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Ffos Las draw bias: what a modest Flat sample shows

At Ffos Las over 7½f, the most-run Flat trip, low draws have won 33.9% of races of 8 or more runners since 2016 (62 races), middle draws 29% and high draws 37.1%, against 29.2%, 34.5% and 36.3% by chance. Bias rating: weak or none. Every trip, going and field size follows, with results to 15 October 2026.

No Flat meeting at Ffos Las declared yet. Latest Flat race in the data: 27 September 2026 · Results to 15 October 2026 · Refreshed 16 October 2026
Weak or none
Rating on the most-run trip
1m
Trip where the draw stands out most
247
Races of 8+ runners since 2016
15 October 2026
Results up to
Low 33.9% v 29.2%

At Ffos Las over 7½f, the course's most-run Flat trip, low draws have won 33.9% of races of 8 or more runners since 2016 (62 races), middle draws 29.0% and high draws 37.1%, against 29.2%, 34.5% and 36.3% by chance. Bias rating: weak or none.Sample: 62 races · Window: 19 July 2016 to 15 October 2026 · Source: RaceWatch results database (Flat results with stall draw), plus today's declarations for the next meeting

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Ffos Las draw bias by distance, going and field size

All distancesAll goingAll field sizes2472,39729.1%29.0%34.0%34.4%36.8%36.6%28.0%31.7%32.6%30.9%High +0.2 pts0.990Weak or none
6fAll goingAll field sizes3634836.1%28.9%30.6%34.4%33.3%36.7%32.7%32.8%28.1%31.0%Low +7.2 pts0.629Not enough data
6fAll going8 to 11 runners3330636.4%28.7%30.3%34.8%33.3%36.6%33.0%34.0%30.4%32.4%Low +7.7 pts0.617Not enough data
7½fAll goingAll field sizes6261233.9%29.2%29.0%34.5%37.1%36.3%27.2%29.5%33.8%30.4%Low +4.7 pts0.605Weak or none
7½fGoodAll field sizes3433532.4%29.7%32.4%34.2%35.3%36.2%24.0%33.3%33.1%30.4%Low +2.7 pts0.941Not enough data
7½fSoft (good to soft to heavy)All field sizes2019230.0%27.8%25.0%35.6%45.0%36.6%29.6%27.9%35.7%31.2%High +8.4 pts0.592Not enough data
7½fAll going8 to 11 runners5147435.3%28.6%27.5%34.7%37.3%36.7%27.9%31.1%36.8%32.3%Low +6.7 pts0.453Weak or none
7½fGood8 to 11 runners2826035.7%29.2%28.6%34.4%35.7%36.5%22.4%34.8%37.9%32.3%Low +6.5 pts0.708Not enough data
1mAll goingAll field sizes4443515.9%28.5%45.5%34.5%38.6%37.0%20.8%37.6%31.7%30.3%Middle +11.0 pts0.134Weak or none
1mSoft (good to soft to heavy)All field sizes2726218.5%27.9%40.7%35.3%40.7%36.7%20.3%42.4%29.2%30.9%Middle +5.4 pts0.548Not enough data
1mAll going8 to 11 runners3734418.9%28.1%45.9%34.8%35.1%37.2%22.7%41.2%32.0%32.3%Middle +11.1 pts0.290Not enough data
1mSoft (good to soft to heavy)8 to 11 runners2321121.7%27.3%39.1%35.7%39.1%37.0%22.4%44.0%30.8%32.7%Middle +3.4 pts0.832Not enough data
1m2fAll goingAll field sizes3331021.2%29.5%39.4%34.4%39.4%36.1%25.0%31.1%38.4%31.9%Middle +5.0 pts0.573Not enough data
1m2fSoft (good to soft to heavy)All field sizes2018515.0%29.0%50.0%35.3%35.0%35.7%27.8%30.8%37.9%32.4%Middle +14.7 pts0.275Not enough data
1m2fAll going8 to 11 runners3027116.7%29.4%43.3%34.5%40.0%36.1%26.3%34.4%37.8%33.2%Middle +8.8 pts0.292Not enough data
1m4fAll goingAll field sizes3029140.0%29.7%30.0%33.6%30.0%36.7%33.3%29.9%29.9%30.9%Low +10.3 pts0.459Not enough data
1m4fAll going8 to 11 runners2623742.3%29.4%26.9%34.0%30.8%36.6%35.7%30.0%33.3%32.9%Low +12.9 pts0.351Not enough data

Flat races at Ffos Las with 8 or more runners and a full draw, since 19 July 2016. Runners are split into low, middle and high thirds by stall order among the horses that ran. Win % is the share of races each third won; expected % is its share by chance given the field sizes. Top-3 % is the share of runners in that third who finished in the first three, against the chance rate. Going groups: fast is good to firm or firmer, soft is good to soft, yielding, soft and heavy. Bias rating uses a chi-square test of winners by third against chance (2 degrees of freedom): Strong means p below 0.01 from 100 or more races, Moderate p below 0.05, Weak or none p of 0.05 or more, and Not enough data fewer than 40 races. Rows with fewer than 20 races are hidden. Source: RaceWatch results database.

Ffos Las draw bias: since 2016 v the last three seasons

All distances24729.1%34.0%36.8%29.0%34.4%36.6%Weak or none8930.3%39.3%30.3%Weak or noneNo clear lean in either period
6f3636.1%30.6%33.3%28.9%34.4%36.7%Not enough data1145.5%45.5%9.1%Not enough dataToo few recent races
7½f6233.9%29.0%37.1%29.2%34.5%36.3%Weak or none2030.0%35.0%35.0%Not enough dataToo few recent races
1m4415.9%45.5%38.6%28.5%34.5%37.0%Weak or none2119.0%38.1%42.9%Not enough dataToo few recent races
1m2f3321.2%39.4%39.4%29.5%34.4%36.1%Not enough data1618.8%43.8%37.5%Not enough dataToo few recent races
1m4f3040.0%30.0%30.0%29.7%33.6%36.7%Not enough data862.5%25.0%12.5%Not enough dataToo few recent races

Last three seasons means races since 1 January 2024. Is it current? compares the third that led over the whole window with its record lately: Holding means within 2 points of its long-run edge, Stronger or Weaker lately means more than 2 points either way, Gone lately means it no longer beats chance. 8 or more runners. Rows with fewer than 20 races are hidden.

Ffos Las stall by stall at each distance

7½f15935.1%10.4%16.9%31.3%-14.3
7½f261711.5%10.4%36.1%31.3%+4.8
7½f355814.5%10.4%25.5%31.1%-5.6
7½f4581220.7%10.4%39.7%31.1%+8.5
7½f55911.7%10.4%16.9%31.2%-14.3
7½f65946.8%10.3%32.2%31.0%+1.2
7½f75535.5%10.4%36.4%31.1%+5.3
7½f857814.0%10.4%38.6%31.3%+7.3
7½f95159.8%10.1%35.3%30.3%+5.0

Stall is the stall number drawn. Every distance with 60 or more races of 8 or more runners since 2016; stalls with fewer than 50 runs are hidden. Top-3 % is steadier than win % for a single stall, so read it first.

Ffos Las draw by distance, 8 or more runners

All distances17729.4%29.3%34.5%34.2%36.2%36.6%28.5%31.1%32.9%
6f2733.3%28.9%37.0%34.5%29.6%36.6%31.5%34.9%30.4%
7½f4431.8%29.5%31.8%34.2%36.4%36.4%25.6%31.1%33.5%
1m3318.2%29.0%39.4%34.2%42.4%36.8%22.1%34.2%33.3%
1m2f2623.1%29.8%38.5%34.2%38.5%36.0%28.4%28.6%37.1%

Flat races at Ffos Las with 8 or more runners since 1 January 2019. Win % is the share of races won by each third of the draw expected % is the share that third would win by chance given the field sizes run. Thirds are set by stall order among the horses that ran, so non-runners do not shift them. Place % is per runner. Distances with fewer than 20 races are hidden. Source: RaceWatch results database.

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Ffos Las draw thirds overall, 8 or more runners

Low17729.4%29.3%10.3%5055228.5%
Middle17734.5%34.2%10.5%5826131.1%
High17736.2%36.6%10.2%6276432.9%

All distances pooled. Strike rate is wins per runner in that third. BSP figures are not shown because the window starts before March 2024.

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Ffos Las draw by distance, all field sizes

All distances43725.6%27.9%35.9%33.2%38.7%38.9%
5f4623.9%25.5%37.0%33.4%39.1%41.0%
6f7724.7%28.4%39.0%32.6%36.4%39.0%
7½f9826.5%27.8%32.7%33.2%40.8%38.9%
1m6020.0%28.3%40.0%33.9%40.0%37.8%
1m2f5420.4%28.4%38.9%34.2%42.6%37.4%
1m4f5632.1%27.6%35.7%33.1%32.1%39.3%
1m6f2343.5%29.8%17.4%33.3%39.1%36.9%
2m2222.7%27.9%36.4%31.1%40.9%40.9%

Every Flat race at Ffos Las with 3 or more runners since 1 January 2019. Small fields dilute any draw effect, so compare with the 8 or more runners table. Distances with fewer than 20 races are hidden.

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Ffos Las draw by field size

3 to 7 runnersAll distances26023.1%27.0%36.9%32.6%40.4%40.4%
8 to 11 runnersAll distances15530.3%28.9%35.5%34.3%34.2%36.7%
12 to 15 runnersAll distances2020.0%31.6%30.0%33.0%50.0%35.3%
3 to 7 runners5f3823.7%25.4%36.8%32.8%39.5%41.7%
3 to 7 runners6f5020.0%28.1%40.0%31.7%40.0%40.3%
8 to 11 runners6f2634.6%28.9%34.6%34.6%30.8%36.5%
3 to 7 runners7½f5422.2%26.5%33.3%32.4%44.4%41.0%
8 to 11 runners7½f3636.1%28.9%30.6%34.3%33.3%36.8%
3 to 7 runners1m2722.2%27.5%40.7%33.4%37.0%39.1%
8 to 11 runners1m2821.4%28.5%42.9%34.5%35.7%37.0%
3 to 7 runners1m2f2817.9%27.1%39.3%34.3%46.4%38.6%
8 to 11 runners1m2f2317.4%29.7%43.5%34.3%39.1%36.0%
3 to 7 runners1m4f3727.0%26.2%37.8%33.2%35.1%40.6%

Field size is the number of runners that took part. Cells with fewer than 20 races are hidden.

Ffos Las draw by going, 8 or more runners

GoodAll distances8132.1%29.6%33.3%36.7%34.6%
Good to soft or yieldingAll distances4226.2%28.6%38.1%36.5%35.7%
SoftAll distances3225.0%28.7%40.6%36.7%34.4%
Good7½f2832.1%29.7%32.1%36.2%35.7%

Official going grouped into bands (yielding counts with good to soft). All-weather races show as AW. Cells with fewer than 20 races are hidden.

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Ffos Las 7½f: win % by draw third, since 2016 v last three seasons, 8 or more runners
Since 2016Since 2024Expected by chance
0%10%20%30%40%LowMiddleHighSince 2016 Low: 33.9%Since 2016 Middle: 29%Since 2016 High: 37.1%Since 2024 Low: 30%Since 2024 Middle: 35%Since 2024 High: 35%Expected by chance Low: 29.2%Expected by chance Middle: 34.5%Expected by chance High: 36.3%

Win % of races by Draw third

Ffos Las win % of races by draw third and distance, 8 or more runners
Low thirdMiddle thirdHigh third
0%20%40%60%80%6f7½f1m1m2fLow third 6f: 33.3%Low third 7½f: 31.8%Low third 1m: 18.2%Low third 1m2f: 23.1%Middle third 6f: 37%Middle third 7½f: 31.8%Middle third 1m: 39.4%Middle third 1m2f: 38.5%High third 6f: 29.6%High third 7½f: 36.4%High third 1m: 42.4%High third 1m2f: 38.5%

Win % of races by Distance

Latest Flat winners at Ffos Las and their draw

27 Sep 26Macarone (GB) silksMacarone (GB)8Middle116f4.00
27 Sep 26Wellwhatshappenin (IRE) silksWellwhatshappenin (IRE)5High51m2f3.25
27 Sep 26Kaleidoscope Eyes (IRE) silksKaleidoscope Eyes (IRE)9High101m5.00
27 Sep 26Pebble Dash (IRE) silksPebble Dash (IRE)2Low91m12.00
27 Sep 26Ghost Raider (IRE) silksGhost Raider (IRE)5High57½f4.33
27 Sep 26Carthusian (IRE) silksCarthusian (IRE)2Middle52m3.25
27 Sep 26Call Time (IRE) silksCall Time (IRE)5High45f1.44
27 Sep 26Rhodes Runner (IRE) silksRhodes Runner (IRE)4Middle85f3.25
21 Sep 26Zambezi Magic (GB) silksZambezi Magic (GB)4Middle91m2f2.38
21 Sep 26King of The Dance (IRE) silksKing of The Dance (IRE)2Low81m10.00
21 Sep 26Equion (GB) silksEquion (GB)10High91m3.50
21 Sep 26Lucky Radar (IRE) silksLucky Radar (IRE)4High47½f1.62
21 Sep 26Just An Hour (IRE) silksJust An Hour (IRE)4Middle91m6f4.50
21 Sep 26Call Time (IRE) silksCall Time (IRE)3Low76f3.00
21 Sep 26Ongombo (GB) silksOngombo (GB)5Middle66f2.62
21 Sep 26Resemblance (IRE) silksResemblance (IRE)3Middle56f3.25
28 Aug 26Flightofthephoenix (IRE) silksFlightofthephoenix (IRE)2Middle51m4f5.50
28 Aug 26Give Me Sun (GB) silksGive Me Sun (GB)5Middle111m2f7.00
28 Aug 26Launceston (IRE) silksLaunceston (IRE)7High81m10.00
28 Aug 26Withtearsinmyeyes (IRE) silksWithtearsinmyeyes (IRE)1Low51m2.00

The 20 most recent Flat races at Ffos Las in the data with a full draw.

Ffos Las win % of races by draw third and year, 8 or more runners
Low thirdMiddle thirdHigh third
10%20%30%40%50%2019202220252026Low third 2019: 23.8%Low third 2022: 31.3%Low third 2025: 32.4%Low third 2026: 24.3%24.3%Middle third 2019: 38.1%Middle third 2022: 28.1%Middle third 2025: 35.1%Middle third 2026: 40.5%40.5%High third 2019: 38.1%High third 2022: 40.6%High third 2025: 32.4%High third 2026: 35.1%35.1%

Win % of races by Year

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Is there a draw bias at Ffos Las?

Over 7½f, the most-run trip at Ffos Las, the draw rates weak or none from 62 races. It stands out most over 1m, where the middle third has won 45.5% against 34.5% by chance (rated weak or none).

Are there enough Flat races at Ffos Las to say anything useful?

Ffos Las stages relatively few Flat meetings, so its sample is modest and only a handful of distances reach the 20-race minimum. Treat each third's figure as a guide and read the race count first.

How do going and field size change the draw at Ffos Las?

The bias matrix gives every Ffos Las trip rows for fast, good and soft ground and for 8 to 11, 12 to 15 and 16 or more runners, each with its own rating. Read the race count before the percentages.

Is the Ffos Las draw bias still current?

The recency table sets each trip's record since 2016 beside the last three seasons, from 2024. Over 7½f the check reads too few recent races, from 20 recent races.

How is the bias rating worked out?

Winners from each draw third are tested against the share chance would give them, using a chi-square test. Strong means p below 0.01 from 100 or more races, moderate p below 0.05, and fewer than 40 races is not enough data.

Questions people ask

Is there a draw bias at Ffos Las?

Over 7½f, the most-run trip at Ffos Las, the draw rates weak or none, with low draws winning 33.9% of 62 races against 29.2% by chance. It stands out most over 1m, where the middle third has won 45.5% against 34.5% (rated weak or none).

Which stall is best at Ffos Las over 7½f?

Stall 4 has the best top-three record over 7½f at Ffos Las since 2016, placing in 39.7% of 58 runs against 30.4% by chance. Single stalls swing on small samples, so the stall grid lists every stall with 50 or more runs at each trip.

Is a low or high draw better at Ffos Las?

Across all distances since 2016, low draws have won 29.1% of Ffos Las races against 29% by chance, and high draws 36.8% against 36.6%. The answer changes by trip, so check the bias matrix row for the race distance.

Does a flat, galloping track like Ffos Las produce a fair draw?

Ffos Las's low, middle and high thirds all sit very close to their expected share across all distances pooled. The distance rows swing more because each rests on few races.

How often are the Ffos Las draw figures updated?

The figures are rebuilt every night from the RaceWatch results database, and the latest results included are from 15 October 2026. The bias matrix, ratings and stall grid use races since 2016, and the detailed thirds tables further down use races since 2019.

More free data

Draw bias at every courseCompare the thirds course by courseFfos Las course guideResults, trainers and jockeys at the courseFfos Las racecardsThe next meeting's full cardChepstow draw biasThe same thirds at another courseWhat is draw bias?How stall position shapes a race

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