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Dundalk draw bias: the floodlit Polytrack oval

At Dundalk over 1m, the most-run Flat trip, low draws have won 29.5% of races of 8 or more runners since 2016 (738 races), middle draws 35% and high draws 35.6%, against 29.5%, 34.2% and 36.3% by chance. Bias rating: weak or none. Every trip and field size follows, with results to 15 October 2026.

Next Flat meeting at Dundalk: Friday 16 October 2026, 8 races and 113 declared runners placed in their draw third · Results to 15 October 2026 · Refreshed 16 October 2026
Weak or none
Rating on the most-run trip
7f
Trip where the draw stands out most
3,027
Races of 8+ runners since 2016
15 October 2026
Results up to
Middle 35.0% v 34.2%

At Dundalk over 1m, the course's most-run Flat trip, low draws have won 29.5% of races of 8 or more runners since 2016 (738 races), middle draws 35.0% and high draws 35.6%, against 29.5%, 34.2% and 36.3% by chance. Bias rating: weak or none. The clearest effect is over 7f, where the middle third has won 37.7% of 727 races against 34.4% by chance (moderate).Sample: 738 races · Window: 8 January 2016 to 15 October 2026 · Source: RaceWatch results database (Flat results with stall draw), plus today's declarations for the next meeting

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Dundalk draw bias by distance, going and field size

All distancesAll field sizes3,02737,76929.7%29.5%36.5%34.3%33.9%36.2%24.0%25.6%22.7%24.0%Middle +2.2 pts0.011Moderate
5fAll field sizes2362,64530.5%29.6%37.3%34.2%32.2%36.1%26.5%29.1%24.9%26.8%Middle +3.1 pts0.424Weak or none
5f8 to 11 runners1241,16028.2%29.0%37.9%34.4%33.9%36.6%30.6%34.4%31.1%32.1%Middle +3.5 pts0.700Weak or none
5f12 to 15 runners1121,48533.0%30.3%36.6%34.1%30.4%35.6%23.4%24.9%20.0%22.6%Low +2.7 pts0.505Weak or none
6fAll field sizes3814,63629.4%29.5%36.0%34.1%34.6%36.3%25.1%27.8%21.4%24.7%Middle +1.9 pts0.713Weak or none
6f8 to 11 runners1251,19429.6%28.8%36.8%34.2%33.6%37.0%31.0%37.6%26.0%31.4%Middle +2.6 pts0.718Weak or none
6f12 to 15 runners2563,44229.3%29.8%35.5%34.1%35.2%36.0%23.1%24.4%19.7%22.3%Middle +1.4 pts0.889Weak or none
7fAll field sizes7279,16031.2%29.4%37.7%34.4%31.4%36.2%25.0%24.8%21.9%23.8%Middle +3.3 pts0.019Moderate
7f8 to 11 runners1741,67733.3%28.6%38.5%34.3%28.2%37.1%31.5%33.6%28.6%31.1%Low +4.7 pts0.049Moderate
7f12 to 15 runners5537,48330.6%29.6%37.4%34.4%32.4%36.0%23.6%22.9%20.3%22.2%Middle +3.0 pts0.163Weak or none
1mAll field sizes7389,35429.5%29.5%35.0%34.2%35.6%36.3%22.2%24.6%24.1%23.7%Middle +0.8 pts0.895Weak or none
1m8 to 11 runners1551,48726.5%28.7%37.4%34.1%36.8%37.2%28.5%32.8%32.0%31.3%Middle +3.3 pts0.677Weak or none
1m12 to 15 runners5837,86730.4%29.7%34.3%34.2%35.3%36.1%21.1%23.1%22.5%22.2%Low +0.7 pts0.919Weak or none
1m2½fAll field sizes4816,12230.1%29.4%37.0%34.4%33.3%36.1%24.4%25.2%21.5%23.6%Middle +2.6 pts0.349Weak or none
1m2½f8 to 11 runners10399140.8%29.1%33.0%34.4%27.2%36.6%35.8%30.9%28.1%31.2%Low +11.7 pts0.025Moderate
1m2½f12 to 15 runners3785,13127.2%29.5%38.1%34.4%34.9%36.0%22.2%24.1%20.2%22.1%Middle +3.7 pts0.322Weak or none
1m4fAll field sizes3924,95625.8%29.5%37.0%34.3%37.2%36.2%22.4%25.7%22.9%23.7%Middle +2.7 pts0.245Weak or none
1m4f8 to 11 runners9492029.8%29.2%35.1%33.9%35.1%36.9%31.7%32.7%27.9%30.7%Middle +1.2 pts0.935Weak or none
1m4f12 to 15 runners2984,03624.5%29.6%37.6%34.4%37.9%36.0%20.3%24.1%21.8%22.2%Middle +3.2 pts0.147Weak or none
2mAll field sizes7289633.3%29.3%36.1%34.2%30.6%36.4%26.6%23.8%22.7%24.1%Low +4.0 pts0.563Weak or none
2m8 to 11 runners2120828.6%28.4%33.3%34.6%38.1%37.0%33.9%30.6%28.6%30.3%High +1.1 pts0.991Not enough data
2m12 to 15 runners5168835.3%29.7%37.3%34.1%27.5%36.2%24.5%21.7%20.9%22.2%Low +5.6 pts0.415Weak or none

Flat races at Dundalk with 8 or more runners and a full draw, since 8 January 2016. Runners are split into low, middle and high thirds by stall order among the horses that ran. Win % is the share of races each third won; expected % is its share by chance given the field sizes. Top-3 % is the share of runners in that third who finished in the first three, against the chance rate. Going groups: fast is good to firm or firmer, soft is good to soft, yielding, soft and heavy. Bias rating uses a chi-square test of winners by third against chance (2 degrees of freedom): Strong means p below 0.01 from 100 or more races, Moderate p below 0.05, Weak or none p of 0.05 or more, and Not enough data fewer than 40 races. Rows with fewer than 20 races are hidden. Source: RaceWatch results database.

Dundalk draw bias: since 2016 v the last three seasons

All distances3,02729.7%36.5%33.9%29.5%34.3%36.2%Moderate71528.5%37.2%34.3%Weak or noneHolding
5f23630.5%37.3%32.2%29.6%34.2%36.1%Weak or none6320.6%38.1%41.3%Weak or noneHolding
6f38129.4%36.0%34.6%29.5%34.1%36.3%Weak or none9724.7%44.3%30.9%Weak or noneNo clear lean in either period
7f72731.2%37.7%31.4%29.4%34.4%36.2%Moderate16434.1%34.1%31.7%Weak or noneGone lately
1m73829.5%35.0%35.6%29.5%34.2%36.3%Weak or none17829.2%38.2%32.6%Weak or noneNo clear lean in either period
1m2½f48130.1%37.0%33.3%29.4%34.4%36.1%Weak or none11529.6%36.5%33.9%Weak or noneHolding
1m4f39225.8%37.0%37.2%29.5%34.3%36.2%Weak or none8226.8%31.7%41.5%Weak or noneGone lately
2m7233.3%36.1%30.6%29.3%34.2%36.4%Weak or none1618.8%43.8%37.5%Not enough dataToo few recent races

Last three seasons means races since 1 January 2024. Is it current? compares the third that led over the whole window with its record lately: Holding means within 2 points of its long-run edge, Stronger or Weaker lately means more than 2 points either way, Gone lately means it no longer beats chance. 8 or more runners. Rows with fewer than 20 races are hidden.

Dundalk stall by stall at each distance

5f1225198.4%9.3%26.2%28.0%-1.7
5f2224219.4%9.3%25.9%27.9%-2.0
5f32222812.6%9.3%30.2%28.0%+2.2
5f4220177.7%9.3%30.5%28.0%+2.4
5f52232511.2%9.3%30.9%27.9%+3.1
5f62232310.3%9.4%34.5%28.1%+6.5
5f7224229.8%9.3%27.7%28.0%-0.3
5f8224219.4%9.3%28.6%28.0%+0.5
5f9199168.0%8.9%24.6%26.6%-1.9
5f1016495.5%8.4%21.3%25.2%-3.8
5f1114796.1%8.1%21.1%24.4%-3.3
5f1211376.2%7.7%17.7%23.2%-5.5
5f13971010.3%7.5%21.6%22.6%-0.9
5f147256.9%7.3%15.3%22.0%-6.7
6f1356277.6%8.6%26.4%25.7%+0.7
6f23553911.0%8.5%28.7%25.5%+3.2
6f3364308.2%8.5%26.6%25.6%+1.1
6f4357329.0%8.5%27.5%25.5%+1.9
6f53544713.3%8.5%31.1%25.6%+5.4
6f6355318.7%8.5%29.0%25.5%+3.5
6f7357246.7%8.5%24.6%25.6%-0.9
6f8355267.3%8.5%27.3%25.6%+1.7
6f9328247.3%8.3%21.3%25.0%-3.7
6f10304258.2%8.0%21.1%24.1%-3.0
6f11270165.9%7.8%16.7%23.3%-6.6
6f12245135.3%7.6%20.4%22.8%-2.3
6f13210104.8%7.4%17.1%22.3%-5.1
6f14177169.0%7.3%22.6%21.8%+0.8
6f1510365.8%7.2%15.5%21.7%-6.1
6f16801012.5%7.3%27.5%21.8%+5.7
6f176657.6%7.3%18.2%21.8%-3.7
7f1666507.5%8.2%24.0%24.6%-0.5
7f2662659.8%8.2%27.8%24.6%+3.2
7f3670548.1%8.2%23.0%24.6%-1.6
7f4671639.4%8.2%28.6%24.6%+4.0
7f5680588.5%8.2%26.5%24.6%+1.9
7f6673639.4%8.2%26.6%24.6%+2.0
7f7662548.2%8.2%24.6%24.6%0.0
7f8665538.0%8.2%25.4%24.5%+0.9
7f9638467.2%8.0%21.9%23.9%-2.0
7f10610477.7%7.8%21.0%23.4%-2.5
7f11570488.4%7.7%23.7%23.1%+0.6
7f12517367.0%7.5%21.1%22.5%-1.4
7f13449224.9%7.4%18.9%22.1%-3.1
7f14414297.0%7.3%17.6%21.8%-4.2
7f15247135.3%7.2%17.8%21.7%-3.9
7f16199147.0%7.3%23.1%21.8%+1.4
7f17167148.4%7.3%24.6%21.8%+2.8
1m1679405.9%8.1%21.8%24.4%-2.6
1m2671558.2%8.1%22.2%24.4%-2.2
1m3695659.4%8.1%23.2%24.3%-1.2
1m4673629.2%8.1%26.4%24.4%+2.0
1m5685547.9%8.1%22.6%24.3%-1.7
1m6675629.2%8.1%26.4%24.4%+2.0
1m7669537.9%8.1%27.2%24.3%+2.9
1m8678578.4%8.1%23.3%24.4%-1.0
1m9639599.2%7.9%25.8%23.8%+2.0
1m10625406.4%7.8%22.9%23.5%-0.6
1m11582386.5%7.6%22.2%22.8%-0.7
1m12550529.5%7.5%25.1%22.5%+2.6
1m13489387.8%7.4%22.3%22.1%+0.2
1m14420256.0%7.3%21.4%21.9%-0.5
1m15239135.4%7.3%21.3%21.8%-0.5
1m16208125.8%7.3%19.7%21.9%-2.2
1m17177147.9%7.3%24.3%21.8%+2.5
1m2½f1447419.2%8.1%23.7%24.2%-0.5
1m2½f2442347.7%8.1%25.3%24.3%+1.0
1m2½f3436358.0%8.1%25.0%24.2%+0.8
1m2½f4431307.0%8.1%27.1%24.3%+2.8
1m2½f5431429.7%8.1%26.2%24.3%+1.9
1m2½f6432399.0%8.1%26.9%24.2%+2.6
1m2½f7434306.9%8.1%23.7%24.4%-0.6
1m2½f8430317.2%8.1%25.3%24.4%+1.0
1m2½f9428358.2%7.9%22.4%23.8%-1.4
1m2½f10389307.7%7.8%23.4%23.4%0.0
1m2½f11376266.9%7.6%23.1%22.7%+0.5
1m2½f12355359.9%7.4%20.8%22.3%-1.5
1m2½f13321226.9%7.4%19.9%22.1%-2.2
1m2½f14287175.9%7.3%22.0%21.9%+0.1
1m2½f15183137.1%7.3%21.9%21.9%0.0
1m2½f16163159.2%7.3%18.4%21.9%-3.5
1m2½f1713785.8%7.3%11.7%21.9%-10.2
1m4f1366164.4%8.1%18.0%24.4%-6.4
1m4f2367369.8%8.1%24.5%24.4%+0.1
1m4f3363185.0%8.1%24.0%24.4%-0.4
1m4f4352318.8%8.2%28.1%24.5%+3.7
1m4f5347154.3%8.1%21.0%24.4%-3.4
1m4f63604412.2%8.2%30.0%24.5%+5.5
1m4f7356339.3%8.1%27.8%24.4%+3.4
1m4f8360349.4%8.2%23.9%24.5%-0.6
1m4f9350298.3%8.0%25.4%24.0%+1.4
1m4f103233611.1%7.9%25.4%23.7%+1.7
1m4f11306185.9%7.7%21.2%23.1%-1.8
1m4f12276134.7%7.5%18.1%22.5%-4.3
1m4f13249197.6%7.4%24.5%22.1%+2.4
1m4f14224188.0%7.3%22.8%21.8%+1.0
1m4f1512275.7%7.3%19.7%21.8%-2.1
1m4f16119108.4%7.2%16.0%21.6%-5.7
1m4f171161512.9%7.2%23.3%21.7%+1.5
2m16868.8%8.3%23.5%24.9%-1.3
2m26657.6%8.4%24.2%25.1%-0.8
2m370811.4%8.3%34.3%24.9%+9.4
2m46457.8%8.3%31.3%24.9%+6.3
2m56569.2%8.3%26.2%25.0%+1.2
2m66534.6%8.2%20.0%24.7%-4.7
2m763914.3%8.3%28.6%24.9%+3.6
2m86569.2%8.3%23.1%25.0%-1.9
2m96346.3%8.1%20.6%24.3%-3.7
2m106146.6%8.0%24.6%23.9%+0.7
2m115547.3%7.7%18.2%23.1%-4.9
2m125359.4%7.6%22.6%22.8%-0.1
2m135123.9%7.5%15.7%22.5%-6.9

Stall is the stall number drawn. Every distance with 60 or more races of 8 or more runners since 2016; stalls with fewer than 50 runs are hidden. Top-3 % is steadier than win % for a single stall, so read it first.

Dundalk draw by distance, 8 or more runners

All distances2,23828.4%29.5%36.6%34.3%35.2%36.2%23.7%25.5%23.0%
5f17227.3%29.6%40.7%34.3%32.0%36.1%26.8%28.6%25.9%
6f29727.3%29.5%36.4%34.2%36.4%36.3%24.0%28.2%21.9%
7f53328.3%29.4%38.3%34.4%33.8%36.2%23.9%24.4%23.2%
1m53928.8%29.6%35.1%34.1%36.2%36.3%22.1%24.7%23.9%
1m2½f36030.0%29.6%36.7%34.4%33.9%36.0%24.7%24.7%21.5%
1m4f28326.9%29.5%34.6%34.2%38.5%36.3%22.4%26.4%22.6%
2m5433.3%29.0%31.5%34.2%35.2%36.7%26.4%23.3%22.6%

Flat races at Dundalk with 8 or more runners since 1 January 2019. Win % is the share of races won by each third of the draw expected % is the share that third would win by chance given the field sizes run. Thirds are set by stall order among the horses that ran, so non-runners do not shift them. Place % is per runner. Distances with fewer than 20 races are hidden. Source: RaceWatch results database.

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Dundalk draw thirds overall, 8 or more runners

Low2,23828.4%29.5%7.7%8,23463623.7%
Middle2,23836.6%34.3%8.5%9,57681825.5%
High2,23835.2%36.2%7.8%10,10878823.0%

All distances pooled. Strike rate is wins per runner in that third. BSP figures are not shown because the window starts before March 2024.

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Dundalk draw by distance, all field sizes

All distances2,45528.2%29.4%36.1%34.0%35.9%36.6%
5f21927.4%29.4%37.9%33.8%34.7%36.8%
6f33727.3%29.4%34.7%33.8%38.0%36.8%
7f56527.3%29.3%38.1%34.2%35.2%36.5%
1m56828.3%29.6%35.6%33.9%36.1%36.5%
1m2½f39829.6%29.5%36.2%34.1%34.7%36.4%
1m4f30127.6%29.5%34.6%34.0%37.9%36.5%
2m6735.8%29.0%31.3%33.5%32.8%37.5%

Every Flat race at Dundalk with 3 or more runners since 1 January 2019. Small fields dilute any draw effect, so compare with the 8 or more runners table. Distances with fewer than 20 races are hidden.

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Dundalk draw by field size

3 to 7 runnersAll distances21725.8%28.6%31.3%31.4%43.3%40.0%
8 to 11 runnersAll distances58129.8%28.9%36.1%34.2%34.3%36.9%
12 to 15 runnersAll distances1,65727.9%29.7%36.7%34.3%35.5%36.0%
3 to 7 runners5f4727.7%28.7%27.7%32.1%44.7%39.3%
8 to 11 runners5f9525.3%29.0%40.0%34.4%34.7%36.6%
12 to 15 runners5f7729.9%30.4%41.6%34.1%28.6%35.5%
3 to 7 runners6f4027.5%28.3%22.5%31.3%50.0%40.3%
8 to 11 runners6f9627.1%28.7%37.5%34.3%35.4%36.9%
12 to 15 runners6f20127.4%29.9%35.8%34.1%36.8%36.0%
3 to 7 runners7f329.4%28.2%34.4%30.7%59.4%41.0%
8 to 11 runners7f12933.3%28.6%37.2%34.4%29.5%37.1%
12 to 15 runners7f40426.7%29.6%38.6%34.4%35.1%36.0%
3 to 7 runners1m2920.7%29.0%44.8%31.1%34.5%39.9%
8 to 11 runners1m10425.0%28.6%39.4%34.1%35.6%37.3%
12 to 15 runners1m43529.7%29.8%34.0%34.1%36.3%36.1%
3 to 7 runners1m2½f3826.3%28.6%31.6%31.8%42.1%39.6%
8 to 11 runners1m2½f7139.4%29.5%29.6%34.1%32.4%36.5%
12 to 15 runners1m2½f28927.7%29.6%38.4%34.5%34.3%35.9%
8 to 11 runners1m4f7031.4%29.3%30.0%33.8%38.6%36.9%
12 to 15 runners1m4f21325.4%29.6%36.2%34.3%38.5%36.1%
12 to 15 runners2m3836.8%29.5%31.6%34.2%31.6%36.4%

Field size is the number of runners that took part. Cells with fewer than 20 races are hidden.

Dundalk draw by going, 8 or more runners

AWAll distances2,23828.4%29.5%35.2%36.2%36.6%
AW5f17227.3%29.6%32.0%36.1%40.7%
AW6f29727.3%29.5%36.4%36.3%36.4%
AW7f53328.3%29.4%33.8%36.2%38.3%
AW1m53928.8%29.6%36.2%36.3%35.1%
AW1m2½f36030.0%29.6%33.9%36.0%36.7%
AW1m4f28326.9%29.5%38.5%36.3%34.6%
AW2m5433.3%29.0%35.2%36.7%31.5%

Official going grouped into bands (yielding counts with good to soft). All-weather races show as AW. Cells with fewer than 20 races are hidden.

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Dundalk individual stalls, most-run distances

7f1475306.3%8.2%22.7%
7f2470408.5%8.2%26.4%
7f3477398.2%8.2%22.6%
7f4479439.0%8.2%27.6%
7f5487438.8%8.2%25.9%
7f6483428.7%8.2%25.3%
7f7473388.0%8.2%24.9%
7f8476398.2%8.2%26.1%
7f9456367.9%8.0%21.9%
7f10434388.8%7.8%22.6%
7f11406348.4%7.7%24.9%
7f12370308.1%7.5%22.2%
7f13320195.9%7.4%21.6%
7f14295237.8%7.3%19.3%
7f15247135.3%7.2%17.8%
7f16199147.0%7.3%23.1%
7f17167148.4%7.3%24.6%
1m1481306.2%8.1%22.2%
1m2478377.7%8.1%21.1%
1m3499479.4%8.1%23.6%
1m4478387.9%8.1%25.3%
1m5491418.4%8.1%23.0%
1m64804810.0%8.1%26.5%
1m7474337.0%8.1%27.0%
1m8481449.1%8.1%23.5%
1m9455408.8%7.9%26.4%
1m10448296.5%7.8%22.3%
1m11421307.1%7.6%24.0%
1m12395369.1%7.5%24.1%
1m13353318.8%7.4%22.1%
1m14298165.4%7.3%21.1%
1m15239135.4%7.3%21.3%
1m16208125.8%7.3%19.7%
1m17177147.9%7.3%24.3%

The two most-run distances at Dundalk in races of 8 or more runners since 2019. Stall is the stall number drawn. Expected win % is the chance of a single runner given the field sizes it ran in. Stalls with fewer than 100 runs are hidden.

Additional research statistics and historical returns are in the RaceWatch app.

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Dundalk 1m: win % by draw third, since 2016 v last three seasons, 8 or more runners
Since 2016Since 2024Expected by chance
0%10%20%30%40%LowMiddleHighSince 2016 Low: 29.5%Since 2016 Middle: 35%Since 2016 High: 35.6%Since 2024 Low: 29.2%Since 2024 Middle: 38.2%Since 2024 High: 32.6%Expected by chance Low: 29.5%Expected by chance Middle: 34.2%Expected by chance High: 36.3%

Win % of races by Draw third

Dundalk next Flat meeting, 16 October 2026, with the draw record

16 Oct 2617:00Irishinjuredjockeys.com Apprentice Optional Claiming Race-1m2½f1536030.0%36.7%33.9%29.6%34.4%36.0%
16 Oct 2617:30Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Maiden-6f929727.3%36.4%36.4%29.5%34.2%36.3%
16 Oct 2618:00James Crowe 1 Year Memorial Nursery Handicap-7f1553328.3%38.3%33.8%29.4%34.4%36.2%
16 Oct 2618:30Celebrate Your Special Occasion At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (Div I)-7f1753328.3%38.3%33.8%29.4%34.4%36.2%
16 Oct 2619:00Celebrate Your Special Occasion At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (Div II)-7f1653328.3%38.3%33.8%29.4%34.4%36.2%
16 Oct 2619:30BAR 1 Betting 'Supporting Irish Racing' Handicap-7f1353328.3%38.3%33.8%29.4%34.4%36.2%
16 Oct 2620:00View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Handicap-1m2½f1736030.0%36.7%33.9%29.6%34.4%36.0%
16 Oct 2620:30Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Book Now Handicap-1m2½f1136030.0%36.7%33.9%29.6%34.4%36.0%

Declared runners exclude non-runners. Races of 8 or more declared runners use the 8 or more runners record at the same distance, smaller fields use the all field sizes record. Blank history means fewer than 20 races at that distance since 2019.

Dundalk 1m win % by stall, 8 or more runners
Win %Expected by chance
0%2.5%5%7.5%10%Stall 1Stall 2Stall 3Stall 4Stall 5Stall 6Stall 7Stall 8Stall 9Stall 10Stall 11Stall 12Stall 13Stall 14Stall 15Stall 16Stall 17Win % Stall 1: 6.2%Win % Stall 2: 7.7%Win % Stall 3: 9.4%Win % Stall 4: 7.9%Win % Stall 5: 8.4%Win % Stall 6: 10%Win % Stall 7: 7%Win % Stall 8: 9.1%Win % Stall 9: 8.8%Win % Stall 10: 6.5%Win % Stall 11: 7.1%Win % Stall 12: 9.1%Win % Stall 13: 8.8%Win % Stall 14: 5.4%Win % Stall 15: 5.4%Win % Stall 16: 5.8%Win % Stall 17: 7.9%Expected by chance Stall 1: 8.1%Expected by chance Stall 2: 8.1%Expected by chance Stall 3: 8.1%Expected by chance Stall 4: 8.1%Expected by chance Stall 5: 8.1%Expected by chance Stall 6: 8.1%Expected by chance Stall 7: 8.1%Expected by chance Stall 8: 8.1%Expected by chance Stall 9: 7.9%Expected by chance Stall 10: 7.8%Expected by chance Stall 11: 7.6%Expected by chance Stall 12: 7.5%Expected by chance Stall 13: 7.4%Expected by chance Stall 14: 7.3%Expected by chance Stall 15: 7.3%Expected by chance Stall 16: 7.3%Expected by chance Stall 17: 7.3%

Win % by Stall

Declared runners by draw third, next Flat meeting

17:00Trishuli River silksTrishuli River1Low30.0%29.6%1m2½f15360
17:00Beat The Devil silksBeat The Devil2Low30.0%29.6%1m2½f15360
17:00Barretstown silksBarretstown3Low30.0%29.6%1m2½f15360
17:00Tyson Fury silksTyson Fury4Low30.0%29.6%1m2½f15360
17:00Sherekiya silksSherekiya5Low30.0%29.6%1m2½f15360
17:00My Vonnie silksMy Vonnie6Middle36.7%34.4%1m2½f15360
17:00Jazz Dreamers silksJazz Dreamers7Middle36.7%34.4%1m2½f15360
17:00Haeret In Pectore silksHaeret In Pectore8Middle36.7%34.4%1m2½f15360
17:00Earthwatch silksEarthwatch9Middle36.7%34.4%1m2½f15360
17:00Autocrat silksAutocrat10Middle36.7%34.4%1m2½f15360
17:00Daonethatgotaway silksDaonethatgotaway11High33.9%36.0%1m2½f15360
17:00Goldrush Kid silksGoldrush Kid12High33.9%36.0%1m2½f15360
17:00Vivere A Colori silksVivere A Colori13High33.9%36.0%1m2½f15360
17:00Aiteall silksAiteall14High33.9%36.0%1m2½f15360
17:00Plontier silksPlontier15High33.9%36.0%1m2½f15360
17:30Cape Blue Point1Low27.3%29.5%6f9297
17:30Blessed By Faith silksBlessed By Faith2Low27.3%29.5%6f9297
17:30Otsana silksOtsana3Low27.3%29.5%6f9297
17:30Dusty Rock silksDusty Rock4Middle36.4%34.2%6f9297
17:30Emiza silksEmiza5Middle36.4%34.2%6f9297
17:30Palmeira silksPalmeira6Middle36.4%34.2%6f9297
17:30Rosanella silksRosanella7High36.4%36.3%6f9297
17:30Firewalker silksFirewalker8High36.4%36.3%6f9297
17:30Monmouth silksMonmouth9High36.4%36.3%6f9297
18:00Lake Lugano silksLake Lugano1Low28.3%29.4%7f15533
18:00Yellow Sky silksYellow Sky2Low28.3%29.4%7f15533
18:00Two Brigade silksTwo Brigade3Low28.3%29.4%7f15533
18:00Hip Hop Chrissy silksHip Hop Chrissy4Low28.3%29.4%7f15533
18:00Cyclone Code silksCyclone Code5Low28.3%29.4%7f15533
18:00Closefield Beau silksClosefield Beau6Middle38.3%34.4%7f15533
18:00Green Sparkle silksGreen Sparkle7Middle38.3%34.4%7f15533
18:00Violet Be Humble silksViolet Be Humble8Middle38.3%34.4%7f15533
18:00Our Boy Bailey silksOur Boy Bailey9Middle38.3%34.4%7f15533
18:00This That silksThis That10Middle38.3%34.4%7f15533
18:00Heart Of You silksHeart Of You11High33.8%36.2%7f15533
18:00Gabby Hayes silksGabby Hayes12High33.8%36.2%7f15533
18:00Just One Show silksJust One Show13High33.8%36.2%7f15533
18:00Matavai Bay silksMatavai Bay14High33.8%36.2%7f15533
18:00Lusted silksLusted15High33.8%36.2%7f15533
18:30Una Matata silksUna Matata1Low28.3%29.4%7f17533
18:30Frosted Sky silksFrosted Sky2Low28.3%29.4%7f17533
18:30Desert Of The Sea silksDesert Of The Sea3Low28.3%29.4%7f17533
18:30Jazzy Dancer silksJazzy Dancer4Low28.3%29.4%7f17533
18:30Go Out silksGo Out5Low28.3%29.4%7f17533
18:30Liamo silksLiamo6Middle38.3%34.4%7f17533
18:30Top Biller silksTop Biller7Middle38.3%34.4%7f17533
18:30Whiskey And Beer silksWhiskey And Beer8Middle38.3%34.4%7f17533
18:30Sedro Woolley silksSedro Woolley9Middle38.3%34.4%7f17533
18:30Zabriskie Point silksZabriskie Point10Middle38.3%34.4%7f17533
18:30Pick A Window silksPick A Window11Middle38.3%34.4%7f17533

Each declared runner placed in its third by stall order among the declared runners (first 50 runners of the meeting). Figures are the course and distance record for that third since 2019.

Latest Flat winners at Dundalk and their draw

9 Oct 26In A Hurry (GB) silksIn A Hurry (GB)15High147f29.00
9 Oct 26Fixation (IRE) silksFixation (IRE)1Low51m4f2.38
9 Oct 26Serenity Blue (GB) silksSerenity Blue (GB)4Middle71m4f4.33
9 Oct 26Storm Eric (IRE) silksStorm Eric (IRE)13High141m2½f7.00
9 Oct 26Hellorhighwater (GB) silksHellorhighwater (GB)4Low131m4.33
9 Oct 26Send Harry (IRE) silksSend Harry (IRE)7Middle147f4.33
9 Oct 26The Pipeman (IRE) silksThe Pipeman (IRE)8Middle147f9.00
9 Oct 26Donner Dancer (IRE) silksDonner Dancer (IRE)6Middle147f51.00
2 Oct 26Golden Ring (IRE) silksGolden Ring (IRE)5High71m1.40
2 Oct 26Mallavelly (IRE) silksMallavelly (IRE)6High57f5.00
2 Oct 26Eleanor Shelby (GB) silksEleanor Shelby (GB)16High137f23.00
2 Oct 26Joga Bonito (GB) silksJoga Bonito (GB)2Low107f6.50
2 Oct 26Snapequus (IRE) silksSnapequus (IRE)4Middle97f3.25
2 Oct 26Shimmering Sun (IRE) silksShimmering Sun (IRE)8Middle135f4.00
2 Oct 26Kerdos (IRE) silksKerdos (IRE)4Middle85f12.00
2 Oct 26Caffu Zafeen (IRE) silksCaffu Zafeen (IRE)4Low125f2.50
25 Sep 26Highway Sixty One (IRE) silksHighway Sixty One (IRE)2Low141m4f41.00
25 Sep 26Quatre Bras (IRE) silksQuatre Bras (IRE)10Middle141m2½f5.50
25 Sep 26Military Order (IRE) silksMilitary Order (IRE)2Low71m2½f2.10
25 Sep 26Usuario Amigo (GB) silksUsuario Amigo (GB)4Low141m4.50

The 20 most recent Flat races at Dundalk in the data with a full draw.

Dundalk win % of races by draw third and distance, 8 or more runners
Low thirdMiddle thirdHigh third
0%20%40%60%80%5f6f7f1m1m2½f1m4f2mLow third 5f: 27.3%Low third 6f: 27.3%Low third 7f: 28.3%Low third 1m: 28.8%Low third 1m2½f: 30%Low third 1m4f: 26.9%Low third 2m: 33.3%Middle third 5f: 40.7%Middle third 6f: 36.4%Middle third 7f: 38.3%Middle third 1m: 35.1%Middle third 1m2½f: 36.7%Middle third 1m4f: 34.6%Middle third 2m: 31.5%High third 5f: 32%High third 6f: 36.4%High third 7f: 33.8%High third 1m: 36.2%High third 1m2½f: 33.9%High third 1m4f: 38.5%High third 2m: 35.2%

Win % of races by Distance

Dundalk win % of races by draw third and year, 8 or more runners
Low thirdMiddle thirdHigh third
20%30%40%50%60%20192020202120222023202420252026Low third 2019: 30.9%Low third 2020: 29.8%Low third 2021: 27.2%Low third 2022: 24.2%Low third 2023: 30.3%Low third 2024: 28.4%Low third 2025: 29.7%Low third 2026: 26.7%26.7%Middle third 2019: 35.1%Middle third 2020: 37.3%Middle third 2021: 38.2%Middle third 2022: 37.3%Middle third 2023: 33.1%Middle third 2024: 39.1%Middle third 2025: 35%Middle third 2026: 37.3%37.3%High third 2019: 34.7%High third 2020: 33.2%High third 2021: 34.9%High third 2022: 38.5%High third 2023: 36.6%High third 2024: 32.4%High third 2025: 35.3%High third 2026: 36%36%

Win % of races by Year

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Is there a draw bias at Dundalk?

Over 1m, the most-run trip at Dundalk, the draw rates weak or none from 738 races. It stands out most over 7f, where the middle third has won 37.7% against 34.4% by chance (rated moderate).

Is a low draw an advantage at Dundalk over 5f and 6f?

Dundalk's 5f and 6f rows in the distance table show each third against chance. Across all distances pooled, the Dundalk thirds sit within a few points of chance despite a very large sample.

How does field size change the draw at Dundalk?

Going plays no part in the matrix on the Dundalk all-weather, so each trip is split by 8 to 11, 12 to 15 and 16 or more runners instead, each with its own rating. Read the race count before the percentages.

Is the Dundalk draw bias still current?

The recency table sets each trip's record since 2016 beside the last three seasons, from 2024. Over 1m the check reads no clear lean in either period, from 178 recent races.

How is the bias rating worked out?

Winners from each draw third are tested against the share chance would give them, using a chi-square test. Strong means p below 0.01 from 100 or more races, moderate p below 0.05, and fewer than 40 races is not enough data.

Questions people ask

Is there a draw bias at Dundalk?

Over 1m, the most-run trip at Dundalk, the draw rates weak or none, with low draws winning 29.5% of 738 races against 29.5% by chance. It stands out most over 7f, where the middle third has won 37.7% against 34.4% (rated moderate).

Which stall is best at Dundalk over 5f?

Stall 6 has the best top-three record over 5f at Dundalk since 2016, placing in 34.5% of 223 runs against 26.8% by chance. Single stalls swing on small samples, so the stall grid lists every stall with 50 or more runs at each trip.

Is a low or high draw better at Dundalk?

Across all distances since 2016, low draws have won 29.7% of Dundalk races against 29.5% by chance, and high draws 33.9% against 36.2%. The answer changes by trip, so check the bias matrix row for the race distance.

How does Dundalk compare with Kempton and Lingfield?

Kempton and Lingfield have their own draw pages built the same way, so their distance rows can be compared with Dundalk's trip by trip. All three race on Polytrack, but each track has a different shape.

How often are the Dundalk draw figures updated?

The figures are rebuilt every night from the RaceWatch results database, and the latest results included are from 15 October 2026. The bias matrix, ratings and stall grid use races since 2016, and the detailed thirds tables further down use races since 2019.

More free data

Draw bias at every courseCompare the thirds course by courseDundalk course guideResults, trainers and jockeys at the courseDundalk racecardsThe next meeting's full cardKempton draw biasThe same thirds at another courseWhat is draw bias?How stall position shapes a race

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