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Brighton draw bias: the downhill sprints and the horseshoe

At Brighton over 7f, the most-run Flat trip, low draws have won 28.7% of races of 8 or more runners since 2016 (174 races), middle draws 32.2% and high draws 39.1%, against 29.5%, 34.4% and 36.1% by chance. Bias rating: weak or none. Every trip, going and field size follows, with results to 15 October 2026.

No Flat meeting at Brighton declared yet. Latest Flat race in the data: 15 October 2026 · Results to 15 October 2026 · Refreshed 16 October 2026
Weak or none
Rating on the most-run trip
1m
Trip where the draw stands out most
670
Races of 8+ runners since 2016
15 October 2026
Results up to
High 39.1% v 36.1%

At Brighton over 7f, the course's most-run Flat trip, low draws have won 28.7% of races of 8 or more runners since 2016 (174 races), middle draws 32.2% and high draws 39.1%, against 29.5%, 34.4% and 36.1% by chance. Bias rating: weak or none. The clearest effect is over 1m, where the high third has won 45.9% of 159 races against 36.2% by chance (moderate).Sample: 174 races · Window: 19 April 2016 to 15 October 2026 · Source: RaceWatch results database (Flat results with stall draw), plus today's declarations for the next meeting

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Brighton draw bias by distance, going and field size

All distancesAll goingAll field sizes6706,61427.6%29.4%34.2%34.3%38.4%36.3%26.9%31.8%31.9%30.4%High +2.1 pts0.463Weak or none
5½fAll goingAll field sizes6558924.6%28.7%44.6%35.3%30.8%36.0%31.8%39.1%28.3%33.1%Middle +9.3 pts0.289Weak or none
5½fFast (good to firm or firmer)All field sizes4036227.5%28.8%52.5%35.2%20.0%36.0%31.4%41.7%26.2%33.1%Middle +17.3 pts0.044Moderate
5½fGoodAll field sizes2017920.0%27.8%30.0%35.9%50.0%36.4%34.0%35.9%30.8%33.5%High +13.6 pts0.438Not enough data
5½fAll going8 to 11 runners6356523.8%28.5%44.4%35.3%31.7%36.1%32.1%39.7%28.4%33.5%Middle +9.1 pts0.315Weak or none
5½fFast (good to firm or firmer)8 to 11 runners3935025.6%28.7%53.8%35.3%20.5%36.0%31.7%42.3%26.2%33.4%Middle +18.5 pts0.038Not enough data
5½fGood8 to 11 runners2017920.0%27.8%30.0%35.9%50.0%36.4%34.0%35.9%30.8%33.5%High +13.6 pts0.438Not enough data
6fAll goingAll field sizes1051,03030.5%29.0%39.0%34.7%30.5%36.4%33.8%31.6%27.0%30.6%Middle +4.3 pts0.435Weak or none
6fFast (good to firm or firmer)All field sizes5552429.1%28.5%32.7%35.0%38.2%36.5%39.1%30.2%26.7%31.5%High +1.7 pts0.937Weak or none
6fGoodAll field sizes3736832.4%29.8%48.6%34.3%18.9%36.0%28.8%32.8%28.8%30.2%Middle +14.3 pts0.070Not enough data
6fAll going8 to 11 runners8475329.8%28.3%40.5%35.2%29.8%36.5%38.3%35.2%28.0%33.5%Middle +5.3 pts0.411Weak or none
6fAll going12 to 15 runners2026135.0%31.8%35.0%32.5%30.0%35.6%24.1%20.0%24.7%23.0%Low +3.2 pts0.870Not enough data
6fFast (good to firm or firmer)8 to 11 runners4944328.6%28.1%34.7%35.4%36.7%36.6%42.4%31.4%27.8%33.2%Low +0.5 pts0.995Weak or none
6fGood8 to 11 runners2723729.6%28.9%51.9%34.8%18.5%36.3%31.9%40.2%30.2%34.2%Middle +17.1 pts0.100Not enough data
7fAll goingAll field sizes1741,72328.7%29.5%32.2%34.4%39.1%36.1%27.3%30.4%32.8%30.3%High +3.0 pts0.703Weak or none
7fFast (good to firm or firmer)All field sizes10195927.7%29.3%36.6%34.5%35.6%36.2%28.3%33.4%32.9%31.6%Middle +2.1 pts0.891Weak or none
7fGoodAll field sizes4749234.0%29.9%27.7%34.6%38.3%35.5%26.4%29.0%30.3%28.7%Low +4.1 pts0.602Weak or none
7fSoft (good to soft to heavy)All field sizes2627223.1%29.7%23.1%33.5%53.8%36.8%25.9%22.0%37.0%28.7%High +17.0 pts0.193Not enough data
7fAll going8 to 11 runners1431,31028.7%29.1%32.2%34.6%39.2%36.2%29.8%32.3%35.8%32.7%High +3.0 pts0.741Weak or none
7fAll going12 to 15 runners2836532.1%31.3%32.1%33.4%35.7%35.3%21.1%25.4%22.5%23.0%Low +0.8 pts0.990Not enough data
7fFast (good to firm or firmer)8 to 11 runners8980125.8%29.1%37.1%34.6%37.1%36.3%30.3%34.1%35.4%33.3%Middle +2.5 pts0.783Weak or none
7fGood8 to 11 runners3431835.3%29.2%26.5%35.2%38.2%35.5%28.0%32.1%35.4%32.1%Low +6.1 pts0.539Not enough data
7fSoft (good to soft to heavy)8 to 11 runners2019130.0%29.3%20.0%33.6%50.0%37.1%30.4%25.0%38.0%31.4%High +12.9 pts0.368Not enough data
1mAll goingAll field sizes1591,62823.3%29.7%31.4%34.1%45.9%36.2%21.6%30.8%34.3%29.3%High +9.7 pts0.036Moderate
1mFast (good to firm or firmer)All field sizes8180817.3%29.4%33.3%34.2%49.4%36.4%19.2%34.7%34.7%30.1%High +13.0 pts0.020Moderate
1mGoodAll field sizes4748431.9%29.7%31.9%34.5%38.3%35.9%22.8%27.7%35.8%29.1%High +2.4 pts0.884Weak or none
1mSoft (good to soft to heavy)All field sizes3133625.8%30.3%25.8%33.4%48.4%36.2%25.5%25.9%31.1%27.7%High +12.2 pts0.365Not enough data
1mAll going8 to 11 runners1131,03524.8%28.9%31.0%34.5%45.1%36.6%25.7%34.8%36.4%32.8%High +8.5 pts0.189Weak or none
1mAll going12 to 15 runners4557720.0%31.6%33.3%33.1%46.7%35.3%14.8%23.6%30.9%23.4%High +11.4 pts0.167Weak or none
1mFast (good to firm or firmer)8 to 11 runners6155218.0%28.6%34.4%34.6%47.5%36.7%23.3%38.4%36.0%33.2%High +10.8 pts0.114Weak or none
1mFast (good to firm or firmer)12 to 15 runners2025615.0%31.7%30.0%32.8%55.0%35.5%11.1%26.2%31.9%23.4%High +19.5 pts0.138Not enough data
1mGood8 to 11 runners3229334.4%28.6%31.3%34.9%37.5%36.5%28.6%31.4%37.4%32.8%Low +5.8 pts0.773Not enough data
1mSoft (good to soft to heavy)8 to 11 runners2019030.0%30.0%20.0%33.7%50.0%36.2%28.1%29.7%36.2%31.6%High +13.8 pts0.339Not enough data
1m2fAll goingAll field sizes1081,08231.5%29.7%27.8%33.8%40.7%36.5%26.9%29.9%32.4%29.9%High +4.2 pts0.406Weak or none
1m2fFast (good to firm or firmer)All field sizes5754531.6%29.3%29.8%34.2%38.6%36.5%29.8%31.9%32.2%31.4%Low +2.3 pts0.784Weak or none
1m2fGoodAll field sizes3133432.3%30.6%19.4%33.2%48.4%36.2%23.5%23.4%35.5%27.8%High +12.2 pts0.213Not enough data
1m2fSoft (good to soft to heavy)All field sizes2020330.0%29.3%35.0%33.6%35.0%37.0%25.0%35.3%28.0%29.6%Middle +1.4 pts0.982Not enough data
1m2fAll going8 to 11 runners8679329.1%29.3%27.9%34.0%43.0%36.8%30.0%32.5%34.6%32.5%High +6.2 pts0.397Weak or none
1m2fAll going12 to 15 runners2228940.9%31.2%27.3%33.2%31.8%35.6%18.9%22.9%26.2%22.8%Low +9.7 pts0.612Not enough data
1m2fFast (good to firm or firmer)8 to 11 runners4943930.6%29.0%26.5%34.4%42.9%36.6%32.8%33.3%34.2%33.5%High +6.3 pts0.486Weak or none
1m2fGood8 to 11 runners2019130.0%30.4%20.0%33.0%50.0%36.5%27.6%23.8%41.4%31.4%High +13.5 pts0.364Not enough data
1m4fAll goingAll field sizes5956227.1%29.5%39.0%33.9%33.9%36.6%24.0%35.4%34.0%31.5%Middle +5.1 pts0.710Weak or none
1m4fFast (good to firm or firmer)All field sizes2826728.6%29.4%39.3%34.0%32.1%36.6%24.1%32.2%36.7%31.5%Middle +5.3 pts0.823Not enough data
1m4fAll going8 to 11 runners5247426.9%29.2%34.6%34.2%38.5%36.7%25.2%34.2%37.9%32.9%High +1.8 pts0.932Weak or none
1m4fFast (good to firm or firmer)8 to 11 runners2522828.0%29.3%36.0%34.4%36.0%36.4%23.9%32.1%41.0%32.9%Middle +1.6 pts0.983Not enough data

Flat races at Brighton with 8 or more runners and a full draw, since 19 April 2016. Runners are split into low, middle and high thirds by stall order among the horses that ran. Win % is the share of races each third won; expected % is its share by chance given the field sizes. Top-3 % is the share of runners in that third who finished in the first three, against the chance rate. Going groups: fast is good to firm or firmer, soft is good to soft, yielding, soft and heavy. Bias rating uses a chi-square test of winners by third against chance (2 degrees of freedom): Strong means p below 0.01 from 100 or more races, Moderate p below 0.05, Weak or none p of 0.05 or more, and Not enough data fewer than 40 races. Rows with fewer than 20 races are hidden. Source: RaceWatch results database.

Brighton draw bias: since 2016 v the last three seasons

All distances67027.6%34.2%38.4%29.4%34.3%36.3%Weak or none18828.7%31.4%40.4%Weak or noneStronger lately
5½f6524.6%44.6%30.8%28.7%35.3%36.0%Weak or none1827.8%33.3%38.9%Not enough dataToo few recent races
6f10530.5%39.0%30.5%29.0%34.7%36.4%Weak or none3429.4%35.3%35.3%Not enough dataToo few recent races
7f17428.7%32.2%39.1%29.5%34.4%36.1%Weak or none5028.0%28.0%44.0%Weak or noneStronger lately
1m15923.3%31.4%45.9%29.7%34.1%36.2%Moderate4425.0%38.6%38.6%Weak or noneWeaker lately
1m2f10831.5%27.8%40.7%29.7%33.8%36.5%Weak or none2540.0%20.0%40.0%Not enough dataToo few recent races
1m4f5927.1%39.0%33.9%29.5%33.9%36.6%Weak or none1723.5%29.4%47.1%Not enough dataToo few recent races

Last three seasons means races since 1 January 2024. Is it current? compares the third that led over the whole window with its record lately: Holding means within 2 points of its long-run edge, Stronger or Weaker lately means more than 2 points either way, Gone lately means it no longer beats chance. 8 or more runners. Rows with fewer than 20 races are hidden.

Brighton stall by stall at each distance

5½f1621016.1%11.2%40.3%33.7%+6.6
5½f26411.6%11.2%20.3%33.7%-13.4
5½f36469.4%11.2%40.6%33.6%+7.0
5½f4611219.7%11.3%50.8%33.9%+17.0
5½f562914.5%11.2%33.9%33.6%+0.3
5½f659610.2%11.2%30.5%33.7%-3.2
5½f762711.3%11.1%29.0%33.4%-4.4
5½f862711.3%11.3%24.2%33.8%-9.6
6f110122.0%10.5%34.7%31.6%+3.0
6f2952021.1%10.5%38.9%31.6%+7.4
6f31011211.9%10.6%34.7%31.7%+2.9
6f4971212.4%10.5%32.0%31.5%+0.4
6f51001111.0%10.6%30.0%31.7%-1.7
6f61011211.9%10.6%30.7%31.8%-1.1
6f79766.2%10.5%32.0%31.6%+0.4
6f89999.1%10.6%28.3%31.8%-3.5
6f97978.9%10.1%30.4%30.4%0.0
7f1163159.2%10.4%31.9%31.1%+0.8
7f2158138.2%10.4%26.6%31.2%-4.6
7f3164159.1%10.4%23.2%31.2%-8.0
7f41621710.5%10.4%29.6%31.3%-1.6
7f51631710.4%10.4%33.7%31.2%+2.6
7f61672012.0%10.4%32.9%31.2%+1.7
7f71621911.7%10.5%33.3%31.4%+2.0
7f81612314.3%10.4%33.5%31.1%+2.4
7f9139128.6%10.0%32.4%30.1%+2.3
7f109899.2%9.4%33.7%28.3%+5.3
7f1174810.8%9.1%33.8%27.4%+6.4
1m115085.3%10.1%19.3%30.3%-11.0
1m2147149.5%10.1%26.5%30.3%-3.8
1m3150149.3%10.1%24.7%30.3%-5.6
1m414596.2%10.0%25.5%30.1%-4.6
1m51391611.5%10.2%36.0%30.5%+5.5
1m6145139.0%10.1%27.6%30.2%-2.6
1m71512214.6%10.2%33.1%30.5%+2.6
1m81501510.0%10.1%34.7%30.2%+4.5
1m91281511.7%9.8%32.8%29.3%+3.5
1m101041110.6%9.4%32.7%28.1%+4.6
1m117568.0%8.6%28.0%25.9%+2.1
1m1255712.7%8.2%30.9%24.7%+6.2
1m2f110398.7%10.4%24.3%31.1%-6.9
1m2f21001212.0%10.4%26.0%31.1%-5.1
1m2f3981212.2%10.3%36.7%30.8%+5.9
1m2f41021211.8%10.3%30.4%30.8%-0.4
1m2f510176.9%10.2%31.7%30.5%+1.2
1m2f610465.8%10.3%28.8%30.8%-2.0
1m2f79899.2%10.3%30.6%31.0%-0.4
1m2f8981414.3%10.3%30.6%30.8%-0.2
1m2f9861011.6%9.9%29.1%29.6%-0.5
1m2f1067913.4%9.5%32.8%28.6%+4.2

Stall is the stall number drawn. Every distance with 60 or more races of 8 or more runners since 2016; stalls with fewer than 50 runs are hidden. Top-3 % is steadier than win % for a single stall, so read it first.

Brighton draw by distance, 8 or more runners

All distances44527.6%29.5%33.0%34.3%39.6%36.3%26.8%31.9%32.8%
5½f4825.0%28.9%41.7%35.2%33.3%35.9%32.8%41.1%26.6%
6f6934.8%29.2%40.6%34.6%24.6%36.1%34.5%33.0%26.0%
7f12327.6%29.5%31.7%34.3%40.7%36.2%25.2%30.4%34.9%
1m10322.3%29.8%31.1%33.9%47.6%36.2%21.8%31.0%34.1%
1m2f6331.7%29.5%23.8%33.9%44.4%36.6%26.6%28.2%35.7%
1m4f3925.6%29.5%33.3%33.7%41.0%36.8%25.9%32.0%37.3%

Flat races at Brighton with 8 or more runners since 1 January 2019. Win % is the share of races won by each third of the draw expected % is the share that third would win by chance given the field sizes run. Thirds are set by stall order among the horses that ran, so non-runners do not shift them. Place % is per runner. Distances with fewer than 20 races are hidden. Source: RaceWatch results database.

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Brighton draw thirds overall, 8 or more runners

Low44527.6%29.5%9.5%1,29112326.8%
Middle44533.0%34.3%9.9%1,48114731.9%
High44539.6%36.3%11.2%1,57717632.8%

All distances pooled. Strike rate is wins per runner in that third. BSP figures are not shown because the window starts before March 2024.

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Brighton draw by distance, all field sizes

All distances95529.4%28.4%31.6%33.3%39.3%38.2%
5½f15031.3%28.1%34.7%33.3%34.0%38.6%
6f16534.5%27.6%31.5%34.0%34.5%38.4%
7f23027.4%28.5%32.2%33.5%40.4%38.0%
1m18624.7%29.0%31.7%33.1%44.1%37.9%
1m2f12833.6%28.8%27.3%33.0%39.8%38.2%
1m4f9626.0%28.5%31.3%32.7%42.7%38.8%

Every Flat race at Brighton with 3 or more runners since 1 January 2019. Small fields dilute any draw effect, so compare with the 8 or more runners table. Distances with fewer than 20 races are hidden.

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Brighton draw by field size

3 to 7 runnersAll distances51031.0%27.5%30.4%32.5%39.0%40.0%
8 to 11 runnersAll distances37028.6%29.1%33.2%34.6%38.4%36.3%
12 to 15 runnersAll distances7123.9%31.4%33.8%32.9%42.3%35.7%
3 to 7 runners5½f10234.3%27.7%31.4%32.4%34.3%39.9%
8 to 11 runners5½f4725.5%28.8%40.4%35.3%34.0%35.9%
3 to 7 runners6f9634.4%26.5%25.0%33.6%41.7%40.0%
8 to 11 runners6f5836.2%28.8%43.1%35.1%20.7%36.0%
3 to 7 runners7f10727.1%27.3%32.7%32.5%40.2%40.2%
8 to 11 runners7f10028.0%29.1%32.0%34.6%40.0%36.3%
12 to 15 runners7f2128.6%31.2%33.3%33.3%38.1%35.5%
3 to 7 runners1m8327.7%28.0%32.5%32.1%39.8%39.9%
8 to 11 runners1m7525.3%29.2%30.7%34.3%45.3%36.5%
12 to 15 runners1m2714.8%31.5%33.3%33.1%51.9%35.4%
3 to 7 runners1m2f6535.4%28.1%30.8%32.1%35.4%39.8%
8 to 11 runners1m2f5230.8%29.1%23.1%34.3%46.2%36.6%
3 to 7 runners1m4f5726.3%27.8%29.8%32.0%43.9%40.1%
8 to 11 runners1m4f3826.3%29.4%31.6%33.7%42.1%36.9%

Field size is the number of runners that took part. Cells with fewer than 20 races are hidden.

Brighton draw by going, 8 or more runners

Good to firm or firmerAll distances25324.9%29.2%41.5%36.3%33.6%
GoodAll distances12232.0%29.8%35.2%36.0%33.6%
Good to soft or yieldingAll distances3732.4%30.4%43.2%36.6%24.3%
SoftAll distances3327.3%29.3%36.4%36.4%36.4%
Good to firm or firmer5½f2931.0%29.1%24.1%35.8%44.8%
Good to firm or firmer6f3930.8%28.6%30.8%36.4%38.5%
Good6f2142.9%30.5%14.3%35.6%42.9%
Good to firm or firmer7f7525.3%29.3%38.7%36.3%36.0%
Good7f3033.3%29.9%43.3%35.6%23.3%
Good to firm or firmer1m5915.3%29.6%55.9%36.5%28.8%
Good1m2630.8%29.9%30.8%35.8%42.3%
Good to firm or firmer1m2f3228.1%29.2%50.0%36.1%21.9%

Official going grouped into bands (yielding counts with good to soft). All-weather races show as AW. Cells with fewer than 20 races are hidden.

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Brighton individual stalls, most-run distances

7f111786.8%10.4%29.9%
7f21131210.6%10.5%26.5%
7f31171210.3%10.5%23.1%
7f4113119.7%10.5%29.2%
7f51171210.3%10.4%31.6%
7f61201512.5%10.4%33.3%
7f71151311.3%10.5%33.0%
7f81131513.3%10.4%34.5%
7f9101109.9%10.1%35.6%

The two most-run distances at Brighton in races of 8 or more runners since 2019. Stall is the stall number drawn. Expected win % is the chance of a single runner given the field sizes it ran in. Stalls with fewer than 100 runs are hidden.

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Brighton 7f: win % by draw third, since 2016 v last three seasons, 8 or more runners
Since 2016Since 2024Expected by chance
0%20%40%60%80%LowMiddleHighSince 2016 Low: 28.7%Since 2016 Middle: 32.2%Since 2016 High: 39.1%Since 2024 Low: 28%Since 2024 Middle: 28%Since 2024 High: 44%Expected by chance Low: 29.5%Expected by chance Middle: 34.4%Expected by chance High: 36.1%

Win % of races by Draw third

Brighton 7f win % by stall, 8 or more runners
Win %Expected by chance
0%5%10%15%20%Stall 1Stall 2Stall 3Stall 4Stall 5Stall 6Stall 7Stall 8Stall 9Win % Stall 1: 6.8%6.8%Win % Stall 2: 10.6%10.6%Win % Stall 3: 10.3%10.3%Win % Stall 4: 9.7%9.7%Win % Stall 5: 10.3%10.3%Win % Stall 6: 12.5%12.5%Win % Stall 7: 11.3%11.3%Win % Stall 8: 13.3%13.3%Win % Stall 9: 9.9%9.9%Expected by chance Stall 1: 10.4%10.4%Expected by chance Stall 2: 10.5%10.5%Expected by chance Stall 3: 10.5%10.5%Expected by chance Stall 4: 10.5%10.5%Expected by chance Stall 5: 10.4%10.4%Expected by chance Stall 6: 10.4%10.4%Expected by chance Stall 7: 10.5%10.5%Expected by chance Stall 8: 10.4%10.4%Expected by chance Stall 9: 10.1%10.1%

Win % by Stall

Latest Flat winners at Brighton and their draw

15 Oct 26Roman Spring (IRE) silksRoman Spring (IRE)5Middle96f5.50
15 Oct 26Dreambird Dolly (GB) silksDreambird Dolly (GB)7High95½f17.00
15 Oct 26Rainbow Sign (GB) silksRainbow Sign (GB)3Low137f10.00
15 Oct 26Gone Rogue (IRE) silksGone Rogue (IRE)6Middle141m6.00
15 Oct 26Thundering Breeze (IRE) silksThundering Breeze (IRE)1Low111m2f7.00
15 Oct 26Skimming Along (IRE) silksSkimming Along (IRE)11High91m2f6.50
15 Oct 26Jazzy Blue (IRE) silksJazzy Blue (IRE)2Low127f4.00
15 Oct 26My Boo Boo (GB) silksMy Boo Boo (GB)2Low66f1.50
6 Oct 26Cayman Tai (IRE) silksCayman Tai (IRE)1Low95½f4.50
6 Oct 26My Mate Mackley (GB) silksMy Mate Mackley (GB)7Middle96f2.88
6 Oct 26Burford Beauty (IRE) silksBurford Beauty (IRE)4Middle107f2.62
6 Oct 26Basilette (IRE) silksBasilette (IRE)8High91m4f4.50
6 Oct 26South Kensington (IRE) silksSouth Kensington (IRE)4Middle101m7.50
6 Oct 26Tough Decision (GB) silksTough Decision (GB)9High91m4.50
6 Oct 26Launceston (IRE) silksLaunceston (IRE)9High91m2f5.00
28 Sep 26My Mate Mackley (GB) silksMy Mate Mackley (GB)4Middle86f2.88
28 Sep 26Shes Got The Blues (IRE) silksShes Got The Blues (IRE)9High107f11.00
28 Sep 26Darkest Red (GB) silksDarkest Red (GB)1Low71m4f4.50
28 Sep 26Hamda's Joy (IRE) silksHamda's Joy (IRE)7High101m8.00
28 Sep 26Wild Orchid (GB) silksWild Orchid (GB)11High131m8.00

The 20 most recent Flat races at Brighton in the data with a full draw.

Brighton win % of races by draw third and distance, 8 or more runners
Low thirdMiddle thirdHigh third
0%20%40%60%80%5½f6f7f1m1m2f1m4fLow third 5½f: 25%Low third 6f: 34.8%Low third 7f: 27.6%Low third 1m: 22.3%Low third 1m2f: 31.7%Low third 1m4f: 25.6%Middle third 5½f: 41.7%Middle third 6f: 40.6%Middle third 7f: 31.7%Middle third 1m: 31.1%Middle third 1m2f: 23.8%Middle third 1m4f: 33.3%High third 5½f: 33.3%High third 6f: 24.6%High third 7f: 40.7%High third 1m: 47.6%High third 1m2f: 44.4%High third 1m4f: 41%

Win % of races by Distance

Brighton win % of races by draw third and year, 8 or more runners
Low thirdMiddle thirdHigh third
0%20%40%60%80%2019202120222023202420252026Low third 2019: 28.4%Low third 2021: 31.1%Low third 2022: 26.8%Low third 2023: 18.9%Low third 2024: 26%Low third 2025: 37.7%Low third 2026: 19.6%19.6%Middle third 2019: 27%Middle third 2021: 36.5%Middle third 2022: 37.5%Middle third 2023: 37.7%Middle third 2024: 34.2%Middle third 2025: 29%Middle third 2026: 30.4%30.4%High third 2019: 44.6%High third 2021: 32.4%High third 2022: 35.7%High third 2023: 43.4%High third 2024: 39.7%High third 2025: 34.8%High third 2026: 50%50%

Win % of races by Year

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Is there a draw bias at Brighton?

Over 7f, the most-run trip at Brighton, the draw rates weak or none from 174 races. It stands out most over 1m, where the high third has won 45.9% against 36.2% by chance (rated moderate).

How much does the draw matter at Brighton when fields are small?

Brighton often races with fewer than eight runners, and those races sit in the all field sizes table rather than the main one. Small fields dilute any draw effect, so the 8 or more runners figures are the stronger guide.

How do going and field size change the draw at Brighton?

The bias matrix gives every Brighton trip rows for fast, good and soft ground and for 8 to 11, 12 to 15 and 16 or more runners, each with its own rating. Read the race count before the percentages.

Is the Brighton draw bias still current?

The recency table sets each trip's record since 2016 beside the last three seasons, from 2024. Over 7f the check reads stronger lately, from 50 recent races.

How is the bias rating worked out?

Winners from each draw third are tested against the share chance would give them, using a chi-square test. Strong means p below 0.01 from 100 or more races, moderate p below 0.05, and fewer than 40 races is not enough data.

Questions people ask

Is there a draw bias at Brighton?

Over 7f, the most-run trip at Brighton, the draw rates weak or none, with low draws winning 28.7% of 174 races against 29.5% by chance. It stands out most over 1m, where the high third has won 45.9% against 36.2% (rated moderate).

Which stall is best at Brighton over 5½f?

Stall 4 has the best top-three record over 5½f at Brighton since 2016, placing in 50.8% of 61 runs against 33.1% by chance. Single stalls swing on small samples, so the stall grid lists every stall with 50 or more runs at each trip.

Is a low or high draw better at Brighton?

Across all distances since 2016, low draws have won 27.6% of Brighton races against 29.4% by chance, and high draws 38.4% against 36.3%. The answer changes by trip, so check the bias matrix row for the race distance.

Does soft ground change the Brighton draw?

The going table splits Brighton results by official going, but soft-ground races are few, so any band under 20 races is hidden. Most of the Brighton sample comes from good to firm and good ground.

How often are the Brighton draw figures updated?

The figures are rebuilt every night from the RaceWatch results database, and the latest results included are from 15 October 2026. The bias matrix, ratings and stall grid use races since 2016, and the detailed thirds tables further down use races since 2019.

More free data

Draw bias at every courseCompare the thirds course by courseBrighton course guideResults, trainers and jockeys at the courseBrighton racecardsThe next meeting's full cardEpsom draw biasThe same thirds at another courseWhat is draw bias?How stall position shapes a race

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