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Hamilton draw bias: the undulating straight and the loop

At Hamilton over 6f, the most-run Flat trip, low draws have won 30.3% of races of 8 or more runners since 2016 (175 races), middle draws 34.3% and high draws 36%, against 29.5%, 34.2% and 36.3% by chance. Bias rating: weak or none. Every trip, going and field size follows, with results to 15 October 2026.

No Flat meeting at Hamilton declared yet. Latest Flat race in the data: 28 September 2026 · Results to 15 October 2026 · Refreshed 16 October 2026
Weak or none
Rating on the most-run trip
1m½f
Trip where the draw stands out most
661
Races of 8+ runners since 2016
15 October 2026
Results up to
Low 30.3% v 29.5%

At Hamilton over 6f, the course's most-run Flat trip, low draws have won 30.3% of races of 8 or more runners since 2016 (175 races), middle draws 34.3% and high draws 36.0%, against 29.5%, 34.2% and 36.3% by chance. Bias rating: weak or none.Sample: 175 races · Window: 1 May 2016 to 15 October 2026 · Source: RaceWatch results database (Flat results with stall draw), plus today's declarations for the next meeting

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Hamilton draw bias by distance, going and field size

All distancesAll goingAll field sizes6616,61132.1%29.3%34.5%34.4%33.6%36.3%32.4%29.4%28.7%30.0%Low +2.8 pts0.215Weak or none
5fAll goingAll field sizes1161,13226.7%29.1%37.1%34.6%36.2%36.3%30.9%31.9%29.5%30.7%Middle +2.5 pts0.807Weak or none
5fFast (good to firm or firmer)All field sizes2725529.6%29.2%37.0%34.7%33.3%36.1%38.7%28.4%29.3%31.8%Middle +2.3 pts0.951Not enough data
5fGoodAll field sizes3837328.9%28.1%34.2%35.2%36.8%36.7%30.8%29.2%31.6%30.6%Low +0.8 pts0.990Not enough data
5fSoft (good to soft to heavy)All field sizes5150423.5%29.7%39.2%34.1%37.3%36.1%27.2%35.7%28.0%30.4%Middle +5.1 pts0.586Weak or none
5fAll going8 to 11 runners9485222.3%28.4%38.3%35.0%39.4%36.6%32.1%34.7%32.4%33.1%Middle +3.3 pts0.429Weak or none
5fAll going12 to 15 runners2228045.5%32.2%31.8%32.9%22.7%34.9%27.8%22.8%20.4%23.6%Low +13.3 pts0.342Not enough data
5fFast (good to firm or firmer)8 to 11 runners2421625.0%29.0%37.5%34.9%37.5%36.1%36.5%30.7%33.3%33.3%Middle +2.6 pts0.907Not enough data
5fGood8 to 11 runners2824621.4%26.6%39.3%36.0%39.3%37.4%33.3%34.1%34.8%34.1%Middle +3.3 pts0.820Not enough data
5fSoft (good to soft to heavy)8 to 11 runners4239021.4%29.2%38.1%34.5%40.5%36.4%28.9%37.3%30.3%32.3%High +4.1 pts0.544Weak or none
6fAll goingAll field sizes1751,76130.3%29.5%34.3%34.2%36.0%36.3%28.9%30.0%30.6%29.8%Low +0.8 pts0.979Weak or none
6fFast (good to firm or firmer)All field sizes3331624.2%28.8%33.3%34.4%42.4%36.8%32.6%28.7%32.8%31.3%High +5.6 pts0.765Not enough data
6fGoodAll field sizes5050932.0%29.7%42.0%34.5%28.0%35.8%28.9%32.0%27.5%29.5%Middle +7.5 pts0.413Weak or none
6fSoft (good to soft to heavy)All field sizes9293631.5%29.6%30.4%34.0%38.0%36.4%27.6%29.3%31.5%29.5%Low +1.9 pts0.766Weak or none
6fAll going8 to 11 runners1381,26927.5%29.0%32.6%34.4%40.6%36.6%29.8%32.0%35.7%32.6%High +4.0 pts0.661Weak or none
6fAll going12 to 15 runners3749240.5%31.4%40.5%33.5%18.9%35.1%26.6%24.8%16.8%22.6%Low +9.1 pts0.116Not enough data
6fFast (good to firm or firmer)8 to 11 runners2824828.6%28.4%28.6%34.5%42.9%37.0%38.0%29.4%34.8%33.9%High +5.9 pts0.762Not enough data
6fGood8 to 11 runners3733927.0%29.1%40.5%34.6%35.1%36.3%28.3%36.8%32.5%32.7%Middle +5.9 pts0.802Not enough data
6fSoft (good to soft to heavy)8 to 11 runners7368227.4%29.1%30.1%34.3%42.5%36.6%27.6%30.5%37.6%32.1%High +5.9 pts0.570Weak or none
1m½fAll goingAll field sizes1431,45037.1%29.3%33.6%34.3%29.4%36.4%37.3%26.6%26.1%29.6%Low +7.8 pts0.086Weak or none
1m½fFast (good to firm or firmer)All field sizes2828742.9%29.2%28.6%34.8%28.6%35.9%38.8%27.3%23.3%29.3%Low +13.7 pts0.283Not enough data
1m½fGoodAll field sizes4445527.3%30.1%36.4%33.2%36.4%36.6%30.4%28.7%28.1%29.0%Middle +3.2 pts0.881Weak or none
1m½fSoft (good to soft to heavy)All field sizes7170840.8%28.8%33.8%34.7%25.4%36.5%41.3%25.0%26.0%30.1%Low +12.0 pts0.051Weak or none
1m½fAll going8 to 11 runners10495630.8%28.4%35.6%35.0%33.7%36.6%36.6%31.2%30.9%32.6%Low +2.4 pts0.796Weak or none
1m½fAll going12 to 15 runners3949453.8%31.7%28.2%32.4%17.9%35.9%38.5%16.9%16.9%23.7%Low +22.1 pts0.007Not enough data
1m½fGood8 to 11 runners3027720.0%29.5%40.0%33.7%40.0%36.7%28.0%32.3%36.3%32.5%Middle +6.3 pts0.509Not enough data
1m½fSoft (good to soft to heavy)8 to 11 runners5651635.7%28.2%33.9%35.2%30.4%36.6%41.1%29.3%29.1%32.6%Low +7.5 pts0.416Weak or none
1m1fAll goingAll field sizes8788035.6%29.6%32.2%34.4%32.2%36.0%34.2%28.6%26.9%29.7%Low +6.0 pts0.467Weak or none
1m1fGoodAll field sizes2827832.1%29.2%21.4%34.4%46.4%36.4%30.5%27.4%32.7%30.2%High +10.0 pts0.330Not enough data
1m1fSoft (good to soft to heavy)All field sizes4648239.1%29.8%34.8%34.4%26.1%35.8%35.9%29.7%21.5%28.6%Low +9.3 pts0.281Weak or none
1m1fAll going8 to 11 runners6762035.8%28.9%32.8%34.6%31.3%36.4%38.9%30.4%29.2%32.4%Low +6.9 pts0.443Weak or none
1m1fAll going12 to 15 runners2026035.0%32.0%30.0%33.4%35.0%34.6%24.1%24.1%21.1%23.1%Low +3.0 pts0.938Not enough data
1m1fGood8 to 11 runners2321439.1%28.4%26.1%34.7%34.8%36.9%34.4%31.1%31.6%32.2%Low +10.7 pts0.483Not enough data
1m1fSoft (good to soft to heavy)8 to 11 runners3128635.5%28.9%32.3%34.7%32.3%36.3%43.4%31.3%25.0%32.5%Low +6.6 pts0.720Not enough data
1m3fAll goingAll field sizes4240035.7%28.5%33.3%35.1%31.0%36.3%39.1%26.4%30.3%31.5%Low +7.2 pts0.568Weak or none
1m3fSoft (good to soft to heavy)All field sizes2019125.0%29.1%40.0%34.7%35.0%36.2%37.5%30.3%27.5%31.4%Middle +5.3 pts0.868Not enough data
1m3fAll going8 to 11 runners3632036.1%28.3%33.3%35.2%30.6%36.6%42.9%27.7%32.5%33.7%Low +7.8 pts0.556Not enough data
1m4fAll goingAll field sizes6364031.7%29.2%38.1%34.3%30.2%36.6%29.8%30.3%28.6%29.5%Middle +3.8 pts0.572Weak or none
1m4fSoft (good to soft to heavy)All field sizes4041837.5%29.8%32.5%33.6%30.0%36.6%29.6%29.3%27.5%28.7%Low +7.7 pts0.523Weak or none
1m4fAll going8 to 11 runners5046530.0%28.7%36.0%34.7%34.0%36.5%32.1%32.3%32.4%32.3%Low +1.3 pts0.933Weak or none
1m4fSoft (good to soft to heavy)8 to 11 runners3129732.3%29.3%32.3%34.1%35.5%36.6%31.0%30.7%32.1%31.3%Low +3.0 pts0.935Not enough data
1m5fAll goingAll field sizes3534825.7%29.7%31.4%33.8%42.9%36.5%26.9%33.3%29.9%30.2%High +6.4 pts0.730Not enough data
1m5fAll going8 to 11 runners2826025.0%29.1%35.7%34.0%39.3%36.9%27.6%39.8%29.2%32.3%High +2.4 pts0.890Not enough data

Flat races at Hamilton with 8 or more runners and a full draw, since 1 May 2016. Runners are split into low, middle and high thirds by stall order among the horses that ran. Win % is the share of races each third won; expected % is its share by chance given the field sizes. Top-3 % is the share of runners in that third who finished in the first three, against the chance rate. Going groups: fast is good to firm or firmer, soft is good to soft, yielding, soft and heavy. Bias rating uses a chi-square test of winners by third against chance (2 degrees of freedom): Strong means p below 0.01 from 100 or more races, Moderate p below 0.05, Weak or none p of 0.05 or more, and Not enough data fewer than 40 races. Rows with fewer than 20 races are hidden. Source: RaceWatch results database.

Hamilton draw bias: since 2016 v the last three seasons

All distances66132.1%34.5%33.6%29.3%34.4%36.3%Weak or none16132.9%31.1%36.6%Weak or noneHolding
5f11626.7%37.1%36.2%29.1%34.6%36.3%Weak or none3528.6%37.1%34.3%Not enough dataToo few recent races
6f17530.3%34.3%36.0%29.5%34.2%36.3%Weak or none3831.6%34.2%36.8%Not enough dataToo few recent races
1m½f14337.1%33.6%29.4%29.3%34.3%36.4%Weak or none3135.5%35.5%29.0%Not enough dataToo few recent races
1m1f8735.6%32.2%32.2%29.6%34.4%36.0%Weak or none1729.4%11.8%58.8%Not enough dataToo few recent races
1m3f4235.7%33.3%31.0%28.5%35.1%36.3%Weak or none1323.1%38.5%38.5%Not enough dataToo few recent races
1m4f6331.7%38.1%30.2%29.2%34.3%36.6%Weak or none1442.9%28.6%28.6%Not enough dataToo few recent races
1m5f3525.7%31.4%42.9%29.7%33.8%36.5%Not enough data1346.2%15.4%38.5%Not enough dataToo few recent races

Last three seasons means races since 1 January 2024. Is it current? compares the third that led over the whole window with its record lately: Holding means within 2 points of its long-run edge, Stronger or Weaker lately means more than 2 points either way, Gone lately means it no longer beats chance. 8 or more runners. Rows with fewer than 20 races are hidden.

Hamilton stall by stall at each distance

5f110876.5%10.6%25.9%31.8%-5.9
5f21081110.2%10.6%31.5%31.7%-0.2
5f31081513.9%10.5%35.2%31.5%+3.7
5f41101412.7%10.6%43.6%31.8%+11.8
5f5108109.3%10.5%31.5%31.5%-0.1
5f6110109.1%10.5%29.1%31.6%-2.5
5f710998.3%10.6%33.0%31.7%+1.3
5f81101110.0%10.6%26.4%31.8%-5.5
5f986910.5%10.1%25.6%30.4%-4.8
5f1062914.5%9.3%30.6%28.0%+2.7
6f11612113.0%10.3%31.7%30.9%+0.8
6f21702011.8%10.3%30.0%30.8%-0.8
6f3163148.6%10.3%28.2%30.9%-2.7
6f41651710.3%10.3%29.1%30.8%-1.7
6f5155106.5%10.3%34.2%30.8%+3.4
6f61631911.7%10.2%31.3%30.7%+0.6
6f71612012.4%10.3%34.2%30.9%+3.3
6f8170148.2%10.3%32.4%30.8%+1.6
6f91402014.3%9.9%31.4%29.6%+1.8
6f10110109.1%9.4%33.6%28.3%+5.3
6f117445.4%8.7%18.9%26.1%-7.1
6f125147.8%8.2%19.6%24.7%-5.1
1m½f11341914.2%10.2%46.3%30.5%+15.8
1m½f21321813.6%10.1%40.2%30.2%+9.9
1m½f3133139.8%10.1%27.1%30.3%-3.3
1m½f41311813.7%10.2%36.6%30.5%+6.1
1m½f51331511.3%10.1%27.8%30.4%-2.5
1m½f6134107.5%10.2%26.9%30.7%-3.8
1m½f713286.1%10.2%26.5%30.5%-4.0
1m½f8134139.7%10.2%23.9%30.6%-6.7
1m½f9116108.6%9.8%23.3%29.4%-6.1
1m½f10911011.0%9.4%33.0%28.3%+4.7
1m½f116746.0%8.7%26.9%26.2%+0.6
1m½f125112.0%8.3%11.8%25.0%-13.2
1m1f181911.1%10.2%33.3%30.5%+2.8
1m1f2841517.9%10.2%42.9%30.5%+12.4
1m1f38244.9%10.1%26.8%30.4%-3.6
1m1f48067.5%10.2%23.8%30.5%-6.8
1m1f580810.0%10.1%41.3%30.3%+10.9
1m1f68267.3%10.2%22.0%30.6%-8.6
1m1f7841113.1%10.2%31.0%30.7%+0.3
1m1f8801215.0%10.2%30.0%30.7%-0.7
1m1f97168.5%9.8%25.4%29.3%-3.9
1m1f105235.8%9.3%28.8%28.0%+0.8
1m4f160610.0%10.1%21.7%30.4%-8.8
1m4f258813.8%10.1%36.2%30.4%+5.8
1m4f358813.8%10.3%41.4%30.9%+10.5
1m4f46223.2%10.2%27.4%30.6%-3.1
1m4f56046.7%10.2%21.7%30.7%-9.0
1m4f6591423.7%10.2%39.0%30.6%+8.4
1m4f757610.5%10.0%33.3%30.1%+3.3
1m4f860813.3%10.2%31.7%30.5%+1.2
1m4f95024.0%9.7%30.0%29.0%+1.0

Stall is the stall number drawn. Every distance with 60 or more races of 8 or more runners since 2016; stalls with fewer than 50 runs are hidden. Top-3 % is steadier than win % for a single stall, so read it first.

Hamilton draw by distance, 8 or more runners

All distances45233.0%29.2%35.0%34.4%32.3%36.4%31.6%30.1%28.1%
5f8229.3%28.7%37.8%34.9%32.9%36.4%30.3%32.7%28.8%
6f11534.8%29.3%34.8%34.4%31.3%36.3%28.4%31.3%28.4%
1m½f9435.1%29.3%35.1%34.2%29.8%36.5%36.6%28.0%26.0%
1m1f6033.3%29.7%31.7%34.5%35.0%35.8%33.3%30.1%27.1%
1m3f3036.7%27.8%33.3%35.4%30.0%36.7%37.8%25.2%30.8%
1m4f4330.2%29.5%37.2%33.9%32.6%36.6%27.3%30.0%29.4%
1m5f2828.6%30.0%32.1%33.5%39.3%36.5%29.1%29.5%29.8%

Flat races at Hamilton with 8 or more runners since 1 January 2019. Win % is the share of races won by each third of the draw expected % is the share that third would win by chance given the field sizes run. Thirds are set by stall order among the horses that ran, so non-runners do not shift them. Place % is per runner. Distances with fewer than 20 races are hidden. Source: RaceWatch results database.

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Hamilton draw thirds overall, 8 or more runners

Low45233.0%29.2%11.1%1,34114931.6%
Middle45235.0%34.4%10.2%1,55615830.1%
High45232.3%36.4%8.8%1,65214628.1%

All distances pooled. Strike rate is wins per runner in that third. BSP figures are not shown because the window starts before March 2024.

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Hamilton draw by distance, all field sizes

All distances94330.1%28.5%34.8%33.5%35.3%38.0%
5f21727.2%27.9%37.8%33.4%35.5%38.7%
6f25232.1%28.8%34.5%33.5%33.7%37.6%
1m½f17630.1%28.6%33.0%33.7%36.9%37.7%
1m1f9838.8%29.0%28.6%33.5%32.7%37.5%
1m3f7926.6%27.5%40.5%33.7%32.9%38.7%
1m4f6823.5%29.5%42.6%33.4%33.8%37.1%
1m5f5330.2%28.5%22.6%32.2%47.2%39.4%

Every Flat race at Hamilton with 3 or more runners since 1 January 2019. Small fields dilute any draw effect, so compare with the 8 or more runners table. Distances with fewer than 20 races are hidden.

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Hamilton draw by field size

3 to 7 runnersAll distances49127.5%27.9%34.6%32.6%38.1%39.5%
8 to 11 runnersAll distances34929.5%28.6%36.7%34.8%34.1%36.6%
12 to 15 runnersAll distances10344.7%31.4%29.1%33.0%26.2%35.6%
3 to 7 runners5f13525.9%27.5%37.8%32.5%37.0%40.1%
8 to 11 runners5f6524.6%27.8%40.0%35.4%35.4%36.8%
3 to 7 runners6f13729.9%28.4%34.3%32.8%35.8%38.8%
8 to 11 runners6f8631.4%28.7%36.0%34.7%33.7%36.6%
12 to 15 runners6f2944.8%31.2%31.0%33.5%24.1%35.3%
3 to 7 runners1m½f8224.4%27.8%30.5%33.2%45.1%39.0%
8 to 11 runners1m½f7326.0%28.8%39.7%34.7%34.2%36.5%
12 to 15 runners1m½f2166.7%31.0%19.0%32.3%14.3%36.7%
3 to 7 runners1m1f3847.4%27.8%23.7%32.0%28.9%40.3%
8 to 11 runners1m1f4736.2%29.0%29.8%34.8%34.0%36.3%
3 to 7 runners1m3f4920.4%27.4%44.9%32.7%34.7%40.0%
8 to 11 runners1m3f2536.0%27.5%36.0%35.5%28.0%37.1%
3 to 7 runners1m4f2512.0%29.4%52.0%32.6%36.0%38.0%
8 to 11 runners1m4f3228.1%29.0%34.4%34.5%37.5%36.4%
3 to 7 runners1m5f2532.0%26.7%12.0%30.7%56.0%42.6%
8 to 11 runners1m5f2128.6%29.4%38.1%33.6%33.3%37.0%

Field size is the number of runners that took part. Cells with fewer than 20 races are hidden.

Hamilton draw by going, 8 or more runners

Good to firm or firmerAll distances5628.6%28.5%37.5%36.1%33.9%
GoodAll distances16031.9%29.1%34.4%36.5%34.4%
Good to soft or yieldingAll distances11338.9%29.3%30.1%36.5%31.0%
SoftAll distances10630.2%29.8%30.2%36.2%39.6%
Good5f3030.0%27.8%30.0%36.7%40.0%
Soft5f2114.3%29.4%38.1%36.4%47.6%
Good6f3737.8%29.2%29.7%36.1%35.1%
Good to soft or yielding6f3542.9%30.1%34.3%36.2%22.9%
Soft6f2429.2%29.0%29.2%36.6%41.7%
Good1m½f3925.6%30.0%35.9%36.6%38.5%
Good to soft or yielding1m½f2152.4%28.2%19.0%36.5%28.6%
Soft1m½f2231.8%29.2%31.8%36.7%36.4%
Good1m1f2330.4%29.1%47.8%36.5%21.7%

Official going grouped into bands (yielding counts with good to soft). All-weather races show as AW. Cells with fewer than 20 races are hidden.

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Hamilton individual stalls, most-run distances

6f11081715.7%10.2%30.6%
6f21141513.2%10.1%29.8%
6f3108109.3%10.1%30.6%
6f41091110.1%10.1%28.4%
6f510398.7%10.1%35.0%
6f6105109.5%10.0%32.4%
6f71021514.7%10.2%37.3%
6f8113108.8%10.1%32.7%

The two most-run distances at Hamilton in races of 8 or more runners since 2019. Stall is the stall number drawn. Expected win % is the chance of a single runner given the field sizes it ran in. Stalls with fewer than 100 runs are hidden.

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Hamilton 6f: win % by draw third, since 2016 v last three seasons, 8 or more runners
Since 2016Since 2024Expected by chance
0%10%20%30%40%LowMiddleHighSince 2016 Low: 30.3%Since 2016 Middle: 34.3%Since 2016 High: 36%Since 2024 Low: 31.6%Since 2024 Middle: 34.2%Since 2024 High: 36.8%Expected by chance Low: 29.5%Expected by chance Middle: 34.2%Expected by chance High: 36.3%

Win % of races by Draw third

Hamilton 6f win % by stall, 8 or more runners
Win %Expected by chance
0%5%10%15%20%Stall 1Stall 2Stall 3Stall 4Stall 5Stall 6Stall 7Stall 8Win % Stall 1: 15.7%15.7%Win % Stall 2: 13.2%13.2%Win % Stall 3: 9.3%9.3%Win % Stall 4: 10.1%10.1%Win % Stall 5: 8.7%8.7%Win % Stall 6: 9.5%9.5%Win % Stall 7: 14.7%14.7%Win % Stall 8: 8.8%8.8%Expected by chance Stall 1: 10.2%10.2%Expected by chance Stall 2: 10.1%10.1%Expected by chance Stall 3: 10.1%10.1%Expected by chance Stall 4: 10.1%10.1%Expected by chance Stall 5: 10.1%10.1%Expected by chance Stall 6: 10%10%Expected by chance Stall 7: 10.2%10.2%Expected by chance Stall 8: 10.1%10.1%

Win % by Stall

Latest Flat winners at Hamilton and their draw

28 Sep 26Off Spin (IRE) silksOff Spin (IRE)2Low101m4f6.00
28 Sep 26Great Profit (IRE) silksGreat Profit (IRE)3Middle85f9.00
28 Sep 26City Captain (GB) silksCity Captain (GB)5Middle95f2.10
28 Sep 26El Matador (IRE) silksEl Matador (IRE)3Low131m½f4.00
28 Sep 26Stay On Tab (GB) silksStay On Tab (GB)2Low76f6.00
28 Sep 26Ponte Carlo (IRE) silksPonte Carlo (IRE)3Middle65f2.62
28 Sep 26Bay Breeze (GB) silksBay Breeze (GB)1Low66f3.75
21 Sep 26Bay Breeze (GB) silksBay Breeze (GB)1Low76f3.75
21 Sep 26Belsito (GER) silksBelsito (GER)7High86f8.00
21 Sep 26Tanjen (IRE) silksTanjen (IRE)4Middle65f2.50
21 Sep 26Jordan Electrics (GB) silksJordan Electrics (GB)6High65f4.50
21 Sep 26Perseus Way (IRE) silksPerseus Way (IRE)8Middle121m4f5.50
21 Sep 26By Jove Grace (IRE) silksBy Jove Grace (IRE)4High55f2.38
21 Sep 26Little Ted (GB) silksLittle Ted (GB)1Low71m½f2.00
20 Sep 26Wootton's Gal (GB) silksWootton's Gal (GB)3Low61m4f6.50
20 Sep 26Bradbury (IRE) silksBradbury (IRE)8High91m1f13.00
20 Sep 26Good Morning Alex (GB) silksGood Morning Alex (GB)2Low111m½f23.00
20 Sep 26Annie Edson Taylor (GB) silksAnnie Edson Taylor (GB)6Middle86f4.50
20 Sep 26Impressor (IRE) silksImpressor (IRE)2Low85f3.50
20 Sep 26Pj's Corner (GB) silksPj's Corner (GB)1Low75f6.00

The 20 most recent Flat races at Hamilton in the data with a full draw.

Hamilton win % of races by draw third and distance, 8 or more runners
Low thirdMiddle thirdHigh third
0%10%20%30%40%5f6f1m½f1m1f1m3f1m4f1m5fLow third 5f: 29.3%Low third 6f: 34.8%Low third 1m½f: 35.1%Low third 1m1f: 33.3%Low third 1m3f: 36.7%Low third 1m4f: 30.2%Low third 1m5f: 28.6%Middle third 5f: 37.8%Middle third 6f: 34.8%Middle third 1m½f: 35.1%Middle third 1m1f: 31.7%Middle third 1m3f: 33.3%Middle third 1m4f: 37.2%Middle third 1m5f: 32.1%High third 5f: 32.9%High third 6f: 31.3%High third 1m½f: 29.8%High third 1m1f: 35%High third 1m3f: 30%High third 1m4f: 32.6%High third 1m5f: 39.3%

Win % of races by Distance

Hamilton win % of races by draw third and year, 8 or more runners
Low thirdMiddle thirdHigh third
20%30%40%50%60%20192020202120222023202420252026Low third 2019: 35.2%Low third 2020: 31%Low third 2021: 30%Low third 2022: 32.8%Low third 2023: 35.4%Low third 2024: 35.8%Low third 2025: 28.8%Low third 2026: 33.9%33.9%Middle third 2019: 38%Middle third 2020: 36.2%Middle third 2021: 36%Middle third 2022: 39.1%Middle third 2023: 35.4%Middle third 2024: 30.2%Middle third 2025: 30.8%Middle third 2026: 32.1%32.1%High third 2019: 26.8%High third 2020: 32.8%High third 2021: 34%High third 2022: 28.1%High third 2023: 29.2%High third 2024: 35.8%High third 2025: 40.4%High third 2026: 33.9%33.9%

Win % of races by Year

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Is there a draw bias at Hamilton?

Over 6f, the most-run trip at Hamilton, the draw rates weak or none from 175 races. It stands out most over 1m½f, where the low third has won 37.1% against 29.3% by chance (rated weak or none).

Is the draw a factor on Hamilton's loop trips?

Hamilton's trips from 1m½f upwards run round the right-handed loop, and each has a row in the distance table with its race count. Compare them with the straight 5f and 6f rows.

How do going and field size change the draw at Hamilton?

The bias matrix gives every Hamilton trip rows for fast, good and soft ground and for 8 to 11, 12 to 15 and 16 or more runners, each with its own rating. Read the race count before the percentages.

Is the Hamilton draw bias still current?

The recency table sets each trip's record since 2016 beside the last three seasons, from 2024. Over 6f the check reads too few recent races, from 38 recent races.

How is the bias rating worked out?

Winners from each draw third are tested against the share chance would give them, using a chi-square test. Strong means p below 0.01 from 100 or more races, moderate p below 0.05, and fewer than 40 races is not enough data.

Questions people ask

Is there a draw bias at Hamilton?

Over 6f, the most-run trip at Hamilton, the draw rates weak or none, with low draws winning 30.3% of 175 races against 29.5% by chance. It stands out most over 1m½f, where the low third has won 37.1% against 29.3% (rated weak or none).

Which stall is best at Hamilton over 5f?

Stall 4 has the best top-three record over 5f at Hamilton since 2016, placing in 43.6% of 110 runs against 30.7% by chance. Single stalls swing on small samples, so the stall grid lists every stall with 50 or more runs at each trip.

Is a low or high draw better at Hamilton?

Across all distances since 2016, low draws have won 32.1% of Hamilton races against 29.3% by chance, and high draws 33.6% against 36.3%. The answer changes by trip, so check the bias matrix row for the race distance.

How many Hamilton sprints qualify for the draw figures?

Hamilton often races with small fields, and only races of 8 or more runners count in the main table. The all field sizes table adds the smaller races for comparison, though small fields dilute any draw effect.

How often are the Hamilton draw figures updated?

The figures are rebuilt every night from the RaceWatch results database, and the latest results included are from 15 October 2026. The bias matrix, ratings and stall grid use races since 2016, and the detailed thirds tables further down use races since 2019.

More free data

Draw bias at every courseCompare the thirds course by courseHamilton course guideResults, trainers and jockeys at the courseHamilton racecardsThe next meeting's full cardAyr draw biasThe same thirds at another courseWhat is draw bias?How stall position shapes a race

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