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Lingfield draw bias: Polytrack and turf compared

At Lingfield over 1m, the most-run Flat trip, low draws have won 27.3% of races of 8 or more runners since 2016 (637 races), middle draws 36.9% and high draws 35.8%, against 29.9%, 33.9% and 36.1% by chance. Bias rating: weak or none. Every trip, going and field size follows, with results to 15 October 2026.

No Flat meeting at Lingfield declared yet. Latest Flat race in the data: 12 September 2026 · Results to 15 October 2026 · Refreshed 16 October 2026
Weak or none
Rating on the most-run trip
1m2f
Trip where the draw stands out most
2,933
Races of 8+ runners since 2016
15 October 2026
Results up to
Middle 36.9% v 33.9%

At Lingfield over 1m, the course's most-run Flat trip, low draws have won 27.3% of races of 8 or more runners since 2016 (637 races), middle draws 36.9% and high draws 35.8%, against 29.9%, 33.9% and 36.1% by chance. Bias rating: weak or none. The clearest effect is over 1m2f, where the middle third has won 40.7% of 491 races against 33.9% by chance (strong).Sample: 637 races · Window: 7 January 2016 to 15 October 2026 · Source: RaceWatch results database (Flat results with stall draw), plus today's declarations for the next meeting

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Lingfield draw bias by distance, going and field size

AWAll distancesAll goingAll field sizes2,93329,66928.5%29.7%36.5%33.9%35.2%36.4%28.9%31.5%28.8%29.7%Middle +2.6 pts0.014Moderate
AW5fAll goingAll field sizes2562,28528.9%29.3%33.2%33.9%37.9%36.8%38.3%33.1%30.7%33.6%High +1.1 pts0.938Weak or none
AW5fAll going8 to 11 runners2562,28528.9%29.3%33.2%33.9%37.9%36.8%38.3%33.1%30.7%33.6%High +1.1 pts0.938Weak or none
AW6fAll goingAll field sizes4664,58030.7%29.6%34.3%34.0%35.4%36.3%32.2%31.9%28.1%30.5%Low +1.1 pts0.865Weak or none
AW6fAll going8 to 11 runners3973,75228.5%29.0%35.0%34.2%37.0%36.8%32.8%33.3%29.7%31.7%Middle +0.8 pts0.939Weak or none
AW6fAll going12 to 15 runners6982843.5%33.3%30.4%33.3%26.1%33.3%29.7%25.4%19.9%25.0%Low +10.2 pts0.183Weak or none
AW7fAll goingAll field sizes6146,39728.2%30.0%35.7%33.7%36.5%36.3%28.8%30.1%27.6%28.8%Middle +2.0 pts0.504Weak or none
AW7fAll going8 to 11 runners4223,96026.3%29.3%37.0%34.1%37.2%36.7%31.8%33.2%31.1%32.0%Middle +2.9 pts0.309Weak or none
AW7fAll going12 to 15 runners1922,43732.3%31.6%32.8%33.0%34.9%35.3%24.3%25.1%21.7%23.6%Low +0.7 pts0.980Weak or none
AW1mAll goingAll field sizes6376,41127.3%29.9%36.9%33.9%35.8%36.1%27.8%31.2%30.3%29.8%Middle +3.0 pts0.210Weak or none
AW1mAll going8 to 11 runners5004,76626.0%29.0%37.8%34.1%36.2%36.9%29.4%33.4%31.5%31.5%Middle +3.7 pts0.163Weak or none
AW1mAll going12 to 15 runners1371,64532.1%33.3%33.6%33.3%34.3%33.4%23.7%24.5%26.8%25.0%High +0.9 pts0.952Weak or none
AW1m2fAll goingAll field sizes4915,12627.5%29.6%40.7%33.9%32.0%36.5%25.6%33.4%27.1%28.7%Middle +6.8 pts0.006Strong
AW1m2fAll going8 to 11 runners3483,29827.0%28.9%41.4%34.3%31.9%36.8%28.2%35.9%30.6%31.7%Middle +7.1 pts0.020Moderate
AW1m2fAll going12 to 15 runners1431,82828.7%31.4%39.2%32.8%32.2%35.8%21.3%28.7%20.7%23.5%Middle +6.4 pts0.268Weak or none
AW1m4fAll goingAll field sizes3043,10128.0%29.4%37.8%34.1%34.5%36.4%26.8%31.4%29.8%29.4%Middle +3.7 pts0.422Weak or none
AW1m4fAll going8 to 11 runners2362,18825.8%28.7%37.7%34.5%36.4%36.8%29.2%34.0%33.4%32.4%Middle +3.2 pts0.498Weak or none
AW1m4fAll going12 to 15 runners5875331.0%31.8%44.8%33.2%25.9%35.0%21.8%26.8%20.8%23.1%Middle +11.6 pts0.151Weak or none
AW1m5fAll goingAll field sizes4446429.5%31.0%36.4%33.2%34.1%35.8%25.0%34.4%25.9%28.4%Middle +3.2 pts0.907Weak or none
AW1m5fAll going8 to 11 runners2927934.5%30.2%31.0%33.4%34.5%36.5%28.6%36.6%28.4%31.2%Low +4.3 pts0.880Not enough data
AW2mAll goingAll field sizes1211,30531.4%29.7%33.9%33.9%34.7%36.4%25.4%26.8%30.8%27.8%Low +1.7 pts0.902Weak or none
AW2mAll going8 to 11 runners7368530.1%28.8%35.6%34.3%34.2%36.9%31.8%26.5%37.2%32.0%Low +1.3 pts0.896Weak or none
AW2mAll going12 to 15 runners4862033.3%31.1%31.3%33.3%35.4%35.6%18.8%27.1%23.5%23.2%Low +2.2 pts0.932Weak or none
TurfAll distancesAll goingAll field sizes5145,08526.5%29.2%34.2%34.3%39.5%36.5%27.2%31.1%32.1%30.3%High +3.0 pts0.285Weak or none
Turf5fAll goingAll field sizes5249536.5%29.2%23.1%34.8%40.4%36.0%31.5%29.2%33.7%31.5%Low +7.3 pts0.196Weak or none
Turf5fFast (good to firm or firmer)All field sizes2827232.1%29.4%32.1%34.5%35.7%36.1%28.4%29.0%34.7%30.9%Low +2.7 pts0.944Not enough data
Turf5fAll going8 to 11 runners4540440.0%28.8%20.0%35.0%40.0%36.1%34.2%31.2%34.9%33.4%Low +11.2 pts0.080Weak or none
Turf5fFast (good to firm or firmer)8 to 11 runners2219336.4%28.8%27.3%34.9%36.4%36.3%32.1%31.3%38.6%34.2%Low +7.6 pts0.669Not enough data
Turf6fAll goingAll field sizes9392022.6%29.3%39.8%34.4%37.6%36.3%23.5%35.0%31.4%30.3%Middle +5.4 pts0.321Weak or none
Turf6fFast (good to firm or firmer)All field sizes4745625.5%29.3%42.6%34.4%31.9%36.2%23.0%38.5%30.3%30.9%Middle +8.2 pts0.503Weak or none
Turf6fGoodAll field sizes2223331.8%29.9%22.7%33.8%45.5%36.3%25.7%25.6%32.9%28.3%High +9.2 pts0.511Not enough data
Turf6fSoft (good to soft to heavy)All field sizes242318.3%28.8%50.0%34.8%41.7%36.5%22.4%37.5%32.1%31.2%Middle +15.2 pts0.072Not enough data
Turf6fAll going8 to 11 runners7467223.0%28.7%43.2%34.8%33.8%36.4%26.8%38.6%32.7%33.0%Middle +8.4 pts0.285Weak or none
Turf6fFast (good to firm or firmer)8 to 11 runners3834426.3%28.6%44.7%34.8%28.9%36.6%25.3%42.9%30.2%33.1%Middle +9.9 pts0.413Not enough data
Turf6fSoft (good to soft to heavy)8 to 11 runners2017910.0%28.3%50.0%34.8%40.0%36.8%23.5%40.3%34.8%33.5%Middle +15.2 pts0.154Not enough data
Turf7fAll goingAll field sizes1341,40723.9%29.6%38.8%34.0%38.1%36.4%24.2%29.3%31.6%28.6%Middle +4.8 pts0.289Weak or none
Turf7fFast (good to firm or firmer)All field sizes5659725.0%29.2%37.5%34.2%37.5%36.6%22.6%31.2%29.8%28.1%Middle +3.3 pts0.770Weak or none
Turf7fGoodAll field sizes4243726.2%30.4%31.0%33.6%45.2%36.0%30.6%24.0%32.5%28.8%High +9.2 pts0.513Weak or none
Turf7fSoft (good to soft to heavy)All field sizes3637319.4%29.2%50.0%34.1%30.6%36.7%19.1%32.5%33.6%29.0%Middle +15.9 pts0.122Not enough data
Turf7fAll going8 to 11 runners9182828.6%28.6%36.3%34.7%36.3%36.7%29.8%31.1%37.5%33.0%Middle +1.6 pts0.967Weak or none
Turf7fAll going12 to 15 runners3849813.2%31.8%44.7%32.5%42.1%35.7%16.5%28.4%23.6%22.9%Middle +12.2 pts0.042Not enough data
Turf7fFast (good to firm or firmer)8 to 11 runners3632133.3%27.8%36.1%35.1%30.6%37.0%33.3%31.3%36.1%33.6%Low +5.5 pts0.667Not enough data
Turf7fGood8 to 11 runners3129025.8%29.6%32.3%33.9%45.2%36.5%32.6%28.6%35.8%32.1%High +8.7 pts0.665Not enough data
Turf7fSoft (good to soft to heavy)8 to 11 runners2421725.0%28.4%41.7%35.2%33.3%36.4%21.0%34.2%41.8%33.2%Middle +6.5 pts0.798Not enough data
Turf7½fAll goingAll field sizes5655523.2%29.0%33.9%34.1%42.9%37.0%34.0%26.6%30.7%30.3%High +5.9 pts0.559Weak or none
Turf7½fFast (good to firm or firmer)All field sizes2423220.8%28.6%33.3%33.9%45.8%37.4%37.3%25.6%31.0%31.0%High +8.4 pts0.616Not enough data
Turf7½fAll going8 to 11 runners4744323.4%28.3%29.8%34.5%46.8%37.2%36.5%28.3%31.5%31.8%High +9.6 pts0.394Weak or none
Turf7½fFast (good to firm or firmer)8 to 11 runners2119319.0%28.3%33.3%34.4%47.6%37.3%38.2%28.8%31.9%32.6%High +10.3 pts0.535Not enough data
Turf1m2fAll goingAll field sizes5655135.7%28.5%30.4%34.6%33.9%36.9%24.5%34.9%31.0%30.5%Low +7.2 pts0.486Weak or none
Turf1m2fFast (good to firm or firmer)All field sizes2422337.5%28.3%25.0%35.3%37.5%36.4%23.4%37.2%34.6%32.3%Low +9.2 pts0.485Not enough data
Turf1m2fAll going8 to 11 runners4439834.1%27.7%31.8%35.1%34.1%37.2%24.3%36.0%37.2%33.2%Low +6.4 pts0.639Weak or none
Turf1m2fFast (good to firm or firmer)8 to 11 runners2017440.0%27.4%25.0%35.8%35.0%36.8%25.0%35.5%40.6%34.5%Low +12.6 pts0.401Not enough data
Turf1m3½fAll goingAll field sizes7367815.1%28.9%37.0%34.7%47.9%36.4%27.3%34.6%34.1%32.3%High +11.5 pts0.022Moderate
Turf1m3½fFast (good to firm or firmer)All field sizes2220613.6%28.4%31.8%35.1%54.5%36.5%22.0%38.9%33.3%32.0%High +18.0 pts0.156Not enough data
Turf1m3½fGoodAll field sizes2523712.0%29.6%40.0%34.4%48.0%36.0%21.1%37.0%35.3%31.6%High +12.0 pts0.145Not enough data
Turf1m3½fSoft (good to soft to heavy)All field sizes2623519.2%28.7%38.5%34.7%42.3%36.6%38.2%28.4%33.7%33.2%High +5.7 pts0.563Not enough data
Turf1m3½fAll going8 to 11 runners6659416.7%28.5%34.8%34.9%48.5%36.7%28.8%34.5%35.8%33.3%High +11.8 pts0.057Weak or none
Turf1m3½fFast (good to firm or firmer)8 to 11 runners2018215.0%27.9%30.0%35.3%55.0%36.8%23.5%37.5%35.8%33.0%High +18.2 pts0.207Not enough data
Turf1m3½fGood8 to 11 runners2118914.3%28.9%38.1%34.6%47.6%36.5%23.6%38.5%36.2%33.3%High +11.1 pts0.309Not enough data
Turf1m3½fSoft (good to soft to heavy)8 to 11 runners2522320.0%28.5%36.0%34.7%44.0%36.7%37.5%28.6%35.4%33.6%High +7.3 pts0.605Not enough data

Flat races at Lingfield with 8 or more runners and a full draw, since 7 January 2016. Runners are split into low, middle and high thirds by stall order among the horses that ran. Win % is the share of races each third won; expected % is its share by chance given the field sizes. Top-3 % is the share of runners in that third who finished in the first three, against the chance rate. Going groups: fast is good to firm or firmer, soft is good to soft, yielding, soft and heavy. Bias rating uses a chi-square test of winners by third against chance (2 degrees of freedom): Strong means p below 0.01 from 100 or more races, Moderate p below 0.05, Weak or none p of 0.05 or more, and Not enough data fewer than 40 races. Rows with fewer than 20 races are hidden. Source: RaceWatch results database.

Lingfield draw bias: since 2016 v the last three seasons

AWAll distances2,93328.5%36.5%35.2%29.7%33.9%36.4%Moderate66725.6%36.1%38.5%Weak or noneHolding
AW5f25628.9%33.2%37.9%29.3%33.9%36.8%Weak or none4922.4%42.9%34.7%Weak or noneNo clear lean in either period
AW6f46630.7%34.3%35.4%29.6%34.0%36.3%Weak or none11326.5%31.0%43.4%Weak or noneNo clear lean in either period
AW7f61428.2%35.7%36.5%30.0%33.7%36.3%Weak or none15028.7%32.0%39.3%Weak or noneGone lately
AW1m63727.3%36.9%35.8%29.9%33.9%36.1%Weak or none14421.5%38.2%40.3%Weak or noneHolding
AW1m2f49127.5%40.7%32.0%29.6%33.9%36.5%Strong10621.7%38.7%40.6%Weak or noneWeaker lately
AW1m4f30428.0%37.8%34.5%29.4%34.1%36.4%Weak or none6533.8%36.9%29.2%Weak or noneHolding
AW1m5f4429.5%36.4%34.1%31.0%33.2%35.8%Weak or none1118.2%36.4%45.5%Not enough dataToo few recent races
AW2m12131.4%33.9%34.7%29.7%33.9%36.4%Weak or none2931.0%44.8%24.1%Not enough dataToo few recent races
TurfAll distances51426.5%34.2%39.5%29.2%34.3%36.5%Weak or none11226.8%30.4%42.9%Weak or noneStronger lately
Turf5f5236.5%23.1%40.4%29.2%34.8%36.0%Weak or none1435.7%14.3%50.0%Not enough dataToo few recent races
Turf6f9322.6%39.8%37.6%29.3%34.4%36.3%Weak or none2114.3%28.6%57.1%Not enough dataToo few recent races
Turf7f13423.9%38.8%38.1%29.6%34.0%36.4%Weak or none3119.4%38.7%41.9%Not enough dataToo few recent races
Turf7½f5623.2%33.9%42.9%29.0%34.1%37.0%Weak or none1323.1%30.8%46.2%Not enough dataToo few recent races
Turf1m2f5635.7%30.4%33.9%28.5%34.6%36.9%Weak or none1241.7%33.3%25.0%Not enough dataToo few recent races
Turf1m3½f7315.1%37.0%47.9%28.9%34.7%36.4%Moderate1323.1%30.8%46.2%Not enough dataToo few recent races

Last three seasons means races since 1 January 2024. Is it current? compares the third that led over the whole window with its record lately: Holding means within 2 points of its long-run edge, Stronger or Weaker lately means more than 2 points either way, Gone lately means it no longer beats chance. 8 or more runners. Rows with fewer than 20 races are hidden.

Lingfield stall by stall at each distance

AW5f12462610.6%11.3%40.7%33.8%+6.9
AW5f22493012.0%11.3%40.2%33.9%+6.3
AW5f32532610.3%11.3%35.6%33.9%+1.7
AW5f42482610.5%11.3%33.9%33.9%0.0
AW5f52503212.8%11.3%33.2%33.8%-0.6
AW5f62512710.8%11.3%31.9%33.8%-2.0
AW5f72422811.6%11.2%30.6%33.7%-3.2
AW5f82382811.8%11.2%31.1%33.7%-2.6
AW5f91902312.1%10.9%27.4%32.8%-5.5
AW5f10118108.5%10.5%28.8%31.6%-2.8
AW6f1452449.7%10.4%30.8%31.1%-0.3
AW6f24465412.1%10.3%35.2%31.0%+4.2
AW6f3440398.9%10.4%29.8%31.2%-1.4
AW6f44614710.2%10.4%34.5%31.1%+3.4
AW6f54524810.6%10.4%33.8%31.1%+2.8
AW6f64495812.9%10.4%32.7%31.1%+1.7
AW6f7441429.5%10.4%29.3%31.1%-1.8
AW6f84424710.6%10.3%32.1%31.0%+1.1
AW6f93783910.3%10.0%25.4%30.0%-4.6
AW6f10279227.9%9.5%23.7%28.4%-4.8
AW6f11201147.0%9.2%22.4%27.5%-5.1
AW6f121361410.3%8.9%26.5%26.7%-0.2
AW7f1589467.8%9.9%27.5%29.7%-2.2
AW7f2592498.3%9.9%29.4%29.6%-0.2
AW7f35866310.8%9.8%32.4%29.5%+2.9
AW7f45916110.3%9.9%29.1%29.6%-0.5
AW7f55966210.4%9.9%32.6%29.6%+2.9
AW7f65906811.5%9.9%31.0%29.6%+1.4
AW7f7597559.2%9.9%28.8%29.6%-0.8
AW7f85906511.0%9.9%32.2%29.7%+2.5
AW7f95185310.2%9.5%26.4%28.6%-2.2
AW7f10408348.3%9.0%22.8%27.0%-4.3
AW7f11292248.2%8.5%24.0%25.5%-1.5
AW7f12217198.8%8.2%25.8%24.6%+1.2
AW7f1313675.1%7.8%22.8%23.4%-0.6
AW7f14951010.5%7.7%20.0%23.1%-3.1
AW1m1616569.1%10.1%23.2%30.4%-7.2
AW1m2620599.5%10.1%32.1%30.4%+1.7
AW1m3611579.3%10.1%30.8%30.3%+0.5
AW1m4618609.7%10.1%31.6%30.3%+1.2
AW1m5611609.8%10.1%28.3%30.4%-2.0
AW1m66167111.5%10.1%32.5%30.3%+2.1
AW1m76196710.8%10.1%32.8%30.4%+2.4
AW1m86056911.4%10.1%31.9%30.4%+1.5
AW1m9529499.3%9.8%28.5%29.3%-0.8
AW1m10439378.4%9.4%29.4%28.2%+1.2
AW1m113003812.7%8.9%29.7%26.8%+2.8
AW1m12223146.3%8.7%22.9%26.2%-3.4
AW1m2f14734910.4%9.9%26.6%29.6%-2.9
AW1m2f2467449.4%9.9%25.9%29.6%-3.7
AW1m2f3476418.6%9.9%27.7%29.6%-1.9
AW1m2f44655010.8%9.9%34.2%29.6%+4.6
AW1m2f54765010.5%9.9%31.7%29.6%+2.2
AW1m2f64715110.8%9.8%30.6%29.5%+1.0
AW1m2f74696213.2%9.9%34.3%29.6%+4.8
AW1m2f8474388.0%9.8%30.4%29.5%+0.9
AW1m2f9405317.7%9.5%27.7%28.4%-0.7
AW1m2f10343329.3%9.1%27.4%27.2%+0.2
AW1m2f11249124.8%8.6%23.3%25.8%-2.5
AW1m2f12177126.8%8.2%16.9%24.5%-7.6
AW1m2f131111210.8%7.8%24.3%23.5%+0.8
AW1m2f1470811.4%7.7%24.3%23.0%+1.3
AW1m4f1289269.0%10.1%25.6%30.4%-4.8
AW1m4f2290269.0%10.2%28.3%30.5%-2.3
AW1m4f3297299.8%10.2%31.0%30.5%+0.5
AW1m4f42943411.6%10.1%31.3%30.4%+0.9
AW1m4f52933813.0%10.2%29.4%30.5%-1.2
AW1m4f62903411.7%10.1%34.1%30.4%+3.7
AW1m4f72943210.9%10.2%34.4%30.5%+3.8
AW1m4f8298279.1%10.2%34.6%30.5%+4.0
AW1m4f92432610.7%9.7%30.0%29.1%+0.9
AW1m4f10174126.9%9.0%25.3%27.0%-1.7
AW1m4f11129118.5%8.4%20.2%25.3%-5.1
AW1m4f128966.7%8.0%27.0%24.1%+2.9
AW2m112086.7%9.6%27.5%28.8%-1.3
AW2m21141210.5%9.6%25.4%28.8%-3.4
AW2m3120108.3%9.6%21.7%28.8%-7.1
AW2m41161613.8%9.5%30.2%28.6%+1.5
AW2m511676.0%9.5%22.4%28.6%-6.2
AW2m61141513.2%9.6%28.1%28.8%-0.8
AW2m711786.8%9.6%30.8%28.8%+2.0
AW2m81161210.3%9.7%29.3%29.0%+0.4
AW2m9102109.8%9.2%35.3%27.6%+7.7
AW2m108378.4%8.6%32.5%25.8%+6.7
AW2m116968.7%8.4%27.5%25.1%+2.5
AW2m1254611.1%8.0%25.9%23.9%+2.0
Turf6f17867.7%10.4%28.2%31.3%-3.1
Turf6f27745.2%10.5%20.8%31.4%-10.6
Turf6f38167.4%10.5%24.7%31.4%-6.8
Turf6f4841315.5%10.5%28.6%31.5%-2.9
Turf6f589910.1%10.5%40.4%31.5%+9.0
Turf6f6881213.6%10.5%37.5%31.6%+5.9
Turf6f7881112.5%10.5%34.1%31.5%+2.6
Turf6f88889.1%10.4%31.8%31.2%+0.6
Turf6f97368.2%10.0%23.3%30.1%-6.8
Turf6f1055610.9%9.3%34.5%28.0%+6.6
Turf7f11181210.2%10.0%23.7%29.9%-6.2
Turf7f21161412.1%9.9%28.4%29.8%-1.3
Turf7f312486.5%10.0%27.4%30.0%-2.6
Turf7f41221310.7%10.1%26.2%30.2%-4.0
Turf7f512397.3%9.9%28.5%29.7%-1.3
Turf7f61251411.2%10.1%32.0%30.2%+1.8
Turf7f712297.4%9.9%32.8%29.7%+3.1
Turf7f8126129.5%9.9%30.2%29.7%+0.5
Turf7f9110109.1%9.6%30.0%28.7%+1.3
Turf7f10881517.0%9.2%34.1%27.5%+6.6
Turf7f116945.8%8.6%23.2%25.7%-2.5
Turf7f1253713.2%7.9%41.5%23.7%+17.8
Turf1m3½f16746.0%10.9%32.8%32.8%0.0
Turf1m3½f26746.0%10.9%25.4%32.7%-7.3
Turf1m3½f36834.4%11.0%27.9%33.1%-5.1
Turf1m3½f469913.0%10.9%33.3%32.8%+0.6
Turf1m3½f56657.6%11.0%33.3%32.9%+0.5
Turf1m3½f6661319.7%10.9%36.4%32.8%+3.6
Turf1m3½f766812.1%11.0%33.3%32.9%+0.5
Turf1m3½f8681014.7%10.9%42.6%32.8%+9.9
Turf1m3½f95547.3%10.6%29.1%31.8%-2.7

Stall is the stall number drawn. Every distance with 60 or more races of 8 or more runners since 2016; stalls with fewer than 50 runs are hidden. Top-3 % is steadier than win % for a single stall, so read it first.

Lingfield draw by distance, 8 or more runners

TurfAll distances31928.5%29.3%30.7%34.2%41.1%36.6%27.1%30.5%32.3%
Turf5f3438.2%29.5%20.6%34.4%41.2%36.1%30.9%29.5%33.1%
Turf6f5925.4%29.2%28.8%34.3%45.8%36.4%23.1%32.5%33.6%
Turf7f8426.2%29.5%34.5%34.2%40.5%36.2%25.4%28.7%32.4%
Turf7½f4219.0%29.1%33.3%33.8%47.6%37.1%30.1%28.4%31.4%
Turf1m2f3438.2%28.8%26.5%34.4%35.3%36.8%23.2%33.6%32.0%
Turf1m3½f3718.9%29.2%40.5%34.5%40.5%36.4%29.1%35.0%30.7%
AWAll distances2,10626.7%29.8%36.9%33.9%36.5%36.3%27.5%31.8%29.2%
AW5f17624.4%29.2%36.4%34.0%39.2%36.8%37.7%33.7%30.8%
AW6f34628.6%29.8%34.7%34.0%37.0%36.3%30.1%32.7%28.6%
AW7f43927.1%30.0%36.0%33.8%37.1%36.2%28.0%30.9%27.4%
AW1m45325.4%30.0%35.8%33.9%38.9%36.1%26.5%31.0%31.0%
AW1m2f36325.3%29.6%41.3%33.9%33.6%36.6%23.6%33.7%28.0%
AW1m4f21228.8%29.5%37.7%34.2%34.0%36.3%26.0%30.5%30.4%
AW1m5f3324.2%30.9%36.4%33.4%39.4%35.7%22.9%34.2%27.2%
AW2m8431.0%29.8%38.1%33.9%31.0%36.3%23.6%28.8%30.5%

Flat races at Lingfield with 8 or more runners since 1 January 2019. Win % is the share of races won by each third of the draw expected % is the share that third would win by chance given the field sizes run. Thirds are set by stall order among the horses that ran, so non-runners do not shift them. Place % is per runner. Distances with fewer than 20 races are hidden. Source: RaceWatch results database.

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Lingfield draw thirds overall, 8 or more runners

TurfLow31928.5%29.3%9.7%9389127.1%
TurfMiddle31930.7%34.2%9.1%1,0799830.5%
TurfHigh31941.1%36.6%11.3%1,16113132.3%
AWLow2,10626.7%29.8%8.8%6,41456327.5%
AWMiddle2,10636.9%33.9%10.8%7,22877831.8%
AWHigh2,10636.5%36.3%9.9%7,75676929.2%

All distances pooled. Strike rate is wins per runner in that third. BSP figures are not shown because the window starts before March 2024.

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Lingfield draw by distance, all field sizes

TurfAll distances61428.2%28.5%32.2%33.2%39.7%38.3%
Turf5f8330.1%28.3%30.1%33.2%39.8%38.5%
Turf6f10832.4%28.5%27.8%33.5%39.8%37.9%
Turf7f13723.4%29.3%35.8%33.5%41.6%37.3%
Turf7½f6219.4%28.9%40.3%33.0%40.3%38.1%
Turf1m1f2825.0%27.9%25.0%32.9%50.0%39.2%
Turf1m2f6636.4%27.9%30.3%34.1%33.3%38.0%
Turf1m3½f8631.4%28.0%32.6%32.6%36.0%39.4%
Turf2m½f2025.0%28.8%30.0%32.7%45.0%38.5%
AWAll distances3,12126.3%29.1%35.1%33.4%38.9%37.5%
AW5f33225.0%28.7%36.4%33.5%39.5%37.9%
AW6f53626.7%28.8%35.3%33.5%38.2%37.7%
AW7f58627.8%29.6%34.1%33.3%38.4%37.2%
AW1m61723.5%29.4%36.0%33.4%40.7%37.2%
AW1m2f53026.4%29.0%36.8%33.4%37.0%37.7%
AW1m4f34628.3%28.9%31.8%33.3%40.2%37.8%
AW1m5f4429.5%30.3%29.5%33.0%40.9%36.7%
AW2m13027.7%29.0%34.6%33.1%37.7%37.9%

Every Flat race at Lingfield with 3 or more runners since 1 January 2019. Small fields dilute any draw effect, so compare with the 8 or more runners table. Distances with fewer than 20 races are hidden.

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Lingfield draw by field size

Turf3 to 7 runnersAll distances29527.8%27.7%33.9%32.2%38.3%40.1%
Turf8 to 11 runnersAll distances25430.3%28.6%29.5%34.6%40.6%36.8%
Turf12 to 15 runnersAll distances6221.0%31.8%37.1%32.6%41.9%35.6%
Turf3 to 7 runners5f4924.5%27.5%36.7%32.4%38.8%40.1%
Turf8 to 11 runners5f3040.0%29.2%20.0%34.6%40.0%36.2%
Turf3 to 7 runners6f4940.8%27.7%26.5%32.6%32.7%39.7%
Turf8 to 11 runners6f4727.7%28.7%27.7%34.8%44.7%36.5%
Turf3 to 7 runners7f5318.9%28.8%37.7%32.2%43.4%39.0%
Turf8 to 11 runners7f5930.5%28.6%33.9%34.9%37.3%36.5%
Turf12 to 15 runners7f2313.0%31.9%39.1%32.5%47.8%35.5%
Turf3 to 7 runners7½f2020.0%28.4%55.0%31.4%25.0%40.2%
Turf8 to 11 runners7½f3520.0%28.5%28.6%34.2%51.4%37.3%
Turf3 to 7 runners1m2f3234.4%27.0%34.4%33.8%31.3%39.2%
Turf8 to 11 runners1m2f2638.5%28.0%26.9%35.0%34.6%37.0%
Turf3 to 7 runners1m3½f4940.8%27.1%26.5%31.2%32.7%41.7%
Turf8 to 11 runners1m3½f3321.2%28.7%39.4%34.6%39.4%36.7%
AW3 to 7 runnersAll distances1,01525.4%27.7%31.2%32.2%43.8%40.1%
AW8 to 11 runnersAll distances1,59825.5%29.0%37.4%34.2%37.3%36.8%
AW12 to 15 runnersAll distances50129.9%32.1%36.1%33.2%34.1%34.7%
AW3 to 7 runners5f15625.6%28.0%36.5%32.9%39.7%39.1%
AW8 to 11 runners5f17624.4%29.2%36.4%34.0%39.2%36.8%
AW3 to 7 runners6f19023.2%27.0%36.3%32.6%40.5%40.4%
AW8 to 11 runners6f29226.4%29.1%35.3%34.1%38.7%36.8%
AW12 to 15 runners6f5440.7%33.3%31.5%33.3%27.8%33.3%
AW3 to 7 runners7f14729.9%28.3%28.6%31.6%42.2%40.2%
AW8 to 11 runners7f30026.0%29.2%37.0%34.1%37.3%36.7%
AW12 to 15 runners7f13929.5%31.7%33.8%33.3%36.7%35.0%
AW3 to 7 runners1m16418.3%27.8%36.6%31.9%45.7%40.3%
AW8 to 11 runners1m34724.5%29.0%36.0%34.0%39.5%36.9%
AW12 to 15 runners1m10628.3%33.3%34.9%33.3%36.8%33.4%
AW3 to 7 runners1m2f16728.7%27.6%26.9%32.3%44.3%40.1%
AW8 to 11 runners1m2f25426.0%28.8%41.7%34.3%32.7%36.9%
AW12 to 15 runners1m2f10923.9%31.4%40.4%32.8%35.8%35.8%
AW3 to 7 runners1m4f13427.6%28.0%22.4%32.0%50.0%40.0%
AW8 to 11 runners1m4f15923.9%28.7%39.6%34.6%36.5%36.7%
AW12 to 15 runners1m4f4639.1%31.9%37.0%33.1%26.1%35.0%
AW8 to 11 runners1m5f2030.0%29.9%30.0%33.6%40.0%36.6%
AW3 to 7 runners2m4621.7%27.6%28.3%31.5%50.0%40.9%
AW8 to 11 runners2m5030.0%28.9%38.0%34.1%32.0%36.9%
AW12 to 15 runners2m3432.4%31.0%38.2%33.6%29.4%35.4%

Field size is the number of runners that took part. Cells with fewer than 20 races are hidden.

Lingfield draw by going, 8 or more runners

TurfGood to firm or firmerAll distances14431.9%29.0%41.7%36.7%26.4%
TurfGoodAll distances10034.0%29.6%37.0%36.5%30.0%
TurfGood to soft or yieldingAll distances2321.7%29.0%39.1%36.5%39.1%
TurfSoftAll distances4910.2%29.2%51.0%36.3%38.8%
TurfGood to firm or firmer6f3036.7%29.5%33.3%36.5%30.0%
TurfGood to firm or firmer7f3228.1%29.3%46.9%36.5%25.0%
TurfGood7f2927.6%30.1%41.4%35.6%34.5%
TurfGood to firm or firmer7½f2123.8%28.7%47.6%37.6%28.6%
AWAWAll distances2,10626.7%29.8%36.5%36.3%36.9%
AWAW5f17624.4%29.2%39.2%36.8%36.4%
AWAW6f34628.6%29.8%37.0%36.3%34.7%
AWAW7f43927.1%30.0%37.1%36.2%36.0%
AWAW1m45325.4%30.0%38.9%36.1%35.8%
AWAW1m2f36325.3%29.6%33.6%36.6%41.3%
AWAW1m4f21228.8%29.5%34.0%36.3%37.7%
AWAW1m5f3324.2%30.9%39.4%35.7%36.4%
AWAW2m8431.0%29.8%31.0%36.3%38.1%

Official going grouped into bands (yielding counts with good to soft). All-weather races show as AW. Cells with fewer than 20 races are hidden.

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Lingfield individual stalls, most-run distances

AW7f1425266.1%9.9%26.6%
AW7f2424378.7%9.9%29.0%
AW7f34214510.7%9.8%30.2%
AW7f44224510.7%9.9%30.8%
AW7f5429409.3%9.9%33.8%
AW7f64265512.9%9.9%30.8%
AW7f74254410.4%9.9%30.4%
AW7f8423429.9%9.9%31.7%
AW7f93703810.3%9.5%25.1%
AW7f10294258.5%9.0%23.1%
AW7f11213167.5%8.5%23.0%
AW7f12156149.0%8.2%25.6%
AW1m1438388.7%10.1%20.8%
AW1m2440368.2%10.1%30.2%
AW1m3433399.0%10.0%30.7%
AW1m4440388.6%10.0%30.0%
AW1m5435388.7%10.0%28.3%
AW1m64405312.0%10.0%33.4%
AW1m74405011.4%10.0%36.4%
AW1m84305312.3%10.0%30.7%
AW1m93803810.0%9.7%27.9%
AW1m10318299.1%9.4%31.4%
AW1m112242912.9%8.9%29.0%
AW1m12171127.0%8.8%22.8%

The two most-run distances at Lingfield in races of 8 or more runners since 2019. Stall is the stall number drawn. Expected win % is the chance of a single runner given the field sizes it ran in. Stalls with fewer than 100 runs are hidden.

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Lingfield 1m: win % by draw third, since 2016 v last three seasons, 8 or more runners
Since 2016Since 2024Expected by chance
0%20%40%60%80%LowMiddleHighSince 2016 Low: 27.3%Since 2016 Middle: 36.9%Since 2016 High: 35.8%Since 2024 Low: 21.5%Since 2024 Middle: 38.2%Since 2024 High: 40.3%Expected by chance Low: 29.9%Expected by chance Middle: 33.9%Expected by chance High: 36.1%

Win % of races by Draw third

Lingfield 1m win % by stall, 8 or more runners
Win %Expected by chance
0%5%10%15%20%Stall 1Stall 2Stall 3Stall 4Stall 5Stall 6Stall 7Stall 8Stall 9Stall 10Stall 11Stall 12Win % Stall 1: 8.7%8.7%Win % Stall 2: 8.2%8.2%Win % Stall 3: 9%9%Win % Stall 4: 8.6%8.6%Win % Stall 5: 8.7%8.7%Win % Stall 6: 12%12%Win % Stall 7: 11.4%11.4%Win % Stall 8: 12.3%12.3%Win % Stall 9: 10%10%Win % Stall 10: 9.1%9.1%Win % Stall 11: 12.9%12.9%Win % Stall 12: 7%7%Expected by chance Stall 1: 10.1%10.1%Expected by chance Stall 2: 10.1%10.1%Expected by chance Stall 3: 10%10%Expected by chance Stall 4: 10%10%Expected by chance Stall 5: 10%10%Expected by chance Stall 6: 10%10%Expected by chance Stall 7: 10%10%Expected by chance Stall 8: 10%10%Expected by chance Stall 9: 9.7%9.7%Expected by chance Stall 10: 9.4%9.4%Expected by chance Stall 11: 8.9%8.9%Expected by chance Stall 12: 8.8%8.8%

Win % by Stall

Latest Flat winners at Lingfield and their draw

12 Sep 26Espanita (IRE) silksEspanita (IRE)4Middle41m3.25AW
12 Sep 26Iconic Dawn (GB) silksIconic Dawn (GB)5Middle106f5.50AW
12 Sep 26Royal County Glory (IRE) silksRoyal County Glory (IRE)4Middle87f2.00AW
12 Sep 26Quick Quasar (IRE) silksQuick Quasar (IRE)4Middle97f9.50AW
12 Sep 26Tatterstall (IRE) silksTatterstall (IRE)6Middle105f7.50AW
12 Sep 26Ernie Mccrew (IRE) silksErnie Mccrew (IRE)7Middle91m8.00AW
12 Sep 26Amber Honey (GB) silksAmber Honey (GB)4Middle81m8.50AW
12 Sep 26James Choice (GB) silksJames Choice (GB)6Middle91m4f2.88AW
12 Sep 26Affettuoso (GB) silksAffettuoso (GB)2Middle51m4f1.11AW
10 Sep 26Note To Self (GB) silksNote To Self (GB)9High106f3.50AW
10 Sep 26Arlecchino's Rex (GB) silksArlecchino's Rex (GB)4Middle91m4f8.50AW
10 Sep 26Let's Go Hugo (IRE) silksLet's Go Hugo (IRE)4Middle85f6.00AW
10 Sep 26Lake Como (IRE) silksLake Como (IRE)4Middle61m6.50AW
10 Sep 26Majestic Wave (GB) silksMajestic Wave (GB)11High107f5.00AW
10 Sep 26Federal Envoy (IRE) silksFederal Envoy (IRE)2Low117f3.00AW
10 Sep 26Marquessofanglesey (IRE) silksMarquessofanglesey (IRE)7High81m1.83AW
10 Sep 26Location Location (GB) silksLocation Location (GB)3Low126f6.50AW
3 Sep 26Boston Run (IRE) silksBoston Run (IRE)4Middle71m2f3.50AW
3 Sep 26Watchdog (GB) silksWatchdog (GB)5Middle76f23.00AW
3 Sep 26Diomed Duke (GB) silksDiomed Duke (GB)2Middle55f2.50AW

The 20 most recent Flat races at Lingfield in the data with a full draw.

Lingfield win % of races by draw third and distance, 8 or more runners
Low thirdMiddle thirdHigh third
0%20%40%60%80%5f Turf6f Turf7f Turf7½f Turf1m2f Turf1m3½f Tur5f AW6f AW7f AW1m AW1m2f AW1m4f AW2m AWLow third 5f Turf: 38.2%Low third 6f Turf: 25.4%Low third 7f Turf: 26.2%Low third 7½f Turf: 19%Low third 1m2f Turf: 38.2%Low third 1m3½f Turf: 18.9%Low third 5f AW: 24.4%Low third 6f AW: 28.6%Low third 7f AW: 27.1%Low third 1m AW: 25.4%Low third 1m2f AW: 25.3%Low third 1m4f AW: 28.8%Low third 2m AW: 31%Middle third 5f Turf: 20.6%Middle third 6f Turf: 28.8%Middle third 7f Turf: 34.5%Middle third 7½f Turf: 33.3%Middle third 1m2f Turf: 26.5%Middle third 1m3½f Turf: 40.5%Middle third 5f AW: 36.4%Middle third 6f AW: 34.7%Middle third 7f AW: 36%Middle third 1m AW: 35.8%Middle third 1m2f AW: 41.3%Middle third 1m4f AW: 37.7%Middle third 2m AW: 38.1%High third 5f Turf: 41.2%High third 6f Turf: 45.8%High third 7f Turf: 40.5%High third 7½f Turf: 47.6%High third 1m2f Turf: 35.3%High third 1m3½f Turf: 40.5%High third 5f AW: 39.2%High third 6f AW: 37%High third 7f AW: 37.1%High third 1m AW: 38.9%High third 1m2f AW: 33.6%High third 1m4f AW: 34%High third 2m AW: 31%

Win % of races by Distance

Lingfield win % of races by draw third and year, 8 or more runners
Low thirdMiddle thirdHigh third
10%20%30%40%50%20192020202120222023202420252026Low third 2019: 29.2%Low third 2020: 27.8%Low third 2021: 28.3%Low third 2022: 27.9%Low third 2023: 22.9%Low third 2024: 23.6%Low third 2025: 22.7%Low third 2026: 31.2%31.2%Middle third 2019: 30.4%Middle third 2020: 40.1%Middle third 2021: 37.3%Middle third 2022: 37%Middle third 2023: 40.9%Middle third 2024: 38.9%Middle third 2025: 36.9%Middle third 2026: 32.2%32.2%High third 2019: 40.7%High third 2020: 32.1%High third 2021: 34.7%High third 2022: 35.1%High third 2023: 36.2%High third 2024: 37.6%High third 2025: 40.8%High third 2026: 37.1%37.1%

Win % of races by Year

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Is there a draw bias at Lingfield?

Over 1m, the most-run trip at Lingfield, the draw rates weak or none from 637 races. It stands out most over 1m2f, where the middle third has won 40.7% against 33.9% by chance (rated strong).

Does the draw work differently on Lingfield turf and Polytrack?

Every Lingfield table has a surface column, so turf and all-weather rows sit side by side. The headline figures above use the Polytrack, which stages most Lingfield Flat races.

How do going and field size change the draw at Lingfield?

The bias matrix gives every Lingfield trip rows for fast, good and soft ground and for 8 to 11, 12 to 15 and 16 or more runners, each with its own rating. Read the race count before the percentages.

Is the Lingfield draw bias still current?

The recency table sets each trip's record since 2016 beside the last three seasons, from 2024. Over 1m the check reads holding, from 144 recent races.

How is the bias rating worked out?

Winners from each draw third are tested against the share chance would give them, using a chi-square test. Strong means p below 0.01 from 100 or more races, moderate p below 0.05, and fewer than 40 races is not enough data.

Questions people ask

Is there a draw bias at Lingfield?

Over 1m, the most-run trip at Lingfield, the draw rates weak or none, with low draws winning 27.3% of 637 races against 29.9% by chance. It stands out most over 1m2f, where the middle third has won 40.7% against 33.9% (rated strong).

Which stall is best at Lingfield over 5f?

Stall 1 has the best top-three record over 5f at Lingfield since 2016, placing in 40.7% of 246 runs against 33.6% by chance. Single stalls swing on small samples, so the stall grid lists every stall with 50 or more runs at each trip.

Is a low or high draw better at Lingfield?

Across all distances since 2016, low draws have won 28.5% of Lingfield races against 29.7% by chance, and high draws 35.2% against 36.4%. The answer changes by trip, so check the bias matrix row for the race distance.

Is a low draw important over 5f on the Lingfield all-weather?

The 5f row for the all-weather surface in the distance table shows the low third against chance on Lingfield's sharpest trip. The individual stalls table covers the two most-run all-weather distances stall by stall.

How often are the Lingfield draw figures updated?

The figures are rebuilt every night from the RaceWatch results database, and the latest results included are from 15 October 2026. The bias matrix, ratings and stall grid use races since 2016, and the detailed thirds tables further down use races since 2019.

More free data

Draw bias at every courseCompare the thirds course by courseLingfield course guideResults, trainers and jockeys at the courseLingfield racecardsThe next meeting's full cardKempton draw biasThe same thirds at another courseChelmsford draw biasThe same thirds at another course

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