Home / Stats & Records / Salisbury draw bias
LiveFree dataUpdated every night

Salisbury draw bias: the uphill straight mile

At Salisbury over 6f, the most-run Flat trip, low draws have won 33.9% of races of 8 or more runners since 2016 (183 races), middle draws 26.8% and high draws 39.3%, against 29.8%, 33.7% and 36.4% by chance. Bias rating: weak or none. Every trip, going and field size follows, with results to 15 October 2026.

No Flat meeting at Salisbury declared yet. Latest Flat race in the data: 1 October 2026 · Results to 15 October 2026 · Refreshed 16 October 2026
Weak or none
Rating on the most-run trip
1m2f
Trip where the draw stands out most
618
Races of 8+ runners since 2016
15 October 2026
Results up to
Low 33.9% v 29.8%

At Salisbury over 6f, the course's most-run Flat trip, low draws have won 33.9% of races of 8 or more runners since 2016 (183 races), middle draws 26.8% and high draws 39.3%, against 29.8%, 33.7% and 36.4% by chance. Bias rating: weak or none.Sample: 183 races · Window: 1 May 2016 to 15 October 2026 · Source: RaceWatch results database (Flat results with stall draw), plus today's declarations for the next meeting

Go deeper before the next race.

Open every racecard in full and get your research done before they go to post.

  • 14racecard tabs per race
  • 20+bookmaker prices side by side
  • Trackeralerts when your horses are declared

30-day free trial

£0today

Start my 30-day free trial

By continuing you agree to our Terms and Intellectual Property and Acceptable Use policy.

£0 today. Card on step 2. £24.99 from day 31.Cancel any time.

Salisbury draw bias by distance, going and field size

All distancesAll goingAll field sizes6186,29729.0%29.8%32.5%33.8%38.5%36.4%30.9%28.3%29.3%29.4%High +2.1 pts0.544Weak or none
5fAll goingAll field sizes3935728.2%28.9%25.6%34.7%46.2%36.4%26.9%32.5%37.7%32.8%High +9.8 pts0.379Not enough data
5fFast (good to firm or firmer)All field sizes2421929.2%29.0%25.0%34.5%45.8%36.5%25.0%32.0%40.0%32.9%High +9.3 pts0.551Not enough data
5fAll going8 to 11 runners3733229.7%28.8%27.0%34.8%43.2%36.4%28.1%33.9%37.2%33.4%High +6.8 pts0.569Not enough data
5fFast (good to firm or firmer)8 to 11 runners2320730.4%28.8%26.1%34.5%43.5%36.7%25.0%33.8%39.5%33.3%High +6.8 pts0.676Not enough data
6fAll goingAll field sizes1831,88333.9%29.8%26.8%33.7%39.3%36.4%32.7%25.4%29.6%29.2%Low +4.1 pts0.131Weak or none
6fFast (good to firm or firmer)All field sizes8082930.0%29.8%30.0%33.8%40.0%36.4%32.1%24.4%30.6%29.0%High +3.6 pts0.731Weak or none
6fGoodAll field sizes4747925.5%30.1%25.5%33.1%48.9%36.8%27.6%28.5%31.8%29.4%High +12.1 pts0.220Weak or none
6fSoft (good to soft to heavy)All field sizes5657546.4%29.6%23.2%34.2%30.4%36.2%38.0%24.5%26.4%29.2%Low +16.8 pts0.020Moderate
6fAll going8 to 11 runners1351,26334.8%29.1%26.7%34.0%38.5%36.9%36.6%27.6%32.5%32.1%Low +5.7 pts0.157Weak or none
6fAll going12 to 15 runners4658632.6%31.8%26.1%33.1%41.3%35.1%25.8%20.6%24.3%23.5%High +6.2 pts0.550Weak or none
6fFast (good to firm or firmer)8 to 11 runners5550630.9%28.9%27.3%34.0%41.8%37.1%38.1%25.7%34.6%32.6%High +4.7 pts0.566Weak or none
6fFast (good to firm or firmer)12 to 15 runners2328930.4%31.9%34.8%33.2%34.8%34.9%23.9%21.9%25.7%23.9%Middle +1.6 pts0.983Not enough data
6fGood8 to 11 runners3735124.3%29.6%29.7%33.2%45.9%37.2%26.9%32.8%34.4%31.6%High +8.7 pts0.540Not enough data
6fSoft (good to soft to heavy)8 to 11 runners4340648.8%29.0%23.3%34.6%27.9%36.4%43.2%25.7%28.4%31.8%Low +19.8 pts0.016Moderate
7fAll goingAll field sizes1651,73127.3%30.1%41.8%33.4%30.9%36.5%31.7%29.5%25.2%28.6%Middle +8.4 pts0.070Weak or none
7fFast (good to firm or firmer)All field sizes7983227.8%30.1%40.5%33.5%31.6%36.4%34.9%27.1%24.4%28.5%Middle +7.0 pts0.406Weak or none
7fGoodAll field sizes3031330.0%29.5%46.7%33.3%23.3%37.2%34.4%33.7%19.8%28.8%Middle +13.4 pts0.207Not enough data
7fSoft (good to soft to heavy)All field sizes5658625.0%30.4%41.1%33.4%33.9%36.2%25.7%30.8%29.2%28.7%Middle +7.7 pts0.451Weak or none
7fAll going8 to 11 runners1121,04324.1%29.5%45.5%33.7%30.4%36.8%33.4%35.7%28.1%32.2%Middle +11.8 pts0.030Moderate
7fAll going12 to 15 runners5165233.3%31.4%33.3%32.8%33.3%35.8%28.9%20.6%21.4%23.5%Low +1.9 pts0.926Weak or none
7fFast (good to firm or firmer)8 to 11 runners5449922.2%29.6%44.4%33.8%33.3%36.6%35.1%33.3%29.5%32.5%Middle +10.6 pts0.229Weak or none
7fFast (good to firm or firmer)12 to 15 runners2329739.1%31.1%30.4%32.6%30.4%36.3%34.8%18.6%17.6%23.2%Low +8.0 pts0.693Not enough data
7fGood8 to 11 runners2221122.7%28.8%45.5%33.3%31.8%37.9%32.8%37.1%25.0%31.3%Middle +12.2 pts0.480Not enough data
7fSoft (good to soft to heavy)8 to 11 runners3633327.8%29.7%47.2%33.8%25.0%36.6%31.3%38.4%27.9%32.4%Middle +13.4 pts0.194Not enough data
7fSoft (good to soft to heavy)12 to 15 runners2025320.0%31.7%30.0%32.8%50.0%35.5%18.8%20.5%31.1%23.7%High +14.5 pts0.350Not enough data
1mAll goingAll field sizes9496823.4%30.2%37.2%33.3%39.4%36.5%31.4%28.6%27.8%29.1%Middle +3.9 pts0.354Weak or none
1mFast (good to firm or firmer)All field sizes2827225.0%29.2%35.7%33.3%39.3%37.4%35.0%31.1%27.5%30.9%Middle +2.4 pts0.885Not enough data
1mGoodAll field sizes3537017.1%30.6%40.0%33.2%42.9%36.2%30.1%28.5%26.9%28.4%Middle +6.8 pts0.225Not enough data
1mSoft (good to soft to heavy)All field sizes3132629.0%30.6%35.5%33.5%35.5%35.9%30.0%26.6%29.1%28.5%Middle +2.0 pts0.968Not enough data
1mAll going8 to 11 runners7167618.3%29.7%42.3%33.4%39.4%36.9%32.3%32.0%30.4%31.5%Middle +8.9 pts0.086Weak or none
1mAll going12 to 15 runners2329239.1%31.6%21.7%33.2%39.1%35.2%29.3%20.6%21.4%23.6%Low +7.5 pts0.492Not enough data
1mFast (good to firm or firmer)8 to 11 runners2523424.0%28.9%40.0%33.5%36.0%37.5%38.2%32.1%27.3%32.1%Middle +6.5 pts0.764Not enough data
1mGood8 to 11 runners2524212.0%30.3%40.0%33.1%48.0%36.7%31.5%28.8%32.6%31.0%High +11.3 pts0.136Not enough data
1mSoft (good to soft to heavy)8 to 11 runners2120019.0%30.0%47.6%33.6%33.3%36.4%26.7%35.8%31.5%31.5%Middle +14.0 pts0.344Not enough data
1m2fAll goingAll field sizes8482928.6%29.4%23.8%34.5%47.6%36.0%27.6%28.8%34.2%30.4%High +11.6 pts0.051Weak or none
1m2fFast (good to firm or firmer)All field sizes3836131.6%29.1%21.1%34.8%47.4%36.1%29.2%32.0%33.1%31.6%High +11.3 pts0.176Not enough data
1m2fSoft (good to soft to heavy)All field sizes3131522.6%30.2%32.3%34.1%45.2%35.7%29.2%23.4%35.7%29.5%High +9.5 pts0.494Not enough data
1m2fAll going8 to 11 runners6559126.2%28.6%24.6%34.8%49.2%36.5%28.8%31.7%37.5%33.0%High +12.7 pts0.084Weak or none
1m2fFast (good to firm or firmer)8 to 11 runners3228334.4%28.8%18.8%34.8%46.9%36.4%32.9%33.7%35.0%33.9%High +10.5 pts0.158Not enough data
1m2fSoft (good to soft to heavy)8 to 11 runners211929.5%29.1%42.9%34.5%47.6%36.4%25.0%28.8%42.9%32.8%High +11.2 pts0.142Not enough data
1m4fAll goingAll field sizes3736727.0%29.2%29.7%34.3%43.2%36.5%26.9%32.0%31.3%30.2%High +6.7 pts0.688Not enough data
1m4fFast (good to firm or firmer)All field sizes2019730.0%28.7%30.0%34.7%40.0%36.6%24.6%35.3%30.6%30.5%High +3.4 pts0.903Not enough data
1m4fAll going8 to 11 runners2926527.6%28.6%24.1%34.9%48.3%36.6%30.3%33.7%34.0%32.8%High +11.7 pts0.359Not enough data

Flat races at Salisbury with 8 or more runners and a full draw, since 1 May 2016. Runners are split into low, middle and high thirds by stall order among the horses that ran. Win % is the share of races each third won; expected % is its share by chance given the field sizes. Top-3 % is the share of runners in that third who finished in the first three, against the chance rate. Going groups: fast is good to firm or firmer, soft is good to soft, yielding, soft and heavy. Bias rating uses a chi-square test of winners by third against chance (2 degrees of freedom): Strong means p below 0.01 from 100 or more races, Moderate p below 0.05, Weak or none p of 0.05 or more, and Not enough data fewer than 40 races. Rows with fewer than 20 races are hidden. Source: RaceWatch results database.

Salisbury draw bias: since 2016 v the last three seasons

All distances61829.0%32.5%38.5%29.8%33.8%36.4%Weak or none13228.8%31.8%39.4%Weak or noneHolding
5f3928.2%25.6%46.2%28.9%34.7%36.4%Not enough data825.0%37.5%37.5%Not enough dataToo few recent races
6f18333.9%26.8%39.3%29.8%33.7%36.4%Weak or none5034.0%28.0%38.0%Weak or noneHolding
7f16527.3%41.8%30.9%30.1%33.4%36.5%Weak or none3212.5%46.9%40.6%Not enough dataToo few recent races
1m9423.4%37.2%39.4%30.2%33.3%36.5%Weak or none1926.3%36.8%36.8%Not enough dataToo few recent races
1m2f8428.6%23.8%47.6%29.4%34.5%36.0%Weak or none1844.4%16.7%38.9%Not enough dataToo few recent races
1m4f3727.0%29.7%43.2%29.2%34.3%36.5%Not enough data540.0%0.0%60.0%Not enough dataToo few recent races

Last three seasons means races since 1 January 2024. Is it current? compares the third that led over the whole window with its record lately: Holding means within 2 points of its long-run edge, Stronger or Weaker lately means more than 2 points either way, Gone lately means it no longer beats chance. 8 or more runners. Rows with fewer than 20 races are hidden.

Salisbury stall by stall at each distance

6f11702212.9%10.0%32.4%30.0%+2.4
6f2174158.6%10.0%31.6%30.0%+1.6
6f31731810.4%10.0%34.1%29.9%+4.2
6f4174137.5%10.0%31.6%30.1%+1.5
6f51691911.2%10.0%30.2%30.1%+0.1
6f61701710.0%10.0%27.6%30.0%-2.4
6f7172179.9%10.0%26.2%30.0%-3.9
6f8166137.8%9.9%30.7%29.7%+1.0
6f91601911.9%9.9%25.0%29.6%-4.6
6f10127118.7%9.3%27.6%27.9%-0.4
6f1184910.7%8.6%26.2%25.9%+0.3
6f1254611.1%8.1%31.5%24.4%+7.1
7f11531711.1%9.9%33.3%29.6%+3.8
7f21531711.1%9.8%37.9%29.4%+8.5
7f315274.6%9.8%24.3%29.3%-5.0
7f41492114.1%9.9%34.2%29.6%+4.7
7f5154159.7%9.8%26.0%29.5%-3.6
7f6155159.7%9.8%31.0%29.5%+1.4
7f71521610.5%9.8%27.6%29.4%-1.8
7f81501912.7%9.8%31.3%29.3%+2.0
7f9149149.4%9.7%27.5%29.2%-1.7
7f1012097.5%9.3%27.5%27.8%-0.3
7f118456.0%8.6%19.0%25.7%-6.7
7f126469.4%8.2%26.6%24.6%+1.9
1m190910.0%9.9%36.7%29.8%+6.9
1m29055.6%9.9%27.8%29.8%-2.0
1m39288.7%9.9%34.8%29.8%+4.9
1m4841315.5%9.9%34.5%29.8%+4.7
1m59077.8%10.0%28.9%30.0%-1.1
1m68678.1%9.9%27.9%29.8%-1.9
1m7881011.4%9.9%27.3%29.8%-2.6
1m889910.1%10.0%24.7%29.9%-5.2
1m977810.4%9.6%27.3%28.9%-1.6
1m1067710.4%9.3%32.8%27.9%+4.9
1m2f17945.1%10.4%22.8%31.2%-8.4
1m2f2781114.1%10.4%28.2%31.2%-3.0
1m2f38078.8%10.4%30.0%31.1%-1.1
1m2f47879.0%10.3%37.2%31.0%+6.2
1m2f57345.5%10.4%27.4%31.3%-3.9
1m2f6761114.5%10.5%30.3%31.6%-1.3
1m2f78189.9%10.4%29.6%31.3%-1.7
1m2f8781114.1%10.5%30.8%31.4%-0.6
1m2f960915.0%10.0%46.7%30.0%+16.7

Stall is the stall number drawn. Every distance with 60 or more races of 8 or more runners since 2016; stalls with fewer than 50 runs are hidden. Top-3 % is steadier than win % for a single stall, so read it first.

Salisbury draw by distance, 8 or more runners

All distances39528.1%29.7%33.4%33.9%38.5%36.4%30.0%28.3%30.2%
5f2330.4%29.0%26.1%34.7%43.5%36.3%22.6%31.5%41.6%
6f12532.8%29.9%25.6%33.8%41.6%36.3%33.3%24.4%30.0%
7f10624.5%30.0%46.2%33.5%29.2%36.5%30.9%29.6%25.6%
1m6123.0%30.2%44.3%33.5%32.8%36.4%31.7%29.8%28.3%
1m2f5525.5%29.0%23.6%34.6%50.9%36.4%22.0%31.6%36.0%
1m4f2536.0%29.1%20.0%34.5%44.0%36.3%27.8%28.6%34.8%

Flat races at Salisbury with 8 or more runners since 1 January 2019. Win % is the share of races won by each third of the draw expected % is the share that third would win by chance given the field sizes run. Thirds are set by stall order among the horses that ran, so non-runners do not shift them. Place % is per runner. Distances with fewer than 20 races are hidden. Source: RaceWatch results database.

Additional research statistics and historical returns are in the RaceWatch app.

Go deeper before the next race.

Open every racecard in full and get your research done before they go to post.

  • 14racecard tabs per race
  • 20+bookmaker prices side by side
  • Trackeralerts when your horses are declared

30-day free trial

£0today

Start my 30-day free trial

By continuing you agree to our Terms and Intellectual Property and Acceptable Use policy.

£0 today. Card on step 2. £24.99 from day 31.Cancel any time.

Salisbury draw thirds overall, 8 or more runners

Low39528.1%29.7%9.2%1,20311130.0%
Middle39533.4%33.9%9.7%1,35413228.3%
High39538.5%36.4%10.4%1,45915230.2%

All distances pooled. Strike rate is wins per runner in that third. BSP figures are not shown because the window starts before March 2024.

Additional research statistics and historical returns are in the RaceWatch app.

Go deeper before the next race.

Open every racecard in full and get your research done before they go to post.

  • 14racecard tabs per race
  • 20+bookmaker prices side by side
  • Trackeralerts when your horses are declared

30-day free trial

£0today

Start my 30-day free trial

By continuing you agree to our Terms and Intellectual Property and Acceptable Use policy.

£0 today. Card on step 2. £24.99 from day 31.Cancel any time.

Salisbury draw by distance, all field sizes

All distances70526.8%29.0%33.8%33.1%40.0%37.9%
5f5824.1%28.1%31.0%33.8%46.6%38.0%
6f19134.6%29.2%24.6%33.3%41.9%37.6%
7f13924.5%29.5%43.9%33.1%31.7%37.4%
1m12518.4%29.3%44.8%32.6%37.6%38.1%
1m2f12326.8%28.8%27.6%33.1%45.5%38.1%
1m4f6927.5%28.3%31.9%32.9%40.6%38.8%

Every Flat race at Salisbury with 3 or more runners since 1 January 2019. Small fields dilute any draw effect, so compare with the 8 or more runners table. Distances with fewer than 20 races are hidden.

Additional research statistics and historical returns are in the RaceWatch app.

Go deeper before the next race.

Open every racecard in full and get your research done before they go to post.

  • 14racecard tabs per race
  • 20+bookmaker prices side by side
  • Trackeralerts when your horses are declared

30-day free trial

£0today

Start my 30-day free trial

By continuing you agree to our Terms and Intellectual Property and Acceptable Use policy.

£0 today. Card on step 2. £24.99 from day 31.Cancel any time.

Salisbury draw by field size

3 to 7 runnersAll distances31025.2%28.1%34.2%32.1%41.9%39.8%
8 to 11 runnersAll distances29728.3%29.1%34.0%34.1%37.7%36.8%
12 to 15 runnersAll distances9527.4%31.8%31.6%33.0%41.1%35.1%
3 to 7 runners5f3520.0%27.6%34.3%33.3%48.6%39.2%
8 to 11 runners5f2133.3%28.7%28.6%34.9%38.1%36.4%
3 to 7 runners6f6637.9%27.9%22.7%32.2%42.4%39.9%
8 to 11 runners6f9135.2%29.1%25.3%34.0%39.6%36.9%
12 to 15 runners6f3327.3%32.1%27.3%33.2%45.5%34.8%
3 to 7 runners7f3324.2%27.8%36.4%32.0%39.4%40.2%
8 to 11 runners7f7223.6%29.4%48.6%33.8%27.8%36.8%
12 to 15 runners7f3225.0%31.4%40.6%32.7%34.4%35.9%
3 to 7 runners1m6414.1%28.4%45.3%31.8%42.2%39.8%
8 to 11 runners1m4920.4%29.6%49.0%33.6%30.6%36.8%
3 to 7 runners1m2f6827.9%28.6%30.9%31.8%41.2%39.6%
8 to 11 runners1m2f4425.0%28.3%22.7%34.8%52.3%36.9%
3 to 7 runners1m4f4422.7%27.9%38.6%32.0%38.6%40.2%
8 to 11 runners1m4f2035.0%28.6%15.0%35.0%50.0%36.5%

Field size is the number of runners that took part. Cells with fewer than 20 races are hidden.

Salisbury draw by going, 8 or more runners

Good to firm or firmerAll distances17627.3%29.6%40.9%36.5%31.8%
GoodAll distances9622.9%29.7%44.8%36.6%32.3%
Good to soft or yieldingAll distances5236.5%30.7%32.7%35.4%30.8%
SoftAll distances6731.3%29.4%25.4%36.5%43.3%
Good to firm or firmer6f5425.9%30.0%44.4%36.3%29.6%
Good6f3228.1%30.3%53.1%36.6%18.8%
Soft6f2138.1%29.2%28.6%36.0%33.3%
Good to firm or firmer7f5322.6%30.2%32.1%36.5%45.3%
Good7f2123.8%29.2%23.8%37.0%52.4%
Soft7f2231.8%30.0%22.7%36.8%45.5%
Good1m2114.3%30.5%33.3%36.1%52.4%
Good to firm or firmer1m2f2528.0%28.8%52.0%36.2%20.0%

Official going grouped into bands (yielding counts with good to soft). All-weather races show as AW. Cells with fewer than 20 races are hidden.

Additional research statistics and historical returns are in the RaceWatch app.

Go deeper before the next race.

Open every racecard in full and get your research done before they go to post.

  • 14racecard tabs per race
  • 20+bookmaker prices side by side
  • Trackeralerts when your horses are declared

30-day free trial

£0today

Start my 30-day free trial

By continuing you agree to our Terms and Intellectual Property and Acceptable Use policy.

£0 today. Card on step 2. £24.99 from day 31.Cancel any time.

Salisbury individual stalls, most-run distances

6f11191210.1%10.0%31.1%
6f2119119.2%10.0%31.9%
6f31161512.9%9.9%39.7%
6f411797.7%10.0%27.4%
6f51171210.3%10.0%26.5%
6f6116108.6%10.0%28.4%
6f711886.8%10.0%22.0%
6f8119108.4%9.9%31.9%
6f91081513.9%9.8%25.0%
7f310033.0%9.8%23.0%
7f51021110.8%9.9%28.4%
7f61001010.0%9.9%30.0%

The two most-run distances at Salisbury in races of 8 or more runners since 2019. Stall is the stall number drawn. Expected win % is the chance of a single runner given the field sizes it ran in. Stalls with fewer than 100 runs are hidden.

Additional research statistics and historical returns are in the RaceWatch app.

Go deeper before the next race.

Open every racecard in full and get your research done before they go to post.

  • 14racecard tabs per race
  • 20+bookmaker prices side by side
  • Trackeralerts when your horses are declared

30-day free trial

£0today

Start my 30-day free trial

By continuing you agree to our Terms and Intellectual Property and Acceptable Use policy.

£0 today. Card on step 2. £24.99 from day 31.Cancel any time.

Salisbury 6f: win % by draw third, since 2016 v last three seasons, 8 or more runners
Since 2016Since 2024Expected by chance
0%10%20%30%40%LowMiddleHighSince 2016 Low: 33.9%Since 2016 Middle: 26.8%Since 2016 High: 39.3%Since 2024 Low: 34%Since 2024 Middle: 28%Since 2024 High: 38%Expected by chance Low: 29.8%Expected by chance Middle: 33.7%Expected by chance High: 36.4%

Win % of races by Draw third

Salisbury 6f win % by stall, 8 or more runners
Win %Expected by chance
0%5%10%15%20%Stall 1Stall 2Stall 3Stall 4Stall 5Stall 6Stall 7Stall 8Stall 9Win % Stall 1: 10.1%10.1%Win % Stall 2: 9.2%9.2%Win % Stall 3: 12.9%12.9%Win % Stall 4: 7.7%7.7%Win % Stall 5: 10.3%10.3%Win % Stall 6: 8.6%8.6%Win % Stall 7: 6.8%6.8%Win % Stall 8: 8.4%8.4%Win % Stall 9: 13.9%13.9%Expected by chance Stall 1: 10%10%Expected by chance Stall 2: 10%10%Expected by chance Stall 3: 9.9%9.9%Expected by chance Stall 4: 10%10%Expected by chance Stall 5: 10%10%Expected by chance Stall 6: 10%10%Expected by chance Stall 7: 10%10%Expected by chance Stall 8: 9.9%9.9%Expected by chance Stall 9: 9.8%9.8%

Win % by Stall

Latest Flat winners at Salisbury and their draw

1 Oct 26Due To Henry (GB) silksDue To Henry (GB)2Low111m2f34.00
1 Oct 26Gran Dia (IRE) silksGran Dia (IRE)10High121m7.00
1 Oct 26Hello Cotai (IRE) silksHello Cotai (IRE)2Low121m2f21.00
1 Oct 26Regional Rock (GB) silksRegional Rock (GB)11High146f5.50
1 Oct 26A Bear Affair (IRE) silksA Bear Affair (IRE)4High56f5.00
1 Oct 26Kamaal (IRE) silksKamaal (IRE)11High127f3.75
1 Oct 26Meticulously (GB) silksMeticulously (GB)12High127f2.62
11 Sep 26Sax Avoidance (IRE) silksSax Avoidance (IRE)7High101m2f23.00
11 Sep 26Grapple (GB) silksGrapple (GB)4Middle97f6.00
11 Sep 26The Quiet Gent (IRE) silksThe Quiet Gent (IRE)6Middle86f8.50
11 Sep 26Madman (GB) silksMadman (GB)13High126f15.00
11 Sep 26Burningringoffire (IRE) silksBurningringoffire (IRE)5Middle111m6.00
3 Sep 26Zgharta (IRE) silksZgharta (IRE)7High71m2f3.75
3 Sep 26Looka (USA) silksLooka (USA)11High111m15.00
3 Sep 26Zen Diva (GB) silksZen Diva (GB)5Middle96f3.00
3 Sep 26Acclamation Star (GB) silksAcclamation Star (GB)9High116f29.00
3 Sep 26Miss Miniver (IRE) silksMiss Miniver (IRE)4Middle87f2.10
3 Sep 26Rose Moon (GER) silksRose Moon (GER)6Middle91m3.50
3 Sep 26Rock In Japan (GER) silksRock In Japan (GER)9High71m9.00
3 Sep 26A La Noche (IRE) silksA La Noche (IRE)4Middle81m5.50

The 20 most recent Flat races at Salisbury in the data with a full draw.

Salisbury win % of races by draw third and distance, 8 or more runners
Low thirdMiddle thirdHigh third
0%20%40%60%80%5f6f7f1m1m2f1m4fLow third 5f: 30.4%Low third 6f: 32.8%Low third 7f: 24.5%Low third 1m: 23%Low third 1m2f: 25.5%Low third 1m4f: 36%Middle third 5f: 26.1%Middle third 6f: 25.6%Middle third 7f: 46.2%Middle third 1m: 44.3%Middle third 1m2f: 23.6%Middle third 1m4f: 20%High third 5f: 43.5%High third 6f: 41.6%High third 7f: 29.2%High third 1m: 32.8%High third 1m2f: 50.9%High third 1m4f: 44%

Win % of races by Distance

Salisbury win % of races by draw third and year, 8 or more runners
Low thirdMiddle thirdHigh third
0%20%40%60%80%20192020202120222023202420252026Low third 2019: 30.5%Low third 2020: 19%Low third 2021: 33.9%Low third 2022: 28.2%Low third 2023: 25%Low third 2024: 31.4%Low third 2025: 25%Low third 2026: 28.9%28.9%Middle third 2019: 35.6%Middle third 2020: 35.7%Middle third 2021: 32.2%Middle third 2022: 38.5%Middle third 2023: 31.3%Middle third 2024: 25.5%Middle third 2025: 38.9%Middle third 2026: 33.3%33.3%High third 2019: 33.9%High third 2020: 45.2%High third 2021: 33.9%High third 2022: 33.3%High third 2023: 43.8%High third 2024: 43.1%High third 2025: 36.1%High third 2026: 37.8%37.8%

Win % of races by Year

Put the draw beside the Salisbury card

Members get every Salisbury racecard with RWS scores, market moves across 20+ bookmakers, Angles and FormLines+ on each runner, to read alongside these draw thirds.

Start free trial

By continuing you agree to our Terms and Intellectual Property and Acceptable Use policy.

Is there a draw bias at Salisbury?

Over 6f, the most-run trip at Salisbury, the draw rates weak or none from 183 races. It stands out most over 1m2f, where the high third has won 47.6% against 36% by chance (rated weak or none).

Is the draw a factor in Salisbury's two-year-old races?

Salisbury's two-year-old races are mostly run on the straight course, which the 5f to mile rows in the distance table cover. The field size table shows whether the bigger fields change the picture.

How do going and field size change the draw at Salisbury?

The bias matrix gives every Salisbury trip rows for fast, good and soft ground and for 8 to 11, 12 to 15 and 16 or more runners, each with its own rating. Read the race count before the percentages.

Is the Salisbury draw bias still current?

The recency table sets each trip's record since 2016 beside the last three seasons, from 2024. Over 6f the check reads holding, from 50 recent races.

How is the bias rating worked out?

Winners from each draw third are tested against the share chance would give them, using a chi-square test. Strong means p below 0.01 from 100 or more races, moderate p below 0.05, and fewer than 40 races is not enough data.

Questions people ask

Is there a draw bias at Salisbury?

Over 6f, the most-run trip at Salisbury, the draw rates weak or none, with low draws winning 33.9% of 183 races against 29.8% by chance. It stands out most over 1m2f, where the high third has won 47.6% against 36% (rated weak or none).

Which stall is best at Salisbury over 6f?

Stall 3 has the best top-three record over 6f at Salisbury since 2016, placing in 34.1% of 173 runs against 29.2% by chance. Single stalls swing on small samples, so the stall grid lists every stall with 50 or more runs at each trip.

Is a low or high draw better at Salisbury?

Across all distances since 2016, low draws have won 29% of Salisbury races against 29.8% by chance, and high draws 38.5% against 36.4%. The answer changes by trip, so check the bias matrix row for the race distance.

Is there any draw effect in races on the Salisbury loop?

Salisbury's 1m2f and 1m4f races use the loop, and their rows in the distance table show each third against chance. Those rows rest on fewer races than the straight course, so they swing more.

How often are the Salisbury draw figures updated?

The figures are rebuilt every night from the RaceWatch results database, and the latest results included are from 15 October 2026. The bias matrix, ratings and stall grid use races since 2016, and the detailed thirds tables further down use races since 2019.

More free data

Draw bias at every courseCompare the thirds course by courseSalisbury course guideResults, trainers and jockeys at the courseSalisbury racecardsThe next meeting's full cardBath draw biasThe same thirds at another courseNewbury draw biasThe same thirds at another course

Go deeper before the next race.

Open every racecard in full and get your research done before they go to post.

  • 14racecard tabs per race
  • 20+bookmaker prices side by side
  • Trackeralerts when your horses are declared

30-day free trial

£0today

Start my 30-day free trial

By continuing you agree to our Terms and Intellectual Property and Acceptable Use policy.

£0 today. Card on step 2. £24.99 from day 31.Cancel any time.

Updated