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Pontefract draw bias: no straight course, short run-in

At Pontefract over 6f, the most-run Flat trip, low draws have won 33.7% of races of 8 or more runners since 2016 (255 races), middle draws 38.4% and high draws 28.2%, against 29.5%, 34.3% and 36.2% by chance. Bias rating: moderate. Every trip, going and field size follows, with results to 15 October 2026.

Next Flat meeting at Pontefract: Monday 19 October 2026, 7 races and 116 declared runners placed in their draw third · Results to 15 October 2026 · Refreshed 16 October 2026
Moderate
Rating on the most-run trip
1m
Trip where the draw stands out most
720
Races of 8+ runners since 2016
15 October 2026
Results up to
Low 33.7% v 29.5%

At Pontefract over 6f, the course's most-run Flat trip, low draws have won 33.7% of races of 8 or more runners since 2016 (255 races), middle draws 38.4% and high draws 28.2%, against 29.5%, 34.3% and 36.2% by chance. Bias rating: moderate. The clearest effect is over 1m, where the low third has won 46.2% of 173 races against 30.1% by chance (strong).Sample: 255 races · Window: 5 April 2016 to 15 October 2026 · Source: RaceWatch results database (Flat results with stall draw), plus today's declarations for the next meeting

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Pontefract draw bias by distance, going and field size

All distancesAll goingAll field sizes7207,28138.8%29.6%34.7%34.1%26.7%36.3%38.5%28.0%24.1%29.7%Low +9.2 pts<0.001Strong
5fAll goingAll field sizes1121,12335.7%29.6%30.4%34.1%33.9%36.3%37.0%24.7%29.0%29.9%Low +6.1 pts0.356Weak or none
5fFast (good to firm or firmer)All field sizes3735224.3%29.6%40.5%34.3%35.1%36.1%36.2%28.3%30.7%31.5%Middle +6.2 pts0.678Not enough data
5fGoodAll field sizes3634936.1%29.6%19.4%34.3%44.4%36.1%31.7%24.4%36.5%30.9%High +8.3 pts0.173Not enough data
5fSoft (good to soft to heavy)All field sizes3942246.2%29.5%30.8%33.9%23.1%36.6%42.1%21.8%21.4%27.7%Low +16.7 pts0.058Not enough data
5fAll going8 to 11 runners8375630.1%28.8%32.5%34.6%37.3%36.6%38.4%28.5%32.9%32.9%Low +1.3 pts0.924Weak or none
5fAll going12 to 15 runners2936751.7%31.7%24.1%32.9%24.1%35.3%34.5%16.5%20.8%23.7%Low +20.0 pts0.068Not enough data
5fFast (good to firm or firmer)8 to 11 runners3229021.9%29.2%40.6%34.6%37.5%36.2%40.0%28.0%32.4%33.1%Middle +6.0 pts0.627Not enough data
5fGood8 to 11 runners3027436.7%29.1%20.0%34.5%43.3%36.5%32.5%27.7%38.0%32.8%Low +7.6 pts0.246Not enough data
5fSoft (good to soft to heavy)8 to 11 runners2119233.3%27.9%38.1%34.6%28.6%37.5%44.4%30.3%26.4%32.8%Low +5.4 pts0.692Not enough data
6fAll goingAll field sizes2552,59533.7%29.5%38.4%34.3%28.2%36.2%35.9%28.1%25.7%29.5%Low +4.2 pts0.026Moderate
6fFast (good to firm or firmer)All field sizes9596229.5%29.6%44.2%34.2%26.3%36.2%33.1%30.9%25.6%29.6%Middle +10.0 pts0.068Weak or none
6fGoodAll field sizes7474927.0%29.5%36.5%34.3%36.5%36.1%33.6%26.2%30.0%29.6%Middle +2.2 pts0.879Weak or none
6fSoft (good to soft to heavy)All field sizes8688444.2%29.4%33.7%34.3%23.3%36.3%41.0%26.8%22.1%29.2%Low +14.8 pts0.005Moderate
6fAll going8 to 11 runners1961,82132.7%28.9%40.3%34.5%27.6%36.5%36.7%32.2%28.8%32.3%Middle +5.8 pts0.028Moderate
6fAll going12 to 15 runners5570936.4%31.6%32.7%33.4%30.9%35.1%33.6%18.6%19.3%23.3%Low +4.8 pts0.712Weak or none
6fFast (good to firm or firmer)8 to 11 runners7266327.8%29.0%51.4%34.5%20.8%36.5%34.7%36.8%26.9%32.6%Middle +16.9 pts0.005Moderate
6fFast (good to firm or firmer)12 to 15 runners2228331.8%31.6%22.7%33.2%45.5%35.3%29.2%17.0%24.0%23.3%High +10.2 pts0.504Not enough data
6fGood8 to 11 runners5752521.1%28.8%38.6%34.6%40.4%36.5%34.2%29.8%33.9%32.6%Middle +4.0 pts0.430Weak or none
6fSoft (good to soft to heavy)8 to 11 runners6763347.8%28.9%29.9%34.5%23.9%36.6%41.0%29.4%26.7%31.8%Low +18.9 pts0.003Moderate
1mAll goingAll field sizes1731,80246.2%30.1%28.3%33.9%25.4%36.1%41.3%26.5%20.5%28.8%Low +16.1 pts<0.001Strong
1mFast (good to firm or firmer)All field sizes5049334.0%28.9%30.0%34.5%36.0%36.6%42.4%29.0%22.2%30.4%Low +5.1 pts0.684Weak or none
1mGoodAll field sizes4648756.5%31.1%26.1%33.3%17.4%35.6%37.1%28.4%20.7%28.3%Low +25.4 pts<0.001Moderate
1mSoft (good to soft to heavy)All field sizes7782248.1%30.2%28.6%33.7%23.4%36.0%43.2%23.9%19.3%28.1%Low +17.9 pts0.002Moderate
1mAll going8 to 11 runners1291,20741.1%29.5%30.2%34.2%28.7%36.3%44.9%28.9%24.6%32.1%Low +11.6 pts0.014Moderate
1mAll going12 to 15 runners3849860.5%32.0%21.1%32.9%18.4%35.1%33.3%22.6%13.7%22.9%Low +28.5 pts<0.001Not enough data
1mFast (good to firm or firmer)8 to 11 runners4036530.0%28.1%32.5%35.0%37.5%37.0%47.6%29.1%25.2%32.9%Low +1.9 pts0.939Weak or none
1mGood8 to 11 runners3331654.5%30.8%30.3%33.5%15.2%35.6%42.3%32.1%21.2%31.3%Low +23.7 pts0.007Not enough data
1mSoft (good to soft to heavy)8 to 11 runners5652641.1%29.6%28.6%34.1%30.4%36.2%44.9%26.8%26.2%31.9%Low +11.5 pts0.173Weak or none
1m2fAll goingAll field sizes8886844.3%29.5%34.1%34.3%21.6%36.2%43.4%29.4%20.7%30.4%Low +14.8 pts0.003Moderate
1m2fFast (good to firm or firmer)All field sizes2827328.6%28.7%42.9%34.3%28.6%37.0%40.5%30.1%23.8%30.8%Middle +8.6 pts0.567Not enough data
1m2fGoodAll field sizes3130041.9%29.8%41.9%34.2%16.1%36.0%38.9%32.4%23.1%31.0%Low +12.1 pts0.064Not enough data
1m2fSoft (good to soft to heavy)All field sizes2929562.1%30.1%17.2%34.3%20.7%35.5%50.6%25.7%15.2%29.5%Low +32.0 pts<0.001Not enough data
1m2fAll going8 to 11 runners7367638.4%29.1%38.4%34.6%23.3%36.4%44.7%31.8%23.2%32.4%Low +9.3 pts0.052Weak or none
1m2fFast (good to firm or firmer)8 to 11 runners2422325.0%28.1%50.0%34.7%25.0%37.2%42.9%32.5%24.1%32.3%Middle +15.3 pts0.264Not enough data
1m2fGood8 to 11 runners2623938.5%29.2%42.3%34.4%19.2%36.4%40.0%34.1%25.3%32.6%Low +9.3 pts0.189Not enough data
1m2fSoft (good to soft to heavy)8 to 11 runners2321452.2%29.9%21.7%34.6%26.1%35.5%51.6%28.4%19.7%32.2%Low +22.3 pts0.065Not enough data
1m4fAll goingAll field sizes5148335.3%29.1%43.1%34.4%21.6%36.5%37.3%33.3%25.6%31.7%Middle +8.7 pts0.085Weak or none
1m4fAll going8 to 11 runners4439734.1%28.5%43.2%34.5%22.7%37.0%40.4%34.6%26.5%33.2%Middle +8.7 pts0.145Weak or none

Flat races at Pontefract with 8 or more runners and a full draw, since 5 April 2016. Runners are split into low, middle and high thirds by stall order among the horses that ran. Win % is the share of races each third won; expected % is its share by chance given the field sizes. Top-3 % is the share of runners in that third who finished in the first three, against the chance rate. Going groups: fast is good to firm or firmer, soft is good to soft, yielding, soft and heavy. Bias rating uses a chi-square test of winners by third against chance (2 degrees of freedom): Strong means p below 0.01 from 100 or more races, Moderate p below 0.05, Weak or none p of 0.05 or more, and Not enough data fewer than 40 races. Rows with fewer than 20 races are hidden. Source: RaceWatch results database.

Pontefract draw bias: since 2016 v the last three seasons

All distances72038.8%34.7%26.7%29.6%34.1%36.3%Strong18838.3%31.4%30.3%ModerateHolding
5f11235.7%30.4%33.9%29.6%34.1%36.3%Weak or none3534.3%22.9%42.9%Not enough dataToo few recent races
6f25533.7%38.4%28.2%29.5%34.3%36.2%Moderate7032.9%37.1%30.0%Weak or noneHolding
1m17346.2%28.3%25.4%30.1%33.9%36.1%Strong4146.3%19.5%34.1%Weak or noneHolding
1m2f8844.3%34.1%21.6%29.5%34.3%36.2%Moderate2857.1%28.6%14.3%Not enough dataToo few recent races
1m4f5135.3%43.1%21.6%29.1%34.4%36.5%Weak or none911.1%55.6%33.3%Not enough dataToo few recent races

Last three seasons means races since 1 January 2024. Is it current? compares the third that led over the whole window with its record lately: Holding means within 2 points of its long-run edge, Stronger or Weaker lately means more than 2 points either way, Gone lately means it no longer beats chance. 8 or more runners. Rows with fewer than 20 races are hidden.

Pontefract stall by stall at each distance

5f11101614.5%10.3%42.7%30.9%+11.8
5f2106109.4%10.3%36.8%30.8%+6.0
5f31061211.3%10.3%31.1%30.8%+0.3
5f41051110.5%10.4%28.6%31.1%-2.5
5f51051110.5%10.3%31.4%30.9%+0.5
5f61031312.6%10.3%32.0%30.8%+1.2
5f710665.7%10.3%32.1%30.8%+1.3
5f8103109.7%10.3%24.3%30.9%-6.6
5f98889.1%9.9%20.5%29.8%-9.3
5f1061914.8%9.0%31.1%27.0%+4.1
5f115223.8%8.8%13.5%26.5%-13.0
6f12443413.9%10.1%36.5%30.4%+6.1
6f22363213.6%10.1%40.3%30.4%+9.9
6f3238218.8%10.2%34.9%30.5%+4.4
6f4246249.8%10.2%31.7%30.5%+1.2
6f52393113.0%10.2%31.4%30.5%+0.9
6f6233198.2%10.2%27.0%30.5%-3.5
6f72342611.1%10.1%23.9%30.3%-6.4
6f8237166.8%10.1%30.0%30.3%-0.4
6f9205146.8%9.8%23.9%29.5%-5.6
6f101661710.2%9.4%25.9%28.2%-2.3
6f1112297.4%8.8%21.3%26.4%-5.1
6f128467.1%8.2%20.2%24.7%-4.5
1m11632817.2%9.9%48.5%29.7%+18.7
1m21663118.7%10.0%44.0%29.9%+14.1
1m31632112.9%9.9%36.8%29.8%+7.0
1m41631811.0%9.9%33.7%29.8%+4.0
1m5168158.9%10.0%25.0%29.9%-4.9
1m6165116.7%9.9%26.7%29.8%-3.2
1m716563.6%10.0%22.4%29.9%-7.5
1m8159138.2%9.9%19.5%29.8%-10.3
1m9140117.9%9.7%27.9%29.0%-1.2
1m1011276.3%9.1%18.8%27.4%-8.6
1m118033.8%8.5%15.0%25.4%-10.4
1m126457.8%8.2%25.0%24.6%+0.4
1m2f1821113.4%10.4%41.5%31.3%+10.2
1m2f2791417.7%10.3%45.6%31.0%+14.6
1m2f3801215.0%10.4%48.8%31.3%+17.4
1m2f482911.0%10.4%32.9%31.3%+1.7
1m2f5861214.0%10.4%29.1%31.2%-2.1
1m2f68078.8%10.3%30.0%31.0%-1.0
1m2f77956.3%10.4%26.6%31.2%-4.6
1m2f883910.8%10.3%26.5%31.0%-4.5
1m2f97345.5%10.0%21.9%30.1%-8.2
1m2f105623.6%9.7%14.3%29.1%-14.8

Stall is the stall number drawn. Every distance with 60 or more races of 8 or more runners since 2016; stalls with fewer than 50 runs are hidden. Top-3 % is steadier than win % for a single stall, so read it first.

Pontefract draw by distance, 8 or more runners

All distances50438.3%29.6%36.1%34.2%25.6%36.2%38.5%29.6%23.2%
5f7837.2%29.4%29.5%34.3%33.3%36.4%36.1%26.2%30.2%
6f18933.3%29.3%40.2%34.4%26.5%36.3%36.2%30.1%23.9%
1m12043.3%30.5%31.7%33.7%25.0%35.8%40.7%29.9%18.6%
1m2f5947.5%29.4%32.2%34.4%20.3%36.3%45.0%29.3%20.0%
1m4f3531.4%29.0%48.6%34.5%20.0%36.5%37.8%30.4%27.0%

Flat races at Pontefract with 8 or more runners since 1 January 2019. Win % is the share of races won by each third of the draw expected % is the share that third would win by chance given the field sizes run. Thirds are set by stall order among the horses that ran, so non-runners do not shift them. Place % is per runner. Distances with fewer than 20 races are hidden. Source: RaceWatch results database.

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Pontefract draw thirds overall, 8 or more runners

Low50438.3%29.6%12.8%1,50819338.5%
Middle50436.1%34.2%10.6%1,71918229.6%
High50425.6%36.2%7.0%1,83212923.2%

All distances pooled. Strike rate is wins per runner in that third. BSP figures are not shown because the window starts before March 2024.

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Pontefract draw by distance, all field sizes

All distances84835.6%28.9%36.1%33.3%28.3%37.7%
5f13537.0%29.1%35.6%33.1%27.4%37.9%
6f26129.9%29.0%38.7%33.7%31.4%37.3%
1m19336.8%29.9%34.7%33.2%28.5%36.9%
1m2f11346.9%28.9%31.9%33.4%21.2%37.7%
1m4f8232.9%27.6%41.5%33.4%25.6%38.9%
2m1f3243.8%27.6%25.0%31.7%31.3%40.6%
2m2f2623.1%26.7%42.3%33.8%34.6%39.5%

Every Flat race at Pontefract with 3 or more runners since 1 January 2019. Small fields dilute any draw effect, so compare with the 8 or more runners table. Distances with fewer than 20 races are hidden.

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Pontefract draw by field size

3 to 7 runnersAll distances34431.7%28.0%36.0%32.1%32.3%39.9%
8 to 11 runnersAll distances39433.8%28.9%39.1%34.6%27.2%36.5%
12 to 15 runnersAll distances10254.9%32.0%24.5%32.9%20.6%35.1%
3 to 7 runners5f5736.8%28.6%43.9%31.4%19.3%39.9%
8 to 11 runners5f6030.0%28.6%33.3%34.7%36.7%36.7%
3 to 7 runners6f7220.8%28.1%34.7%32.0%44.4%39.8%
8 to 11 runners6f14531.0%28.6%42.1%34.8%26.9%36.6%
12 to 15 runners6f4040.0%31.7%35.0%33.1%25.0%35.2%
3 to 7 runners1m7326.0%29.0%39.7%32.3%34.2%38.7%
8 to 11 runners1m9138.5%29.9%34.1%34.1%27.5%36.0%
12 to 15 runners1m2560.0%32.4%20.0%32.7%20.0%34.9%
3 to 7 runners1m2f5446.3%28.3%31.5%32.4%22.2%39.3%
8 to 11 runners1m2f5040.0%28.9%36.0%34.6%24.0%36.4%
3 to 7 runners1m4f4734.0%26.7%36.2%32.6%29.8%40.7%
8 to 11 runners1m4f3026.7%28.4%53.3%34.6%20.0%37.0%
3 to 7 runners2m1f2240.9%26.5%18.2%31.1%40.9%42.4%

Field size is the number of runners that took part. Cells with fewer than 20 races are hidden.

Pontefract draw by going, 8 or more runners

Good to firm or firmerAll distances17229.1%29.2%27.3%36.6%43.6%
GoodAll distances16238.9%29.8%25.9%35.9%35.2%
Good to soft or yieldingAll distances7135.2%29.9%26.8%36.2%38.0%
SoftAll distances9654.2%29.6%21.9%36.3%24.0%
Good to firm or firmer5f2630.8%29.7%30.8%36.1%38.5%
Good5f2540.0%29.0%40.0%36.3%20.0%
Good to firm or firmer6f6825.0%29.6%25.0%36.3%50.0%
Good6f6026.7%29.5%35.0%35.9%38.3%
Good to soft or yielding6f2540.0%28.9%20.0%36.7%40.0%
Soft6f3554.3%28.8%20.0%36.8%25.7%
Good to firm or firmer1m3826.3%29.1%36.8%36.6%36.8%
Good1m3551.4%31.2%14.3%35.3%34.3%
Soft1m2864.3%30.7%17.9%35.6%17.9%
Good to firm or firmer1m2f2231.8%28.3%27.3%37.3%40.9%
Good1m2f2152.4%29.7%14.3%36.3%33.3%

Official going grouped into bands (yielding counts with good to soft). All-weather races show as AW. Cells with fewer than 20 races are hidden.

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Pontefract individual stalls, most-run distances

6f11832614.2%10.2%37.7%
6f21742212.6%10.2%40.2%
6f3179158.4%10.2%33.0%
6f41822011.0%10.2%34.1%
6f51772313.0%10.2%32.8%
6f6176169.1%10.2%30.1%
6f71762011.4%10.2%25.0%
6f8178137.3%10.2%31.5%
6f9148106.8%9.8%22.3%
6f101161210.3%9.2%21.6%
1m11161916.4%10.0%47.4%
1m21161815.5%10.0%42.2%
1m31131614.2%10.0%38.1%
1m41151412.2%10.1%37.4%
1m51171412.0%10.0%29.1%
1m611576.1%10.0%28.7%
1m711754.3%10.0%22.2%
1m811143.6%10.0%12.6%

The two most-run distances at Pontefract in races of 8 or more runners since 2019. Stall is the stall number drawn. Expected win % is the chance of a single runner given the field sizes it ran in. Stalls with fewer than 100 runs are hidden.

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Pontefract 6f: win % by draw third, since 2016 v last three seasons, 8 or more runners
Since 2016Since 2024Expected by chance
0%10%20%30%40%LowMiddleHighSince 2016 Low: 33.7%Since 2016 Middle: 38.4%Since 2016 High: 28.2%Since 2024 Low: 32.9%Since 2024 Middle: 37.1%Since 2024 High: 30%Expected by chance Low: 29.5%Expected by chance Middle: 34.3%Expected by chance High: 36.2%

Win % of races by Draw third

Pontefract next Flat meeting, 19 October 2026, with the draw record

19 Oct 2613:53Happy 80th Birthday William 'bill' Carr Maiden StakesClass 46f1318933.3%40.2%26.5%29.3%34.4%36.3%
19 Oct 2614:23William Hill Price Boosts Every Day Nursery Handicap StakesClass 51m2612043.3%31.7%25.0%30.5%33.7%35.8%
19 Oct 2614:53British Stallion Studs EBF Silver Tankard StakesClass 11m1312043.3%31.7%25.0%30.5%33.7%35.8%
19 Oct 2615:23British Stallion Studs EBF Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 36f1318933.3%40.2%26.5%29.3%34.4%36.3%
19 Oct 2615:53Phil Bull Trophy Handicap StakesClass 32m2f100------
19 Oct 2616:23Napoleons Casino Bradford Handicap StakesClass 41m2f225947.5%32.2%20.3%29.4%34.4%36.3%
19 Oct 2616:55William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap StakesClass 45f197837.2%29.5%33.3%29.4%34.3%36.4%

Declared runners exclude non-runners. Races of 8 or more declared runners use the 8 or more runners record at the same distance, smaller fields use the all field sizes record. Blank history means fewer than 20 races at that distance since 2019.

Pontefract 6f win % by stall, 8 or more runners
Win %Expected by chance
0%5%10%15%20%Stall 1Stall 2Stall 3Stall 4Stall 5Stall 6Stall 7Stall 8Stall 9Stall 10Win % Stall 1: 14.2%14.2%Win % Stall 2: 12.6%12.6%Win % Stall 3: 8.4%8.4%Win % Stall 4: 11%11%Win % Stall 5: 13%13%Win % Stall 6: 9.1%9.1%Win % Stall 7: 11.4%11.4%Win % Stall 8: 7.3%7.3%Win % Stall 9: 6.8%6.8%Win % Stall 10: 10.3%10.3%Expected by chance Stall 1: 10.2%10.2%Expected by chance Stall 2: 10.2%10.2%Expected by chance Stall 3: 10.2%10.2%Expected by chance Stall 4: 10.2%10.2%Expected by chance Stall 5: 10.2%10.2%Expected by chance Stall 6: 10.2%10.2%Expected by chance Stall 7: 10.2%10.2%Expected by chance Stall 8: 10.2%10.2%Expected by chance Stall 9: 9.8%9.8%Expected by chance Stall 10: 9.2%9.2%

Win % by Stall

Declared runners by draw third, next Flat meeting

13:53Longshanks Luke silksLongshanks Luke0High26.5%36.3%6f13189
13:53National Pride silksNational Pride0High26.5%36.3%6f13189
13:53Paphos silksPaphos0Low33.3%29.3%6f13189
13:53Harmonising0Middle40.2%34.4%6f13189
13:53World Star silksWorld Star0Low33.3%29.3%6f13189
13:53Casino Star silksCasino Star0High26.5%36.3%6f13189
13:53High Tower0High26.5%36.3%6f13189
13:53Melody Man silksMelody Man0Middle40.2%34.4%6f13189
13:53Sunrise At Dawn silksSunrise At Dawn0Middle40.2%34.4%6f13189
13:53Sigma0Middle40.2%34.4%6f13189
13:53Green Star silksGreen Star0Low33.3%29.3%6f13189
13:53War Gaming silksWar Gaming0High26.5%36.3%6f13189
13:53Naval Architect silksNaval Architect0Low33.3%29.3%6f13189
14:23Extended Order silksExtended Order0Middle31.7%33.7%1m26120
14:23King of Persia silksKing of Persia0Middle31.7%33.7%1m26120
14:23Katie's Cavalier silksKatie's Cavalier0Middle31.7%33.7%1m26120
14:23Tribal Appearance silksTribal Appearance0Middle31.7%33.7%1m26120
14:23Wild Orchid silksWild Orchid0Low43.3%30.5%1m26120
14:23Emerald Bay silksEmerald Bay0Middle31.7%33.7%1m26120
14:23Orchard Hatches silksOrchard Hatches0Low43.3%30.5%1m26120
14:23Prince Kameo silksPrince Kameo0Middle31.7%33.7%1m26120
14:23Craven Force silksCraven Force0Middle31.7%33.7%1m26120
14:23Bella Lucia silksBella Lucia0Middle31.7%33.7%1m26120
14:23Diplomacy silksDiplomacy0Low43.3%30.5%1m26120
14:23High Hazard silksHigh Hazard0Low43.3%30.5%1m26120
14:23Statten Island silksStatten Island0Middle31.7%33.7%1m26120
14:23Aphra Behn silksAphra Behn0Low43.3%30.5%1m26120
14:23Ariane Sky silksAriane Sky0Low43.3%30.5%1m26120
14:23Quest For Glory silksQuest For Glory0High25.0%35.8%1m26120
14:23Northern Viola silksNorthern Viola0High25.0%35.8%1m26120
14:23Lots Road silksLots Road0Low43.3%30.5%1m26120
14:23London Rose silksLondon Rose0High25.0%35.8%1m26120
14:23Black Fury silksBlack Fury0High25.0%35.8%1m26120
14:23Texting silksTexting0High25.0%35.8%1m26120
14:23Under Arrest silksUnder Arrest0High25.0%35.8%1m26120
14:23Give Hand silksGive Hand0High25.0%35.8%1m26120
14:23Dancing Dunes silksDancing Dunes0High25.0%35.8%1m26120
14:23Cracking Idea silksCracking Idea0High25.0%35.8%1m26120
14:23Extragalactic silksExtragalactic0Low43.3%30.5%1m26120
14:53Undiscovered silksUndiscovered0High25.0%35.8%1m13120
14:53Byzantine silksByzantine0High25.0%35.8%1m13120
14:53The Ginger Kid silksThe Ginger Kid0High25.0%35.8%1m13120
14:53Tyrrhenian Thunder silksTyrrhenian Thunder0Middle31.7%33.7%1m13120
14:53Mary Doll silksMary Doll0Middle31.7%33.7%1m13120
14:53Game Character silksGame Character0Middle31.7%33.7%1m13120
14:53Al Jabbar silksAl Jabbar0Middle31.7%33.7%1m13120
14:53Kodiac City silksKodiac City0Low43.3%30.5%1m13120
14:53First Law silksFirst Law0Low43.3%30.5%1m13120
14:53Silverella silksSilverella0Low43.3%30.5%1m13120
14:53King High silksKing High0Low43.3%30.5%1m13120

Each declared runner placed in its third by stall order among the declared runners (first 50 runners of the meeting). Figures are the course and distance record for that third since 2019.

Additional research statistics and historical returns are in the RaceWatch app.

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Latest Flat winners at Pontefract and their draw

5 Oct 26Noble Grace (IRE) silksNoble Grace (IRE)6High62m2f3.25
5 Oct 26Selection (IRE) silksSelection (IRE)2Low131m5.00
5 Oct 26Go Victor (IRE) silksGo Victor (IRE)10High125f9.50
5 Oct 26Brighton Boy (IRE) silksBrighton Boy (IRE)7High106f5.50
5 Oct 26Almarada Prince (IRE) silksAlmarada Prince (IRE)12High126f5.00
5 Oct 26Mister Sox (GB) silksMister Sox (GB)10High126f5.00
5 Oct 26Rex Regum (GB) silksRex Regum (GB)9High96f3.75
5 Oct 26Narrjoo (IRE) silksNarrjoo (IRE)2Middle51m1.25
24 Sep 26The Good Biscuit (GB) silksThe Good Biscuit (GB)8Middle146f9.50
24 Sep 26Mother Dear (GB) silksMother Dear (GB)8High81m4f11.00
24 Sep 26Wahdan (IRE) silksWahdan (IRE)8High91m2f15.00
24 Sep 26Captaincy (IRE) silksCaptaincy (IRE)2Middle56f2.38
24 Sep 26From Afar (GB) silksFrom Afar (GB)1Low86f3.25
24 Sep 26Silverella (GB) silksSilverella (GB)1Low91m1.50
24 Sep 26Albegone (GB) silksAlbegone (GB)5Middle85f4.50
17 Sep 26Thunder Goddess (GB) silksThunder Goddess (GB)12High111m2f4.50
17 Sep 26Digger One (GB) silksDigger One (GB)7High62m1f3.50
17 Sep 26Venetian Lion (GB) silksVenetian Lion (GB)9High101m3.75
17 Sep 26Devil's Brigade (IRE) silksDevil's Brigade (IRE)5High61m4.50
17 Sep 26Sea Lantern (GB) silksSea Lantern (GB)1Low51m4f2.62

The 20 most recent Flat races at Pontefract in the data with a full draw.

Pontefract win % of races by draw third and distance, 8 or more runners
Low thirdMiddle thirdHigh third
0%20%40%60%80%5f6f1m1m2f1m4fLow third 5f: 37.2%Low third 6f: 33.3%Low third 1m: 43.3%Low third 1m2f: 47.5%Low third 1m4f: 31.4%Middle third 5f: 29.5%Middle third 6f: 40.2%Middle third 1m: 31.7%Middle third 1m2f: 32.2%Middle third 1m4f: 48.6%High third 5f: 33.3%High third 6f: 26.5%High third 1m: 25%High third 1m2f: 20.3%High third 1m4f: 20%

Win % of races by Distance

Pontefract win % of races by draw third and year, 8 or more runners
Low thirdMiddle thirdHigh third
0%20%40%60%80%20192020202120222023202420252026Low third 2019: 32.4%Low third 2020: 51.8%Low third 2021: 40.7%Low third 2022: 35.7%Low third 2023: 33.8%Low third 2024: 45.5%Low third 2025: 37.1%Low third 2026: 31.7%31.7%Middle third 2019: 44.1%Middle third 2020: 32.1%Middle third 2021: 42.6%Middle third 2022: 34.3%Middle third 2023: 41.2%Middle third 2024: 34.8%Middle third 2025: 32.3%Middle third 2026: 26.7%26.7%High third 2019: 23.5%High third 2020: 16.1%High third 2021: 16.7%High third 2022: 30%High third 2023: 25%High third 2024: 19.7%High third 2025: 30.6%High third 2026: 41.7%41.7%

Win % of races by Year

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Is there a draw bias at Pontefract?

Over 6f, the most-run trip at Pontefract, the draw rates moderate from 255 races. It stands out most over 1m, where the low third has won 46.2% against 30.1% by chance (rated strong).

Why does Pontefract's short straight make a low draw more valuable?

Every Pontefract race turns into a short home straight, so low-drawn horses can save ground on the inside. The low third's record against chance at each trip is in the distance table below.

How do going and field size change the draw at Pontefract?

The bias matrix gives every Pontefract trip rows for fast, good and soft ground and for 8 to 11, 12 to 15 and 16 or more runners, each with its own rating. Read the race count before the percentages.

Is the Pontefract draw bias still current?

The recency table sets each trip's record since 2016 beside the last three seasons, from 2024. Over 6f the check reads holding, from 70 recent races.

How is the bias rating worked out?

Winners from each draw third are tested against the share chance would give them, using a chi-square test. Strong means p below 0.01 from 100 or more races, moderate p below 0.05, and fewer than 40 races is not enough data.

Questions people ask

Is there a draw bias at Pontefract?

Over 6f, the most-run trip at Pontefract, the draw rates moderate, with low draws winning 33.7% of 255 races against 29.5% by chance. It stands out most over 1m, where the low third has won 46.2% against 30.1% (rated strong).

Which stall is best at Pontefract over 5f?

Stall 1 has the best top-three record over 5f at Pontefract since 2016, placing in 42.7% of 110 runs against 29.9% by chance. Single stalls swing on small samples, so the stall grid lists every stall with 50 or more runs at each trip.

Is a low or high draw better at Pontefract?

Across all distances since 2016, low draws have won 38.8% of Pontefract races against 29.6% by chance, and high draws 26.7% against 36.3%. The answer changes by trip, so check the bias matrix row for the race distance.

Is the Pontefract low-draw edge weaker on soft ground?

The going table splits Pontefract results by official going, with the race count on each band. In the current figures the low third has not weakened on soft ground, so check the row that matches the day.

How often are the Pontefract draw figures updated?

The figures are rebuilt every night from the RaceWatch results database, and the latest results included are from 15 October 2026. The bias matrix, ratings and stall grid use races since 2016, and the detailed thirds tables further down use races since 2019.

More free data

Draw bias at every courseCompare the thirds course by coursePontefract course guideResults, trainers and jockeys at the coursePontefract racecardsThe next meeting's full cardBeverley draw biasThe same thirds at another courseChester draw biasThe same thirds at another course

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