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Catterick draw bias: sharp bends and the sprint trips

At Catterick over 7f, the most-run Flat trip, low draws have won 31.5% of races of 8 or more runners since 2016 (267 races), middle draws 33.3% and high draws 35.2%, against 29.9%, 33.9% and 36.2% by chance. Bias rating: weak or none. Every trip, going and field size follows, with results to 15 October 2026.

Next Flat meeting at Catterick: Saturday 17 October 2026, 8 races and 76 declared runners placed in their draw third · Results to 15 October 2026 · Refreshed 16 October 2026
Weak or none
Rating on the most-run trip
5f
Trip where the draw stands out most
855
Races of 8+ runners since 2016
15 October 2026
Results up to
Low 31.5% v 29.9%

At Catterick over 7f, the course's most-run Flat trip, low draws have won 31.5% of races of 8 or more runners since 2016 (267 races), middle draws 33.3% and high draws 35.2%, against 29.9%, 33.9% and 36.2% by chance. Bias rating: weak or none.Sample: 267 races · Window: 6 April 2016 to 15 October 2026 · Source: RaceWatch results database (Flat results with stall draw), plus today's declarations for the next meeting

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Catterick draw bias by distance, going and field size

All distancesAll goingAll field sizes8558,87330.5%29.7%33.1%34.0%36.4%36.3%29.7%28.9%28.3%28.9%Low +0.8 pts0.804Weak or none
5fAll goingAll field sizes1921,96633.9%29.3%29.2%34.0%37.0%36.8%32.7%27.7%28.0%29.3%Low +4.6 pts0.261Weak or none
5fFast (good to firm or firmer)All field sizes5555343.6%28.9%23.6%34.3%32.7%36.8%37.0%26.1%27.6%29.8%Low +14.7 pts0.045Moderate
5fGoodAll field sizes5456150.0%29.2%29.6%33.7%20.4%37.1%40.0%29.3%19.7%28.9%Low +20.8 pts0.002Moderate
5fSoft (good to soft to heavy)All field sizes8385216.9%29.5%32.5%33.9%50.6%36.5%25.2%27.8%33.9%29.2%High +14.1 pts0.011Moderate
5fAll going8 to 11 runners1431,32233.6%28.5%31.5%34.3%35.0%37.2%38.3%30.8%29.5%32.5%Low +5.1 pts0.408Weak or none
5fAll going12 to 15 runners4964434.7%31.4%22.4%33.0%42.9%35.5%22.3%21.1%24.9%22.8%High +7.4 pts0.277Weak or none
5fFast (good to firm or firmer)8 to 11 runners4035947.5%27.9%25.0%34.8%27.5%37.3%46.5%27.4%29.1%33.4%Low +19.6 pts0.022Moderate
5fGood8 to 11 runners3936551.3%28.7%25.6%34.1%23.1%37.2%47.6%28.2%23.5%32.1%Low +22.6 pts0.007Not enough data
5fSoft (good to soft to heavy)8 to 11 runners6459814.1%28.8%39.1%34.1%46.9%37.1%27.7%34.5%33.3%32.1%High +9.8 pts0.031Moderate
6fAll goingAll field sizes1971,95133.5%29.9%33.0%34.0%33.5%36.1%30.2%32.0%28.8%30.3%Low +3.6 pts0.532Weak or none
6fFast (good to firm or firmer)All field sizes5250436.5%29.6%30.8%34.2%32.7%36.1%32.0%33.7%27.5%31.0%Low +6.9 pts0.553Weak or none
6fGoodAll field sizes4947638.8%29.9%32.7%34.2%28.6%35.9%38.2%28.4%27.1%30.9%Low +8.9 pts0.359Weak or none
6fSoft (good to soft to heavy)All field sizes9697129.2%30.1%34.4%33.8%36.5%36.1%25.3%32.9%30.3%29.7%Middle +0.6 pts0.981Weak or none
6fAll going8 to 11 runners1641,55534.1%29.2%32.9%34.2%32.9%36.6%31.9%34.5%28.8%31.6%Low +4.9 pts0.362Weak or none
6fAll going12 to 15 runners3339630.3%33.3%33.3%33.3%36.4%33.3%24.2%22.0%28.8%25.0%High +3.1 pts0.913Not enough data
6fFast (good to firm or firmer)8 to 11 runners4744436.2%29.3%29.8%34.3%34.0%36.4%33.8%33.6%28.4%31.8%Low +6.9 pts0.571Weak or none
6fGood8 to 11 runners3834439.5%28.9%31.6%34.5%28.9%36.6%41.0%32.2%27.8%33.1%Low +10.6 pts0.339Not enough data
6fSoft (good to soft to heavy)8 to 11 runners7976730.4%29.4%35.4%33.9%34.2%36.7%26.7%36.2%29.4%30.9%Middle +1.5 pts0.896Weak or none
7fAll goingAll field sizes2672,86231.5%29.9%33.3%33.9%35.2%36.2%28.6%26.4%29.0%28.0%Low +1.6 pts0.847Weak or none
7fFast (good to firm or firmer)All field sizes7072040.0%29.6%21.4%33.9%38.6%36.5%34.6%27.6%26.2%29.2%Low +10.4 pts0.053Weak or none
7fGoodAll field sizes8289028.0%29.8%42.7%33.9%29.3%36.2%27.1%26.8%29.2%27.6%Middle +8.8 pts0.220Weak or none
7fSoft (good to soft to heavy)All field sizes1151,25228.7%30.0%33.9%34.0%37.4%36.0%26.4%25.5%30.5%27.6%High +1.4 pts0.934Weak or none
7fAll going8 to 11 runners1791,69631.3%29.2%31.8%34.2%36.9%36.6%31.1%29.4%34.4%31.7%Low +2.1 pts0.749Weak or none
7fAll going12 to 15 runners881,16631.8%31.3%36.4%33.4%31.8%35.3%25.3%22.1%20.9%22.6%Middle +3.0 pts0.761Weak or none
7fFast (good to firm or firmer)8 to 11 runners5248740.4%29.1%15.4%34.2%44.2%36.7%33.8%29.5%33.0%32.0%Low +11.3 pts0.015Moderate
7fGood8 to 11 runners5552829.1%29.4%40.0%34.0%30.9%36.7%31.6%27.9%34.5%31.2%Middle +6.0 pts0.579Weak or none
7fGood12 to 15 runners2736225.9%30.7%48.1%33.9%25.9%35.3%20.7%25.2%21.1%22.4%Middle +14.2 pts0.287Not enough data
7fSoft (good to soft to heavy)8 to 11 runners7268126.4%29.0%37.5%34.4%36.1%36.5%28.8%30.3%35.3%31.7%Middle +3.1 pts0.830Weak or none
7fSoft (good to soft to heavy)12 to 15 runners4357132.6%31.7%27.9%33.2%39.5%35.0%23.8%19.5%24.5%22.6%High +4.5 pts0.731Weak or none
1m4fAll goingAll field sizes1201,27624.2%29.6%35.8%34.2%40.0%36.2%24.9%30.9%28.4%28.2%High +3.8 pts0.409Weak or none
1m4fFast (good to firm or firmer)All field sizes3232131.3%29.1%31.3%34.7%37.5%36.2%30.5%32.7%26.7%29.9%Low +2.2 pts0.918Not enough data
1m4fGoodAll field sizes2931927.6%30.0%48.3%33.6%24.1%36.4%25.0%28.0%28.4%27.3%Middle +14.7 pts0.209Not enough data
1m4fSoft (good to soft to heavy)All field sizes5963618.6%29.7%32.2%34.2%49.2%36.1%22.1%31.3%29.3%27.8%High +13.1 pts0.071Weak or none
1m4fAll going8 to 11 runners8074926.3%28.8%33.8%34.6%40.0%36.7%28.7%36.0%30.9%32.0%High +3.3 pts0.806Weak or none
1m4fAll going12 to 15 runners4052720.0%31.4%40.0%33.3%40.0%35.3%20.0%23.3%24.7%22.8%Middle +6.7 pts0.296Weak or none
1m4fFast (good to firm or firmer)8 to 11 runners2320326.1%27.9%30.4%35.6%43.5%36.5%40.4%34.7%28.4%34.0%High +7.0 pts0.775Not enough data
1m4fSoft (good to soft to heavy)8 to 11 runners3836421.1%28.8%26.3%34.4%52.6%36.8%21.9%37.6%32.8%31.3%High +15.8 pts0.128Not enough data
1m4fSoft (good to soft to heavy)12 to 15 runners2127214.3%31.4%42.9%33.8%42.9%34.9%22.4%22.8%24.2%23.2%Middle +9.1 pts0.240Not enough data
1m6fAll goingAll field sizes3637013.9%28.9%38.9%34.8%47.2%36.3%29.6%31.3%26.9%29.2%High +10.9 pts0.126Not enough data
1m6fAll going8 to 11 runners262397.7%27.9%38.5%35.3%53.8%36.8%35.8%31.0%31.8%32.6%High +17.0 pts0.052Not enough data
2mAll goingAll field sizes4344827.9%29.9%37.2%34.1%34.9%36.0%35.6%28.9%23.0%28.8%Middle +3.1 pts0.907Weak or none
2mSoft (good to soft to heavy)All field sizes2729425.9%29.8%25.9%34.1%48.1%36.1%30.7%25.0%27.4%27.6%High +12.0 pts0.416Not enough data
2mAll going8 to 11 runners3028333.3%28.9%33.3%34.7%33.3%36.4%42.7%29.6%25.2%31.8%Low +4.4 pts0.864Not enough data

Flat races at Catterick with 8 or more runners and a full draw, since 6 April 2016. Runners are split into low, middle and high thirds by stall order among the horses that ran. Win % is the share of races each third won; expected % is its share by chance given the field sizes. Top-3 % is the share of runners in that third who finished in the first three, against the chance rate. Going groups: fast is good to firm or firmer, soft is good to soft, yielding, soft and heavy. Bias rating uses a chi-square test of winners by third against chance (2 degrees of freedom): Strong means p below 0.01 from 100 or more races, Moderate p below 0.05, Weak or none p of 0.05 or more, and Not enough data fewer than 40 races. Rows with fewer than 20 races are hidden. Source: RaceWatch results database.

Catterick draw bias: since 2016 v the last three seasons

All distances85530.5%33.1%36.4%29.7%34.0%36.3%Weak or none20742.5%27.5%30.0%StrongNew lean: low third
5f19233.9%29.2%37.0%29.3%34.0%36.8%Weak or none4944.9%28.6%26.5%ModerateStronger lately
6f19733.5%33.0%33.5%29.9%34.0%36.1%Weak or none4650.0%26.1%23.9%ModerateStronger lately
7f26731.5%33.3%35.2%29.9%33.9%36.2%Weak or none7441.9%27.0%31.1%Weak or noneNo clear lean in either period
1m4f12024.2%35.8%40.0%29.6%34.2%36.2%Weak or none1931.6%21.1%47.4%Not enough dataToo few recent races
1m6f3613.9%38.9%47.2%28.9%34.8%36.3%Not enough data714.3%14.3%71.4%Not enough dataToo few recent races
2m4327.9%37.2%34.9%29.9%34.1%36.0%Weak or none1241.7%50.0%8.3%Not enough dataToo few recent races

Last three seasons means races since 1 January 2024. Is it current? compares the third that led over the whole window with its record lately: Holding means within 2 points of its long-run edge, Stronger or Weaker lately means more than 2 points either way, Gone lately means it no longer beats chance. 8 or more runners. Rows with fewer than 20 races are hidden.

Catterick stall by stall at each distance

5f11832513.7%10.1%38.8%30.4%+8.4
5f21801810.0%10.1%35.6%30.2%+5.4
5f31801810.0%10.1%31.1%30.2%+0.9
5f4188189.6%10.1%30.3%30.3%0.0
5f51781910.7%10.1%25.3%30.2%-4.9
5f6178169.0%10.1%28.1%30.3%-2.2
5f7180168.9%10.1%22.2%30.4%-8.1
5f8181126.6%10.1%26.5%30.2%-3.7
5f9151149.3%9.6%29.8%28.8%+1.0
5f10130129.2%9.4%28.5%28.1%+0.4
5f119199.9%8.8%25.3%26.4%-1.1
5f125758.8%8.0%33.3%24.0%+9.3
6f11912312.0%10.3%32.5%30.8%+1.6
6f21872513.4%10.3%33.7%30.8%+2.9
6f3188136.9%10.3%24.5%30.8%-6.3
6f41852211.9%10.3%39.5%30.9%+8.5
6f5188179.0%10.3%28.7%30.8%-2.1
6f61802111.7%10.3%33.9%30.9%+3.0
6f7186158.1%10.2%26.3%30.7%-4.4
6f8188189.6%10.3%26.6%30.8%-4.2
6f9167137.8%10.0%24.6%29.9%-5.4
6f101291612.4%9.5%33.3%28.6%+4.7
6f119588.4%9.2%29.5%27.6%+1.8
6f126769.0%8.9%31.3%26.7%+4.7
7f1256197.4%9.6%23.0%28.9%-5.9
7f22513212.7%9.7%33.1%29.1%+4.0
7f3253228.7%9.6%31.2%28.9%+2.3
7f4249228.8%9.6%28.9%28.8%+0.1
7f5250208.0%9.6%24.4%28.9%-4.5
7f62482710.9%9.7%29.0%29.0%0.0
7f72562810.9%9.6%25.4%28.9%-3.5
7f82562710.5%9.7%32.8%29.0%+3.8
7f9224188.0%9.4%34.8%28.1%+6.7
7f10193199.8%9.0%26.4%27.0%-0.6
7f11147117.5%8.5%20.4%25.4%-5.0
7f1210987.3%8.0%23.9%23.9%0.0
7f137534.0%7.7%14.7%23.0%-8.4
7f1458712.1%7.4%32.8%22.3%+10.5
1m4f111697.8%9.7%26.7%29.2%-2.5
1m4f21161210.3%9.8%28.4%29.3%-0.8
1m4f3114119.6%9.7%26.3%29.2%-2.9
1m4f411565.2%9.7%24.3%29.1%-4.8
1m4f5115108.7%9.8%35.7%29.3%+6.3
1m4f61091211.0%9.7%33.9%29.2%+4.8
1m4f7110109.1%9.7%24.5%29.1%-4.5
1m4f81141714.9%9.7%29.8%29.2%+0.6
1m4f910055.0%9.4%21.0%28.3%-7.3
1m4f10841113.1%8.9%31.0%26.8%+4.1
1m4f1164812.5%8.3%35.9%25.0%+10.9

Stall is the stall number drawn. Every distance with 60 or more races of 8 or more runners since 2016; stalls with fewer than 50 runs are hidden. Top-3 % is steadier than win % for a single stall, so read it first.

Catterick draw by distance, 8 or more runners

All distances59231.1%29.6%30.1%34.1%38.9%36.3%30.2%28.6%29.1%
5f13234.1%29.1%28.8%34.1%37.1%36.8%33.0%28.9%28.7%
6f13535.6%30.0%28.9%34.1%35.6%36.0%30.3%32.3%28.3%
7f19032.6%30.0%30.5%33.8%36.8%36.3%29.1%25.4%30.2%
1m4f8021.3%29.3%30.0%34.2%48.8%36.5%25.9%29.5%30.2%
1m6f2516.0%28.2%32.0%35.5%52.0%36.3%31.4%29.9%30.3%
2m3026.7%29.6%36.7%34.4%36.7%36.0%37.0%28.3%23.4%

Flat races at Catterick with 8 or more runners since 1 January 2019. Win % is the share of races won by each third of the draw expected % is the share that third would win by chance given the field sizes run. Thirds are set by stall order among the horses that ran, so non-runners do not shift them. Place % is per runner. Distances with fewer than 20 races are hidden. Source: RaceWatch results database.

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Catterick draw thirds overall, 8 or more runners

Low59231.1%29.6%10.2%1,80918430.2%
Middle59230.1%34.1%8.6%2,06117828.6%
High59238.9%36.3%10.4%2,20323029.1%

All distances pooled. Strike rate is wins per runner in that third. BSP figures are not shown because the window starts before March 2024.

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Catterick draw by distance, all field sizes

All distances88431.0%29.0%30.4%33.3%38.6%37.7%
5f20533.2%28.8%29.3%33.1%37.6%38.1%
6f19535.9%29.5%30.3%33.4%33.8%37.1%
7f26430.7%29.3%28.8%33.3%40.5%37.4%
1m4f12823.4%28.7%31.3%32.9%45.3%38.4%
1m6f4628.3%27.6%32.6%35.1%39.1%37.3%
2m4626.1%29.0%41.3%33.0%32.6%38.0%

Every Flat race at Catterick with 3 or more runners since 1 January 2019. Small fields dilute any draw effect, so compare with the 8 or more runners table. Distances with fewer than 20 races are hidden.

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Catterick draw by field size

3 to 7 runnersAll distances29230.8%27.9%31.2%31.8%38.0%40.3%
8 to 11 runnersAll distances45032.4%29.0%30.2%34.3%37.3%36.7%
12 to 15 runnersAll distances14226.8%31.6%29.6%33.3%43.7%35.0%
3 to 7 runners5f7331.5%28.3%30.1%31.3%38.4%40.3%
8 to 11 runners5f10534.3%28.4%31.4%34.4%34.3%37.2%
12 to 15 runners5f2733.3%31.8%18.5%32.8%48.1%35.4%
3 to 7 runners6f6036.7%28.3%33.3%32.0%30.0%39.6%
8 to 11 runners6f11436.8%29.4%28.1%34.2%35.1%36.5%
12 to 15 runners6f2128.6%33.3%33.3%33.3%38.1%33.3%
3 to 7 runners7f7425.7%27.6%24.3%32.2%50.0%40.3%
8 to 11 runners7f13135.1%29.4%29.0%34.0%35.9%36.6%
12 to 15 runners7f5927.1%31.3%33.9%33.3%39.0%35.4%
3 to 7 runners1m4f4827.1%27.5%33.3%30.9%39.6%41.6%
8 to 11 runners1m4f5820.7%28.7%31.0%34.4%48.3%37.0%
12 to 15 runners1m4f2222.7%31.0%27.3%33.6%50.0%35.4%
3 to 7 runners1m6f2142.9%26.9%33.3%34.5%23.8%38.6%
8 to 11 runners1m6f2010.0%27.6%35.0%35.7%55.0%36.7%
8 to 11 runners2m2236.4%28.7%36.4%35.0%27.3%36.3%

Field size is the number of runners that took part. Cells with fewer than 20 races are hidden.

Catterick draw by going, 8 or more runners

Good to firm or firmerAll distances13939.6%29.5%38.1%36.2%22.3%
GoodAll distances17136.3%29.5%26.9%36.6%36.8%
Good to soft or yieldingAll distances9722.7%29.6%46.4%36.1%30.9%
SoftAll distances14523.4%30.0%46.9%36.1%29.7%
HeavyAll distances4027.5%29.1%45.0%36.9%27.5%
Good to firm or firmer5f3444.1%28.6%32.4%36.9%23.5%
Good5f3855.3%29.1%15.8%37.1%28.9%
Good to soft or yielding5f2420.8%28.8%54.2%36.9%25.0%
Soft5f2910.3%29.8%51.7%36.4%37.9%
Good to firm or firmer6f3046.7%29.9%36.7%35.7%16.7%
Good6f3537.1%30.0%25.7%35.8%37.1%
Good to soft or yielding6f2516.0%29.3%48.0%35.7%36.0%
Soft6f3339.4%30.6%33.3%35.9%27.3%
Good to firm or firmer7f4643.5%29.6%39.1%36.4%17.4%
Good7f6229.0%30.0%30.6%36.5%40.3%
Good to soft or yielding7f2433.3%30.9%33.3%35.8%33.3%
Soft7f4725.5%30.0%44.7%35.8%29.8%
Good1m4f2025.0%29.5%30.0%37.1%45.0%
Soft1m4f2020.0%29.3%60.0%36.6%20.0%

Official going grouped into bands (yielding counts with good to soft). All-weather races show as AW. Cells with fewer than 20 races are hidden.

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Catterick individual stalls, most-run distances

6f11291511.6%10.2%33.3%
6f21312015.3%10.2%35.9%
6f3129107.8%10.2%25.6%
6f41261511.9%10.3%33.3%
6f513096.9%10.3%30.8%
6f6124118.9%10.3%33.1%
6f7128118.6%10.2%28.1%
6f8132118.3%10.3%27.3%
6f911387.1%9.9%22.1%
7f1184137.1%9.6%25.0%
7f21812312.7%9.7%33.1%
7f3181179.4%9.7%30.9%
7f4177169.0%9.7%26.6%
7f5178126.7%9.7%22.5%
7f6178179.6%9.8%29.2%
7f71842513.6%9.7%28.8%
7f8184179.2%9.7%29.9%
7f9164169.8%9.4%36.0%
7f1013785.8%9.0%22.6%
7f1110099.0%8.5%24.0%

The two most-run distances at Catterick in races of 8 or more runners since 2019. Stall is the stall number drawn. Expected win % is the chance of a single runner given the field sizes it ran in. Stalls with fewer than 100 runs are hidden.

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Catterick 7f: win % by draw third, since 2016 v last three seasons, 8 or more runners
Since 2016Since 2024Expected by chance
0%20%40%60%80%LowMiddleHighSince 2016 Low: 31.5%Since 2016 Middle: 33.3%Since 2016 High: 35.2%Since 2024 Low: 41.9%Since 2024 Middle: 27%Since 2024 High: 31.1%Expected by chance Low: 29.9%Expected by chance Middle: 33.9%Expected by chance High: 36.2%

Win % of races by Draw third

Catterick next Flat meeting, 17 October 2026, with the draw record

17 Oct 2613:00EBF "Confined" Restricted Maiden StakesClass 47f819032.6%30.5%36.8%30.0%33.8%36.3%
17 Oct 2613:35Every Race Live On Racing TV Novice StakesClass 46f913535.6%28.9%35.6%30.0%34.1%36.0%
17 Oct 2614:10Download The Raceday Ready App HandicapClass 41m4f88021.3%30.0%48.8%29.3%34.2%36.5%
17 Oct 2614:45William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Veterans' HandicapClass 46f1013535.6%28.9%35.6%30.0%34.1%36.0%
17 Oct 2615:25William Hill Epic Boosts Handicap (Div 1)Class 47f1019032.6%30.5%36.8%30.0%33.8%36.3%
17 Oct 2616:10William Hill Epic Boosts Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 47f919032.6%30.5%36.8%30.0%33.8%36.3%
17 Oct 2616:45William Hill Catterick Dash Handicap StakesClass 25f1213234.1%28.8%37.1%29.1%34.1%36.8%
17 Oct 2617:15Go Racing In Yorkshire Future Stars Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 51m6f102516.0%32.0%52.0%28.2%35.5%36.3%

Declared runners exclude non-runners. Races of 8 or more declared runners use the 8 or more runners record at the same distance, smaller fields use the all field sizes record. Blank history means fewer than 20 races at that distance since 2019.

Catterick 7f win % by stall, 8 or more runners
Win %Expected by chance
0%5%10%15%20%Stall 1Stall 2Stall 3Stall 4Stall 5Stall 6Stall 7Stall 8Stall 9Stall 10Stall 11Win % Stall 1: 7.1%7.1%Win % Stall 2: 12.7%12.7%Win % Stall 3: 9.4%9.4%Win % Stall 4: 9%9%Win % Stall 5: 6.7%6.7%Win % Stall 6: 9.6%9.6%Win % Stall 7: 13.6%13.6%Win % Stall 8: 9.2%9.2%Win % Stall 9: 9.8%9.8%Win % Stall 10: 5.8%5.8%Win % Stall 11: 9%9%Expected by chance Stall 1: 9.6%9.6%Expected by chance Stall 2: 9.7%9.7%Expected by chance Stall 3: 9.7%9.7%Expected by chance Stall 4: 9.7%9.7%Expected by chance Stall 5: 9.7%9.7%Expected by chance Stall 6: 9.8%9.8%Expected by chance Stall 7: 9.7%9.7%Expected by chance Stall 8: 9.7%9.7%Expected by chance Stall 9: 9.4%9.4%Expected by chance Stall 10: 9%9%Expected by chance Stall 11: 8.5%8.5%

Win % by Stall

Declared runners by draw third, next Flat meeting

13:00Queens Bandit silksQueens Bandit1Low32.6%30.0%7f8190
13:00Red Demon silksRed Demon2Low32.6%30.0%7f8190
13:00Northern Exposure silksNorthern Exposure3Middle30.5%33.8%7f8190
13:00Lion's Den silksLion's Den4Middle30.5%33.8%7f8190
13:00Lord Percy silksLord Percy5Middle30.5%33.8%7f8190
13:00Magnanimous Grecia silksMagnanimous Grecia6High36.8%36.3%7f8190
13:00Shaqra Queen silksShaqra Queen7High36.8%36.3%7f8190
13:00She Is Mighty silksShe Is Mighty8High36.8%36.3%7f8190
13:35Inkberrow silksInkberrow1Low35.6%30.0%6f9135
13:35Byerley Lady silksByerley Lady2Low35.6%30.0%6f9135
13:35Stoneacre Joe silksStoneacre Joe3Low35.6%30.0%6f9135
13:35Miss Tino silksMiss Tino4Middle28.9%34.1%6f9135
13:35Top Lad silksTop Lad5Middle28.9%34.1%6f9135
13:35Royale Union silksRoyale Union6Middle28.9%34.1%6f9135
13:35Heaven's Hope silksHeaven's Hope7High35.6%36.0%6f9135
13:35Black Orchid silksBlack Orchid8High35.6%36.0%6f9135
13:35Poor Relation silksPoor Relation9High35.6%36.0%6f9135
14:10Helmsley silksHelmsley1Low21.3%29.3%1m4f880
14:10Temple silksTemple2Low21.3%29.3%1m4f880
14:10Pol Roger silksPol Roger3Middle30.0%34.2%1m4f880
14:10Bay of Myths silksBay of Myths4Middle30.0%34.2%1m4f880
14:10Parisian Scholar silksParisian Scholar5Middle30.0%34.2%1m4f880
14:10Golden West silksGolden West6High48.8%36.5%1m4f880
14:10Hengest silksHengest7High48.8%36.5%1m4f880
14:10Be Patient silksBe Patient8High48.8%36.5%1m4f880
14:45Rosenpur silksRosenpur1Low35.6%30.0%6f10135
14:45The Gay Blade silksThe Gay Blade2Low35.6%30.0%6f10135
14:45Woodstock silksWoodstock3Low35.6%30.0%6f10135
14:45Mister Sox silksMister Sox4Middle28.9%34.1%6f10135
14:45Belsito silksBelsito5Middle28.9%34.1%6f10135
14:45Baldomero silksBaldomero6Middle28.9%34.1%6f10135
14:45Manila Scouse silksManila Scouse7High35.6%36.0%6f10135
14:45Tyger Bay silksTyger Bay8High35.6%36.0%6f10135
14:45Another Investment silksAnother Investment9High35.6%36.0%6f10135
14:45Quercus silksQuercus10High35.6%36.0%6f10135
15:25Brighton Boy silksBrighton Boy1Low32.6%30.0%7f10190
15:25Misunderstood silksMisunderstood2Low32.6%30.0%7f10190
15:25Eagle Bay silksEagle Bay3Low32.6%30.0%7f10190
15:25Call Me Betty silksCall Me Betty4Middle30.5%33.8%7f10190
15:25Diamont Katie silksDiamont Katie5Middle30.5%33.8%7f10190
15:25Quest For Fun silksQuest For Fun6Middle30.5%33.8%7f10190
15:25Von Trotter silksVon Trotter7High36.8%36.3%7f10190
15:25Kings Merchant silksKings Merchant8High36.8%36.3%7f10190
15:25Zarvali silksZarvali9High36.8%36.3%7f10190
15:25Havana Prince silksHavana Prince10High36.8%36.3%7f10190
16:10It Just Takes Time silksIt Just Takes Time1Low32.6%30.0%7f9190
16:10Classy Clarets silksClassy Clarets2Low32.6%30.0%7f9190
16:10Forest Caper silksForest Caper3Low32.6%30.0%7f9190
16:10We Dare To Dream silksWe Dare To Dream4Middle30.5%33.8%7f9190
16:10Midnight Strike silksMidnight Strike5Middle30.5%33.8%7f9190

Each declared runner placed in its third by stall order among the declared runners (first 50 runners of the meeting). Figures are the course and distance record for that third since 2019.

Latest Flat winners at Catterick and their draw

30 Sep 26Vince Le Prince (GB) silksVince Le Prince (GB)7High97f2.62
30 Sep 26Diamont Katie (IRE) silksDiamont Katie (IRE)5Middle107f9.00
30 Sep 26Jojo Rabbit (GB) silksJojo Rabbit (GB)1Low75f2.62
30 Sep 26Prince Of Calypso (IRE) silksPrince Of Calypso (IRE)3Middle71m4f6.00
30 Sep 26Wait For It (IRE) silksWait For It (IRE)4Middle106f7.00
30 Sep 26Fairydale (IRE) silksFairydale (IRE)2Low92m2.88
30 Sep 26Gold Key (IRE) silksGold Key (IRE)8High77f1.62
30 Sep 26Bladey Lady (IRE) silksBladey Lady (IRE)4Middle66f2.75
8 Sep 26Kings Merchant (GB) silksKings Merchant (GB)2Low96f2.75
8 Sep 26Zimmerman (GB) silksZimmerman (GB)5Middle61m6f2.00
8 Sep 26Military Girl (IRE) silksMilitary Girl (IRE)6Middle95f11.00
8 Sep 26Filey Beach (IRE) silksFiley Beach (IRE)1Low117f4.00
8 Sep 26Lope Y Linda (GB) silksLope Y Linda (GB)12High127f7.00
8 Sep 26Battenburg Belle (IRE) silksBattenburg Belle (IRE)4Low96f4.00
8 Sep 26Queen Sana (GB) silksQueen Sana (GB)2Low66f2.50
8 Sep 26Cheeky Chesca (IRE) silksCheeky Chesca (IRE)3Middle86f4.50
26 Aug 26Lanarra (IRE) silksLanarra (IRE)4Low137f4.50
26 Aug 26Novamay (GB) silksNovamay (GB)3Low85f5.50
26 Aug 26Niffler (GER) silksNiffler (GER)8High81m6f1.36
26 Aug 26Battenburg Belle (IRE) silksBattenburg Belle (IRE)6High56f3.50

The 20 most recent Flat races at Catterick in the data with a full draw.

Catterick win % of races by draw third and distance, 8 or more runners
Low thirdMiddle thirdHigh third
0%20%40%60%80%5f6f7f1m4f1m6f2mLow third 5f: 34.1%Low third 6f: 35.6%Low third 7f: 32.6%Low third 1m4f: 21.3%Low third 1m6f: 16%Low third 2m: 26.7%Middle third 5f: 28.8%Middle third 6f: 28.9%Middle third 7f: 30.5%Middle third 1m4f: 30%Middle third 1m6f: 32%Middle third 2m: 36.7%High third 5f: 37.1%High third 6f: 35.6%High third 7f: 36.8%High third 1m4f: 48.8%High third 1m6f: 52%High third 2m: 36.7%

Win % of races by Distance

Catterick win % of races by draw third and year, 8 or more runners
Low thirdMiddle thirdHigh third
0%20%40%60%80%20192020202120222023202420252026Low third 2019: 29.7%Low third 2020: 26.1%Low third 2021: 24.4%Low third 2022: 19.2%Low third 2023: 25.7%Low third 2024: 33.3%Low third 2025: 45.1%Low third 2026: 52.7%52.7%Middle third 2019: 39.2%Middle third 2020: 30.4%Middle third 2021: 28.9%Middle third 2022: 25.6%Middle third 2023: 33.8%Middle third 2024: 33.3%Middle third 2025: 25.4%Middle third 2026: 21.8%21.8%High third 2019: 31.1%High third 2020: 43.5%High third 2021: 46.7%High third 2022: 55.1%High third 2023: 40.5%High third 2024: 33.3%High third 2025: 29.6%High third 2026: 25.5%25.5%

Win % of races by Year

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Is there a draw bias at Catterick?

Over 7f, the most-run trip at Catterick, the draw rates weak or none from 267 races. It stands out most over 5f, where the low third has won 33.9% against 29.3% by chance (rated weak or none).

Do low-drawn horses gain from the Catterick bend in sprints?

Catterick's 5f, 6f and 7f rows in the distance table show the low third against chance on trips that bend left before the straight. The longer trips have fewer races, so their rows swing more.

How do going and field size change the draw at Catterick?

The bias matrix gives every Catterick trip rows for fast, good and soft ground and for 8 to 11, 12 to 15 and 16 or more runners, each with its own rating. Read the race count before the percentages.

Is the Catterick draw bias still current?

The recency table sets each trip's record since 2016 beside the last three seasons, from 2024. Over 7f the check reads no clear lean in either period, from 74 recent races.

How is the bias rating worked out?

Winners from each draw third are tested against the share chance would give them, using a chi-square test. Strong means p below 0.01 from 100 or more races, moderate p below 0.05, and fewer than 40 races is not enough data.

Questions people ask

Is there a draw bias at Catterick?

Over 7f, the most-run trip at Catterick, the draw rates weak or none, with low draws winning 31.5% of 267 races against 29.9% by chance. It stands out most over 5f, where the low third has won 33.9% against 29.3% (rated weak or none).

Which stall is best at Catterick over 5f?

Stall 1 has the best top-three record over 5f at Catterick since 2016, placing in 38.8% of 183 runs against 29.3% by chance. Single stalls swing on small samples, so the stall grid lists every stall with 50 or more runs at each trip.

Is a low or high draw better at Catterick?

Across all distances since 2016, low draws have won 30.5% of Catterick races against 29.7% by chance, and high draws 36.4% against 36.3%. The answer changes by trip, so check the bias matrix row for the race distance.

Does the Catterick draw change as the ground softens?

The going table splits Catterick results into bands from good to firm to heavy, with the race count on each. The figures shift between the quicker and softer bands, so check the row that matches the day's going.

How often are the Catterick draw figures updated?

The figures are rebuilt every night from the RaceWatch results database, and the latest results included are from 15 October 2026. The bias matrix, ratings and stall grid use races since 2016, and the detailed thirds tables further down use races since 2019.

More free data

Draw bias at every courseCompare the thirds course by courseCatterick course guideResults, trainers and jockeys at the courseCatterick racecardsThe next meeting's full cardThirsk draw biasThe same thirds at another courseWhat is draw bias?How stall position shapes a race

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