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Leopardstown draw bias: the Flat course in Dublin

At Leopardstown over 7f, the most-run Flat trip, low draws have won 31.4% of races of 8 or more runners since 2016 (255 races), middle draws 32.5% and high draws 36.1%, against 30.3%, 33.5% and 36.2% by chance. Bias rating: weak or none. Every trip, going and field size follows, with results to 15 October 2026.

Next Flat meeting at Leopardstown: Saturday 17 October 2026, 7 races and 74 declared runners placed in their draw third · Results to 15 October 2026 · Refreshed 16 October 2026
Weak or none
Rating on the most-run trip
1m1f
Trip where the draw stands out most
924
Races of 8+ runners since 2016
15 October 2026
Results up to
Low 31.4% v 30.3%

At Leopardstown over 7f, the course's most-run Flat trip, low draws have won 31.4% of races of 8 or more runners since 2016 (255 races), middle draws 32.5% and high draws 36.1%, against 30.3%, 33.5% and 36.2% by chance. Bias rating: weak or none.Sample: 255 races · Window: 6 April 2016 to 15 October 2026 · Source: RaceWatch results database (Flat results with stall draw), plus today's declarations for the next meeting

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Leopardstown draw bias by distance, going and field size

All distancesAll goingAll field sizes92411,79131.4%30.2%35.1%33.7%33.9%36.0%24.6%23.1%23.0%23.5%Middle +1.4 pts0.351Weak or none
7fAll goingAll field sizes2553,24431.4%30.3%32.5%33.5%36.1%36.2%25.8%21.0%24.1%23.6%Low +1.1 pts0.915Weak or none
7fFast (good to firm or firmer)All field sizes2934720.7%30.0%41.4%34.3%37.9%35.7%28.3%24.6%23.6%25.1%Middle +7.1 pts0.523Not enough data
7fGoodAll field sizes1511,93633.8%30.2%31.1%33.5%35.1%36.3%24.2%20.6%25.4%23.4%Low +3.6 pts0.627Weak or none
7fSoft (good to soft to heavy)All field sizes7596130.7%30.4%32.0%33.2%37.3%36.4%28.2%20.7%21.8%23.4%High +0.9 pts0.974Weak or none
7fAll going8 to 11 runners1041,00931.7%28.5%33.7%34.1%34.6%37.4%37.5%26.5%29.9%30.9%Low +3.2 pts0.736Weak or none
7fAll going12 to 15 runners941,26727.7%31.4%34.0%33.3%38.3%35.4%22.7%19.9%24.3%22.3%High +2.9 pts0.722Weak or none
7fAll going16 or more runners5796836.8%31.7%28.1%32.9%35.1%35.4%18.9%16.6%17.5%17.7%Low +5.1 pts0.641Weak or none
7fGood8 to 11 runners6159434.4%28.4%32.8%33.9%32.8%37.7%36.1%23.9%33.0%30.8%Low +6.0 pts0.549Weak or none
7fGood12 to 15 runners5371630.2%31.5%32.1%33.5%37.7%35.1%21.3%20.4%24.7%22.2%High +2.6 pts0.921Weak or none
7fGood16 or more runners3762637.8%31.6%27.0%32.9%35.1%35.6%17.2%17.5%18.5%17.7%Low +6.2 pts0.656Not enough data
7fSoft (good to soft to heavy)8 to 11 runners2929034.5%29.0%31.0%33.8%34.5%37.2%40.5%30.6%21.3%30.0%Low +5.5 pts0.811Not enough data
7fSoft (good to soft to heavy)12 to 15 runners3039623.3%30.9%40.0%32.8%36.7%36.4%23.0%20.0%25.0%22.7%Middle +7.2 pts0.597Not enough data
1mAll goingAll field sizes2473,12633.2%29.9%32.4%34.1%35.2%36.0%25.5%23.1%22.8%23.7%Low +3.3 pts0.570Weak or none
1mFast (good to firm or firmer)All field sizes2937134.5%29.8%41.4%34.5%27.6%35.8%29.5%21.3%20.5%23.5%Middle +6.9 pts0.559Not enough data
1mGoodAll field sizes1491,91530.9%30.2%30.2%33.9%38.9%35.9%23.5%22.7%23.8%23.3%High +3.0 pts0.604Weak or none
1mSoft (good to soft to heavy)All field sizes6984037.7%29.5%33.3%34.3%30.4%36.2%28.3%24.8%21.5%24.6%Low +8.2 pts0.333Weak or none
1mAll going8 to 11 runners1181,09328.0%28.6%32.2%34.9%40.7%36.5%32.5%31.6%33.1%32.4%High +4.2 pts0.661Weak or none
1mAll going12 to 15 runners6588335.4%31.4%35.4%33.4%29.2%35.3%23.5%22.4%20.6%22.1%Low +4.0 pts0.583Weak or none
1mAll going16 or more runners641,15040.6%30.9%29.7%33.4%31.3%35.7%20.8%15.3%14.4%16.7%Low +9.7 pts0.275Weak or none
1mGood8 to 11 runners6863426.5%28.9%32.4%34.5%41.2%36.6%31.0%30.7%34.5%32.2%High +4.6 pts0.729Weak or none
1mGood12 to 15 runners4156434.1%31.6%29.3%33.5%36.6%35.0%21.9%22.8%20.8%21.8%Low +2.5 pts0.846Weak or none
1mGood16 or more runners4071735.0%30.8%27.5%33.4%37.5%35.8%18.6%15.4%16.4%16.7%Low +4.2 pts0.714Weak or none
1mSoft (good to soft to heavy)8 to 11 runners3431332.4%28.0%26.5%35.6%41.2%36.4%33.0%33.3%31.6%32.6%High +4.8 pts0.541Not enough data
1mSoft (good to soft to heavy)12 to 15 runners2128038.1%31.1%47.6%33.2%14.3%35.7%26.4%22.6%19.0%22.5%Middle +14.4 pts0.113Not enough data
1m1fAll goingAll field sizes861,23629.1%30.7%41.9%33.4%29.1%35.8%20.6%22.4%19.7%20.9%Middle +8.5 pts0.224Weak or none
1m1fGoodAll field sizes6190231.1%30.7%39.3%33.4%29.5%36.0%19.3%19.4%22.0%20.3%Middle +5.9 pts0.504Weak or none
1m1fSoft (good to soft to heavy)All field sizes2127323.8%30.9%47.6%33.5%28.6%35.6%24.7%30.8%14.4%23.1%Middle +14.1 pts0.391Not enough data
1m1fAll going8 to 11 runners2119333.3%28.4%33.3%34.9%33.3%36.8%30.9%25.4%40.8%32.6%Low +4.9 pts0.876Not enough data
1m1fAll going12 to 15 runners3547234.3%31.6%45.7%33.0%20.0%35.4%24.8%25.6%16.8%22.2%Middle +12.7 pts0.126Not enough data
1m1fAll going16 or more runners3057120.0%31.4%43.3%33.0%36.7%35.6%13.9%18.6%14.8%15.8%Middle +10.3 pts0.326Not enough data
1m1fGood12 to 15 runners2229631.8%31.1%50.0%33.1%18.2%35.8%22.8%22.4%21.7%22.3%Middle +16.9 pts0.147Not enough data
1m1fGood16 or more runners2547924.0%31.7%40.0%32.8%36.0%35.5%14.5%16.6%15.9%15.7%Middle +7.2 pts0.651Not enough data
1m2fAll goingAll field sizes1331,63028.6%30.3%37.6%33.6%33.8%36.1%25.7%24.4%23.5%24.5%Middle +4.0 pts0.621Weak or none
1m2fGoodAll field sizes7488828.4%29.6%35.1%33.8%36.5%36.5%28.6%23.7%23.2%25.0%Middle +1.3 pts0.963Weak or none
1m2fSoft (good to soft to heavy)All field sizes4557128.9%31.0%33.3%33.3%37.8%35.7%21.9%24.2%24.6%23.6%High +2.1 pts0.941Weak or none
1m2fAll going8 to 11 runners6460034.4%28.9%34.4%34.0%31.3%37.1%37.9%30.0%29.1%32.0%Low +5.5 pts0.533Weak or none
1m2fAll going12 to 15 runners4355120.9%32.0%48.8%33.0%30.2%35.0%21.6%26.9%21.8%23.4%Middle +15.8 pts0.075Weak or none
1m2fAll going16 or more runners2647926.9%30.9%26.9%33.6%46.2%35.5%16.2%14.3%18.2%16.3%High +10.7 pts0.519Not enough data
1m2fGood8 to 11 runners3835131.6%28.3%34.2%34.4%34.2%37.3%39.0%31.7%28.2%32.5%Low +3.3 pts0.888Not enough data
1m2fGood12 to 15 runners2330221.7%31.2%43.5%33.1%34.8%35.7%24.5%22.0%22.2%22.8%Middle +10.4 pts0.492Not enough data
1m2fSoft (good to soft to heavy)8 to 11 runners2018940.0%29.6%30.0%33.5%30.0%37.0%37.5%27.0%31.4%31.7%Low +10.4 pts0.587Not enough data
1m4fAll goingAll field sizes7092132.9%30.5%37.1%33.7%30.0%35.8%24.0%22.6%22.0%22.8%Middle +3.4 pts0.594Weak or none
1m4fGoodAll field sizes5064632.0%30.5%38.0%34.0%30.0%35.5%25.1%21.5%23.2%23.2%Middle +4.0 pts0.703Weak or none
1m4fAll going8 to 11 runners3028030.0%29.2%33.3%33.7%36.7%37.1%36.6%24.5%35.6%32.1%Low +0.8 pts0.995Not enough data
1m4fAll going16 or more runners2342239.1%31.2%39.1%33.3%21.7%35.5%16.7%20.6%12.1%16.4%Low +7.9 pts0.384Not enough data
1m4fGood8 to 11 runners2220431.8%29.3%31.8%34.0%36.4%36.7%38.3%21.7%37.3%32.4%Low +2.5 pts0.962Not enough data
1m5fAll goingAll field sizes4863031.3%30.0%41.7%33.7%27.1%36.2%20.4%26.9%21.6%22.9%Middle +8.0 pts0.361Weak or none
1m5fGoodAll field sizes2939234.5%29.8%37.9%34.0%27.6%36.2%19.5%27.8%19.9%22.2%Low +4.7 pts0.623Not enough data
1m5fAll going8 to 11 runners2422533.3%29.3%50.0%33.9%16.7%36.8%27.3%42.1%26.5%32.0%Middle +16.1 pts0.099Not enough data
1m7fAll goingAll field sizes4252038.1%30.5%23.8%33.6%38.1%35.9%22.6%25.1%24.7%24.2%Low +7.6 pts0.358Weak or none
1m7fGoodAll field sizes2732229.6%29.9%29.6%33.6%40.7%36.5%25.8%25.0%24.8%25.2%High +4.2 pts0.877Not enough data
1m7fAll going8 to 11 runners2019245.0%29.7%20.0%33.4%35.0%36.9%29.8%34.4%29.6%31.2%Low +15.3 pts0.263Not enough data

Flat races at Leopardstown with 8 or more runners and a full draw, since 6 April 2016. Runners are split into low, middle and high thirds by stall order among the horses that ran. Win % is the share of races each third won; expected % is its share by chance given the field sizes. Top-3 % is the share of runners in that third who finished in the first three, against the chance rate. Going groups: fast is good to firm or firmer, soft is good to soft, yielding, soft and heavy. Bias rating uses a chi-square test of winners by third against chance (2 degrees of freedom): Strong means p below 0.01 from 100 or more races, Moderate p below 0.05, Weak or none p of 0.05 or more, and Not enough data fewer than 40 races. Rows with fewer than 20 races are hidden. Source: RaceWatch results database.

Leopardstown draw bias: since 2016 v the last three seasons

All distances92431.4%35.1%33.9%30.2%33.7%36.0%Weak or none25531.8%37.6%30.6%Weak or noneNo clear lean in either period
7f25531.4%32.5%36.1%30.3%33.5%36.2%Weak or none7337.0%27.4%35.6%Weak or noneNo clear lean in either period
1m24733.2%32.4%35.2%29.9%34.1%36.0%Weak or none6232.3%38.7%29.0%Weak or noneHolding
1m1f8629.1%41.9%29.1%30.7%33.4%35.8%Weak or none4233.3%40.5%26.2%Weak or noneHolding
1m2f13328.6%37.6%33.8%30.3%33.6%36.1%Weak or none3132.3%38.7%29.0%Not enough dataToo few recent races
1m4f7032.9%37.1%30.0%30.5%33.7%35.8%Weak or none1729.4%47.1%23.5%Not enough dataToo few recent races
1m5f4831.3%41.7%27.1%30.0%33.7%36.2%Weak or none1010.0%60.0%30.0%Not enough dataToo few recent races
1m7f4238.1%23.8%38.1%30.5%33.6%35.9%Weak or none1030.0%20.0%50.0%Not enough dataToo few recent races

Last three seasons means races since 1 January 2024. Is it current? compares the third that led over the whole window with its record lately: Holding means within 2 points of its long-run edge, Stronger or Weaker lately means more than 2 points either way, Gone lately means it no longer beats chance. 8 or more runners. Rows with fewer than 20 races are hidden.

Leopardstown stall by stall at each distance

7f1244197.8%8.3%27.9%24.9%+2.9
7f22332711.6%8.4%34.3%25.1%+9.2
7f3237229.3%8.4%24.5%25.1%-0.6
7f4237187.6%8.3%25.3%25.0%+0.3
7f5229156.6%8.3%24.5%24.9%-0.5
7f6230187.8%8.3%21.3%25.0%-3.7
7f7243249.9%8.3%20.6%25.0%-4.4
7f8234198.1%8.3%29.5%24.8%+4.7
7f9218177.8%8.1%20.6%24.2%-3.6
7f10220177.7%7.9%22.3%23.7%-1.5
7f11194136.7%7.6%22.7%22.9%-0.2
7f1216353.1%7.2%18.4%21.6%-3.2
7f1314496.3%6.9%20.8%20.8%+0.1
7f1411587.0%6.7%19.1%20.1%-0.9
7f15851112.9%6.4%18.8%19.2%-0.3
7f1671811.3%6.3%22.5%18.8%+3.8
7f175223.8%6.1%7.7%18.2%-10.5
1m1231208.7%8.6%26.8%25.8%+1.0
1m22332410.3%8.7%26.6%26.1%+0.5
1m32352811.9%8.7%30.2%26.0%+4.2
1m4236198.1%8.6%26.3%25.9%+0.4
1m5230208.7%8.7%28.3%26.0%+2.2
1m6233208.6%8.6%25.8%25.7%+0.1
1m7228219.2%8.7%24.6%26.0%-1.4
1m8234177.3%8.6%27.8%25.8%+2.0
1m9204188.8%8.2%23.0%24.5%-1.5
1m10182126.6%7.7%24.2%23.1%+1.1
1m11155149.0%7.3%25.2%21.8%+3.4
1m12141117.8%7.0%15.6%20.9%-5.3
1m1311632.6%6.5%13.8%19.6%-5.8
1m1410376.8%6.2%17.5%18.7%-1.2
1m159211.1%6.1%16.3%18.2%-1.8
1m167134.2%5.8%11.3%17.4%-6.1
1m175347.5%5.6%9.4%16.8%-7.4
1m1f18367.2%7.6%24.1%22.8%+1.3
1m1f280810.0%7.7%22.5%23.1%-0.6
1m1f380810.0%7.5%22.5%22.5%0.0
1m1f47722.6%7.6%13.0%22.7%-9.7
1m1f57933.8%7.7%20.3%23.0%-2.8
1m1f68067.5%7.7%20.0%23.0%-3.0
1m1f7761013.2%7.6%32.9%22.7%+10.2
1m1f877810.4%7.5%22.1%22.5%-0.4
1m1f97633.9%7.4%23.7%22.2%+1.5
1m1f1070811.4%6.9%21.4%20.8%+0.6
1m1f116557.7%6.8%27.7%20.3%+7.4
1m1f126269.7%6.4%22.6%19.3%+3.3
1m1f135700.0%6.5%15.8%19.5%-3.7
1m1f145024.0%6.2%20.0%18.6%+1.4
1m2f112475.6%8.8%25.8%26.5%-0.7
1m2f2129118.5%8.8%27.9%26.4%+1.5
1m2f3126129.5%8.8%28.6%26.4%+2.1
1m2f41241310.5%8.8%26.6%26.4%+0.2
1m2f512386.5%8.7%29.3%26.1%+3.1
1m2f6126107.9%8.9%19.8%26.6%-6.8
1m2f71271511.8%8.8%32.3%26.4%+5.9
1m2f81241411.3%8.9%22.6%26.7%-4.1
1m2f91131513.3%8.4%31.0%25.3%+5.7
1m2f1010265.9%8.0%27.5%24.1%+3.4
1m2f118311.2%7.4%14.5%22.3%-7.9
1m2f127468.1%7.4%17.6%22.1%-4.5
1m2f135535.5%6.8%16.4%20.4%-4.1
1m4f16457.8%8.3%25.0%25.0%0.0
1m4f266710.6%8.4%24.2%25.3%-1.1
1m4f36469.4%8.5%23.4%25.4%-1.9
1m4f46669.1%8.4%28.8%25.2%+3.6
1m4f56868.8%8.4%23.5%25.1%-1.5
1m4f66269.7%8.4%19.4%25.3%-6.0
1m4f76657.6%8.5%31.8%25.4%+6.4
1m4f86269.7%8.3%29.0%25.0%+4.0
1m4f96046.7%8.0%25.0%24.1%+0.9
1m4f105247.7%7.6%19.2%22.8%-3.6

Stall is the stall number drawn. Every distance with 60 or more races of 8 or more runners since 2016; stalls with fewer than 50 runs are hidden. Top-3 % is steadier than win % for a single stall, so read it first.

Leopardstown draw by distance, 8 or more runners

All distances69930.9%30.3%36.1%33.7%33.0%36.0%24.0%23.4%23.0%
7f20034.0%30.3%30.5%33.4%35.5%36.3%25.4%21.2%24.3%
1m18133.1%30.1%33.7%34.0%33.1%35.9%25.0%23.3%23.3%
1m1f7828.2%30.8%44.9%33.5%26.9%35.7%20.7%22.8%19.4%
1m2f9928.3%30.1%38.4%33.7%33.3%36.2%25.0%24.8%23.1%
1m4f5728.1%30.5%42.1%33.9%29.8%35.6%23.5%23.8%21.6%
1m5f3330.3%30.1%42.4%33.5%27.3%36.4%17.9%27.0%22.5%
1m7f2832.1%30.4%28.6%33.8%39.3%35.9%23.1%26.1%24.6%

Flat races at Leopardstown with 8 or more runners since 1 January 2019. Win % is the share of races won by each third of the draw expected % is the share that third would win by chance given the field sizes run. Thirds are set by stall order among the horses that ran, so non-runners do not shift them. Place % is per runner. Distances with fewer than 20 races are hidden. Source: RaceWatch results database.

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Leopardstown draw thirds overall, 8 or more runners

Low69930.9%30.3%7.9%2,74121624.0%
Middle69936.1%33.7%8.4%3,01125223.4%
High69933.0%36.0%7.2%3,21323123.0%

All distances pooled. Strike rate is wins per runner in that third. BSP figures are not shown because the window starts before March 2024.

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Leopardstown draw by distance, all field sizes

All distances89030.1%29.8%36.3%33.4%33.6%36.8%
7f24732.8%29.7%30.0%33.3%37.2%37.0%
1m22431.3%29.8%33.9%33.6%34.8%36.6%
1m1f10230.4%30.5%45.1%32.9%24.5%36.6%
1m2f12427.4%29.4%38.7%33.5%33.9%37.0%
1m4f7227.8%29.9%44.4%33.4%27.8%36.7%
1m5f4327.9%29.7%39.5%33.2%32.6%37.1%
1m6f2025.0%29.5%50.0%33.2%25.0%37.3%
1m7f3333.3%29.3%27.3%34.0%39.4%36.7%

Every Flat race at Leopardstown with 3 or more runners since 1 January 2019. Small fields dilute any draw effect, so compare with the 8 or more runners table. Distances with fewer than 20 races are hidden.

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Leopardstown draw by field size

3 to 7 runnersAll distances19127.2%28.0%37.2%32.2%35.6%39.8%
8 to 11 runnersAll distances29631.1%28.8%35.8%34.3%33.1%37.0%
12 to 15 runnersAll distances23230.2%31.4%38.8%33.3%31.0%35.2%
16 or more runnersAll distances17131.6%31.3%32.7%33.2%35.7%35.5%
3 to 7 runners7f4727.7%27.2%27.7%32.7%44.7%40.1%
8 to 11 runners7f8235.4%28.5%31.7%33.8%32.9%37.7%
12 to 15 runners7f7429.7%31.4%35.1%33.3%35.1%35.4%
16 or more runners7f4438.6%31.7%20.5%32.9%40.9%35.3%
3 to 7 runners1m4323.3%28.8%34.9%31.6%41.9%39.6%
8 to 11 runners1m8427.4%28.7%33.3%34.8%39.3%36.5%
12 to 15 runners1m5437.0%31.4%38.9%33.5%24.1%35.1%
16 or more runners1m4339.5%31.0%27.9%33.2%32.6%35.8%
3 to 7 runners1m1f2437.5%29.4%45.8%31.1%16.7%39.5%
12 to 15 runners1m1f3435.3%31.6%47.1%33.1%17.6%35.3%
16 or more runners1m1f2615.4%31.4%50.0%33.2%34.6%35.4%
3 to 7 runners1m2f2524.0%27.0%40.0%32.6%36.0%40.4%
8 to 11 runners1m2f4634.8%28.6%32.6%34.3%32.6%37.1%
12 to 15 runners1m2f3221.9%31.6%50.0%33.0%28.1%35.4%
16 or more runners1m2f2123.8%30.9%33.3%33.7%42.9%35.4%
8 to 11 runners1m4f2425.0%29.3%41.7%34.1%33.3%36.6%

Field size is the number of runners that took part. Cells with fewer than 20 races are hidden.

Leopardstown draw by going, 8 or more runners

Good to firm or firmerAll distances3534.3%31.1%28.6%35.1%37.1%
GoodAll distances48731.4%30.2%33.9%36.0%34.7%
Good to soft or yieldingAll distances5024.0%30.3%38.0%35.7%38.0%
SoftAll distances7332.9%30.5%28.8%36.0%38.4%
HeavyAll distances5427.8%29.9%29.6%36.8%42.6%
Good7f13334.6%30.3%35.3%36.2%30.1%
Soft7f2729.6%29.9%29.6%36.8%40.7%
Good1m12532.8%30.3%35.2%35.8%32.0%
Good1m1f5630.4%30.7%26.8%35.9%42.9%
Good1m2f6428.1%29.5%35.9%36.5%35.9%
Good1m4f4531.1%30.6%28.9%35.4%40.0%
Good1m5f2433.3%29.7%33.3%36.5%33.3%
Good1m7f2128.6%29.9%38.1%36.4%33.3%

Official going grouped into bands (yielding counts with good to soft). All-weather races show as AW. Cells with fewer than 20 races are hidden.

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Leopardstown individual stalls, most-run distances

7f1189157.9%8.3%27.5%
7f21802212.2%8.3%33.3%
7f31841910.3%8.4%22.8%
7f4186147.5%8.4%26.9%
7f5174105.7%8.3%24.1%
7f6180147.8%8.3%22.2%
7f71901910.0%8.3%18.4%
7f8183147.7%8.2%30.1%
7f9171105.8%8.1%19.9%
7f10175158.6%8.0%22.9%
7f11153117.2%7.7%24.2%
7f1212810.8%7.3%15.6%
7f1311497.9%7.0%23.7%
1m1167137.8%8.6%24.6%
1m2167159.0%8.7%25.7%
1m31722212.8%8.7%30.2%
1m4172158.7%8.6%27.3%
1m51681810.7%8.7%29.2%
1m6169158.9%8.5%24.3%
1m7166148.4%8.7%25.3%
1m8169105.9%8.6%28.4%
1m9154149.1%8.3%21.4%
1m1013575.2%7.8%27.4%
1m111131210.6%7.4%26.5%
1m1210387.8%7.0%15.5%

The two most-run distances at Leopardstown in races of 8 or more runners since 2019. Stall is the stall number drawn. Expected win % is the chance of a single runner given the field sizes it ran in. Stalls with fewer than 100 runs are hidden.

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Leopardstown 7f: win % by draw third, since 2016 v last three seasons, 8 or more runners
Since 2016Since 2024Expected by chance
0%10%20%30%40%LowMiddleHighSince 2016 Low: 31.4%Since 2016 Middle: 32.5%Since 2016 High: 36.1%Since 2024 Low: 37%Since 2024 Middle: 27.4%Since 2024 High: 35.6%Expected by chance Low: 30.3%Expected by chance Middle: 33.5%Expected by chance High: 36.2%

Win % of races by Draw third

Leopardstown next Flat meeting, 17 October 2026, with the draw record

17 Oct 2613:57Irish EBF Fillies Maiden-1m½f130------
17 Oct 2614:32Irish EBF (C & G) Maiden-1m½f150------
17 Oct 2615:07Mongey Communications Eyrefield StakesClass 11m1f610230.4%45.1%24.5%30.5%32.9%36.6%
17 Oct 2615:40Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden-7f1320034.0%30.5%35.5%30.3%33.4%36.3%
17 Oct 2616:15Mongey Communications Killavullan StakesClass 17f724732.8%30.0%37.2%29.7%33.3%37.0%
17 Oct 2616:50Irish Stallion Farms EBF (C & G) Maiden-7f1220034.0%30.5%35.5%30.3%33.4%36.3%
17 Oct 2617:20Irish Stallion Farms EBF Nursery Handicap-1m½f80------

Declared runners exclude non-runners. Races of 8 or more declared runners use the 8 or more runners record at the same distance, smaller fields use the all field sizes record. Blank history means fewer than 20 races at that distance since 2019.

Leopardstown 7f win % by stall, 8 or more runners
Win %Expected by chance
0%5%10%15%20%Stall 1Stall 2Stall 3Stall 4Stall 5Stall 6Stall 7Stall 8Stall 9Stall 10Stall 11Stall 12Stall 13Win % Stall 1: 7.9%7.9%Win % Stall 2: 12.2%12.2%Win % Stall 3: 10.3%10.3%Win % Stall 4: 7.5%7.5%Win % Stall 5: 5.7%5.7%Win % Stall 6: 7.8%7.8%Win % Stall 7: 10%10%Win % Stall 8: 7.7%7.7%Win % Stall 9: 5.8%5.8%Win % Stall 10: 8.6%8.6%Win % Stall 11: 7.2%7.2%Win % Stall 12: 0.8%0.8%Win % Stall 13: 7.9%7.9%Expected by chance Stall 1: 8.3%8.3%Expected by chance Stall 2: 8.3%8.3%Expected by chance Stall 3: 8.4%8.4%Expected by chance Stall 4: 8.4%8.4%Expected by chance Stall 5: 8.3%8.3%Expected by chance Stall 6: 8.3%8.3%Expected by chance Stall 7: 8.3%8.3%Expected by chance Stall 8: 8.2%8.2%Expected by chance Stall 9: 8.1%8.1%Expected by chance Stall 10: 8%8%Expected by chance Stall 11: 7.7%7.7%Expected by chance Stall 12: 7.3%7.3%Expected by chance Stall 13: 7%7%

Win % by Stall

Declared runners by draw third, next Flat meeting

13:57Duchessofaquitaine silksDuchessofaquitaine1Low--1m½f13-
13:57Hamara2Low--1m½f13-
13:57Hanawa silksHanawa3Low--1m½f13-
13:57Captivating silksCaptivating4Low--1m½f13-
13:57Speckles silksSpeckles5Middle--1m½f13-
13:57Bridal Queen6Middle--1m½f13-
13:57State Of Clarity silksState Of Clarity7Middle--1m½f13-
13:57Angel Invincible silksAngel Invincible8Middle--1m½f13-
13:57Viola Young9High--1m½f13-
13:57Unreal Friend silksUnreal Friend10High--1m½f13-
13:57Emtee11High--1m½f13-
13:57Gods Love silksGods Love12High--1m½f13-
13:57Zenith Blaze silksZenith Blaze13High--1m½f13-
14:32Etawann1Low--1m½f15-
14:32Aladdin's Cave silksAladdin's Cave2Low--1m½f15-
14:32Pirate Of Penzance silksPirate Of Penzance3Low--1m½f15-
14:32Silent Kingdom silksSilent Kingdom4Low--1m½f15-
14:32Midnight Ace5Low--1m½f15-
14:32Saxonian silksSaxonian6Middle--1m½f15-
14:32Captaincormac7Middle--1m½f15-
14:32The Pintline8Middle--1m½f15-
14:32Special Reserve9Middle--1m½f15-
14:32Kingdom Of Camelot silksKingdom Of Camelot10Middle--1m½f15-
14:32Louis De Foix11High--1m½f15-
14:32Mashad12High--1m½f15-
14:32Mount Meru silksMount Meru13High--1m½f15-
14:32Ah Sure Look silksAh Sure Look14High--1m½f15-
14:32Raqi silksRaqi15High--1m½f15-
15:07Zarak Pasha silksZarak Pasha1Low30.4%30.5%1m1f6102
15:07Leadlight silksLeadlight2Low30.4%30.5%1m1f6102
15:07Wall Street silksWall Street3Middle45.1%32.9%1m1f6102
15:07Arizona Raider silksArizona Raider4Middle45.1%32.9%1m1f6102
15:07Wunderschon silksWunderschon5High24.5%36.6%1m1f6102
15:07Albany County silksAlbany County6High24.5%36.6%1m1f6102
15:40Lady Letita1Low34.0%30.3%7f13200
15:40Ita Florence silksIta Florence2Low34.0%30.3%7f13200
15:40Ria's Angel3Low34.0%30.3%7f13200
15:40Fahrana silksFahrana4Low34.0%30.3%7f13200
15:40Velvet Dusk5Middle30.5%33.4%7f13200
15:40Snowing silksSnowing6Middle30.5%33.4%7f13200
15:40Miss Hong Kong silksMiss Hong Kong7Middle30.5%33.4%7f13200
15:40Oath Of Honor8Middle30.5%33.4%7f13200
15:40Taranga9High35.5%36.3%7f13200
15:40Sweet Disposition10High35.5%36.3%7f13200
15:40Sensational Filly silksSensational Filly11High35.5%36.3%7f13200
15:40Acquilyx silksAcquilyx12High35.5%36.3%7f13200
15:40Anymore silksAnymore13High35.5%36.3%7f13200
16:15Capability Brown silksCapability Brown1Low32.8%29.7%7f7247
16:15Switching Sides silksSwitching Sides2Low32.8%29.7%7f7247
16:15Fighting Tears silksFighting Tears3Middle30.0%33.3%7f7247

Each declared runner placed in its third by stall order among the declared runners (first 50 runners of the meeting). Figures are the course and distance record for that third since 2019.

Latest Flat winners at Leopardstown and their draw

12 Sep 26Maire Rua (GB) silksMaire Rua (GB)11High107f3.50
12 Sep 26Rebel Wave (IRE) silksRebel Wave (IRE)1Low181m8.00
12 Sep 26Immutable (IRE) silksImmutable (IRE)23High211m5f26.00
12 Sep 26Quddwah (GB) silksQuddwah (GB)3Low71m2.00
12 Sep 26Arabian Crown (FR) silksArabian Crown (FR)1Low101m4f12.00
12 Sep 26Krasimir (IRE) silksKrasimir (IRE)10Middle177f8.50
12 Sep 26Blue Bolt (IRE) silksBlue Bolt (IRE)9High91m1.80
12 Sep 26Darkness Falls (IRE) silksDarkness Falls (IRE)6Middle91m1f2.00
12 Sep 26Hotazhell (GB) silksHotazhell (GB)1Low81m2f51.00
20 Aug 26Tachos (IRE) silksTachos (IRE)1Low81m4.00
20 Aug 26Uncle Goalie (IRE) silksUncle Goalie (IRE)7Middle131m3.75
20 Aug 26Ben Hur (IRE) silksBen Hur (IRE)5Middle111m5f2.75
20 Aug 26Highwayman (FR) silksHighwayman (FR)6Middle91m6f23.00
20 Aug 26Naoi (IRE) silksNaoi (IRE)10Middle147f21.00
20 Aug 26Banks Of The Boyne (IRE) silksBanks Of The Boyne (IRE)4Low147f3.25
20 Aug 26So Lovely (USA) silksSo Lovely (USA)7Middle147f1.40
6 Aug 26Boxing Great (IRE) silksBoxing Great (IRE)2Low91m7f2.75
6 Aug 26Bella Colombia (IRE) silksBella Colombia (IRE)3Low221m1f7.00
6 Aug 26Launch Time (GB) silksLaunch Time (GB)16High177f4.50
6 Aug 26Hard Promises (IRE) silksHard Promises (IRE)3Low141m1f2.25

The 20 most recent Flat races at Leopardstown in the data with a full draw.

Leopardstown win % of races by draw third and distance, 8 or more runners
Low thirdMiddle thirdHigh third
0%20%40%60%80%7f1m1m1f1m2f1m4f1m5f1m7fLow third 7f: 34%Low third 1m: 33.1%Low third 1m1f: 28.2%Low third 1m2f: 28.3%Low third 1m4f: 28.1%Low third 1m5f: 30.3%Low third 1m7f: 32.1%Middle third 7f: 30.5%Middle third 1m: 33.7%Middle third 1m1f: 44.9%Middle third 1m2f: 38.4%Middle third 1m4f: 42.1%Middle third 1m5f: 42.4%Middle third 1m7f: 28.6%High third 7f: 35.5%High third 1m: 33.1%High third 1m1f: 26.9%High third 1m2f: 33.3%High third 1m4f: 29.8%High third 1m5f: 27.3%High third 1m7f: 39.3%

Win % of races by Distance

Leopardstown win % of races by draw third and year, 8 or more runners
Low thirdMiddle thirdHigh third
10%20%30%40%50%20192020202120222023202420252026Low third 2019: 35%Low third 2020: 35.1%Low third 2021: 32.4%Low third 2022: 19.2%Low third 2023: 28.9%Low third 2024: 35.2%Low third 2025: 26.4%Low third 2026: 33.8%33.8%Middle third 2019: 35%Middle third 2020: 28.7%Middle third 2021: 38.2%Middle third 2022: 42.3%Middle third 2023: 32.2%Middle third 2024: 30.8%Middle third 2025: 43.7%Middle third 2026: 39%39%High third 2019: 30%High third 2020: 36.2%High third 2021: 29.4%High third 2022: 38.5%High third 2023: 38.9%High third 2024: 34.1%High third 2025: 29.9%High third 2026: 27.3%27.3%

Win % of races by Year

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Is there a draw bias at Leopardstown?

Over 7f, the most-run trip at Leopardstown, the draw rates weak or none from 255 races. It stands out most over 1m1f, where the middle third has won 41.9% against 33.4% by chance (rated weak or none).

Does the draw matter in Leopardstown's big 7f and mile handicaps?

Leopardstown's 7f and mile rows carry most of its Flat sample, and the field size table covers its biggest handicap fields. Across all distances pooled, the thirds sit within a few points of chance.

How do going and field size change the draw at Leopardstown?

The bias matrix gives every Leopardstown trip rows for fast, good and soft ground and for 8 to 11, 12 to 15 and 16 or more runners, each with its own rating. Read the race count before the percentages.

Is the Leopardstown draw bias still current?

The recency table sets each trip's record since 2016 beside the last three seasons, from 2024. Over 7f the check reads no clear lean in either period, from 73 recent races.

How is the bias rating worked out?

Winners from each draw third are tested against the share chance would give them, using a chi-square test. Strong means p below 0.01 from 100 or more races, moderate p below 0.05, and fewer than 40 races is not enough data.

Questions people ask

Is there a draw bias at Leopardstown?

Over 7f, the most-run trip at Leopardstown, the draw rates weak or none, with low draws winning 31.4% of 255 races against 30.3% by chance. It stands out most over 1m1f, where the middle third has won 41.9% against 33.4% (rated weak or none).

Which stall is best at Leopardstown over 7f?

Stall 2 has the best top-three record over 7f at Leopardstown since 2016, placing in 34.3% of 233 runs against 23.6% by chance. Single stalls swing on small samples, so the stall grid lists every stall with 50 or more runs at each trip.

Is a low or high draw better at Leopardstown?

Across all distances since 2016, low draws have won 31.4% of Leopardstown races against 30.2% by chance, and high draws 33.9% against 36%. The answer changes by trip, so check the bias matrix row for the race distance.

Is the draw relevant in the Irish Champion Stakes?

The Irish Champion Stakes is a Group 1 over 1m2f, so the 1m2f row in the distance table is the closest guide. The page covers every Leopardstown race at the trip rather than tracking a single race.

How often are the Leopardstown draw figures updated?

The figures are rebuilt every night from the RaceWatch results database, and the latest results included are from 15 October 2026. The bias matrix, ratings and stall grid use races since 2016, and the detailed thirds tables further down use races since 2019.

More free data

Draw bias at every courseCompare the thirds course by courseLeopardstown course guideResults, trainers and jockeys at the courseLeopardstown racecardsThe next meeting's full cardIrish Champions FestivalFestival results and recordsIrish Champion Stakes roll of honourPast winners of the race

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