (good to soft to heavy)8 to 11 runners4138836.6%29.7%39.0%34.3%24.4%36.0%36.5%28.6%30.7%31.7%Low +6.9 pts0.291Weak or none
6fSoft (good to soft to heavy)12 to 15 runners3850944.7%31.6%23.7%32.8%31.6%35.6%24.2%20.4%22.7%22.4%Low +13.1 pts0.203Not enough data
6fSoft (good to soft to heavy)16 or more runners631,27723.8%31.8%28.6%33.5%47.6%34.8%13.3%11.5%19.4%14.8%High +12.8 pts0.095Weak or none
6½fAll goingAll field sizes4788827.7%31.4%27.7%33.2%44.7%35.4%13.5%13.2%20.6%15.9%High +9.3 pts0.410Weak or none
6½fGoodAll field sizes2545720.0%31.6%36.0%32.9%44.0%35.5%13.1%13.9%21.7%16.4%High +8.5 pts0.437Not enough data
6½fAll going16 or more runners3574425.7%31.8%25.7%33.4%48.6%34.8%11.8%10.4%19.8%14.1%High +13.8 pts0.233Not enough data
7fAll goingAll field sizes2934,05326.6%30.3%32.4%33.7%41.0%36.0%19.3%20.1%25.3%21.7%High +5.0 pts0.182Weak or none
7fFast (good to firm or firmer)All field sizes2733711.1%30.1%44.4%33.2%44.4%36.7%20.6%26.8%24.4%24.0%Middle +11.2 pts0.096Not enough data
7fGoodAll field sizes1261,65525.4%30.3%31.7%33.5%42.9%36.2%18.9%21.9%27.2%22.8%High +6.7 pts0.265Weak or none
7fSoft (good to soft to heavy)All field sizes1402,06130.7%30.3%30.7%33.9%38.6%35.8%19.4%17.7%23.8%20.4%High +2.8 pts0.690Weak or none
7fAll going8 to 11 runners1201,13719.2%28.7%34.2%34.4%46.7%36.9%27.8%31.5%35.0%31.7%High +9.8 pts0.032Moderate
7fAll going12 to 15 runners841,12534.5%31.3%31.0%32.9%34.5%35.8%22.4%18.6%25.9%22.4%Low +3.2 pts0.814Weak or none
7fAll going16 or more runners891,79129.2%31.4%31.5%33.5%39.3%35.1%12.4%13.7%18.3%14.9%High +4.2 pts0.705Weak or none
7fGood8 to 11 runners5047616.0%28.5%34.0%34.4%50.0%37.2%22.8%32.5%37.9%31.5%High +12.8 pts0.084Weak or none
7fGood12 to 15 runners5270334.6%31.4%26.9%32.9%38.5%35.6%20.8%18.1%27.2%22.2%Low +3.2 pts0.651Weak or none
7fGood16 or more runners2447625.0%31.5%37.5%33.1%37.5%35.4%12.7%16.5%16.1%15.1%Middle +4.4 pts0.784Not enough data
7fSoft (good to soft to heavy)8 to 11 runners5450224.1%28.6%31.5%34.8%44.4%36.6%32.6%28.2%35.9%32.3%High +7.8 pts0.483Weak or none
7fSoft (good to soft to heavy)12 to 15 runners2532840.0%31.5%36.0%32.9%24.0%35.7%27.2%20.4%21.4%22.9%Low +8.5 pts0.448Not enough data
7fSoft (good to soft to heavy)16 or more runners611,23132.8%31.4%27.9%33.6%39.3%35.0%12.4%12.6%19.3%14.9%High +4.3 pts0.620Weak or none
1mAll goingAll field sizes2443,59029.9%30.4%34.4%33.7%35.7%35.9%21.1%21.1%19.1%20.4%Middle +0.7 pts0.969Weak or none
1mFast (good to firm or firmer)All field sizes2327239.1%29.2%34.8%33.8%26.1%36.9%27.5%26.1%23.0%25.4%Low +9.9 pts0.470Not enough data
1mGoodAll field sizes1221,69736.1%30.3%33.6%33.9%30.3%35.8%23.1%22.1%19.7%21.6%Low +5.8 pts0.310Weak or none
1mSoft (good to soft to heavy)All field sizes991,62120.2%30.7%35.4%33.4%44.4%35.9%18.1%19.2%17.7%18.3%High +8.5 pts0.058Weak or none
1mAll going8 to 11 runners8075733.8%28.3%33.8%34.6%32.5%37.1%35.3%30.7%29.9%31.7%Low +5.5 pts0.519Weak or none
1mAll going12 to 15 runners7195332.4%31.0%32.4%33.2%35.2%35.8%24.7%22.1%20.5%22.4%Low +1.4 pts0.967Weak or none
1mAll going16 or more runners931,88024.7%31.7%36.6%33.3%38.7%35.0%14.2%16.6%13.7%14.8%High +3.7 pts0.353Weak or none
1mGood8 to 11 runners4440338.6%28.4%31.8%34.9%29.5%36.7%38.3%32.9%28.4%32.8%Low +10.2 pts0.308Weak or none
1mGood12 to 15 runners4154436.6%30.9%36.6%33.2%26.8%35.8%25.6%23.2%19.5%22.6%Low +5.7 pts0.475Weak or none
1mGood16 or more runners3775032.4%32.0%32.4%33.3%35.1%34.7%14.2%15.2%15.0%14.8%Low +0.4 pts0.993Not enough data
1mSoft (good to soft to heavy)8 to 11 runners2120414.3%27.8%38.1%34.4%47.6%37.8%29.8%25.7%36.4%30.9%High +9.8 pts0.367Not enough data
1mSoft (good to soft to heavy)12 to 15 runners2635526.9%31.3%26.9%33.2%46.2%35.6%24.3%20.3%21.4%22.0%High +10.6 pts0.526Not enough data
1mSoft (good to soft to heavy)16 or more runners521,06219.2%31.6%38.5%33.2%42.3%35.3%14.0%17.6%12.6%14.7%High +7.0 pts0.159Weak or none
1m1fAll goingAll field sizes3749529.7%30.1%40.5%33.8%29.7%36.1%24.5%21.1%21.9%22.4%Middle +6.7 pts0.632Not enough data
1m1fGoodAll field sizes2331921.7%30.4%47.8%33.7%30.4%35.9%23.5%22.4%19.3%21.6%Middle +14.1 pts0.345Not enough data
1m2fAll goingAll field sizes1622,19131.5%30.7%35.8%33.6%32.7%35.7%22.8%21.3%22.5%22.2%Middle +2.2 pts0.710Weak or none
1m2fGoodAll field sizes831,12630.1%30.9%41.0%33.5%28.9%35.6%22.6%20.7%23.0%22.1%Middle +7.5 pts0.291Weak or none
1m2fSoft (good to soft to heavy)All field sizes6084026.7%30.7%38.3%33.6%35.0%35.7%22.1%22.1%20.1%21.4%Middle +4.7 pts0.691Weak or none
1m2fAll going8 to 11 runners6763526.9%29.3%40.3%34.1%32.8%36.6%32.8%32.9%29.6%31.7%Middle +6.2 pts0.562Weak or none
1m2fAll going12 to 15 runners5270144.2%31.6%23.1%33.3%32.7%35.1%26.2%19.7%21.1%22.3%Low +12.6 pts0.112Weak or none
1m2fAll going16 or more runners4385523.3%31.9%44.2%33.0%32.6%35.1%13.2%13.8%18.0%15.1%Middle +11.2 pts0.257Weak or none
1m2fGood8 to 11 runners3433026.5%30.1%41.2%33.6%32.4%36.3%31.3%31.5%30.0%30.9%Middle +7.6 pts0.647Not enough data
1m2fGood12 to 15 runners2939837.9%31.2%31.0%33.6%31.0%35.2%24.2%20.1%21.4%21.9%Low +6.7 pts0.730Not enough data
1m2fGood16 or more runners2039825.0%31.9%55.0%32.9%20.0%35.1%14.2%12.2%18.6%15.1%Middle +22.1 pts0.102Not enough data
1m2fSoft (good to soft to heavy)8 to 11 runners2220113.6%28.7%59.1%34.5%27.3%36.8%34.5%39.1%25.7%32.8%Middle +24.6 pts0.046Not enough data
1m4fAll goingAll field sizes1251,60539.2%30.3%39.2%34.0%21.6%35.6%26.7%23.3%20.5%23.4%Low +8.9 pts0.004Strong
1m4fGoodAll field sizes6174847.5%30.3%31.1%33.9%21.3%35.8%31.9%21.8%20.6%24.5%Low +17.2 pts0.008Moderate
1m4fSoft (good to soft to heavy)All field sizes5069834.0%30.4%46.0%34.2%20.0%35.4%21.5%23.9%19.1%21.5%Middle +11.8 pts0.062Weak or none
1m4fAll going8 to 11 runners5552641.8%28.9%32.7%34.8%25.5%36.3%42.1%26.2%27.7%31.4%Low +12.9 pts0.081Weak or none
1m4fAll going12 to 15 runners4155234.1%31.4%48.8%33.5%17.1%35.2%22.5%27.6%17.0%22.3%Middle +15.3 pts0.034Moderate
1m4fAll going16 or more runners2952741.4%31.5%37.9%33.4%20.7%35.1%16.9%15.9%16.8%16.5%Low +9.9 pts0.247Not enough data
1m4fGood8 to 11 runners3229856.3%29.5%25.0%34.6%18.8%35.9%47.7%24.3%27.1%32.2%Low +26.8 pts0.004Not enough data
1m6fAll goingAll field sizes3041226.7%30.4%33.3%33.0%40.0%36.6%20.5%22.1%22.8%21.8%High +3.4 pts0.889Not enough data

Flat races at The Curragh with 8 or more runners and a full draw, since 20 March 2016. Runners are split into low, middle and high thirds by stall order among the horses that ran. Win % is the share of races each third won; expected % is its share by chance given the field sizes. Top-3 % is the share of runners in that third who finished in the first three, against the chance rate. Going groups: fast is good to firm or firmer, soft is good to soft, yielding, soft and heavy. Bias rating uses a chi-square test of winners by third against chance (2 degrees of freedom): Strong means p below 0.01 from 100 or more races, Moderate p below 0.05, Weak or none p of 0.05 or more, and Not enough data fewer than 40 races. Rows with fewer than 20 races are hidden. Source: RaceWatch results database.

The Curragh draw bias: since 2016 v the last three seasons

All distances1,45830.5%32.4%37.1%30.5%33.7%35.9%Weak or none45428.6%34.4%37.0%Weak or noneNo clear lean in either period
5f14628.1%28.1%43.8%30.2%33.8%36.0%Weak or none4035.0%22.5%42.5%Weak or noneHolding
6f34930.9%29.8%39.3%30.7%33.6%35.7%Weak or none11024.5%34.5%40.9%Weak or noneHolding
6½f4727.7%27.7%44.7%31.4%33.2%35.4%Weak or none1637.5%18.8%43.8%Not enough dataToo few recent races
7f29326.6%32.4%41.0%30.3%33.7%36.0%Weak or none9225.0%34.8%40.2%Weak or noneHolding
1m24429.9%34.4%35.7%30.4%33.7%35.9%Weak or none7334.2%31.5%34.2%Weak or noneNo clear lean in either period
1m1f3729.7%40.5%29.7%30.1%33.8%36.1%Not enough data1421.4%42.9%35.7%Not enough dataToo few recent races
1m2f16231.5%35.8%32.7%30.7%33.6%35.7%Weak or none5121.6%43.1%35.3%Weak or noneStronger lately
1m4f12539.2%39.2%21.6%30.3%34.0%35.6%Strong3836.8%42.1%21.1%Not enough dataToo few recent races
1m6f3026.7%33.3%40.0%30.4%33.0%36.6%Not enough data1127.3%54.5%18.2%Not enough dataToo few recent races

Last three seasons means races since 1 January 2024. Is it current? compares the third that led over the whole window with its record lately: Holding means within 2 points of its long-run edge, Stronger or Weaker lately means more than 2 points either way, Gone lately means it no longer beats chance. 8 or more runners. Rows with fewer than 20 races are hidden.

The Curragh stall by stall at each distance

5f1137128.8%8.3%21.2%25.0%-3.9
5f21401410.0%8.4%21.4%25.1%-3.7
5f313785.8%8.3%26.3%25.0%+1.3
5f413775.1%8.3%27.7%25.0%+2.7
5f5134139.7%8.2%26.1%24.7%+1.4
5f61401410.0%8.3%22.9%24.9%-2.1
5f71411510.6%8.4%26.2%25.2%+1.0
5f813153.8%8.4%22.9%25.1%-2.2
5f913696.6%8.2%18.4%24.7%-6.3
5f1011387.1%7.9%25.7%23.7%+1.9
5f1110144.0%7.5%19.8%22.4%-2.5
5f128755.7%7.1%14.9%21.2%-6.3
5f137568.0%6.6%30.7%19.8%+10.9
5f146046.7%6.3%23.3%19.0%+4.3
5f1550816.0%6.0%28.0%18.1%+9.9
6f1323237.1%7.8%21.4%23.5%-2.1
6f2326298.9%7.8%21.5%23.3%-1.8
6f3334257.5%7.8%21.9%23.3%-1.5
6f4325144.3%7.8%21.8%23.3%-1.5
6f53303410.3%7.8%27.9%23.4%+4.5
6f6319247.5%7.8%25.1%23.3%+1.8
6f7327175.2%7.8%20.5%23.3%-2.9
6f83273711.3%7.8%26.0%23.4%+2.5
6f9302206.6%7.5%20.2%22.5%-2.3
6f10289134.5%7.1%15.9%21.3%-5.4
6f11248187.3%6.7%21.0%20.2%+0.7
6f12228114.8%6.5%19.7%19.5%+0.3
6f13201157.5%6.1%20.4%18.3%+2.1
6f14186126.5%6.0%16.7%17.9%-1.3
6f1515685.1%5.6%16.0%16.8%-0.8
6f16140107.1%5.4%20.0%16.1%+3.9
6f1711398.0%5.1%20.4%15.4%+4.9
6f1810254.9%5.0%14.7%14.9%-0.2
6f197679.2%4.8%18.4%14.3%+4.1
6f207756.5%4.6%11.7%13.9%-2.2
6f216711.5%4.5%14.9%13.5%+1.4
6f225423.7%4.3%13.0%13.0%0.0
7f1279103.6%8.1%20.1%24.4%-4.3
7f2272197.0%8.1%22.1%24.2%-2.1
7f3281269.3%8.0%22.1%24.1%-2.1
7f4273259.2%8.1%23.1%24.2%-1.1
7f5278227.9%8.1%21.2%24.4%-3.2
7f6281238.2%8.1%23.8%24.2%-0.4
7f7273228.1%8.1%20.5%24.4%-3.9
7f8274279.9%8.1%23.4%24.3%-0.9
7f9244177.0%7.7%27.0%23.2%+3.9
7f10237145.9%7.5%23.6%22.5%+1.2
7f11206167.8%6.9%21.4%20.8%+0.5
7f12188158.0%6.6%24.5%19.8%+4.7
7f1315874.4%6.3%20.9%18.9%+2.0
7f1414285.6%6.0%16.2%18.0%-1.8
7f15112108.9%5.6%20.5%16.8%+3.7
7f169544.2%5.3%24.2%15.9%+8.3
7f17781012.8%5.1%30.8%15.4%+15.4
7f1866710.6%5.0%25.8%15.0%+10.8
7f196000.0%4.8%13.3%14.3%-1.0
7f205311.9%4.7%22.6%14.1%+8.6
7f215012.0%4.6%6.0%13.7%-7.7
1m1228177.5%7.6%25.0%22.8%+2.2
1m2230167.0%7.6%23.0%22.8%+0.3
1m3233219.0%7.7%24.9%23.1%+1.8
1m4233177.3%7.7%23.6%23.0%+0.6
1m5225135.8%7.6%21.3%22.9%-1.6
1m6230198.3%7.7%24.3%23.1%+1.3
1m7226188.0%7.6%23.0%22.8%+0.2
1m82312310.0%7.7%25.5%23.0%+2.5
1m9215146.5%7.4%17.7%22.2%-4.5
1m10193136.7%6.9%21.2%20.6%+0.7
1m11185137.0%6.7%23.2%20.1%+3.1
1m1216553.0%6.5%14.5%19.4%-4.9
1m13149117.4%6.0%18.1%18.1%0.0
1m14133118.3%5.8%18.0%17.5%+0.6
1m1511243.6%5.5%14.3%16.6%-2.3
1m169166.6%5.3%17.6%15.9%+1.7
1m178233.7%5.1%13.4%15.3%-1.9
1m187733.9%4.9%13.0%14.8%-1.8
1m196811.5%4.8%11.8%14.3%-2.5
1m206323.2%4.8%9.5%14.3%-4.8
1m215235.8%4.7%15.4%14.1%+1.3
1m2f11501912.7%8.1%28.7%24.4%+4.3
1m2f2149106.7%8.2%22.8%24.7%-1.9
1m2f315385.2%8.2%24.8%24.7%+0.1
1m2f4153127.8%8.1%19.6%24.3%-4.7
1m2f5150117.3%8.2%30.7%24.6%+6.0
1m2f6146149.6%8.2%23.3%24.6%-1.3
1m2f7146128.2%8.1%24.7%24.3%+0.4
1m2f81471510.2%8.2%24.5%24.5%0.0
1m2f9140139.3%8.0%20.7%24.0%-3.3
1m2f1012186.6%7.5%18.2%22.5%-4.3
1m2f1110854.6%7.2%16.7%21.5%-4.8
1m2f129766.2%6.9%24.7%20.6%+4.1
1m2f1389910.1%6.5%25.8%19.5%+6.4
1m2f147422.7%6.3%16.2%19.0%-2.8
1m2f1573811.0%6.1%26.0%18.2%+7.8
1m2f165511.8%5.8%18.2%17.3%+0.9
1m4f11161412.1%8.4%28.4%25.2%+3.3
1m4f21141210.5%8.4%34.2%25.2%+9.0
1m4f3121119.1%8.4%30.6%25.3%+5.3
1m4f411686.9%8.4%19.0%25.2%-6.2
1m4f51141412.3%8.5%23.7%25.4%-1.8
1m4f6122119.0%8.4%26.2%25.3%+0.9
1m4f711076.4%8.6%21.8%25.9%-4.0
1m4f81191210.1%8.4%26.1%25.2%+0.9
1m4f910965.5%8.1%23.9%24.2%-0.4
1m4f109788.2%7.7%17.5%23.2%-5.7
1m4f118966.7%7.5%22.5%22.4%+0.1
1m4f127556.7%7.1%21.3%21.2%+0.1
1m4f136011.7%6.6%21.7%19.7%+2.0
1m4f145123.9%6.3%15.7%18.9%-3.2

Stall is the stall number drawn. Every distance with 60 or more races of 8 or more runners since 2016; stalls with fewer than 50 runs are hidden. Top-3 % is steadier than win % for a single stall, so read it first.

The Curragh draw by distance, 8 or more runners

All distances1,14730.5%30.5%32.6%33.7%36.9%35.8%20.3%19.7%22.9%
5f11026.4%30.3%28.2%33.9%45.5%35.8%21.8%19.7%27.5%
6f27332.2%30.8%29.7%33.5%38.1%35.7%19.8%17.8%23.6%
6½f3727.0%31.3%32.4%33.1%40.5%35.5%12.4%15.8%21.4%
7f23627.5%30.4%33.9%33.7%38.6%35.9%18.0%20.4%25.1%
1m19127.7%30.6%34.6%33.6%37.7%35.8%20.4%20.7%18.8%
1m1f3132.3%29.8%35.5%33.7%32.3%36.5%24.4%20.0%22.4%
1m2f11931.1%30.7%36.1%33.6%32.8%35.7%21.9%20.5%22.6%
1m4f9839.8%30.3%38.8%34.0%21.4%35.7%25.6%22.6%21.1%
1m6f2927.6%30.4%31.0%33.1%41.4%36.5%19.4%21.8%23.4%

Flat races at The Curragh with 8 or more runners since 1 January 2019. Win % is the share of races won by each third of the draw expected % is the share that third would win by chance given the field sizes run. Thirds are set by stall order among the horses that ran, so non-runners do not shift them. Place % is per runner. Distances with fewer than 20 races are hidden. Source: RaceWatch results database.

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The Curragh draw thirds overall, 8 or more runners

Low1,14730.5%30.5%6.9%5,07135020.3%
Middle1,14732.6%33.7%6.8%5,50037419.7%
High1,14736.9%35.8%7.3%5,83342322.9%

All distances pooled. Strike rate is wins per runner in that third. BSP figures are not shown because the window starts before March 2024.

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The Curragh draw by distance, all field sizes

All distances1,36330.2%30.1%32.2%33.5%37.6%36.4%
5f13328.6%29.9%30.1%33.6%41.4%36.5%
6f31831.8%30.2%29.9%33.4%38.4%36.4%
6½f4325.6%30.5%30.2%33.4%44.2%36.1%
7f27326.7%30.1%33.0%33.5%40.3%36.4%
1m22327.4%30.2%35.4%33.6%37.2%36.2%
1m1f3831.6%29.2%31.6%33.5%36.8%37.3%
1m2f15629.5%30.3%34.0%33.4%36.5%36.3%
1m4f10638.7%30.2%37.7%33.9%23.6%35.9%
1m6f4434.1%30.0%29.5%32.2%36.4%37.8%

Every Flat race at The Curragh with 3 or more runners since 1 January 2019. Small fields dilute any draw effect, so compare with the 8 or more runners table. Distances with fewer than 20 races are hidden.

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The Curragh draw by field size

3 to 7 runnersAll distances21628.7%28.0%30.1%32.5%41.2%39.5%
8 to 11 runnersAll distances41530.1%28.8%35.9%34.4%34.0%36.8%
12 to 15 runnersAll distances31833.6%31.4%29.2%33.1%37.1%35.5%
16 or more runnersAll distances41428.5%31.6%31.9%33.3%39.6%35.1%
3 to 7 runners5f2339.1%28.4%39.1%31.9%21.7%39.8%
8 to 11 runners5f4623.9%28.9%39.1%34.6%37.0%36.5%
12 to 15 runners5f3327.3%31.2%21.2%33.6%51.5%35.2%
16 or more runners5f3129.0%31.2%19.4%33.4%51.6%35.4%
3 to 7 runners6f4528.9%26.5%31.1%32.7%40.0%40.8%
8 to 11 runners6f9033.3%29.2%35.6%34.2%31.1%36.6%
12 to 15 runners6f8036.3%31.5%26.3%33.0%37.5%35.5%
16 or more runners6f10328.2%31.6%27.2%33.3%44.7%35.1%
16 or more runners6½f2626.9%31.8%30.8%33.2%42.3%35.0%
3 to 7 runners7f3721.6%28.6%27.0%32.4%51.4%39.0%
8 to 11 runners7f9321.5%28.7%36.6%34.4%41.9%36.9%
12 to 15 runners7f6331.7%31.5%34.9%33.0%33.3%35.5%
16 or more runners7f8031.3%31.4%30.0%33.5%38.8%35.1%
3 to 7 runners1m3225.0%28.1%40.6%33.1%34.4%38.8%
8 to 11 runners1m5633.9%28.4%32.1%34.7%33.9%36.9%
12 to 15 runners1m5527.3%31.1%32.7%33.1%40.0%35.8%
16 or more runners1m8023.8%31.7%37.5%33.3%38.8%35.0%
3 to 7 runners1m2f3724.3%28.9%27.0%32.7%48.6%38.3%
8 to 11 runners1m2f4727.7%29.1%40.4%34.2%31.9%36.7%
12 to 15 runners1m2f3545.7%31.5%22.9%33.4%31.4%35.1%
16 or more runners1m2f3721.6%32.0%43.2%33.0%35.1%35.0%
8 to 11 runners1m4f4139.0%28.9%39.0%34.7%22.0%36.4%
12 to 15 runners1m4f3135.5%31.1%45.2%33.6%19.4%35.3%
16 or more runners1m4f2646.2%31.5%30.8%33.5%23.1%35.0%

Field size is the number of runners that took part. Cells with fewer than 20 races are hidden.

The Curragh draw by going, 8 or more runners

Good to firm or firmerAll distances7435.1%29.6%35.1%36.2%29.7%
GoodAll distances56730.3%30.5%37.6%35.9%32.1%
Good to soft or yieldingAll distances20226.7%30.8%38.1%35.6%35.1%
SoftAll distances21133.2%30.5%32.2%35.8%34.6%
HeavyAll distances9330.1%30.7%41.9%35.5%28.0%
Good5f4422.7%30.4%50.0%35.9%27.3%
Good to soft or yielding5f2524.0%30.9%52.0%35.1%24.0%
Soft5f2128.6%29.3%28.6%36.2%42.9%
Good6f13730.7%30.6%42.3%35.9%27.0%
Good to soft or yielding6f4025.0%31.0%45.0%35.7%30.0%
Soft6f6045.0%31.2%23.3%35.3%31.7%
Good6½f2222.7%31.7%36.4%35.5%40.9%
Good7f10522.9%30.4%41.9%36.1%35.2%
Good to soft or yielding7f4630.4%30.1%39.1%35.8%30.4%
Soft7f5230.8%30.3%38.5%36.1%30.8%
Heavy7f2138.1%31.6%23.8%35.0%38.1%
Good1m9934.3%30.5%32.3%35.6%33.3%
Good to soft or yielding1m238.7%31.2%39.1%35.9%52.2%
Soft1m3721.6%31.1%48.6%35.5%29.7%
Heavy1m2015.0%30.1%60.0%36.3%25.0%
Good1m2f6832.4%31.0%27.9%35.7%39.7%
Good to soft or yielding1m2f2025.0%30.2%35.0%35.7%40.0%
Good1m4f4946.9%30.1%22.4%35.9%30.6%
Good to soft or yielding1m4f2030.0%31.2%15.0%35.0%55.0%

Official going grouped into bands (yielding counts with good to soft). All-weather races show as AW. Cells with fewer than 20 races are hidden.

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The Curragh individual stalls, most-run distances

6f1250197.6%7.7%22.0%
6f2257228.6%7.7%19.1%
6f3260186.9%7.6%20.4%
6f4255124.7%7.6%21.6%
6f52592911.2%7.7%29.0%
6f6244156.1%7.6%24.2%
6f7256145.5%7.7%20.7%
6f82563312.9%7.6%26.6%
6f9241156.2%7.4%22.0%
6f1023173.0%7.1%13.4%
6f11195147.2%6.7%20.5%
6f12183105.5%6.5%20.2%
6f1315795.7%6.1%18.5%
6f14152106.6%6.0%18.4%
6f1513164.6%5.6%16.0%
6f1611797.7%5.4%22.2%
7f122562.7%8.0%16.9%
7f2218188.3%7.9%22.5%
7f3227219.3%7.9%21.6%
7f4217198.8%7.9%21.2%
7f5223209.0%8.0%21.5%
7f6228208.8%8.0%23.2%
7f7218177.8%8.0%21.6%
7f82222310.4%8.0%23.4%
7f9195136.7%7.6%26.7%
7f1019184.2%7.4%24.6%
7f11171148.2%6.9%21.6%
7f12157106.4%6.5%22.9%
7f1312853.9%6.2%20.3%
7f1412065.0%5.9%16.7%

The two most-run distances at The Curragh in races of 8 or more runners since 2019. Stall is the stall number drawn. Expected win % is the chance of a single runner given the field sizes it ran in. Stalls with fewer than 100 runs are hidden.

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The Curragh 6f: win % by draw third, since 2016 v last three seasons, 8 or more runners
Since 2016Since 2024Expected by chance
0%20%40%60%80%LowMiddleHighSince 2016 Low: 30.9%Since 2016 Middle: 29.8%Since 2016 High: 39.3%Since 2024 Low: 24.5%Since 2024 Middle: 34.5%Since 2024 High: 40.9%Expected by chance Low: 30.7%Expected by chance Middle: 33.6%Expected by chance High: 35.7%

Win % of races by Draw third

The Curragh 6f win % by stall, 8 or more runners
Win %Expected by chance
0%5%10%15%20%Stall 1Stall 2Stall 3Stall 4Stall 5Stall 6Stall 7Stall 8Stall 9Stall 10Stall 11Stall 12Stall 13Stall 14Stall 15Stall 16Win % Stall 1: 7.6%Win % Stall 2: 8.6%Win % Stall 3: 6.9%Win % Stall 4: 4.7%Win % Stall 5: 11.2%Win % Stall 6: 6.1%Win % Stall 7: 5.5%Win % Stall 8: 12.9%Win % Stall 9: 6.2%Win % Stall 10: 3%Win % Stall 11: 7.2%Win % Stall 12: 5.5%Win % Stall 13: 5.7%Win % Stall 14: 6.6%Win % Stall 15: 4.6%Win % Stall 16: 7.7%Expected by chance Stall 1: 7.7%Expected by chance Stall 2: 7.7%Expected by chance Stall 3: 7.6%Expected by chance Stall 4: 7.6%Expected by chance Stall 5: 7.7%Expected by chance Stall 6: 7.6%Expected by chance Stall 7: 7.7%Expected by chance Stall 8: 7.6%Expected by chance Stall 9: 7.4%Expected by chance Stall 10: 7.1%Expected by chance Stall 11: 6.7%Expected by chance Stall 12: 6.5%Expected by chance Stall 13: 6.1%Expected by chance Stall 14: 6%Expected by chance Stall 15: 5.6%Expected by chance Stall 16: 5.4%

Win % by Stall

Latest Flat winners at The Curragh and their draw

15 Oct 26Givehertilxmas (IRE) silksGivehertilxmas (IRE)22High207f12.00
15 Oct 26Mymomentintime (USA) silksMymomentintime (USA)17High175f26.00
15 Oct 26Priorstown (IRE) silksPriorstown (IRE)12Middle211m6f3.50
15 Oct 26Almazann (IRE) silksAlmazann (IRE)6Middle121m4f2.38
15 Oct 26Anvika (IRE) silksAnvika (IRE)22High191m1f15.00
15 Oct 26Even Par (IRE)14High151m26.00
15 Oct 26Unique Journey (IRE) silksUnique Journey (IRE)1Low136f8.50
15 Oct 26Jabreen (IRE)1Low126f5.00
4 Oct 26Blue Blue Moon (IRE) silksBlue Blue Moon (IRE)8Middle161m7.00
4 Oct 26Whimsy (GB) silksWhimsy (GB)7Middle121m4f5.00
4 Oct 26Carla Ridge (IRE) silksCarla Ridge (IRE)14High166f4.00
4 Oct 26Nouvel Espoir (IRE) silksNouvel Espoir (IRE)6Low226f7.50
4 Oct 26Iamimmaculate (IRE) silksIamimmaculate (IRE)3Low101m1f6.00
4 Oct 26King Cuan (GB) silksKing Cuan (GB)7High107f7.00
4 Oct 26Hmas Perth (USA) silksHmas Perth (USA)8Middle127f1.30
4 Oct 26Pirate Anne Bonny (IRE) silksPirate Anne Bonny (IRE)3Middle77f1.29
27 Sep 26Fianna (IRE) silksFianna (IRE)17Middle181m2f5.00
27 Sep 26Moon Sand (FR) silksMoon Sand (FR)3Low107f3.50
27 Sep 26Curracloe (USA) silksCurracloe (USA)8High87f2.62
27 Sep 26Valentino Eclipse (IRE) silksValentino Eclipse (IRE)11High116f1.40

The 20 most recent Flat races at The Curragh in the data with a full draw.

The Curragh win % of races by draw third and distance, 8 or more runners
Low thirdMiddle thirdHigh third
0%20%40%60%80%5f6f6½f7f1m1m1f1m2f1m4f1m6fLow third 5f: 26.4%Low third 6f: 32.2%Low third 6½f: 27%Low third 7f: 27.5%Low third 1m: 27.7%Low third 1m1f: 32.3%Low third 1m2f: 31.1%Low third 1m4f: 39.8%Low third 1m6f: 27.6%Middle third 5f: 28.2%Middle third 6f: 29.7%Middle third 6½f: 32.4%Middle third 7f: 33.9%Middle third 1m: 34.6%Middle third 1m1f: 35.5%Middle third 1m2f: 36.1%Middle third 1m4f: 38.8%Middle third 1m6f: 31%High third 5f: 45.5%High third 6f: 38.1%High third 6½f: 40.5%High third 7f: 38.6%High third 1m: 37.7%High third 1m1f: 32.3%High third 1m2f: 32.8%High third 1m4f: 21.4%High third 1m6f: 41.4%

Win % of races by Distance

The Curragh win % of races by draw third and year, 8 or more runners
Low thirdMiddle thirdHigh third
20%30%40%50%60%20192020202120222023202420252026Low third 2019: 33.9%Low third 2020: 30.1%Low third 2021: 35%Low third 2022: 30.4%Low third 2023: 29.9%Low third 2024: 27.5%Low third 2025: 30.4%Low third 2026: 27.9%27.9%Middle third 2019: 25.2%Middle third 2020: 32.4%Middle third 2021: 30.7%Middle third 2022: 34.5%Middle third 2023: 33.1%Middle third 2024: 35%Middle third 2025: 35.4%Middle third 2026: 32.4%32.4%High third 2019: 40.9%High third 2020: 37.5%High third 2021: 34.3%High third 2022: 35.1%High third 2023: 37%High third 2024: 37.5%High third 2025: 34.2%High third 2026: 39.7%39.7%

Win % of races by Year

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Is there a draw bias at the Curragh?

Over 6f, the most-run trip at the Curragh, the draw rates weak or none from 349 races. It stands out most over 1m4f, where the low third has won 39.2% against 30.3% by chance (rated strong).

Which side of the Curragh straight has been favoured in big sprint handicaps?

The Curragh's 5f and 6f rows and the 16 or more runners band are the closest guides to its big sprint handicaps. The page measures thirds by stall number, so check where the stalls are placed on the day.

How do going and field size change the draw at the Curragh?

The bias matrix gives every the Curragh trip rows for fast, good and soft ground and for 8 to 11, 12 to 15 and 16 or more runners, each with its own rating. Read the race count before the percentages.

Is the the Curragh draw bias still current?

The recency table sets each trip's record since 2016 beside the last three seasons, from 2024. Over 6f the check reads holding, from 110 recent races.

How is the bias rating worked out?

Winners from each draw third are tested against the share chance would give them, using a chi-square test. Strong means p below 0.01 from 100 or more races, moderate p below 0.05, and fewer than 40 races is not enough data.

Questions people ask

Is there a draw bias at the Curragh?

Over 6f, the most-run trip at the Curragh, the draw rates weak or none, with low draws winning 30.9% of 349 races against 30.7% by chance. It stands out most over 1m4f, where the low third has won 39.2% against 30.3% (rated strong).

Which stall is best at the Curragh over 5f?

Stall 13 has the best top-three record over 5f at the Curragh since 2016, placing in 30.7% of 75 runs against 23.3% by chance. Single stalls swing on small samples, so the stall grid lists every stall with 50 or more runs at each trip.

Is a low or high draw better at the Curragh?

Across all distances since 2016, low draws have won 30.5% of the Curragh races against 30.5% by chance, and high draws 37.1% against 35.9%. The answer changes by trip, so check the bias matrix row for the race distance.

Does the draw matter in the Irish Derby?

The Irish Derby is run over 1m4f on the Curragh's right-handed round course, so the 1m4f row in the distance table is the closest guide. The page covers every Curragh race at the trip rather than tracking a single race.

How often are the the Curragh draw figures updated?

The figures are rebuilt every night from the RaceWatch results database, and the latest results included are from 15 October 2026. The bias matrix, ratings and stall grid use races since 2016, and the detailed thirds tables further down use races since 2019.

More free data

Draw bias at every courseCompare the thirds course by courseThe Curragh course guideResults, trainers and jockeys at the courseThe Curragh racecardsThe next meeting's full cardIrish Derby FestivalFestival results and recordsIrish Derby roll of honourPast winners of the race

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