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Redcar draw bias: the straight mile by the sea

At Redcar over 6f, the most-run Flat trip, low draws have won 34.6% of races of 8 or more runners since 2016 (266 races), middle draws 36.8% and high draws 28.6%, against 30.4%, 33.5% and 36.2% by chance. Bias rating: moderate. Every trip, going and field size follows, with results to 15 October 2026.

Next Flat meeting at Redcar: Friday 16 October 2026, 8 races and 94 declared runners placed in their draw third · Results to 15 October 2026 · Refreshed 16 October 2026
Moderate
Rating on the most-run trip
5f
Trip where the draw stands out most
1,058
Races of 8+ runners since 2016
15 October 2026
Results up to
Low 34.6% v 30.4%

At Redcar over 6f, the course's most-run Flat trip, low draws have won 34.6% of races of 8 or more runners since 2016 (266 races), middle draws 36.8% and high draws 28.6%, against 30.4%, 33.5% and 36.2% by chance. Bias rating: moderate. The clearest effect is over 5f, where the low third has won 40.2% of 117 races against 29.5% by chance (moderate).Sample: 266 races · Window: 28 March 2016 to 15 October 2026 · Source: RaceWatch results database (Flat results with stall draw), plus today's declarations for the next meeting

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Redcar draw bias by distance, going and field size

All distancesAll goingAll field sizes1,05811,76835.9%30.0%34.4%33.7%29.7%36.3%31.4%26.8%23.6%27.0%Low +5.9 pts<0.001Strong
5fAll goingAll field sizes1171,25840.2%29.5%33.3%33.8%26.5%36.7%33.3%28.4%23.2%27.9%Low +10.7 pts0.020Moderate
5fFast (good to firm or firmer)All field sizes5557136.4%29.6%36.4%33.8%27.3%36.6%32.7%30.9%24.4%28.9%Low +6.8 pts0.319Weak or none
5fGoodAll field sizes4145836.6%29.7%34.1%33.9%29.3%36.4%31.4%29.9%20.4%26.9%Low +6.9 pts0.543Weak or none
5fSoft (good to soft to heavy)All field sizes2122957.1%28.9%23.8%33.8%19.0%37.3%38.8%19.5%25.9%27.5%Low +28.2 pts0.016Not enough data
5fAll going8 to 11 runners8074036.3%28.7%33.8%34.5%30.0%36.9%37.1%32.3%29.3%32.4%Low +7.6 pts0.268Weak or none
5fAll going12 to 15 runners2735240.7%31.3%37.0%32.6%22.2%36.1%28.2%23.5%18.1%23.0%Low +9.4 pts0.307Not enough data
5fFast (good to firm or firmer)8 to 11 runners4238235.7%28.9%33.3%34.2%31.0%36.9%37.8%36.2%27.0%33.0%Low +6.8 pts0.583Weak or none
5fGood8 to 11 runners2321630.4%28.7%39.1%35.2%30.4%36.1%33.9%32.9%29.5%31.9%Middle +3.9 pts0.848Not enough data
6fAll goingAll field sizes2663,21434.6%30.4%36.8%33.5%28.6%36.2%29.0%24.2%22.0%24.8%Low +4.2 pts0.035Moderate
6fFast (good to firm or firmer)All field sizes1051,19036.2%30.3%41.9%33.4%21.9%36.3%32.2%25.2%23.3%26.5%Middle +8.5 pts0.009Strong
6fGoodAll field sizes7997134.2%30.6%27.8%33.2%38.0%36.2%27.4%24.3%21.9%24.4%Low +3.6 pts0.588Weak or none
6fSoft (good to soft to heavy)All field sizes821,05332.9%30.2%39.0%33.8%28.0%36.0%26.8%23.1%20.7%23.4%Middle +5.2 pts0.318Weak or none
6fAll going8 to 11 runners1301,25128.5%29.2%40.0%33.8%31.5%37.0%32.1%32.9%28.9%31.2%Middle +6.2 pts0.278Weak or none
6fAll going12 to 15 runners1021,34740.2%31.6%34.3%33.1%25.5%35.3%29.2%21.3%18.5%22.7%Low +8.6 pts0.075Weak or none
6fAll going16 or more runners3461641.2%31.3%32.4%33.0%26.5%35.6%22.8%12.7%15.1%16.6%Low +9.9 pts0.395Not enough data
6fFast (good to firm or firmer)8 to 11 runners6664133.3%29.3%45.5%33.6%21.2%37.1%33.5%30.2%29.4%30.9%Middle +11.9 pts0.022Moderate
6fFast (good to firm or firmer)12 to 15 runners3241943.8%32.0%31.3%32.9%25.0%35.1%32.1%21.0%17.0%22.9%Low +11.8 pts0.312Not enough data
6fGood8 to 11 runners3230631.3%29.4%28.1%33.7%40.6%36.9%31.1%35.0%28.3%31.4%High +3.7 pts0.795Not enough data
6fGood12 to 15 runners3647436.1%31.5%27.8%32.9%36.1%35.6%30.2%20.5%18.3%22.8%Low +4.6 pts0.767Not enough data
6fSoft (good to soft to heavy)8 to 11 runners3230415.6%28.5%40.6%34.3%43.8%37.1%29.9%36.5%28.3%31.6%High +6.7 pts0.270Not enough data
6fSoft (good to soft to heavy)12 to 15 runners3445441.2%31.3%44.1%33.7%14.7%35.0%25.4%22.2%20.1%22.5%Middle +10.4 pts0.046Not enough data
7fAll goingAll field sizes2282,52734.6%30.2%35.1%33.7%30.3%36.1%31.9%26.7%23.4%27.1%Low +4.4 pts0.151Weak or none
7fFast (good to firm or firmer)All field sizes9096333.3%30.2%32.2%33.5%34.4%36.3%32.1%26.5%26.4%28.0%Low +3.1 pts0.812Weak or none
7fGoodAll field sizes5965430.5%29.9%37.3%34.0%32.2%36.1%32.0%24.0%25.8%27.1%Middle +3.3 pts0.800Weak or none
7fSoft (good to soft to heavy)All field sizes7991039.2%30.3%36.7%33.8%24.1%35.9%31.8%29.0%18.4%26.0%Low +8.9 pts0.069Weak or none
7fAll going8 to 11 runners1401,33530.0%29.3%33.6%34.1%36.4%36.6%34.5%29.7%30.9%31.5%Low +0.7 pts0.981Weak or none
7fAll going12 to 15 runners7699438.2%31.7%40.8%33.3%21.1%35.1%27.7%25.1%16.6%22.9%Middle +7.5 pts0.037Moderate
7fFast (good to firm or firmer)8 to 11 runners6056431.7%29.4%28.3%33.8%40.0%36.8%33.7%28.4%34.1%31.9%High +3.2 pts0.669Weak or none
7fFast (good to firm or firmer)12 to 15 runners2734833.3%32.0%44.4%33.0%22.2%35.0%27.0%27.0%16.4%23.3%Middle +11.4 pts0.310Not enough data
7fGood8 to 11 runners3634627.8%28.9%36.1%34.7%36.1%36.4%37.0%25.0%32.5%31.2%Middle +1.4 pts0.982Not enough data
7fGood12 to 15 runners2127628.6%31.6%42.9%32.9%28.6%35.5%25.3%23.1%20.4%22.8%Middle +10.0 pts0.615Not enough data
7fSoft (good to soft to heavy)8 to 11 runners4442529.5%29.5%38.6%34.1%31.8%36.4%33.6%35.2%25.2%31.1%Middle +4.5 pts0.773Weak or none
7fSoft (good to soft to heavy)12 to 15 runners2837050.0%31.4%35.7%33.7%14.3%34.8%30.2%24.8%14.0%22.7%Low +18.6 pts0.039Not enough data
1mAll goingAll field sizes1852,07037.8%29.8%30.8%33.8%31.4%36.3%31.8%24.7%24.7%26.8%Low +8.0 pts0.057Weak or none
1mFast (good to firm or firmer)All field sizes6875633.8%29.8%29.4%34.0%36.8%36.2%32.6%20.3%28.6%27.0%Low +4.0 pts0.676Weak or none
1mGoodAll field sizes5765635.1%30.1%36.8%33.8%28.1%36.1%26.3%26.2%25.7%26.1%Low +5.0 pts0.436Weak or none
1mSoft (good to soft to heavy)All field sizes6065845.0%29.7%26.7%33.7%28.3%36.6%36.4%28.2%19.2%27.4%Low +15.3 pts0.034Moderate
1mAll going8 to 11 runners1161,10033.6%28.9%29.3%34.3%37.1%36.9%34.9%29.8%30.8%31.6%Low +4.7 pts0.417Weak or none
1mAll going12 to 15 runners5572740.0%31.6%34.5%33.2%25.5%35.2%28.8%20.7%19.1%22.7%Low +8.4 pts0.252Weak or none
1mFast (good to firm or firmer)8 to 11 runners4341027.9%29.0%27.9%34.2%44.2%36.8%34.5%22.9%37.1%31.5%High +7.4 pts0.560Weak or none
1mFast (good to firm or firmer)12 to 15 runners2229545.5%31.2%31.8%33.5%22.7%35.3%32.6%18.2%17.3%22.4%Low +14.3 pts0.298Not enough data
1mGood8 to 11 runners3332033.3%29.1%33.3%34.4%33.3%36.5%29.0%31.8%31.6%30.9%Low +4.2 pts0.858Not enough data
1mSoft (good to soft to heavy)8 to 11 runners4037040.0%28.5%27.5%34.2%32.5%37.2%40.6%35.7%23.2%32.4%Low +11.5 pts0.269Weak or none
1m2fAll goingAll field sizes1631,70830.7%29.6%36.8%34.1%32.5%36.3%29.3%31.2%25.8%28.6%Middle +2.7 pts0.590Weak or none
1m2fFast (good to firm or firmer)All field sizes6059723.3%29.2%43.3%34.5%33.3%36.2%27.3%37.1%26.4%30.2%Middle +8.8 pts0.333Weak or none
1m2fGoodAll field sizes5052842.0%30.4%28.0%34.1%30.0%35.5%35.4%26.7%24.1%28.4%Low +11.6 pts0.203Weak or none
1m2fSoft (good to soft to heavy)All field sizes5358328.3%29.4%37.7%33.5%34.0%37.1%25.6%29.2%26.9%27.3%Middle +4.2 pts0.800Weak or none
1m2fAll going8 to 11 runners1151,07329.6%29.1%38.3%34.3%32.2%36.6%34.2%34.6%28.2%32.2%Middle +4.0 pts0.566Weak or none
1m2fAll going12 to 15 runners4863533.3%31.0%33.3%33.5%33.3%35.6%21.4%25.4%21.7%22.7%Low +2.3 pts0.925Weak or none
1m2fFast (good to firm or firmer)8 to 11 runners4742623.4%28.7%46.8%34.9%29.8%36.4%30.1%40.5%28.4%33.1%Middle +11.9 pts0.230Weak or none
1m2fGood8 to 11 runners3431941.2%29.8%26.5%34.2%32.4%36.0%43.2%28.4%26.1%32.0%Low +11.4 pts0.332Not enough data
1m2fSoft (good to soft to heavy)8 to 11 runners3432826.5%28.9%38.2%33.6%35.3%37.5%30.5%32.7%30.1%31.1%Middle +4.6 pts0.849Not enough data
1m6fAll goingAll field sizes7372542.5%30.1%27.4%33.7%30.1%36.2%37.4%30.3%24.0%30.2%Low +12.4 pts0.071Weak or none
1m6fFast (good to firm or firmer)All field sizes3331939.4%29.7%24.2%33.3%36.4%37.0%38.9%33.0%22.9%31.0%Low +9.7 pts0.393Not enough data
1m6fSoft (good to soft to heavy)All field sizes2222650.0%30.5%27.3%34.1%22.7%35.4%36.2%31.2%21.3%29.2%Low +19.5 pts0.131Not enough data
1m6fAll going8 to 11 runners6360539.7%29.6%31.7%33.8%28.6%36.6%40.2%30.9%24.3%31.2%Low +10.1 pts0.188Weak or none
1m6fFast (good to firm or firmer)8 to 11 runners3129535.5%29.5%25.8%33.3%38.7%37.2%39.1%33.7%23.6%31.5%Low +6.0 pts0.628Not enough data

Flat races at Redcar with 8 or more runners and a full draw, since 28 March 2016. Runners are split into low, middle and high thirds by stall order among the horses that ran. Win % is the share of races each third won; expected % is its share by chance given the field sizes. Top-3 % is the share of runners in that third who finished in the first three, against the chance rate. Going groups: fast is good to firm or firmer, soft is good to soft, yielding, soft and heavy. Bias rating uses a chi-square test of winners by third against chance (2 degrees of freedom): Strong means p below 0.01 from 100 or more races, Moderate p below 0.05, Weak or none p of 0.05 or more, and Not enough data fewer than 40 races. Rows with fewer than 20 races are hidden. Source: RaceWatch results database.

Redcar draw bias: since 2016 v the last three seasons

All distances1,05835.9%34.4%29.7%30.0%33.7%36.3%Strong26733.3%34.5%32.2%Weak or noneWeaker lately
5f11740.2%33.3%26.5%29.5%33.8%36.7%Moderate3740.5%27.0%32.4%Not enough dataToo few recent races
6f26634.6%36.8%28.6%30.4%33.5%36.2%Moderate6929.0%31.9%39.1%Weak or noneGone lately
7f22834.6%35.1%30.3%30.2%33.7%36.1%Weak or none5427.8%33.3%38.9%Weak or noneGone lately
1m18537.8%30.8%31.4%29.8%33.8%36.3%Weak or none5034.0%38.0%28.0%Weak or noneWeaker lately
1m2f16330.7%36.8%32.5%29.6%34.1%36.3%Weak or none4434.1%45.5%20.5%Weak or noneStronger lately
1m6f7342.5%27.4%30.1%30.1%33.7%36.2%Weak or none862.5%12.5%25.0%Not enough dataToo few recent races

Last three seasons means races since 1 January 2024. Is it current? compares the third that led over the whole window with its record lately: Holding means within 2 points of its long-run edge, Stronger or Weaker lately means more than 2 points either way, Gone lately means it no longer beats chance. 8 or more runners. Rows with fewer than 20 races are hidden.

Redcar stall by stall at each distance

5f11051615.2%9.7%39.0%29.1%+10.0
5f21111816.2%9.8%37.8%29.3%+8.6
5f311187.2%9.7%28.8%29.2%-0.3
5f41091412.8%9.7%33.0%29.2%+3.8
5f5110109.1%9.8%31.8%29.5%+2.3
5f6109109.2%9.7%29.4%29.2%+0.1
5f710887.4%9.8%24.1%29.4%-5.3
5f810998.3%9.8%25.7%29.5%-3.8
5f99588.4%9.3%26.3%27.9%-1.6
5f107656.6%8.9%27.6%26.6%+1.0
5f115800.0%8.3%15.5%25.0%-9.5
5f125048.0%8.0%24.0%24.1%-0.1
6f12422912.0%8.7%32.6%26.2%+6.4
6f2248166.5%8.7%29.0%26.1%+2.9
6f3251249.6%8.8%29.1%26.3%+2.7
6f4254239.1%8.8%31.9%26.3%+5.6
6f52443112.7%8.7%30.3%26.2%+4.1
6f62492911.6%8.7%29.7%26.2%+3.5
6f7238156.3%8.8%19.3%26.3%-7.0
6f82522911.5%8.8%24.6%26.4%-1.8
6f9232135.6%8.7%23.7%26.1%-2.4
6f10220188.2%8.3%23.6%24.9%-1.3
6f11182126.6%7.9%20.9%23.7%-2.8
6f1215185.3%7.4%17.9%22.2%-4.4
6f1311954.2%7.1%14.3%21.4%-7.1
6f149444.3%6.7%16.0%20.2%-4.2
6f157334.1%6.5%16.4%19.4%-3.0
7f12132511.7%9.4%36.6%28.1%+8.5
7f2218188.3%9.4%31.7%28.2%+3.5
7f3213178.0%9.4%28.2%28.1%+0.1
7f42173315.2%9.4%34.6%28.3%+6.3
7f5213198.9%9.4%31.0%28.3%+2.7
7f62152310.7%9.4%26.0%28.1%-2.0
7f7212167.5%9.4%27.4%28.3%-0.9
7f82143516.4%9.4%33.2%28.3%+4.9
7f9192126.3%9.0%17.7%27.1%-9.4
7f10174148.0%8.8%25.3%26.3%-1.1
7f1113964.3%8.3%24.5%25.0%-0.5
7f1210432.9%7.9%14.4%23.8%-9.4
7f137422.7%7.6%17.6%22.7%-5.1
7f145300.0%7.1%5.7%21.4%-15.7
1m11772212.4%9.4%31.6%28.3%+3.4
1m21702414.1%9.5%35.3%28.5%+6.8
1m3177137.3%9.4%33.3%28.2%+5.2
1m4176179.7%9.4%33.5%28.1%+5.5
1m5170158.8%9.4%24.7%28.2%-3.5
1m6179168.9%9.4%27.4%28.2%-0.9
1m71752212.6%9.4%28.6%28.2%+0.3
1m8180168.9%9.4%24.4%28.1%-3.6
1m9160106.3%9.2%20.6%27.5%-6.8
1m10128107.8%8.6%23.4%25.7%-2.3
1m1110265.9%8.0%23.5%24.1%-0.6
1m128367.2%7.7%24.1%23.0%+1.1
1m135835.2%7.2%19.0%21.5%-2.5
1m2f11522113.8%9.9%30.9%29.6%+1.3
1m2f2154106.5%9.9%26.6%29.6%-3.0
1m2f31501610.7%9.9%34.0%29.7%+4.3
1m2f41572012.7%9.9%29.9%29.6%+0.3
1m2f51531610.5%9.9%38.6%29.6%+8.9
1m2f6154159.7%9.8%24.7%29.5%-4.8
1m2f715096.0%9.9%26.0%29.6%-3.6
1m2f81601610.0%9.9%30.0%29.8%+0.2
1m2f9138128.7%9.6%29.7%28.8%+1.0
1m2f1010454.8%9.0%24.0%27.0%-3.0
1m2f118178.6%8.5%27.2%25.6%+1.6
1m2f12621016.1%8.1%27.4%24.2%+3.2
1m6f1671014.9%10.2%35.8%30.6%+5.2
1m6f260915.0%10.1%43.3%30.3%+13.0
1m6f3701115.7%10.2%34.3%30.6%+3.7
1m6f46957.2%10.2%34.8%30.6%+4.2
1m6f56868.8%10.2%30.9%30.6%+0.3
1m6f66757.5%10.2%20.9%30.6%-9.7
1m6f769811.6%10.2%29.0%30.6%-1.6
1m6f87122.8%10.2%29.6%30.6%-1.1
1m6f9671014.9%10.1%29.9%30.3%-0.5
1m6f105211.9%9.8%19.2%29.3%-10.1

Stall is the stall number drawn. Every distance with 60 or more races of 8 or more runners since 2016; stalls with fewer than 50 runs are hidden. Top-3 % is steadier than win % for a single stall, so read it first.

Redcar draw by distance, 8 or more runners

All distances72736.5%30.0%34.7%33.7%28.9%36.3%32.1%27.0%24.0%
5f8341.0%29.4%31.3%33.9%27.7%36.6%36.9%29.1%22.9%
6f19233.9%30.6%36.5%33.3%29.7%36.1%28.9%24.8%23.7%
7f14934.9%30.0%36.9%33.8%28.2%36.2%31.3%27.5%23.8%
1m13440.3%29.7%30.6%33.9%29.1%36.4%34.4%25.1%23.3%
1m2f11532.2%29.7%36.5%34.0%31.3%36.3%29.1%31.8%26.0%
1m6f3844.7%30.5%28.9%33.4%26.3%36.1%40.5%26.0%24.8%

Flat races at Redcar with 8 or more runners since 1 January 2019. Win % is the share of races won by each third of the draw expected % is the share that third would win by chance given the field sizes run. Thirds are set by stall order among the horses that ran, so non-runners do not shift them. Place % is per runner. Distances with fewer than 20 races are hidden. Source: RaceWatch results database.

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Redcar draw thirds overall, 8 or more runners

Low72736.5%30.0%11.0%2,40526532.1%
Middle72734.7%33.7%9.4%2,67425227.0%
High72728.9%36.3%7.3%2,88521024.0%

All distances pooled. Strike rate is wins per runner in that third. BSP figures are not shown because the window starts before March 2024.

Additional research statistics and historical returns are in the RaceWatch app.

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Redcar draw by distance, all field sizes

All distances93335.2%29.7%34.4%33.3%30.4%37.0%
5f11338.9%29.4%34.5%33.0%26.5%37.5%
6f21633.8%30.2%35.6%33.1%30.6%36.6%
7f18634.9%29.9%33.9%33.4%31.2%36.7%
1m17935.2%29.0%31.8%33.5%33.0%37.5%
1m2f15731.8%29.6%36.9%33.6%31.2%36.8%
1m6f6339.7%29.8%31.7%33.1%28.6%37.1%

Every Flat race at Redcar with 3 or more runners since 1 January 2019. Small fields dilute any draw effect, so compare with the 8 or more runners table. Distances with fewer than 20 races are hidden.

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Redcar draw by field size

3 to 7 runnersAll distances20630.6%28.5%33.5%31.9%35.9%39.5%
8 to 11 runnersAll distances46133.6%29.1%34.5%34.1%31.9%36.7%
12 to 15 runnersAll distances22939.3%31.5%35.8%33.1%24.9%35.4%
16 or more runnersAll distances3754.1%31.3%29.7%32.5%16.2%36.2%
3 to 7 runners5f3033.3%29.3%43.3%30.6%23.3%40.0%
8 to 11 runners5f5939.0%28.8%30.5%34.5%30.5%36.7%
12 to 15 runners5f2138.1%31.0%38.1%32.7%23.8%36.3%
3 to 7 runners6f2433.3%27.7%29.2%31.8%37.5%40.5%
8 to 11 runners6f10031.0%29.5%40.0%33.6%29.0%36.9%
12 to 15 runners6f7439.2%31.9%31.1%33.0%29.7%35.1%
3 to 7 runners7f3735.1%29.4%21.6%32.1%43.2%38.5%
8 to 11 runners7f8931.5%29.0%33.7%34.2%34.8%36.7%
12 to 15 runners7f5536.4%31.4%43.6%33.2%20.0%35.3%
3 to 7 runners1m4520.0%27.0%35.6%32.3%44.4%40.7%
8 to 11 runners1m8834.1%28.9%29.5%34.4%36.4%36.7%
12 to 15 runners1m3545.7%31.2%34.3%33.2%20.0%35.6%
3 to 7 runners1m2f4231.0%29.5%38.1%32.3%31.0%38.2%
8 to 11 runners1m2f8030.0%29.1%36.3%34.3%33.8%36.7%
12 to 15 runners1m2f3537.1%31.0%37.1%33.5%25.7%35.5%
3 to 7 runners1m6f2532.0%28.6%36.0%32.6%32.0%38.8%
8 to 11 runners1m6f3345.5%30.1%33.3%33.4%21.2%36.5%

Field size is the number of runners that took part. Cells with fewer than 20 races are hidden.

Redcar draw by going, 8 or more runners

Good to firm or firmerAll distances28132.7%29.8%29.9%36.4%37.4%
GoodAll distances24936.9%30.3%30.9%36.1%32.1%
Good to soft or yieldingAll distances6735.8%30.1%25.4%36.2%38.8%
SoftAll distances11145.9%29.8%24.3%36.3%29.7%
Good to firm or firmer5f3540.0%29.7%31.4%36.6%28.6%
Good5f3435.3%29.6%26.5%36.5%38.2%
Good to firm or firmer6f8036.3%30.5%22.5%36.1%41.3%
Good6f6333.3%30.5%39.7%36.4%27.0%
Soft6f3043.3%31.2%23.3%35.6%33.3%
Good to firm or firmer7f5729.8%29.9%36.8%36.6%33.3%
Good7f4934.7%30.3%30.6%36.0%34.7%
Soft7f2454.2%29.5%16.7%36.6%29.2%
Good to firm or firmer1m4632.6%29.6%34.8%36.5%32.6%
Good1m4738.3%29.8%27.7%36.2%34.0%
Soft1m2050.0%29.6%30.0%36.1%20.0%
Good to firm or firmer1m2f4022.5%28.9%32.5%36.3%45.0%
Good1m2f4146.3%30.7%26.8%35.5%26.8%
Soft1m2f2020.0%29.3%35.0%37.2%45.0%

Official going grouped into bands (yielding counts with good to soft). All-weather races show as AW. Cells with fewer than 20 races are hidden.

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Redcar individual stalls, most-run distances

6f11791810.1%9.0%30.7%
6f2178137.3%9.0%29.8%
6f3181189.9%9.0%29.3%
6f4184189.8%9.0%32.1%
6f51752112.0%9.0%32.6%
6f61782212.4%8.9%28.7%
6f7168116.5%9.0%20.2%
6f81822212.1%9.0%24.2%
6f917095.3%9.0%24.1%
6f10159116.9%8.5%22.6%
6f1111786.8%7.9%20.5%
6f1210565.7%7.6%18.1%
7f11381913.8%9.4%34.8%
7f214296.3%9.5%30.3%
7f3138107.2%9.4%26.1%
7f41422316.2%9.5%36.6%
7f51391510.8%9.5%33.1%
7f61401611.4%9.4%26.4%
7f714285.6%9.5%28.9%
7f81382518.1%9.5%34.8%
7f912543.2%9.0%17.6%
7f1011198.1%8.7%23.4%

The two most-run distances at Redcar in races of 8 or more runners since 2019. Stall is the stall number drawn. Expected win % is the chance of a single runner given the field sizes it ran in. Stalls with fewer than 100 runs are hidden.

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Redcar 6f: win % by draw third, since 2016 v last three seasons, 8 or more runners
Since 2016Since 2024Expected by chance
0%10%20%30%40%LowMiddleHighSince 2016 Low: 34.6%Since 2016 Middle: 36.8%Since 2016 High: 28.6%Since 2024 Low: 29%Since 2024 Middle: 31.9%Since 2024 High: 39.1%Expected by chance Low: 30.4%Expected by chance Middle: 33.5%Expected by chance High: 36.2%

Win % of races by Draw third

Redcar next Flat meeting, 16 October 2026, with the draw record

16 Oct 2613:20Join Racing TV Now British EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (Div I)Class 41m1013440.3%30.6%29.1%29.7%33.9%36.4%
16 Oct 2613:52Join Racing TV Now British EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (Div II)Class 41m1013440.3%30.6%29.1%29.7%33.9%36.4%
16 Oct 2614:27Watch Live On Racing TV EBF Fillies' Novice StakesClass 37f718634.9%33.9%31.2%29.9%33.4%36.7%
16 Oct 2615:02Market Cross Jewellers Nursery Handicap StakesClass 65f98341.0%31.3%27.7%29.4%33.9%36.6%
16 Oct 2615:37Sam Hall Memorial Handicap StakesClass 55f108341.0%31.3%27.7%29.4%33.9%36.6%
16 Oct 2616:12Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 56f1319233.9%36.5%29.7%30.6%33.3%36.1%
16 Oct 2616:48racingtv.com Handicap StakesClass 67f2014934.9%36.9%28.2%30.0%33.8%36.2%
16 Oct 2617:23Watch Racing Replays At racingtv.com Amateur Jockeys' Handicap StakesClass 61m2f1511532.2%36.5%31.3%29.7%34.0%36.3%

Declared runners exclude non-runners. Races of 8 or more declared runners use the 8 or more runners record at the same distance, smaller fields use the all field sizes record. Blank history means fewer than 20 races at that distance since 2019.

Redcar 6f win % by stall, 8 or more runners
Win %Expected by chance
0%5%10%15%20%Stall 1Stall 2Stall 3Stall 4Stall 5Stall 6Stall 7Stall 8Stall 9Stall 10Stall 11Stall 12Win % Stall 1: 10.1%10.1%Win % Stall 2: 7.3%7.3%Win % Stall 3: 9.9%9.9%Win % Stall 4: 9.8%9.8%Win % Stall 5: 12%12%Win % Stall 6: 12.4%12.4%Win % Stall 7: 6.5%6.5%Win % Stall 8: 12.1%12.1%Win % Stall 9: 5.3%5.3%Win % Stall 10: 6.9%6.9%Win % Stall 11: 6.8%6.8%Win % Stall 12: 5.7%5.7%Expected by chance Stall 1: 9%9%Expected by chance Stall 2: 9%9%Expected by chance Stall 3: 9%9%Expected by chance Stall 4: 9%9%Expected by chance Stall 5: 9%9%Expected by chance Stall 6: 8.9%8.9%Expected by chance Stall 7: 9%9%Expected by chance Stall 8: 9%9%Expected by chance Stall 9: 9%9%Expected by chance Stall 10: 8.5%8.5%Expected by chance Stall 11: 7.9%7.9%Expected by chance Stall 12: 7.6%7.6%

Win % by Stall

Declared runners by draw third, next Flat meeting

13:20So Farhh silksSo Farhh1Low40.3%29.7%1m10134
13:20Pushing The Limits silksPushing The Limits2Low40.3%29.7%1m10134
13:20Gordons Girl silksGordons Girl3Low40.3%29.7%1m10134
13:20Extragalactic silksExtragalactic4Middle30.6%33.9%1m10134
13:20Meccapulco silksMeccapulco5Middle30.6%33.9%1m10134
13:20Shorien silksShorien6Middle30.6%33.9%1m10134
13:20Bal Harbour silksBal Harbour7High29.1%36.4%1m10134
13:20Wells Fargos Envoy silksWells Fargos Envoy8High29.1%36.4%1m10134
13:20Hidden Army silksHidden Army9High29.1%36.4%1m10134
13:20Dj Harry10High29.1%36.4%1m10134
13:52My Girl Dee Mo silksMy Girl Dee Mo1Low40.3%29.7%1m10134
13:52Frontier Legend silksFrontier Legend2Low40.3%29.7%1m10134
13:52Moudora silksMoudora3Low40.3%29.7%1m10134
13:52Wild Mary's Rose4Middle30.6%33.9%1m10134
13:52Lucky Test silksLucky Test5Middle30.6%33.9%1m10134
13:52Pigeon Pete silksPigeon Pete6Middle30.6%33.9%1m10134
13:52Unicorn Milkshake silksUnicorn Milkshake7High29.1%36.4%1m10134
13:52Bearing In Time silksBearing In Time8High29.1%36.4%1m10134
13:52Silent Running silksSilent Running9High29.1%36.4%1m10134
13:52Bollin Farhh Go silksBollin Farhh Go10High29.1%36.4%1m10134
14:27From Afar silksFrom Afar1Low34.9%29.9%7f7186
14:27Cowgirl silksCowgirl2Low34.9%29.9%7f7186
14:27Sax Symbol silksSax Symbol3Middle33.9%33.4%7f7186
14:27Trapped Goddess silksTrapped Goddess4Middle33.9%33.4%7f7186
14:27Late Night Show silksLate Night Show5High31.2%36.7%7f7186
14:27Capricious Star6High31.2%36.7%7f7186
14:27Woollahra silksWoollahra7High31.2%36.7%7f7186
15:02Lion of Persia silksLion of Persia1Low41.0%29.4%5f983
15:02Luna Lacy silksLuna Lacy2Low41.0%29.4%5f983
15:02Cavan Lady silksCavan Lady3Low41.0%29.4%5f983
15:02Dadawada silksDadawada4Middle31.3%33.9%5f983
15:02Classyfied silksClassyfied5Middle31.3%33.9%5f983
15:02Mubehir silksMubehir6Middle31.3%33.9%5f983
15:02Redrosecastana silksRedrosecastana7High27.7%36.6%5f983
15:02Mr de Maggs silksMr de Maggs8High27.7%36.6%5f983
15:02Johns Power silksJohns Power9High27.7%36.6%5f983
15:37Castan silksCastan1Low41.0%29.4%5f1083
15:37Wrestling Revenue silksWrestling Revenue2Low41.0%29.4%5f1083
15:37Moira Express silksMoira Express3Low41.0%29.4%5f1083
15:37Sergeant Mayer silksSergeant Mayer4Middle31.3%33.9%5f1083
15:37Dragon Spin silksDragon Spin5Middle31.3%33.9%5f1083
15:37North West Gal silksNorth West Gal6Middle31.3%33.9%5f1083
15:37Tees Aggregates silksTees Aggregates7High27.7%36.6%5f1083
15:37Hanney Girl silksHanney Girl8High27.7%36.6%5f1083
15:37Emperor's Son silksEmperor's Son9High27.7%36.6%5f1083
15:37Houndhill silksHoundhill10High27.7%36.6%5f1083
16:12Ingleby Archie silksIngleby Archie1Low33.9%30.6%6f13192
16:12Taygar silksTaygar2Low33.9%30.6%6f13192
16:12King's Call silksKing's Call3Low33.9%30.6%6f13192
16:12Sugar Baby silksSugar Baby4Low33.9%30.6%6f13192

Each declared runner placed in its third by stall order among the declared runners (first 50 runners of the meeting). Figures are the course and distance record for that third since 2019.

Latest Flat winners at Redcar and their draw

3 Oct 26Lady Hornblower (GB) silksLady Hornblower (GB)5Middle91m2f3.12
3 Oct 26Emperor Caradoc (FR) silksEmperor Caradoc (FR)6Middle135f21.00
3 Oct 26Duc De Kent (FR) silksDuc De Kent (FR)2Low91m6f13.00
3 Oct 26Nyman (IRE) silksNyman (IRE)8Middle141m15.00
3 Oct 26Sondad (GB) silksSondad (GB)1Low87f4.50
3 Oct 26Yafaarr (IRE) silksYafaarr (IRE)5Middle91m2f5.50
3 Oct 26Charted Course (GB) silksCharted Course (GB)6High77f2.50
3 Oct 26Satellite Of Love (IRE) silksSatellite Of Love (IRE)10High136f2.00
23 Sep 26Soul Warrior (IRE) silksSoul Warrior (IRE)7Middle127f8.50
23 Sep 26Sergeant Mayer (IRE) silksSergeant Mayer (IRE)3Middle65f4.33
23 Sep 26Rizal (FR) silksRizal (FR)3Low121m2f6.00
23 Sep 26Lady Vega (IRE) silksLady Vega (IRE)8High87f6.50
23 Sep 26Golden Souk (IRE) silksGolden Souk (IRE)7High77f2.38
23 Sep 26Flower Youmzain (IRE) silksFlower Youmzain (IRE)4Middle106f2.88
23 Sep 26King Of Persia (GB) silksKing Of Persia (GB)6Middle91m10.00
15 Sep 26Hurt You Never (IRE) silksHurt You Never (IRE)7Middle135f17.00
15 Sep 26Startling (GB) silksStartling (GB)4High55f3.75
15 Sep 26Pol Roger (IRE) silksPol Roger (IRE)7High71m2f17.00
15 Sep 26Return Of The Gods (IRE) silksReturn Of The Gods (IRE)6Middle146f4.00
15 Sep 26Cosmos Raj (GB) silksCosmos Raj (GB)7Middle131m13.00

The 20 most recent Flat races at Redcar in the data with a full draw.

Redcar win % of races by draw third and distance, 8 or more runners
Low thirdMiddle thirdHigh third
0%20%40%60%80%5f6f7f1m1m2f1m6fLow third 5f: 41%Low third 6f: 33.9%Low third 7f: 34.9%Low third 1m: 40.3%Low third 1m2f: 32.2%Low third 1m6f: 44.7%Middle third 5f: 31.3%Middle third 6f: 36.5%Middle third 7f: 36.9%Middle third 1m: 30.6%Middle third 1m2f: 36.5%Middle third 1m6f: 28.9%High third 5f: 27.7%High third 6f: 29.7%High third 7f: 28.2%High third 1m: 29.1%High third 1m2f: 31.3%High third 1m6f: 26.3%

Win % of races by Distance

Redcar win % of races by draw third and year, 8 or more runners
Low thirdMiddle thirdHigh third
0%20%40%60%80%20192020202120222023202420252026Low third 2019: 35.2%Low third 2020: 41.6%Low third 2021: 48.6%Low third 2022: 34.3%Low third 2023: 30.7%Low third 2024: 39.3%Low third 2025: 29.6%Low third 2026: 31.3%31.3%Middle third 2019: 37.4%Middle third 2020: 27.3%Middle third 2021: 30.5%Middle third 2022: 39.4%Middle third 2023: 38.6%Middle third 2024: 39.3%Middle third 2025: 27.6%Middle third 2026: 37.5%37.5%High third 2019: 27.5%High third 2020: 31.2%High third 2021: 21%High third 2022: 26.3%High third 2023: 30.7%High third 2024: 21.3%High third 2025: 42.9%High third 2026: 31.3%31.3%

Win % of races by Year

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Is there a draw bias at Redcar?

Over 6f, the most-run trip at Redcar, the draw rates moderate from 266 races. It stands out most over 5f, where the low third has won 40.2% against 29.5% by chance (rated moderate).

How do I use Redcar draw figures for a big sprint handicap?

Find the trip in the distance table, then check the band in the field size table that matches the number of runners. Redcar's larger fields have shown a wider gap between the low and high thirds.

How do going and field size change the draw at Redcar?

The bias matrix gives every Redcar trip rows for fast, good and soft ground and for 8 to 11, 12 to 15 and 16 or more runners, each with its own rating. Read the race count before the percentages.

Is the Redcar draw bias still current?

The recency table sets each trip's record since 2016 beside the last three seasons, from 2024. Over 6f the check reads gone lately, from 69 recent races.

How is the bias rating worked out?

Winners from each draw third are tested against the share chance would give them, using a chi-square test. Strong means p below 0.01 from 100 or more races, moderate p below 0.05, and fewer than 40 races is not enough data.

Questions people ask

Is there a draw bias at Redcar?

Over 6f, the most-run trip at Redcar, the draw rates moderate, with low draws winning 34.6% of 266 races against 30.4% by chance. It stands out most over 5f, where the low third has won 40.2% against 29.5% (rated moderate).

Which stall is best at Redcar over 5f?

Stall 1 has the best top-three record over 5f at Redcar since 2016, placing in 39% of 105 runs against 27.9% by chance. Single stalls swing on small samples, so the stall grid lists every stall with 50 or more runs at each trip.

Is a low or high draw better at Redcar?

Across all distances since 2016, low draws have won 35.9% of Redcar races against 30% by chance, and high draws 29.7% against 36.3%. The answer changes by trip, so check the bias matrix row for the race distance.

Does the draw matter in the Two-Year-Old Trophy at Redcar?

The Two-Year-Old Trophy is run over six furlongs on the straight course, so the 6f row and the field size band for the day are the closest guides. The page covers every Redcar race at the trip rather than tracking a single race.

How often are the Redcar draw figures updated?

The figures are rebuilt every night from the RaceWatch results database, and the latest results included are from 15 October 2026. The bias matrix, ratings and stall grid use races since 2016, and the detailed thirds tables further down use races since 2019.

More free data

Draw bias at every courseCompare the thirds course by courseRedcar course guideResults, trainers and jockeys at the courseRedcar racecardsThe next meeting's full cardThirsk draw biasThe same thirds at another courseWhat is draw bias?How stall position shapes a race

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